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STRUCTURAL THEORY
OF INFLATION
Prof. Prabha Panth,
Osmania University,
Hyderabad
2
Structural theory of inflation
• Myrdal and Streeten have contributed to
this theory of inflation.
• To explain inflation in less developed
countries, especially Latin America.
• Structural defects exist in less developed
countries,
• Therefore the traditional QTM does not
apply to less developed countries.
Prabha Panth
3
Structure of Less developed
countries
1. Market imperfections,
2. Structural rigidities,
3. Under utilisation of resources,
4. Unemployment,
5. Lack of demand,
6. Non monetised sectors,
7. Unorganised sectors
Prabha Panth
4
Bottlenecks in less developed
countries
• Sectoral bottlenecks create imbalances
that lead to rise in prices.
• It is necessary to study these imbalances
to understand inflation in under developed
countries.
• These bottlenecks arise in the process of
economic development.
• So inflation has to be understood in the
context of these structural imbalances.
Prabha Panth
5
• There are three types of bottlenecks:
1. Agricultural bottlenecks: food grain production
cannot increase due to bottlenecks in
agriculture.
So agricultural output is inelastic to rising
incomes.
Bottlenecks in agriculture include:
a) Disparities in land ownership and defective
land tenure system.
b) Use of backward agricultural technology.
c) Lack of knowledge and access to finance.
Prabha Panth
6
2. Government’s Resource constraints:
• Infrastructure, Heavy industry, and Basic
industries have to be started in less
developed countries.
• Mostly by Public sector.
• Government may not have enough funds
to invest in such projects.
• Therefore it prints money to pay for them.
• This leads to inflation.
Prabha Panth
7
• Prof. Gautam Mathur (1975) calls such
investments as “Inflation Creating Activities”
• To reduce prices, equal investment in
production of food grains and other
necessaries is required.
• These are known as “Inflation Dampening
Activities.
• Mathur calls the balance between Inflation
Creating and Inflation Dampening activities as
“The Balanced Allocation Ratio.”
Prabha Panth
8
3. Foreign Exchange Bottlenecks:
• Less developed countries have shortage
of foreign exchange.
• Exports earnings are low, but import
payments are high.
• To encourage exports, government
devalues currency,
• This increases local prices, as well as
prices of imports.
• Leading to inflation.
Prabha Panth
• Hence traditional measures to control
inflation will not work.
• Merely reducing the supply of money will
not reduce prices.
• Controlling demand also will not work, as
in Ldcs employment is rising due to
economic growth.
• There is mismatch between demand and
supply of goods.
• Investment in necessary consumer goods
is required to lower prices.
9Prabha Panth

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Structural Theory of Inflation in Developing Countries

  • 1. STRUCTURAL THEORY OF INFLATION Prof. Prabha Panth, Osmania University, Hyderabad
  • 2. 2 Structural theory of inflation • Myrdal and Streeten have contributed to this theory of inflation. • To explain inflation in less developed countries, especially Latin America. • Structural defects exist in less developed countries, • Therefore the traditional QTM does not apply to less developed countries. Prabha Panth
  • 3. 3 Structure of Less developed countries 1. Market imperfections, 2. Structural rigidities, 3. Under utilisation of resources, 4. Unemployment, 5. Lack of demand, 6. Non monetised sectors, 7. Unorganised sectors Prabha Panth
  • 4. 4 Bottlenecks in less developed countries • Sectoral bottlenecks create imbalances that lead to rise in prices. • It is necessary to study these imbalances to understand inflation in under developed countries. • These bottlenecks arise in the process of economic development. • So inflation has to be understood in the context of these structural imbalances. Prabha Panth
  • 5. 5 • There are three types of bottlenecks: 1. Agricultural bottlenecks: food grain production cannot increase due to bottlenecks in agriculture. So agricultural output is inelastic to rising incomes. Bottlenecks in agriculture include: a) Disparities in land ownership and defective land tenure system. b) Use of backward agricultural technology. c) Lack of knowledge and access to finance. Prabha Panth
  • 6. 6 2. Government’s Resource constraints: • Infrastructure, Heavy industry, and Basic industries have to be started in less developed countries. • Mostly by Public sector. • Government may not have enough funds to invest in such projects. • Therefore it prints money to pay for them. • This leads to inflation. Prabha Panth
  • 7. 7 • Prof. Gautam Mathur (1975) calls such investments as “Inflation Creating Activities” • To reduce prices, equal investment in production of food grains and other necessaries is required. • These are known as “Inflation Dampening Activities. • Mathur calls the balance between Inflation Creating and Inflation Dampening activities as “The Balanced Allocation Ratio.” Prabha Panth
  • 8. 8 3. Foreign Exchange Bottlenecks: • Less developed countries have shortage of foreign exchange. • Exports earnings are low, but import payments are high. • To encourage exports, government devalues currency, • This increases local prices, as well as prices of imports. • Leading to inflation. Prabha Panth
  • 9. • Hence traditional measures to control inflation will not work. • Merely reducing the supply of money will not reduce prices. • Controlling demand also will not work, as in Ldcs employment is rising due to economic growth. • There is mismatch between demand and supply of goods. • Investment in necessary consumer goods is required to lower prices. 9Prabha Panth