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The Internet and International Relations
             The Democratic Nature of Social Media
                                Presentation by David Quinn
“Information technology
               (IT) has become an
Introduction   essential tool for the
               global circulation of
               power, waging of war, and
               imagining of peace”

                            Der Derian (2003)
Examples
The Philippines | 2002
                • Protests by text messages to
                  mobilize & coordinate their
                  action

                • TXT MSG traffic doubled to
                  over 70 million a day*

                • Intensity of the protests forced
                  the Supreme Court to declare
                  the presidency void


                   *(NP Action, 2005).
Ukraine | (2004)
• Text messages played a role in coordinating young
  Ukrainians in their ‘Orange Revolution’

• Internet was used to recruit volunteers, organise
  campaigns, raise funds, report breaking news

• Protests led to a re-vote
Iran | (2009)
                • Role of social media as a
                  communication tool in
                  coordinating and
                  publicizing
                  mass protests

                • Twitter provided up-to-the-
                  minute updates from the
                  street level

                • Global media forced to rely
                  on Twitter feeds

                • Viral videos - Death of
                  Iranian woman caught on
                  camera phone spread
CNN
Iran | (2009)
 • Government succeeded in imposing
   restrictions on Internet use and TXT MSG
 • Twitter proved virtually impervious
   In less than a month ‘tweets’ about
   the elections from approximately
   480,000 users
State Department
• Impact of Twitter widely
                heralded as victory for
                democracy
Questioning
              • Real impact on international
the Hype        relations is still far from
                understood

              • Longer term impact less clear
Did Twitter fundamentally alter the
future of Iran?

                 or

Did it merely serve to function as a lot
of digital hot air?
Assessing the Democratic Nature
of the Internet & New Media
Democratic Nature of the Internet
Deeply embedded ideological belief:

  – Regan (1989): “the Goliath of
    totalitarianism will be brought down
    by the David of the microchip”

  – Barlow (1996): “act of nature…where all may enter
    without privilege or prejudice according by race,
    economic power, military force, or station of birth.”

  – Hattotuwa (2009): “technologies that work in concert to
    empower communities to better engage with
    governance and democracy”
Democratization of the Media

• Decentralization of the media

• Media culture from passive to active
  participation

• Increased transparency of information

• Questions over accuracy of information
Democratization of Power

• It diffuses and redistributes power and points of
  centralization.

• Cannot direct one another by force

• Challenges traditional power of governments and
  states.

• Enables different actors to produce deep global
  effects.
Make Poverty History campaign
Democratization of Extremism

• Concerns about destabilizing externalities.

• Sunstein (2001) - Personalization of the Internet:
  “breeding ground for extremism”.
However….

            • Etling et al. (2009) -
              infrastructure for
              expressing minority
              points of view.

            • Beckman Centre for
              Internet and Society
              (2009) - “Very little
              support for terrorism
              or violent jihad in the
              Arabic blogosphere
              and quite a lot of
              concern”.
Empirical Work
Best and Wade (2005)
• Measure the global effect of the Internet on
  democracy over the period 1992 to 2002.

• Internet penetration explains “more variation in
  the democratic development within a country
  than does literacy rates and some of the
  geographic regions”.

• But…acknowledge the degree to which the
  Internet affects a nation is likely to be subject to
  a large number of variables.
Limitations of the Internet &
Social Media on Democracy
Limitations in the Digital Divide
 • 1.6 billion Internet
   users worldwide.

 • 70% live in the 24
   richest countries.

 • Developing countries
   account for just 13.2%

 • Half of all web pages in English
…but potential for expansion
• Mobile phones are critical
  element in the dissemination
  of information globally

• Mobile phone subscribers
• are increasing globally

• By 2011, it is estimated that
  there will be another billion
  mobile phone owners

• One Laptop Per Child
  (www.laptop.org)
“For all their promise, there are
              sharp limits on what Twitter and
              other Web tools such as
Limitations   Facebook and blogs can do for
              citizens in authoritarian
              societies...no amount of
              Twittering forced Iran’s leaders to
              change course.”

                       John Palfrey et al. (2009:1)
1. Information hard to distil

2. Governments can limit
   access to the Internet when
   threatened

3. The demographics of online
   communities

4. Authoritarian regimes can
   also commandeer the
   Internet for their own means
However, the Twittering
continues…
Conclusions

 • This points towards an efficacy of the Internet


 • Fear of larger economic and political
   consequences = prevention of further
   censorship


 • Iran, Ukraine and the Philippines highlight the
   ability of the Internet to be forefront of global
   political change,
Conclusions

 • Internet = powerful tool for fostering
   democracy and development.


 • Policy makers should not ‘organise’ or
   ‘control’ the Internet, but instead ensure
   that people have the access and training
   to effectively participate online.

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The Internet And International Relations

  • 1. The Internet and International Relations The Democratic Nature of Social Media Presentation by David Quinn
  • 2. “Information technology (IT) has become an Introduction essential tool for the global circulation of power, waging of war, and imagining of peace” Der Derian (2003)
  • 4. The Philippines | 2002 • Protests by text messages to mobilize & coordinate their action • TXT MSG traffic doubled to over 70 million a day* • Intensity of the protests forced the Supreme Court to declare the presidency void *(NP Action, 2005).
  • 5. Ukraine | (2004) • Text messages played a role in coordinating young Ukrainians in their ‘Orange Revolution’ • Internet was used to recruit volunteers, organise campaigns, raise funds, report breaking news • Protests led to a re-vote
  • 6. Iran | (2009) • Role of social media as a communication tool in coordinating and publicizing mass protests • Twitter provided up-to-the- minute updates from the street level • Global media forced to rely on Twitter feeds • Viral videos - Death of Iranian woman caught on camera phone spread
  • 7. CNN
  • 8. Iran | (2009) • Government succeeded in imposing restrictions on Internet use and TXT MSG • Twitter proved virtually impervious In less than a month ‘tweets’ about the elections from approximately 480,000 users
  • 10. • Impact of Twitter widely heralded as victory for democracy Questioning • Real impact on international the Hype relations is still far from understood • Longer term impact less clear
  • 11. Did Twitter fundamentally alter the future of Iran? or Did it merely serve to function as a lot of digital hot air?
  • 12. Assessing the Democratic Nature of the Internet & New Media
  • 13. Democratic Nature of the Internet Deeply embedded ideological belief: – Regan (1989): “the Goliath of totalitarianism will be brought down by the David of the microchip” – Barlow (1996): “act of nature…where all may enter without privilege or prejudice according by race, economic power, military force, or station of birth.” – Hattotuwa (2009): “technologies that work in concert to empower communities to better engage with governance and democracy”
  • 14. Democratization of the Media • Decentralization of the media • Media culture from passive to active participation • Increased transparency of information • Questions over accuracy of information
  • 15. Democratization of Power • It diffuses and redistributes power and points of centralization. • Cannot direct one another by force • Challenges traditional power of governments and states. • Enables different actors to produce deep global effects.
  • 17. Democratization of Extremism • Concerns about destabilizing externalities. • Sunstein (2001) - Personalization of the Internet: “breeding ground for extremism”.
  • 18. However…. • Etling et al. (2009) - infrastructure for expressing minority points of view. • Beckman Centre for Internet and Society (2009) - “Very little support for terrorism or violent jihad in the Arabic blogosphere and quite a lot of concern”.
  • 20. Best and Wade (2005) • Measure the global effect of the Internet on democracy over the period 1992 to 2002. • Internet penetration explains “more variation in the democratic development within a country than does literacy rates and some of the geographic regions”. • But…acknowledge the degree to which the Internet affects a nation is likely to be subject to a large number of variables.
  • 21. Limitations of the Internet & Social Media on Democracy
  • 22. Limitations in the Digital Divide • 1.6 billion Internet users worldwide. • 70% live in the 24 richest countries. • Developing countries account for just 13.2% • Half of all web pages in English
  • 23. …but potential for expansion • Mobile phones are critical element in the dissemination of information globally • Mobile phone subscribers • are increasing globally • By 2011, it is estimated that there will be another billion mobile phone owners • One Laptop Per Child (www.laptop.org)
  • 24. “For all their promise, there are sharp limits on what Twitter and other Web tools such as Limitations Facebook and blogs can do for citizens in authoritarian societies...no amount of Twittering forced Iran’s leaders to change course.” John Palfrey et al. (2009:1)
  • 25. 1. Information hard to distil 2. Governments can limit access to the Internet when threatened 3. The demographics of online communities 4. Authoritarian regimes can also commandeer the Internet for their own means
  • 27. Conclusions • This points towards an efficacy of the Internet • Fear of larger economic and political consequences = prevention of further censorship • Iran, Ukraine and the Philippines highlight the ability of the Internet to be forefront of global political change,
  • 28. Conclusions • Internet = powerful tool for fostering democracy and development. • Policy makers should not ‘organise’ or ‘control’ the Internet, but instead ensure that people have the access and training to effectively participate online.