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Dr Paul Cornes 
Conflict of interest 
 Salary received: 
• United Kingdom National Health Service 
 Honoraria received: 
• Roche 
• Janssen 
• Sandoz 
• Lilly 
• European Generics Association 
• Teva 
• Hospira
The affordable way forward for 
cancer treatment in Malaysia 
Dr Paul Cornes, 
Consultant Oncologist, 
Bristol Haematology & Oncology Centre 
Comparative Outcomes Group 
 Strive not to be a success, 
ESO Task Force Advisory Board on 
Access to Innovative Treatment in 
Europe 
but rather to be of value 
European School of Oncology 
Piazza Indipendenza, 2 
6500 Bellinzona - Switzerland 
paul.cornes@yahoo.co.uk
The affordable way forward for 
cancer treatment in Malaysia 
 Strive not to be a success, 
but rather to be of value
The affordable way forward for 
cancer treatment in Malaysia 
 Strive not to be a success, 
but rather to be of value
Question 
 Would you recommend 
your partner have radical 
radiotherapy treatments…. 
1. In the morning 8-10am ? 
2. In the evening 4-6pm ? 
3. Whenever it’s convenient?
Does the radiosensitivity (a/b) of normal OAR 
tissues change during the day? 
 216 patients with head & Neck cancer randomised to morning (8- 
10 AM) vs. afternoon (4-6 PM) RT 
 stratified by radiation dose, smoking status, and centre 
– Bjarnason GA. Comparison of toxicity associated with early morning versus late 
afternoon radiotherapy in patients with head-and-neck cancer: a prospective 
randomized trial of the National Cancer Institute of Canada Clinical Trials Group 
(HN3). Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2009 Jan 1;73(1):166-72. doi: 
10.1016/j.ijrobp.2008.07.009.
Does the radiosensitivity of normal tissues 
change during the day? 
 Morning RT was associated with 
• Less mucositis G3 or greater 
– 52.9% vs. 62.4% p=0.17 
• Significantly less weight loss after 5 months (p = 0.024) 
 High risk subgroup of 111 patients treated to 66-70 Gy 
• Significantly less mucositis, >20% absolute difference 
– 44.6% vs. 67.3%, p = 0.022 
• a longer interval to the development of Grade 3 or greater 
mucositis 
– median, >7.9 vs. 5.6 weeks, p = 0.033 
 High risk subgroup of 53 patients, who smoked during therapy, 
• Significantly less mucositis with morning RT >30% absolute 
difference 
– 42.9% vs. 76%, p = 0.025
Does the radiosensitivity of normal tissues 
change during the day? 
 A circadian rhythm is seen 
in the human oral mucosa 
cell cycle, with most cells 
in the G(1) phase in the 
morning and M phase at 
night 
Conclusion - The alpha/beta 
radiation sensitivity of some 
tissues changes with the time 
of day
Does the radiosensitivity of normal tissues 
change during the day? 
 A circadian rhythm is seen in the Gut 
– Polidarová L. Temporal gradient in the clock gene and cell-cycle checkpoint 
kinase Wee1 expression along the gut.Chronobiol Int. 2009 May;26(4):607-20. 
doi: 10.1080/07420520902924889. 
 individual circadian clocks may control the timing of cell cycle 
within different regions of the gut. 
 the circadian clocks within each part of the gut are mutually 
synchronized with a phase delay in the cranio-caudal axis 
Conclusion - The alpha/beta 
radiation sensitivity of some 
tissues changes with the time 
of day
Does the radiosensitivity of tumour tissues 
change during the day? 
 A radiation response circadian rhythm is seen in xenograft 
tumours 
– Mullins D. Chronomodulation of topotecan or X-radiation treatment increases 
treatment efficacy without enhancing acute toxicity. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 
2005 May 1;62(1):230-7. 
• Xenografts are most sensitive at 3am 
Conclusion - The alpha/beta 
radiation sensitivity of some 
tissues changes with the time 
of day
Question – take 2 
 Would you now 
recommend your partner 
have radical radiotherapy 
treatment for head & neck 
cancer…. 
1. In the morning 8-10am ? 
2. In the evening 4-6pm ? 
3. Whenever it’s convenient?
How much data do we need to reduce 
uncertainty? 
 Tells us just how much clinical radiotherapy research still 
remains to be done! 
Were your opinions 
changed by a 216 
patient randomised 
trial? 
Consider – if a drug, 
or IMRT reduced 
complications by 
20-35% absolute – 
would you be 
advocating for it? 
Rearranging patient 
RT bookings in your 
centre may be more 
cost-effective than 
IMRT 
If you didn’t know of 
this trial – why 
wasn’t it “promoted” 
to you?
Question 
 Would you recommend 
your partner have radical 
radiotherapy with 
1. Step-and-shoot IMRT? 
2. Arc IMRT? 
3. Whichever is available?
 Adversity is the mother of invention 
 In 1939-1945, while its cities burned and its people starved from 
a submarine blockade of the Atlantic Ocean, the British Invented 
• Radar 
• Computers 
• Antibiotics 
• Jet airplanes 
• And established the World Bank at Bretton Woods to finance 
the rebuilding of the world after the war had ended
Malaysia to lead 
Cancer research?
Global Cancer: ESMO symposium 2014 
10% of the GDP of 
the world is 
allocated to health 
Today's available knowledge 
about cancer only applies to 
10% of the world population 
E Cancer TV Interview. Prof Eduardo Cazap - SLACOM, Buenos Aires, Argentina. http://ecancer.org/video/3140/cancer-care- 
as-a-human-right-in-low-income-countries.php. Accessed Sept 29, 2014.
Malaysia to lead 
value based 
research?
Value based research 
 Metastatic relapsed, 
or inoperable 
squamous cell 
carcinoma of head 
and neck (HNSCC) 
 Options 
• Supportive care 
• +/- chemotherapy 
• +/- Cetuximab 
£121,367 GBP per 
quality-adjusted life-year 
(QALY): Manufacturers 
estimate of benefit 
Head and Neck Cancers Treatment Regimens. http://www.cancertherapyadvisor.com/head-and-neck-cancers-treatment-regimens/article/218124/?DCMP=OTC-cta_ 
regasset. Accessed Sept 8, 2014. Greenhalgh J et al. Cetuximab for the treatment of recurrent and/or metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck. 
Health Technol Assess. 2009 Oct;13 Suppl 3:49-54. doi: 10.3310/hta13suppl3/08.
Value based research 
 Metastatic relapsed, or 
inoperable squamous cell 
carcinoma of head and neck 
(HNSCC) 
 Options 
• Supportive care 
• +/- platinum based 
chemotherapy 
• +/- 
Cetuximab/chemotherapy 
 Tata Memorial India, 
– 2014 ASCO Annual 
• 110 patients, Randomised 
phase 2 
Patil VM, Noronha V, Banaval SD, et al. A phase II study comparing metronomic chemotherapy with chemotherapy (single-agent cisplatin), in 
patients with metastatic, relapsed, or inoperable squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck. J Clin Oncol 32:5s, 2014 (suppl; abstr 6017)
Value based research 
 Oral metronomic (MC) cyclophosphamide and MTX (10 
USD/Month cost) vs single-agent cisplatin 
• PFS median 101 vs 66 days (P=0.014) 
• OS: 249 vs 142 days (p=0.02 log rank) 
 MC experienced longer progression-free survival 
Patil VM, Noronha V, Banaval SD, et al. A phase II study comparing metronomic chemotherapy with chemotherapy (single-agent cisplatin), in 
patients with metastatic, relapsed, or inoperable squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck. J Clin Oncol 32:5s, 2014 (suppl; abstr 6017)
Value based research 
 Bevacizumab improves DFS in breast cancer, but does not 
appear to impact on OS 
 Vitamin D during adjuvant breast cancer therapy 
• Vitamin D has pleiotropic effects that extend beyond their 
impact on bone health, including the disruption of 
downstream VD receptor signaling, and HER2 signaling via the 
ErbB2/AKT/ERK pathway. 
 retrospective review of all patients (n = 308) given trastuzumab-based 
chemotherapy; 2006 – 2012 - University of Miami/Sylvester 
Comprehensive Cancer Center (UM/SCCC). 
• 33.3% having a Vit D deficiency at the start of therapy 
• 54.5% prescribed Vit D 
• final multivariate model, Vitamin D use was associated with 
improved DFS [HR 0.36; 95% CI 0.15-0.88; p = 0.026]. 
– OS no difference 
Zeichner SB. Improved Clinical Outcomes Associated With Vitamin D Supplementation During Adjuvant Chemotherapy In Patients With HER2+ 
Non-metastatic Breast Cancer. Clin Breast Cancer. Published Online: August 15, 2014 
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clbc.2014.08.001. Accessed Sept 9, 2014
Drug development: a crisis in innovation? 
 Since the 1950’s, the cost to develop a new drug doubled each 9 
years. 
• Now has risen 80-fold in inflation-adjusted terms 
– Scannell JW et al Diagnosing the decline in pharmaceutical R&D efficiency. Nat 
Rev Drug Discov. 2012 Mar 1;11(3):191-200. doi: 10.1038/nrd3681.
Drug development: a crisis in innovation? 
 One option is to research trials with pre-existing cheaper drugs 
 Example: 
 Cimetidine in colorectal cancer 
• 6 RCTs published from 1995 to 2007, including 1229 patients. 
• 5 trials cimetidine, 1 ranitidine. 
• Analysis of the five cimetidine trials (n = 421) revealed a 
statistically significant improvement in overall survival (HR 
0.53; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.87). 
Deva S and Jameson M (2012) Histamine type 2 receptor antagonists as adjuvant treatment for resected colorectal 
cancer. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2012 Aug 15;8:CD007814. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD007814.pub2.
Drug development: a crisis in innovation? 
Cost = $2-4 
per month 
of treatment 
Current Standard Adjuvant 
is Outpatient FOLFOX 
regimen - costs $34,000/6 
months 
Shiroiwa, Takeru et al. Cost-Effectiveness of 
Adjuvant FOLFOX Therapy for Stage III Colon 
Cancer in Japan Based on the MOSAIC Trial 
Value in Health , 2012;15(2):255 - 260 
Deva S and Jameson M (2012) Histamine type 2 receptor antagonists as adjuvant treatment for resected colorectal 
cancer. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2012 Aug 15;8:CD007814. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD007814.pub2.
Drug development: a crisis in innovation? 
 One option is to research trials with pre-existing cheaper drugs 
 Example: 
 Cimetidine in colorectal cancer 
Current Standard Adjuvant 
• 6 RCTs published from 1995 to 2007, including 1229 patients. 
• 5 trials cimetidine, 1 ranitidine. 
• Analysis of the five cimetidine trials (n = 421) revealed a 
statistically significant improvement in overall survival (HR 
0.53; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.87). 
http://www.goodrx.com/cimetidine. Accessed Sept 29, 2014 
Cost = $2-4 
per month 
of treatment 
is Outpatient FOLFOX 
regimen - costs $34,000/6 
months 
Shiroiwa, Takeru et al. Cost-Effectiveness of 
Adjuvant FOLFOX Therapy for Stage III Colon 
Cancer in Japan Based on the MOSAIC Trial 
Value in Health , 2012;15(2):255 - 260
the ReDO project 
http://www.redo-project.org/ 
 The Repurposing Drugs in Oncology (ReDO) Project seeks to 
repurpose well-known and well-characterised non-cancer drugs 
for new uses in oncology. 
 Screens old drugs for activity in cancer, and proposes 
• clinical trials – phase 2/3 
• Observational case by case studies 
 First 6 studies 
Pan Pantziarka. The Repurposing Drugs in Oncology (ReDO) Project. ecancer 8 442 / DOI: 10.3332/ecancer.2014.442. the 
ReDO project. http://ecancer.org/journal/8/full/442-the-repurposing-drugs-in-oncology-redo-project.php#ref7
Malaysia to lead 
cancer education?
Middle income countries face a challenge 
 More cancer 
• by 2030 cancer incidence in the low to medium human 
development index (HDI) countries will represent 52% of the 
global total, or 10.6 million cases 
– Bray F et al (2012) Global cancer transitions according to the human 
development index (2008–2030): a population-based study. Lancet Oncol. 2012 
Aug;13(8):790-801. 
10% of the GDP of 
the world is 
allocated to health 
Today's available knowledge 
about cancer only applies to 
10% of the world population 
Bray F et al (2012) Global cancer transitions according to the human development index (2008–2030): a population-based 
study. Lancet Oncol. 2012 Aug;13(8):790-801.
Middle income countries face a challenge 
 Less drugs 
low and middle 
income countries 
account for 61% 
of the world’s 
burden of cancer, 
yet only account 
for 5% of anti-cancer 
drug sales. 
The International Network For Cancer Treatment and Research Statistics> http://www.inctr.org/about-inctr/statistics/. 
Accessed Sept 29, 2014
Middle income countries face a challenge 
 Less trained staff 
• There is a mis-match between the distribution of health care 
workers by level of health expenditure and burden of disease 
in regions of the world as defined by WHO 
The International Network For Cancer Treatment and Research Statistics> http://www.inctr.org/about-inctr/statistics/. 
Accessed Sept 29, 2014
 ASCO strategic value initiative: 
• 3 Goals 
 Oncologists will have the skills and tools 
needed to assess relative value of 
interventions and use these in discussing 
treatment options with their patients. 
 Patients will have ready access to information 
that assists them in selecting high value 
treatment that meets their unique needs. 
 Those responsible for covering the costs of 
cancer care will have a useful algorithm with 
which to define and assess value of cancer 
treatment options. 
ASCO in Action Brief: Value in Cancer Care 
Posted January 21, 2014. URL = http://www.asco.org/advocacy/asco-action-brief-value-cancer-care. Accessed October 6, 2014
Malaysia to lead 
patient education?
Affordability of health care 
 Income inequality is associated with health inequality 
 Unless measures are put in place to counteract it. 
Ref: Income Gini index map according to The World Bank (various 1994-2011), data from Income Gini index map according to 
The World Bank (various 1994-2011). URL: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient. Accessed Nov 17, 2014
Affordability of health care 
 Kondo 2009: BMJ Meta-analysis 
systematically examined 9 cohort and 19 
cross-sectional studies involving a total of 
more than 61 million subjects to describe 
the association between the Gini 
coefficient of financial inequality and 
mortality and self-reported health status 
 Health falls once inequality exceeds 0.3 
 Current World Bank Rating 
• 0.43 in Malaysia 
• 0.31 in Rep. of Korea 
• 0.34 in Japan 
Suggests 
improving health 
education and 
increasing access 
to health care by 
the socially and 
economically 
disadvantaged 
will have a greater 
impact in 
Malaysia than in 
her neighbours 
Ref: World Bank - Malaysia Overview (Updated on February 28, 2014). URL: http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/malaysia/overview. Accessed Nov 17, 2014. Kondo, 
N., et al. (2009). Income inequality, mortality, and self rated health: meta-analysis of multilevel studies BMJ, 339 (nov10 2) DOI: 10.1136/bmj.b4471
Malaysia – partner 
with industry?
When will new cancer drug costs fall? 
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center - centre for health policy & outcomes. URL http://www.mskcc.org/research/health-policy-outcomes/cost-drugs 
Cost of Cancer Drugs. Accessed October 7, 2014
When will new cancer drug costs fall? 
Costs are rising 
exponentially 
Median costs of a new cancer 
drug $ 100,000 USD per 
patient per month in 2035 
Economic recessions have 
little impact on prices 
Log 
Cost 
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center - centre for health policy & outcomes. URL http://www.mskcc.org/research/health-policy-outcomes/cost-drugs 
Cost of Cancer Drugs. Accessed October 7, 2014
When will new cancer drug costs fall? 
All the advances in 
the understanding 
of cancer biology 
and new 
technology have 
failed to reduce the 
rising price of 
commercial drug 
development 
Costs are rising 
exponentially 
Median costs of a new cancer 
drug $ 100,000 USD per 
patient per month in 2035 
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center - centre for health policy & outcomes. URL http://www.mskcc.org/research/health-policy-outcomes/cost-drugs 
Cost of Cancer Drugs. Accessed October 7, 2014
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11523-011-0196-3 
Albert Einstein 
Strive not to be a success, 
but rather to be of value
The affordable way forward for cancer treatment in malaysia

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The affordable way forward for cancer treatment in malaysia

  • 1. Dr Paul Cornes Conflict of interest  Salary received: • United Kingdom National Health Service  Honoraria received: • Roche • Janssen • Sandoz • Lilly • European Generics Association • Teva • Hospira
  • 2. The affordable way forward for cancer treatment in Malaysia Dr Paul Cornes, Consultant Oncologist, Bristol Haematology & Oncology Centre Comparative Outcomes Group  Strive not to be a success, ESO Task Force Advisory Board on Access to Innovative Treatment in Europe but rather to be of value European School of Oncology Piazza Indipendenza, 2 6500 Bellinzona - Switzerland paul.cornes@yahoo.co.uk
  • 3. The affordable way forward for cancer treatment in Malaysia  Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of value
  • 4. The affordable way forward for cancer treatment in Malaysia  Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of value
  • 5. Question  Would you recommend your partner have radical radiotherapy treatments…. 1. In the morning 8-10am ? 2. In the evening 4-6pm ? 3. Whenever it’s convenient?
  • 6. Does the radiosensitivity (a/b) of normal OAR tissues change during the day?  216 patients with head & Neck cancer randomised to morning (8- 10 AM) vs. afternoon (4-6 PM) RT  stratified by radiation dose, smoking status, and centre – Bjarnason GA. Comparison of toxicity associated with early morning versus late afternoon radiotherapy in patients with head-and-neck cancer: a prospective randomized trial of the National Cancer Institute of Canada Clinical Trials Group (HN3). Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2009 Jan 1;73(1):166-72. doi: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2008.07.009.
  • 7. Does the radiosensitivity of normal tissues change during the day?  Morning RT was associated with • Less mucositis G3 or greater – 52.9% vs. 62.4% p=0.17 • Significantly less weight loss after 5 months (p = 0.024)  High risk subgroup of 111 patients treated to 66-70 Gy • Significantly less mucositis, >20% absolute difference – 44.6% vs. 67.3%, p = 0.022 • a longer interval to the development of Grade 3 or greater mucositis – median, >7.9 vs. 5.6 weeks, p = 0.033  High risk subgroup of 53 patients, who smoked during therapy, • Significantly less mucositis with morning RT >30% absolute difference – 42.9% vs. 76%, p = 0.025
  • 8. Does the radiosensitivity of normal tissues change during the day?  A circadian rhythm is seen in the human oral mucosa cell cycle, with most cells in the G(1) phase in the morning and M phase at night Conclusion - The alpha/beta radiation sensitivity of some tissues changes with the time of day
  • 9. Does the radiosensitivity of normal tissues change during the day?  A circadian rhythm is seen in the Gut – Polidarová L. Temporal gradient in the clock gene and cell-cycle checkpoint kinase Wee1 expression along the gut.Chronobiol Int. 2009 May;26(4):607-20. doi: 10.1080/07420520902924889.  individual circadian clocks may control the timing of cell cycle within different regions of the gut.  the circadian clocks within each part of the gut are mutually synchronized with a phase delay in the cranio-caudal axis Conclusion - The alpha/beta radiation sensitivity of some tissues changes with the time of day
  • 10. Does the radiosensitivity of tumour tissues change during the day?  A radiation response circadian rhythm is seen in xenograft tumours – Mullins D. Chronomodulation of topotecan or X-radiation treatment increases treatment efficacy without enhancing acute toxicity. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2005 May 1;62(1):230-7. • Xenografts are most sensitive at 3am Conclusion - The alpha/beta radiation sensitivity of some tissues changes with the time of day
  • 11. Question – take 2  Would you now recommend your partner have radical radiotherapy treatment for head & neck cancer…. 1. In the morning 8-10am ? 2. In the evening 4-6pm ? 3. Whenever it’s convenient?
  • 12. How much data do we need to reduce uncertainty?  Tells us just how much clinical radiotherapy research still remains to be done! Were your opinions changed by a 216 patient randomised trial? Consider – if a drug, or IMRT reduced complications by 20-35% absolute – would you be advocating for it? Rearranging patient RT bookings in your centre may be more cost-effective than IMRT If you didn’t know of this trial – why wasn’t it “promoted” to you?
  • 13. Question  Would you recommend your partner have radical radiotherapy with 1. Step-and-shoot IMRT? 2. Arc IMRT? 3. Whichever is available?
  • 14.  Adversity is the mother of invention  In 1939-1945, while its cities burned and its people starved from a submarine blockade of the Atlantic Ocean, the British Invented • Radar • Computers • Antibiotics • Jet airplanes • And established the World Bank at Bretton Woods to finance the rebuilding of the world after the war had ended
  • 15. Malaysia to lead Cancer research?
  • 16. Global Cancer: ESMO symposium 2014 10% of the GDP of the world is allocated to health Today's available knowledge about cancer only applies to 10% of the world population E Cancer TV Interview. Prof Eduardo Cazap - SLACOM, Buenos Aires, Argentina. http://ecancer.org/video/3140/cancer-care- as-a-human-right-in-low-income-countries.php. Accessed Sept 29, 2014.
  • 17. Malaysia to lead value based research?
  • 18. Value based research  Metastatic relapsed, or inoperable squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck (HNSCC)  Options • Supportive care • +/- chemotherapy • +/- Cetuximab £121,367 GBP per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY): Manufacturers estimate of benefit Head and Neck Cancers Treatment Regimens. http://www.cancertherapyadvisor.com/head-and-neck-cancers-treatment-regimens/article/218124/?DCMP=OTC-cta_ regasset. Accessed Sept 8, 2014. Greenhalgh J et al. Cetuximab for the treatment of recurrent and/or metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck. Health Technol Assess. 2009 Oct;13 Suppl 3:49-54. doi: 10.3310/hta13suppl3/08.
  • 19. Value based research  Metastatic relapsed, or inoperable squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck (HNSCC)  Options • Supportive care • +/- platinum based chemotherapy • +/- Cetuximab/chemotherapy  Tata Memorial India, – 2014 ASCO Annual • 110 patients, Randomised phase 2 Patil VM, Noronha V, Banaval SD, et al. A phase II study comparing metronomic chemotherapy with chemotherapy (single-agent cisplatin), in patients with metastatic, relapsed, or inoperable squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck. J Clin Oncol 32:5s, 2014 (suppl; abstr 6017)
  • 20. Value based research  Oral metronomic (MC) cyclophosphamide and MTX (10 USD/Month cost) vs single-agent cisplatin • PFS median 101 vs 66 days (P=0.014) • OS: 249 vs 142 days (p=0.02 log rank)  MC experienced longer progression-free survival Patil VM, Noronha V, Banaval SD, et al. A phase II study comparing metronomic chemotherapy with chemotherapy (single-agent cisplatin), in patients with metastatic, relapsed, or inoperable squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck. J Clin Oncol 32:5s, 2014 (suppl; abstr 6017)
  • 21. Value based research  Bevacizumab improves DFS in breast cancer, but does not appear to impact on OS  Vitamin D during adjuvant breast cancer therapy • Vitamin D has pleiotropic effects that extend beyond their impact on bone health, including the disruption of downstream VD receptor signaling, and HER2 signaling via the ErbB2/AKT/ERK pathway.  retrospective review of all patients (n = 308) given trastuzumab-based chemotherapy; 2006 – 2012 - University of Miami/Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center (UM/SCCC). • 33.3% having a Vit D deficiency at the start of therapy • 54.5% prescribed Vit D • final multivariate model, Vitamin D use was associated with improved DFS [HR 0.36; 95% CI 0.15-0.88; p = 0.026]. – OS no difference Zeichner SB. Improved Clinical Outcomes Associated With Vitamin D Supplementation During Adjuvant Chemotherapy In Patients With HER2+ Non-metastatic Breast Cancer. Clin Breast Cancer. Published Online: August 15, 2014 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clbc.2014.08.001. Accessed Sept 9, 2014
  • 22. Drug development: a crisis in innovation?  Since the 1950’s, the cost to develop a new drug doubled each 9 years. • Now has risen 80-fold in inflation-adjusted terms – Scannell JW et al Diagnosing the decline in pharmaceutical R&D efficiency. Nat Rev Drug Discov. 2012 Mar 1;11(3):191-200. doi: 10.1038/nrd3681.
  • 23. Drug development: a crisis in innovation?  One option is to research trials with pre-existing cheaper drugs  Example:  Cimetidine in colorectal cancer • 6 RCTs published from 1995 to 2007, including 1229 patients. • 5 trials cimetidine, 1 ranitidine. • Analysis of the five cimetidine trials (n = 421) revealed a statistically significant improvement in overall survival (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.87). Deva S and Jameson M (2012) Histamine type 2 receptor antagonists as adjuvant treatment for resected colorectal cancer. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2012 Aug 15;8:CD007814. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD007814.pub2.
  • 24. Drug development: a crisis in innovation? Cost = $2-4 per month of treatment Current Standard Adjuvant is Outpatient FOLFOX regimen - costs $34,000/6 months Shiroiwa, Takeru et al. Cost-Effectiveness of Adjuvant FOLFOX Therapy for Stage III Colon Cancer in Japan Based on the MOSAIC Trial Value in Health , 2012;15(2):255 - 260 Deva S and Jameson M (2012) Histamine type 2 receptor antagonists as adjuvant treatment for resected colorectal cancer. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2012 Aug 15;8:CD007814. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD007814.pub2.
  • 25. Drug development: a crisis in innovation?  One option is to research trials with pre-existing cheaper drugs  Example:  Cimetidine in colorectal cancer Current Standard Adjuvant • 6 RCTs published from 1995 to 2007, including 1229 patients. • 5 trials cimetidine, 1 ranitidine. • Analysis of the five cimetidine trials (n = 421) revealed a statistically significant improvement in overall survival (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.87). http://www.goodrx.com/cimetidine. Accessed Sept 29, 2014 Cost = $2-4 per month of treatment is Outpatient FOLFOX regimen - costs $34,000/6 months Shiroiwa, Takeru et al. Cost-Effectiveness of Adjuvant FOLFOX Therapy for Stage III Colon Cancer in Japan Based on the MOSAIC Trial Value in Health , 2012;15(2):255 - 260
  • 26. the ReDO project http://www.redo-project.org/  The Repurposing Drugs in Oncology (ReDO) Project seeks to repurpose well-known and well-characterised non-cancer drugs for new uses in oncology.  Screens old drugs for activity in cancer, and proposes • clinical trials – phase 2/3 • Observational case by case studies  First 6 studies Pan Pantziarka. The Repurposing Drugs in Oncology (ReDO) Project. ecancer 8 442 / DOI: 10.3332/ecancer.2014.442. the ReDO project. http://ecancer.org/journal/8/full/442-the-repurposing-drugs-in-oncology-redo-project.php#ref7
  • 27. Malaysia to lead cancer education?
  • 28. Middle income countries face a challenge  More cancer • by 2030 cancer incidence in the low to medium human development index (HDI) countries will represent 52% of the global total, or 10.6 million cases – Bray F et al (2012) Global cancer transitions according to the human development index (2008–2030): a population-based study. Lancet Oncol. 2012 Aug;13(8):790-801. 10% of the GDP of the world is allocated to health Today's available knowledge about cancer only applies to 10% of the world population Bray F et al (2012) Global cancer transitions according to the human development index (2008–2030): a population-based study. Lancet Oncol. 2012 Aug;13(8):790-801.
  • 29. Middle income countries face a challenge  Less drugs low and middle income countries account for 61% of the world’s burden of cancer, yet only account for 5% of anti-cancer drug sales. The International Network For Cancer Treatment and Research Statistics> http://www.inctr.org/about-inctr/statistics/. Accessed Sept 29, 2014
  • 30. Middle income countries face a challenge  Less trained staff • There is a mis-match between the distribution of health care workers by level of health expenditure and burden of disease in regions of the world as defined by WHO The International Network For Cancer Treatment and Research Statistics> http://www.inctr.org/about-inctr/statistics/. Accessed Sept 29, 2014
  • 31.  ASCO strategic value initiative: • 3 Goals  Oncologists will have the skills and tools needed to assess relative value of interventions and use these in discussing treatment options with their patients.  Patients will have ready access to information that assists them in selecting high value treatment that meets their unique needs.  Those responsible for covering the costs of cancer care will have a useful algorithm with which to define and assess value of cancer treatment options. ASCO in Action Brief: Value in Cancer Care Posted January 21, 2014. URL = http://www.asco.org/advocacy/asco-action-brief-value-cancer-care. Accessed October 6, 2014
  • 32. Malaysia to lead patient education?
  • 33. Affordability of health care  Income inequality is associated with health inequality  Unless measures are put in place to counteract it. Ref: Income Gini index map according to The World Bank (various 1994-2011), data from Income Gini index map according to The World Bank (various 1994-2011). URL: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient. Accessed Nov 17, 2014
  • 34. Affordability of health care  Kondo 2009: BMJ Meta-analysis systematically examined 9 cohort and 19 cross-sectional studies involving a total of more than 61 million subjects to describe the association between the Gini coefficient of financial inequality and mortality and self-reported health status  Health falls once inequality exceeds 0.3  Current World Bank Rating • 0.43 in Malaysia • 0.31 in Rep. of Korea • 0.34 in Japan Suggests improving health education and increasing access to health care by the socially and economically disadvantaged will have a greater impact in Malaysia than in her neighbours Ref: World Bank - Malaysia Overview (Updated on February 28, 2014). URL: http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/malaysia/overview. Accessed Nov 17, 2014. Kondo, N., et al. (2009). Income inequality, mortality, and self rated health: meta-analysis of multilevel studies BMJ, 339 (nov10 2) DOI: 10.1136/bmj.b4471
  • 35. Malaysia – partner with industry?
  • 36. When will new cancer drug costs fall? Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center - centre for health policy & outcomes. URL http://www.mskcc.org/research/health-policy-outcomes/cost-drugs Cost of Cancer Drugs. Accessed October 7, 2014
  • 37. When will new cancer drug costs fall? Costs are rising exponentially Median costs of a new cancer drug $ 100,000 USD per patient per month in 2035 Economic recessions have little impact on prices Log Cost Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center - centre for health policy & outcomes. URL http://www.mskcc.org/research/health-policy-outcomes/cost-drugs Cost of Cancer Drugs. Accessed October 7, 2014
  • 38. When will new cancer drug costs fall? All the advances in the understanding of cancer biology and new technology have failed to reduce the rising price of commercial drug development Costs are rising exponentially Median costs of a new cancer drug $ 100,000 USD per patient per month in 2035 Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center - centre for health policy & outcomes. URL http://www.mskcc.org/research/health-policy-outcomes/cost-drugs Cost of Cancer Drugs. Accessed October 7, 2014
  • 39. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11523-011-0196-3 Albert Einstein Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of value