Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Houston
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Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program. Global Cities Initiative forum in Houston, TX on May 15, 2013. The Global Cities Initiative is a Joint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase. For more information: http://www.brookings.edu/projects/global-cities.aspx
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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Houston
- 1. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A JOINT PROJECT OF BROOKINGS AND JPMORGAN CHASE Houston, TX / May 15, 2013 @bruce_katz #globalcities
- 2. 10.2 millionjobs needed More Jobs
- 3. 81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000 More Jobs & Better Jobs
- 4. 107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011 More Jobs & Better Jobs
- 5. A vision for the next American economy 1 2 3 1 2 3
- 6. The next economy will be largely metropolitan 1 2 31 2 3
- 7. 1 2 31 2 3 Metropolitan areas are driving innovation METRO INNOVATION
- 8. A vision for the next American economy 1 2 3 1 2 3
- 10. 2009 Global GDP 19.9% US 21.0% BIC Countries Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010
- 11. 2015 Global GDP 26.5% BIC Countries 17.9% US Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010
- 13. Global Metro Population 2030 60% Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
- 14. Economic Performance 2011 - 2012 Highest Performing Metros Lowest Performing Metros Source: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor, November 2012
- 15. Exports Share of GDP 2010 13% United States 29% 22% 15% 30% Japan China Canada India European Union 15% Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
- 16. Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
- 18. Can we get back into the export game?
- 21. Japan $680 $944 United States GermanyFrance $409 China $1477 $1091 Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries 2010, Billions Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
- 22. $358 Service Imports Service Exports $518 US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $160 billion trade surplus Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
- 26. Can the U.S. play in the low carbon revolution?
- 27. Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) 2.7 millionclean economy jobs
- 28. 1.4 millionbiosciences jobs 4.8 millionIT jobs 2.4 millionfossil fuel jobs 2.7 millionclean economy jobs Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011), Brookings Analysis of Battelle, BLS, Moody’s Analytics data
- 29. $53.9 billionclean economy exports Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
- 30. $53.9 billionclean economy exports National Economy $10,392 Export Intensity Yearly Export Earnings per Job $20,124 Clean Economy Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
- 34. 68%manufacturing share of R&D 35%manufacturing share of engineers
- 35. Source: EOP “A Framework for Revitalizing American Manufacturing” (2009) Brookings “Accelerating Advanced Manufacturing with New Research Centers” (2011) 90%manufacturing share of patents 68%manufacturing share of R&D 35%manufacturing share of engineers
- 36. Can the U.S. be an Innovation Nation?
- 37. US Names China On Intellectual-Property Watchlist China's insufficient protection of intellectual property rights remains a top priority for U.S. trade policy, given the "troubling" direction of recent government measures aimed at supporting domestic innovation, the U.S. Trade Representative's office said Monday. China Begins to Lose Edge as World’s Factory Floor January 16, 2013 BEIJING - China is losing its competitive edge as a low-cost manufacturing base, new data suggest, with makers of everything from handbags to shirts to basic electronic components relocating to cheaper locales. The shift - illustrated in weakened foreign investment in China - has pluses and minuses for an economy key to global growth. Shale Gas Fuels U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance January 10, 2013 Abundant, affordable domestic natural gas is helping to revitalize energy-intensive industries like petrochemical manufacturing. “Looking back 20 years, chemicals were out nation’s top export product. But as recently as five years ago, we were on the verge of becoming an importer. Now the industry is back. January 19, 2013 The number of firms known tohave “reshored” manufacturing to America is well under 100.Doubtless many more are doing so quietly. Examples range from the tiny, such as ET Water Systems, to the enormous, such as General Electric, which last year moved manufacturing of washingmachines. fridges, and heaters back from China. Reshoring Manufacturing:Coming Home
- 39. 11%wage premium in exporting firms Source: Istrate, Rothwell & Katz, Export Nation (2010) Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industries
- 40. The U.S. must get smart... fast
- 42. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans Non-Hispanic Whites Asians 25% 39% 56% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher United States 36%
- 43. Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans 25% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher
- 44. The next economy will be largely metropolitan 1 2 31 2 3
- 46. Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
- 47. Texas Austin, Dallas, El Paso, Houston, McAllen, San Antonio Population GDP 71% 74%
- 48. Texas Austin, Dallas, El Paso, Houston, McAllen, San Antonio Population GDP Corpus Christi, Brownsville, Killeen, Beaumont, Lubbock, Amarillo, Laredo, Waco, College Station, Longview, Tyler, Abilene, Wichita Falls, Odessa, Midland, Sherman, Victoria, San Angelo, Texarkana 88% 89%
- 49. Service Exports 75% 63% Manufacturing Exports Population 66% Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
- 50. Top 100 Metro Exports Chemical Products 68% 76% Business/ Professional Services Computer/ Electronic Products 78% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
- 51. Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics U.S. Air Cargo Weight 82% 88% Foreign Waterborne Cargo Weight Airline Boardings 92% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, and PIERS data (2009)
- 57. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA
- 58. 217,527 US Houston Metro Manufacturing Intensity 8.5% 8.5% Manufacturing Jobs Top Manufacturing Sectors Houston, TX Metro Manufacturing Dashboard Fabricated Metals 20.9% Machinery 19.5% Chemicals 15.3% Computers & Electronics 8.4% Petroleum & Coal Products 5.8% US Houston Metro Manufacturing Growth 2010 Q1 - 2011 Q4 2.7% 5.9% Source: Brookings, Locating American Manufacturing 2012
- 59. $47.9 B Top 100 Metros Houston Metro Export Intensity 9.8% 14.0% Export Volume Goods & Services Exports 71.9% goods share of exports Houston, TX Metro Export Dashboard 307,000 Export Jobs 28.1% services share of exports Top Services SectorsTop Services Sectors Travel and Tourism 8.9% Business Services 6.9% Royalties 5.6% Top Manufacturing SectorsTop Manufacturing Sectors Chemicals 20.3% Machinery 15.1% Petroleum and Coal Products 14.9% Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
- 60. Houston, TX Metro Export Dashboard Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012 Houston’s Top Export Destinations By 2010 Volume (in millions) Canada Mexico Japan United Kingdom China $7,491.5 $5,157.8 $2,635.4 $2,358.2 $2,289.5 Germany Brazil South Korea Singapore Netherlands $1,853.3 $1,724.3 $1,678.4 $1,467.3 $1,323.4
- 61. Houston, TX Metro Global Aviation Dashboard Source: Brookings “Global Gateways: International Aviation in Metropolitan America” (2012) Share of Houston Passenger Air Travel to Major Global Regions By 2011 Total Passengers Houston’s Top Air Travel Connections By 2011 Total Passengers Latin America/ Caribbean Western Europe Developing Asia/Pacific 45.8% Rest of World 19.6% 10.2% 24.4% Mexico City 311,849 London Calgary Cancun Monterrey 227,883 139,285 130,974 110,365
- 62. Houston, TX Workforce Dashboard Sources: Brookings, State of Metropolitan America (2010), Geography of Immigrant Skills (2011), Demand for H-1B Immigrant Workers in US Metros (2012) 29% 36% 16% Job Openings All Adults Unemployed Workers Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Industry 46% 43% Energy Healthcare 18%Houston Employment Immigrant Skills Gap 22.3%immigrant share of population 11thof 100 metros High SkilledLow Skilled Middle Skilled 42.6% 43% 30%28% 35.1% 22.3% Immigrant Skills Age 25+ US Houston US Houston US Houston Skills Gap Job Openings Requiring, and Adults Possessing, Bachelor’s Degrees
- 63. 1 2 31 2 3 Metropolitan areas are driving innovation METRO INNOVATION
- 64. Innovate Locally
- 65. Market Assessment Target Sectors 8% 9% 12% Economic Profile 15% 12% 13% 9% Establish Goals & Strategies Boost SME exportsIncrease global fluency Double exports Support key sectors Governments Philanthropy Firms Universities Collaborate to CompeteLos Angeles Minneapolis- Saint Paul Portland Syracuse Metropolitan Export Planning
- 66. Metropolitan Export Planning Portland Target industries: computers and electronics, clean technology & innovation Goal: Double exports in the next five years Strategies: 1. Leverage primary exporters in computer and electronics 2. Catalyze under-exporters in manufacturing 3. Improve the export pipeline for small business 4. “We Build Green Cities” - brand and market Greater Portland’s global edge
- 67. Metropolitan Export Planning Portland Target industries: computers and electronics, clean technology & innovation Goal: Double exports in the next five years City of Portland Mayor’s Office
- 68. Los Angeles Metropolitan Export Planning Strategies: 1. Establish the Los Angeles Regional Export Council 2. Target high-opportunity market segments 3. Market the Los Angeles region to the world Target industries: aerospace, computers and electronics, pharmaceuticals, film and television, professional services Goal: Double exports in the next five years & foster more globally-fluent, export- oriented business culture
- 69. University of Southern California University of California Los Angeles City of Los Angeles Los Angeles Regional Export Council Los Angeles Metropolitan Export Planning Target industries: aerospace, computers and electronics, pharmaceuticals, film and television, professional services Goal: Double exports in the next five years & foster more globally-fluent, export- oriented business culture
- 70. The United States Conference of Mayors “Export Ready” Challenge
- 71. Houston Build on Metropolitan Houston’s Strengths Target industries Goals Network Strategies Metropolitan Export Planning Metropolitan Houston Export Plan
- 72. Building a 21st Century Workforce for the Houston Region Goal: Develop comprehensive workforce strategy to tackle challenges in the Greater Houston Region GHP Workforce Development Taskforce Houston
- 73. Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally
- 74. Pennsylvania Center for Trade & Development State Governments 22 foreign trade offices firms assisted with exports1,350 new exports from assisted firms, 2010$483 m Florida Enterprise Florida 12 international offices $3 b state GDP added from export assistance & business development in 2011
- 75. State Governments Colorado Space Cluster 4 states joining Colorado to advocate for and promote space cluster initiatives $20m competitive matching grants for early-stage tech development in CO Ohio Third Frontier & Edison Tech Centers 7 regional centers providing innovation & commercialization services to foster innovation ecosystem in Ohio 2010-2016 $700 m
- 76. Reform Immigration for Competitiveness Open New Markets Free Trade AgreementFree Trade AgreementFree Trade Agreement Federal Government Modernize & Prioritize Trade Corridors National Freight Strategy Trans-Pacific Partnership Europe Export Financing International Market Intelligence International Trade Administration Export-Import Bank
- 77. Innovate Locally Network GloballyAdvocate Nationally
- 83. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A JOINT PROJECT OF BROOKINGS AND JPMORGAN CHASE Houston, TX / May 15, 2013 @bruce_katz #globalcities