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Liquefied Natural Gas for marine transportation
                                                        When will LNG be adopted by the marine market in the United States?

The US shipping industry is facing an inevitable period
of upheaval. The next 3-10 years will see great change,                                          INTRODUCTION                     GROWTH                           MATURITY
although opinion is divided regarding the speed of change
driven by the possible use of LNG as a marine
transportation fuel.

In preparation for their upcoming market development                                                                                                                   LNG EXPORTS          ENVIRONMENTAL
                                                                                                                                                              PTION
                                                                                                                                                        DISRU
report, FC Business Intelligence has released a snapshot                                                                                           MIC
                                                                                                                                              ONO
of the CHALLENGES and market DRIVERS that the United                                                                                        EC                          N
                                                                                                                                                                   URN O
States LNG marine market is facing.                                                                                                R                           RET STMENT?
                                                                                                                                VE                      ND     INVE
                                                                                                                              RI                     G A TICE
                                                                                                                           YD                      IN C




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Rate of adoption
                                                                                                                        OR                       IN RA
                                                                                                                      AT                      RA T P
                                                                                                                    UL                       T S
                                                                                                                  EG                          BE
LNG marine market:                                                                                        IAL
                                                                                                                R
                                                                                                                                    OF
                                                                                                       ENT                       TY S
where are we now?                                                                          PRICE DIF
                                                                                                    FER                      ILI IVE
                                                                                                                          AB AT
                                                                                                                       AIL ERN
                                                                                                                     AV LT
                                                                                                                       A
                                                                                                            E RED TE
                                                                                                      STAGG N RA
Natural Gas has the potential to play a significant                                                         O
                                                                                                     ADOPTI
role in a number of transportation markets in the
United States and globally. Currently, the marine                                                                                                        Time
LNG market is being built by pioneering companies
making substantial investments and forming
strategic partnerships.

                                                                                                                                                            80%

                                                                              Sulphur Oxides      90-95%


                                                                               Carbon Dioxide     up to 25%


                                                                              Nitrogen Oxides     90%


                                                                            Particulate Matter    100%



                                         North American Emissions
                                         Control Area
                                         Entry in to force: 1 August 2012
                                         Enforced by: Environmental Protection
                                         Agency (EPA) and the US Coast Guard
Market                                   (USCG)

drivers
                                     1                                             2                                     3                           4                                       5
Why is there so much interest            Regulatory driver                             Environmental                         Price differential          Economic disruption                     LNG exports
in LNG as a marine fuel?                 The catalyst for change                       Studies of converted                  8 trillion cubic            Fuel cost is 80% of                     The U.S. DOE’s
                                         in the marine fuel                            diesel engines                        meters of natural           total costs for ship                    desire to establish
                                         market is environmental                       have shown a                          gas reserves in the         operators, therefore                    the US as a
                                         regulation, enacted by                        reduction of:                         United States has           a cheaper, regulatory                   significant LNG
                                         the International                                                                   led to a 10 year low        compliant fuel                          exporter will take
                                                                                       • Sulphur Oxides
                                         Maritime Organization                                                               in gas prices. The          source may have                         a number of years
                                                                                         by 90-95%
                                         (IMO). These regulations,                                                           marine market is            a major impact on                       to be realised. While
                                                                                       • Carbon Dioxide
                                         which will become more                                                              expected to see a           competitiveness.                        the export market
                                                                                         by up to 25%
                                         stringent in 2020,                                                                  20% or better price                                                 fully develops, there
                                         regulate the level of                         • Nitrogen Oxides                     advantage for                                                       will be increasing
                                         Sulphur Oxides, Nitrogen                        by 90%                              LNG over Ultra Low                                                  availability for the
                                         Oxides and Particulate                        • Particulate Matter                  Sulfur Diesel for the                                               domestic LNG
                                         matter emitted.                                 by 100%                             foreseeable future.                                                 market.




Hierarchy of
challenges
                                     1                                                 2                                          3                                           4
What are the challenges to               Staggered                                         Training and best                          Return on                                   Availability of
the LNG marine market                    adoption rate                                     practice                                   investment?                                 alternatives
reaching a critical mass?                First adoption will occur                         Demand for experienced                     Absence of a clear ROI                      LNG is not the only option
                                         from ship owners who                              operations professionals                   for marine vessels to                       available to ship owners
                                         have access to significant                        will increase, but there is                prove categorically prove                   seeking to comply with
                                         CAPEX. Adoption will                              limited supply and best                    economic model. The                         the EPA regulations.
                                         occur in an ad hoc,                               practice for smaller,                      likely adoption rate will                   These alternatives are
                                         vessel-by-vessel                                  coastal vessels. The                       be heavily influenced by                    not without their own
                                         approach whereby                                  primary source of best                     the success of LNG                          challenges. Ship owners
                                         retrofitting and new                              practice on LNG                            haulage on shore.                           could also:
                                         builds will have to fit                           maintenance & refueling                    Similarly, given the 25+                    a) Burn low sulfur fuels
                                         with the existing                                 is for tankers. The                        year life cycle of vessels                     such as Marine Diesel
                                         operations plans.                                 regulatory regime is still                 the ROI for retrofitting                       Oil (MDO); or
                                                                                           in a nascent stage, with                   will vary significantly.                    b) Fit abatement
                                                                                           further guidelines and                                                                    technologies
                                                                                           regulations on both new                                                                   (i.e. exhaust gas
                                                                                           builds and operations.                                                                    scrubbers)




Join the conversation

Thank you for your interest in LNG as a marine transportation fuel market in the United States.
FC Business Intelligence Ltd hopes you found the information interesting.

Please get in touch if there is more information, data, interviews with executives or networking
opportunities that you need. For more information please visit www.lngmarineevent.com
and/or contact Piers French at pfrench@fc-bi.com.

LNG market development presentation © 2013 FC Business Intelligence Ltd®

The information of this document was prepared by FC Business Intelligence Ltd and its partners. FC Business Intelligence Ltd has no obligation to tell you when
information in this document changes. FC Business Intelligence Ltd makes every effort to use reliable, comprehensible information, but we make no representation
that it is accurate or complete. In no event shall Nuclear Energy Insider and its partners be liable for any damages, losses, expenses, loss of data or profit caused by
the use of the material or contents of this document.

FC Business Intelligence Ltd grants you a licence to make one free copy of the information contained herein for personal or non-commercial use only. Accordingly,
no part of this document may be copied, performed in public, broadcast or adapted without FC Business Intelligence Ltd’s prior written permission. Piers French at
pfrench@fc-bi.com to request permission.

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LNG for marine market development

  • 1. Liquefied Natural Gas for marine transportation When will LNG be adopted by the marine market in the United States? The US shipping industry is facing an inevitable period of upheaval. The next 3-10 years will see great change, INTRODUCTION GROWTH MATURITY although opinion is divided regarding the speed of change driven by the possible use of LNG as a marine transportation fuel. In preparation for their upcoming market development LNG EXPORTS ENVIRONMENTAL PTION DISRU report, FC Business Intelligence has released a snapshot MIC ONO of the CHALLENGES and market DRIVERS that the United EC N URN O States LNG marine market is facing. R RET STMENT? VE ND INVE RI G A TICE YD IN C Rate of adoption OR IN RA AT RA T P UL T S EG BE LNG marine market: IAL R OF ENT TY S where are we now? PRICE DIF FER ILI IVE AB AT AIL ERN AV LT A E RED TE STAGG N RA Natural Gas has the potential to play a significant O ADOPTI role in a number of transportation markets in the United States and globally. Currently, the marine Time LNG market is being built by pioneering companies making substantial investments and forming strategic partnerships. 80% Sulphur Oxides 90-95% Carbon Dioxide up to 25% Nitrogen Oxides 90% Particulate Matter 100% North American Emissions Control Area Entry in to force: 1 August 2012 Enforced by: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the US Coast Guard Market (USCG) drivers 1 2 3 4 5 Why is there so much interest Regulatory driver Environmental Price differential Economic disruption LNG exports in LNG as a marine fuel? The catalyst for change Studies of converted 8 trillion cubic Fuel cost is 80% of The U.S. DOE’s in the marine fuel diesel engines meters of natural total costs for ship desire to establish market is environmental have shown a gas reserves in the operators, therefore the US as a regulation, enacted by reduction of: United States has a cheaper, regulatory significant LNG the International led to a 10 year low compliant fuel exporter will take • Sulphur Oxides Maritime Organization in gas prices. The source may have a number of years by 90-95% (IMO). These regulations, marine market is a major impact on to be realised. While • Carbon Dioxide which will become more expected to see a competitiveness. the export market by up to 25% stringent in 2020, 20% or better price fully develops, there regulate the level of • Nitrogen Oxides advantage for will be increasing Sulphur Oxides, Nitrogen by 90% LNG over Ultra Low availability for the Oxides and Particulate • Particulate Matter Sulfur Diesel for the domestic LNG matter emitted. by 100% foreseeable future. market. Hierarchy of challenges 1 2 3 4 What are the challenges to Staggered Training and best Return on Availability of the LNG marine market adoption rate practice investment? alternatives reaching a critical mass? First adoption will occur Demand for experienced Absence of a clear ROI LNG is not the only option from ship owners who operations professionals for marine vessels to available to ship owners have access to significant will increase, but there is prove categorically prove seeking to comply with CAPEX. Adoption will limited supply and best economic model. The the EPA regulations. occur in an ad hoc, practice for smaller, likely adoption rate will These alternatives are vessel-by-vessel coastal vessels. The be heavily influenced by not without their own approach whereby primary source of best the success of LNG challenges. Ship owners retrofitting and new practice on LNG haulage on shore. could also: builds will have to fit maintenance & refueling Similarly, given the 25+ a) Burn low sulfur fuels with the existing is for tankers. The year life cycle of vessels such as Marine Diesel operations plans. regulatory regime is still the ROI for retrofitting Oil (MDO); or in a nascent stage, with will vary significantly. b) Fit abatement further guidelines and technologies regulations on both new (i.e. exhaust gas builds and operations. scrubbers) Join the conversation Thank you for your interest in LNG as a marine transportation fuel market in the United States. FC Business Intelligence Ltd hopes you found the information interesting. Please get in touch if there is more information, data, interviews with executives or networking opportunities that you need. For more information please visit www.lngmarineevent.com and/or contact Piers French at pfrench@fc-bi.com. LNG market development presentation © 2013 FC Business Intelligence Ltd® The information of this document was prepared by FC Business Intelligence Ltd and its partners. FC Business Intelligence Ltd has no obligation to tell you when information in this document changes. FC Business Intelligence Ltd makes every effort to use reliable, comprehensible information, but we make no representation that it is accurate or complete. In no event shall Nuclear Energy Insider and its partners be liable for any damages, losses, expenses, loss of data or profit caused by the use of the material or contents of this document. FC Business Intelligence Ltd grants you a licence to make one free copy of the information contained herein for personal or non-commercial use only. Accordingly, no part of this document may be copied, performed in public, broadcast or adapted without FC Business Intelligence Ltd’s prior written permission. Piers French at pfrench@fc-bi.com to request permission.