Top ranked all-time college football handicapper Joe Duffy gives sports betting tips for 2013-14 college football. He breaks down important football tip sheet type information

1. 
2013 NCAA Football Betting
Beating College Football Odds

2. OffshoreInsiders.com
 Many of the preseason college football
publications, the most notable being Phil Steele’s
preseason picks have hit the newsstands. While I
have warned against archaic habit of having such
supersede timelier intel available all over the web,
here is the offseason college football watch list
from a sports handicapping standpoint.

3. OffshoreInsiders.com
 Texas A&M a likely fade: Last season, the Aggies
were the extreme rarity of upgrading to a better
conference and thriving. But everything went right
for them, most notably the emergence of Johnny
Manziel.
 Remember our Golden Rule that it is easier to be
the hunter than the hunted. Exacerbated by Johnny
Football’s ill-advised offseason comments, the
pressure cooker puts them in uncharted waters.
Look for their spread record to be well into the
negative.

4. Vegas Insider College Football
 West Virginia a season long team to bet on and bet
unders: Last year WVU followed a pattern much
more common among teams progressing to a
superior league. They had the early season
adrenalin and the element of surprise, but the
unprecedented strength of schedule wore on them
as they went from early season Cinderella to
punching bag.

5. OffshoreInsiders.com
 Continued…Head coach Dana Holgorsen has four very
good running backs, but lost star QB Geno Smith and his
top three wideouts. However, with an underrated
running game in a league where teams are more
experienced at stopping the pass, the Mountaineers are
going to pull of some upsets, likely with a ball control
offense never seen before by any team coached by
Holgorsen.
 Yet, consistent with the limitations of preseason
publications, I will be keeping a very close eye on if
Holgorsen adjusts the system around the talent or insists
on his players adapting to a wide-open offense.

6. NCAAFTips toVegas odds
 Arizona’s improved defense: Rich Rodriquez plays a
chuck and duck offense. This puts the onus on the
defense, constantly placing them back on the field.
Ravaged by injuries and learning a complicated new
defense, the Wildcats defense was fetid in 2012.
Now familiar with the schemes, that unit returns 20
players who started at least one game last year.
 As any sports betting champ is well aware, the pace
of the offense will keep games high scoring, but the
underrated defense will retain many of the bloated
totals under.

7. Beat DonBest Odds CFB
 Duke, team lunchpail: For handicappers who believe
games are won at the point of attack, Duke is the perfect
dark horse. They return both guards and tackles on the
offensive line, a combined 100 starts.
 Clemson built for 2013: Among the reasons Clemson QB
Tajh Boyd returned is that while last year was a major
success, the team was built for a breakout 2013.
However, the Tigers have a long history of faltering
under such circumstances. Look for Dabo Sweeney to
jump to the head of the class of “great recruiter, not a
great coach” and Clemson to be one of the worst money
line team among BCS schools.

8. OffshoreInsiders.com
 Louisville, classic hunter to the hunted: Louisville is
upgrading their schedule just as Charlie Strong has
raised the expectations for the Cardinals. Time and
time again, this combination has made for a great
fade. Look for Cards to falter as they are
overwhelmed by an unprecedented tough
schedule.

9. Top Ranked Sports Handicappers 2013
 Hard luck Michigan State will rebound: There is no
such thing as “law of averages.” If you ever hear a
handicapper pick a game based on such a lack of
understanding of statistics, avoid him completely.
 But Michigan State had the most deceptive record
in the BCS last year losing five game by a combined
13 points. The offense has a lot more talent than
they showed last year. Look for them to pull of
some upsets.

10. BettingAmerican Football
 Never underestimate motivational intangibles in
Billy Walter’s picks. Last seasons’ tough losses
makes us believe MSU will not suffer any emotional
letdowns in the fourth quarter.
 Smart gamblers take the term “Watch List” literally.
Practice reports may shed new light and our
“checkmarks” on which way we are leaning are
subject to change as emerging facts dictate.

11. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper