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Bond market in India

                                           HISTORY


Towards the eighteenth century, the borrowing needs of Indian Princely States were largely
met by Indigenous bankers and financiers. The concept of borrowing from the public in India
was pioneered by the East India Company to finance its campaigns in South India (the Anglo
French wars) in the eighteenth century. The debt owed by the Government to the public,
over time, came to be known as public debt. The endeavors of the Company to establish
government banks towards the end of the 18th Century owed in no small measure to the
need to raise term and short term financial accommodation from banks on more satisfactory
terms than they were able to garner on their own.

Public Debt, today, is raised to meet the Governments revenue deficits (the difference
between the income of the government and money spent to run the government) or to
finance public works (capital formation). Borrowing for financing railway construction and
public works such irrigation canals was first undertaken in 1867. The First World War saw a
rise in India's Public Debt as a result of India's contribution to the British exchequer towards
the cost of the war. The provinces of British India were allowed to float loans for the first time
in December, 1920 when local government borrowing rules were issued under section 30(a)
of the Government of India Act, 1919. Only three provinces viz., Bombay, United Provinces
and Punjab utilised this sanction before the introduction of provincial autonomy. Public Debt
was managed by the Presidency Banks, the Comptroller and Auditor-General of India till
1913 and thereafter by the Controller of the Currency till 1935 when the Reserve Bank
commenced operations.


Interest rates varied over time and after the uprising of 1857 gradually came down to about
5% and later to 4% in 1871. In 1894, the famous 3 1/2 % paper was created which continued
to be in existence for almost 50 years. When the Reserve Bank of India took over the
management of public debt from the Controller of the Currency in 1935, the total funded debt
of the Central Government amounted to Rs 950 crores of which 54% amounted to sterling
debt and 46% rupee debt and the debt of the Provinces amounted to Rs 18 crores.


Broadly, the phases of public debt in India could be divided into the following phases.


Upto 1867: when public debt was driven largely by needs of financing campaigns.
1867- 1916: when public debt was raised for financing railways and canals and other such
purposes.


1917-1940: when public debt increased substantially essentially out of the considerations of


1940-1946: when because of war time inflation, the effort was to mop up as much a
spossible of the current war time incomes


1947-1951: represented the interregnum following war and partition and the economy was
unsettled. Government of India failed to achieve the estimates for borrwings for which credit
had been taken in the annual budgets.


1951-1985: when borrowing was influenced by the five year plans.


1985-1991: when an attempt was made to align the interest rates on government securities
with market interest rates in the wake of the recommendations of the Chakraborti Committee
Report.


1991 to date: When comprehensive reforms of the Government Securities market were
undertaken and an active debt management policy put in place. Ad Hoc Treasury bills were
abolished; commenced the selling of securities through the auction process; new
instruments were introduced such as zero coupon bonds, floating rate bonds and capital
indexed bonds; the Securities Trading Corporation of India was established; a system of
Primary Dealers in government securities was put in place; the spectrum of maturities was
broadened; the system of Delivery versus payment was instituted; standard valuation norms
were prescribed; and endeavours made to ensure transparency in operations through
market process, the dissemination of information and efforts were made to give an impetus
to the secondary market so as to broaden and deepen the market to make it more efficient.
In India and the world over, Government Bonds have, from time to time, have not only
adopted innovative methods for rasing resources (legalised wagering contracts like the Prize
Bonds issued in the 1940s and later 1950s in India) but have also been used for various
innovative schemes such as finance for development; social engineering like the abolition of
the Zamindari system; saving the environment; or even weaning people away from gold (the
gold bonds issued in 1993).
Normally the sovereign is considered the best risk in the country and sovereign paper sets
the benchmark for interest rates for the corresponding maturity of other issuing entities.
Theoretically, others can borrow at a rate above what the Government pays depending on
how their risk is perceived by the markets. Hence, a well developed Government Securities
    market helps in the efficient allocation of resources. A country‟s debt market to a large extent
    depends on the depth of the Government‟s Bond Market. It in in this context that the recent
    initiatives to widen and deepen the Government Securities Market and to make it more
    efficient have been taken.




                                            INTRODUCTION


    Traditionally, the capital markets in India are more synonymous with the equity markets –
    both on account of the common investors‟ preferences and the oft huge capital gains it
    offered – no matter what the risks involved are. The investor‟s preference for debt market, on
    the other hand, has been relatively a recent phenomenon – an outcome of the shift in the
    economic policy, whereby the market forces have been accorded a greater leeway in
    influencing the resource allocation.


    In a developing economy such as India, the role of the public sector and its financial
    requirements need no emphasis. Growing fiscal deficits and the policy stance of “directed
    investment” through statutory pre emption (the statutory liquidity ratio – SLR - for banks),
    ensured a captive but passive market for the Government securities. Besides, participation
    of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) as an investor in the Government borrowing programme
    (monetisation of deficits) led to a regime of financial repression. In an eventual administered
    interest rate regime, the asset liability mismatches pose no threat to the balance sheets of
    financial institutions. As a result, the banking system, which is the major holder of the
    Government securities portfolio, remained a dominant passive investor segment and the
    market remained dormant.


    The Indian Bond Market has been traditionally dominated by the Government securities
    market. The reasons for this are


·   The high and persistent government deficit and the need to promote an efficient government
    securities market to finance this deficit at an optimal cost,


·   A captive market for the government securities in the form of public sector banks which are
    required to invest in government securities a certain per cent of deposit liabilities as per
    statutory requirement1,
·   The predominance of bank lending in corporate financing and


·   Regulated interest rate environment that protected the banks‟ balance sheets on account of
    their exposure to the government securities.


    While these factors ensured the existence of a big Government securities market, the market
    was passive with the captive investors buying and holding on to the government securities till
    they mature. The trading activity was conspicuous by its absence.


    The scenario changed with the reforms process initiated in the early nineties. The gradual
    deregulation of interest rates and the Government‟s decision to borrow through auction
    mechanism and at market related rates




                                           DEBT MARKET


    Debt market as the name suggests is where debt instruments or bonds are traded. The most
    distinguishing feature of these instruments is that the return is fixed i.e. they are as close to
    being risk free as possible, if not totally risk free. The fixed return on the bond is known as
    the interest rate or the coupon rate. Thus, the buyer of a bond gives the seller a loan at a
    fixed rate, which is equal to the coupon rate. Debt Markets are therefore, markets for fixed
    income securities issued by:


·    Central and State Governments
·    Municipal Corporations
·    Entities like Financial Institutions, Banks, Public Sector Units, and Public Ltd. companies.


    The money market also deals in fixed income instruments. However, difference between
    money and bond markets is that the instruments in the bond markets have a larger time to
    maturity (more than one year). The money market on the other hand deals with instruments
    that have a lifetime of less than one year.
Segments of Debt Markets


    There are three main segments in the debt markets in India,


·    Government Securities,
·    Public Sector Units (PSU) bonds and
·    Corporate securities.


    The market for Government Securities comprises the Centre, State and State-Sponsored
    securities. The PSU bonds are generally treated as surrogates of sovereign paper,
    sometimes due to explicit guarantee and often due to the comfort of public ownership. Some
    of the PSU bonds are tax free while most bonds, including government securities are not tax
    free. The Government Securities segment is the most dominant among these three
    segments. Many of the reforms in pre-1997 period were fundamental, like introduction of
    auction systems and PDs. The reform in the Government Securities market which began in
    1992, with Reserve Bank playing a lead role, entered into a very active phase since April
    1997, with particular emphasis on development of secondary and retail markets




                                     MARKET STRUCTURE
There is no single location or exchange where debt market participants interact for common
    business. Participants talk to each other, conclude deals, send confirmations etc. on the
    telephone, with clerical staff doing the running around for settling trades. In that sense, the
    wholesale debt market is a virtual market.
    In order to understand the entirety of the wholesale debt market we have looked at it through
    a framework based on its main elements. The market is best understood by understanding
    these elements and their mutual interaction. These elements are as follows:


·   Instruments - the instruments that are being traded in the debt market.
·   Issuers - entity which issue these instruments.
·   Investors - entities which invest in these instruments or trade in these instruments.
·   Interventionists or Regulators - the regulators and the regulations governing the market.


    It is necessary to understand microstructure of any market to identify processes, products
    and issues governing its structure and development. In this section a schematic presentation
    is attempted on the micro-structure of Indian corporate debt market so that the issues are
    placed in a proper perspective. Figure gives a bird‟s eye view of the Indian debt market
    structure.
Participants


As is well known, a large participant base would result in lower cost of borrowing for the
Government. In fact, retailing of Government Securities is high on the agenda of further
reforms.


Banks are the major investors in the Government Securities markets. Traditionally, banks
are required to maintain a part of their net demand and time liabilities in the form of liquid
assets of which Government Securities have always formed the predominant share. Despite
lowering the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) to the minimum of 24 per cent, banks are
holding a much larger share of Government Stock as a portfolio choice. Other major
investors in Government Stock are financial institutions, insurance companies, mutual funds,
corporate, individuals, non-resident Indians and overseas corporate bodies. Foreign
    institutional investors are permitted to invest in Treasury Bills and dated Government
    Securities in both primary and secondary markets.


    Often, the same participants are present in the non-Government debt market also, either as
    issuers or investors. For example, banks are issuers in the debt market for their Tier-II
    capital. On the other hand, they are investors in PSU bonds and corporate securities.
    Foreign Institutional Investors are relatively more active in non-Government debt segment as
    compared to the Government debt segment.


·   Central Governments, raising money through bond issuances, to fund budgetary deficits
    and other short and long term funding requirements.


·   Reserve Bank of India, as investment banker to the government, raises funds for the
    government through bond and t-bill issues, and also participates in the market through open-
    market operations.


·   Primary Dealers, who are market intermediaries appointed by the Reserve Bank of India
    who underwrite and make market in government securities, and have access to the call
    markets and repo markets for funds.


·   State Governments, municipalities and local bodies, which issue securities in the debt
    markets to fund their developmental projects, as well as to finance their budgetary deficits.


·   Public Sector Units are large issuers of debt securities, for raising funds to meet the long
    term and working capital needs. These corporations are also investors in bonds issued in the
    debt markets.


·   Public Sector Financial Institutions regularly access debt markets with bonds for funding
    their financing requirements and working capital needs. They also invest in bonds issued by
    other entities in the debt markets.


·   Banks are the largest investors in the debt markets, particularly the treasury bond and bill
    markets. They have a statutory requirement to hold a certain percentage of their deposits
    (currently the mandatory requirement is 24% of deposits) in approved securities
·   Mutual Funds have emerged as another important player in the debt markets, owing
    primarily to the growing number of bond funds that have mobilized significant amounts from
    the investors.


·   Foreign Institutional Investors FIIs can invest in Government Securities upto US $ 5
    billion and in Corporate Debt up to US $ 15 billion.


·   Provident Funds are large investors in the bond markets, as the prudential regulations
    governing the deployment of the funds they mobilise, mandate investments pre-dominantly
    in treasury and PSU bonds. They are, however, not very active traders in their portfolio, as
    they are not permitted to sell their holdings, unless they have a funding requirement that
    cannot be met through regular accruals and contributions.


·   Corporate treasuries issue short and long term paper to meet the financial requirements of
    the corporate sector. They are also investors in debt securities issued in the debt market.


·   Charitable Institutions, Trusts and Societies are also large investors in the debt markets.
    They are, however, governed by their rules and byelaws with respect to the kind of bonds
    they can buy and the manner in which they can trade on their debt portfolios.




                                   DEBT MARKET INSTRUMENTS


    The instruments traded can be classified into the following segments based on the
    characteristics of the identity of the issuer of these securities
Commercial Paper (CP): They are primarily issued by corporate entities. It is compulsory
for the issuance of CPs that the company be assigned a rating of at least P1 by a recognized
credit rating agency. An important point to be noted is that funds raised through CPs do not
represent fresh borrowings but are substitutes to a part of the banking limits available to
them.


Certificates of Deposit (CD): While banks are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity period
of less than 1 year, financial institutions can issue CDs with a maturity of at least 1 year. The
prime reason for an active market in CDs in India is that their issuance does not warrant
reserve requirements for bank.


Treasury Bills (T-Bills): T-Bills are issued by the RBI at the behest of the Government of
India and thus are actually a class of Government Securities. Presently T-Bills are issued in
maturity periods of 91 days, 182 days and 364 days. Potential investors have to put in
competitive bids. Non-competitive bids are also allowed in auctions (only from specified
entities like State Governments and their undertakings, statutory bodies and individuals)
wherein the bidder is allotted T-Bills at the weighted average cut off price.


Long-term debt instruments: These instruments have a maturity period exceeding 1year.
The main instruments are Government of India dated securities (GOISEC), State
Government securities (state loans), Public Sector Undertaking bonds (PSU bonds) and
corporate bonds/debenture. Majority of these instruments are coupon bearing i.e. interest
payments are payable at pre specified dates.


Government of India dated securities (GOISECs): Issued by the RBI on behalf of the
Central Government, they form a part of the borrowing program approved by Parliament in
the Finance Bill each year (Union Budget). They have a maturity period ranging from 1 year
to 30 years. GOISECs are issued through the auction route with the RBI pre specifying an
approximate amount of dated securities that it intends to issue through the year. But unlike
T-Bills, there is no pre set schedule for the auction dates. The RBI also issues products
other than plain vanilla bonds at times, such as floating rate bonds, inflation-linked bonds
and zero coupon bonds.


State Government Securities (state loans): Although these are issued by the State
Governments, the RBI organizes the process of selling these securities. The entire process,
17 right from selling to auction allotment is akin to that for GOISECs. They also form a part
of the SLR requirements and interest payment and other modalities are analogous to
GOISECs. Although there is no Central Government guarantee on these loans, they are
believed to be exceedingly secure. One important point is that the coupon rates on state
oans are slightly higher than those of GOISECs, probably denoting their sub-sovereign
    status.


    Public Sector Undertaking Bonds (PSU Bonds): These are long-term debt instruments
    issued generally through private placement. The Ministry of Finance has granted certain
    PSUs, the right to issue tax-free bonds. This was done to lower the interest cost for those
    PSUs who could not afford to pay market determined interest rates.


    Bonds of Public Financial Institutions (PFIs): Financial Institutions are also allowed to
    issue bonds, through two ways - through public issues for retail investors and trusts and
    secondly through private placements to large institutional investors.


    Corporate debentures: These are long-term debt instruments issued by private companies
    and have maturities ranging from 1 to 10 years. Debentures are generally less liquid as
    compared to PSU bonds.


    TERMS IN DEBT MARKET

    An individual must be aware about the following terms associated with Government
    Securities:


·    Coupon: The 'Coupon' denotes the rate of interest payable on the security. E.g. a security
    with a coupon of 7.40% would draw an interest of 7.40% on the face value.


·    Interest Payment Dates (IP dates): The dates on which the coupon (interest) payments
    are made are called as the IP dates.


·    Last Interest Payment Date (LIP Date): LIP date refers to the date on which the interest
    was last paid.


·    Accrued Interest: Accrued interest is the interest charged at the coupon rate from the Last
    Interest Payment to the date of settlement. Accrued Interest for a security depends upon its
    coupon rate and the number of days from its LIP date to the settlement date.


·    Day count convention: The market uses quite a few conventions for calculation of the
    number of days that has elapsed between two dates. The ultimate aim of any convention is
    to calculate (days in a month)/(days in a year). The Fixed Income Instruments in India 18/90
conventions used are as below. We take the example of a bond with Face Value 100,
        coupon 12.50%, last coupon paid on 15th June, 2008 and traded for value 5th October,
        2008.


    –   A/360(Actual by 360) :In this method, the actual number of days elapsed between the two
        dates is divided by 360, i.e. the year is assumed to have 360 days.


    –   A/365 (Actual by 365) :In this method, the actual number of days elapsed between the two
        dates is divided by 365, i.e. the year is assumed to have 365 days.


    –   A/A (Actual by Actual): In this method, the actual number of days elapsed between the
        two dates is divided by the actual days in the year.


    –   30/360-Day Count: A 30/360-day count says that all months consist of 30 days. i.e. the
        month of February as well as the month of March is assumed to have thirty days.


·       Yield: Yield is the effective rate of interest received on a security. It takes into consideration
        the price of the security and hence differs as the price changes, since the coupon rate is
        paid on the face value and not the price of purchase. The concept can be best understood
        by the following example:


        Ø A security with a coupon of 7.40%:
        Ø If purchased at Rs. 100 the yield will be 7.40%
        Ø If purchased at Rs. 200 the yield becomes 3.70%.
        Ø If purchased at Rs. 50 the yield becomes 14.80%
        Ø Thus it is seen that higher the price lesser will be the yield and vice-versa.
        Ø The yield will be equal to the coupon rate if and only if the security is purchased at the
        face value (Par).


·       Yield to Maturity (YTM): YTM implies the effective rate of interest received if one holds the
        security till its maturity. This is a better parameter to see the effective rate of return as YTM
        also takes into consideration the time factor.


·       Holding Period Yield (HPY): HPY comes into the picture when an investor does not hold
        the security till maturity. HPY denotes the effective Fixed Income Instruments in India 19/90
        yield for the period from the date of purchase to the date of sale.
·   Clean Price: Clean Price denotes the actual price of the security as determined by the
    market.


·   Dirty Price: Dirty Price is the price that is obtained when the accrued interest is added to
    the Clean Price.


·   Shut Period: The government security pays interest twice a year. This interest is paid on
    the IP dates. One working day prior to the IP date, the security is not traded in the market.
    This period is referred to as the 'Shut Period'.


·   Face Value: The Face Value of the securities in a transaction is the number of Government
    Security multiplied by Rs.100 (face Value of each Government Security). Say, a transaction
    of 5000 Government Security will imply a face value of Rs. 5,00,000 (i.e. 5000 * 100)


·   "Cum-Interest" and "Ex-Interest”: Cum-interest means the price of security is inclusive of
    the interest accrued for the interim period between last interest payment date and purchase
    date. Security with ex-interest means the accrued interest has to be paid separately


·   Trade Value: The Trade Value is the number of Government Security multiplied by the price
    of each security.



    Primary and Satellite Dealers: Primary Dealers can be referred to as Merchant Bankers to
    Government of India, comprising the first tier of the government securities market. They
    were formed during the year 1994-96 to strengthen the market infrastructure.PDs are
    expected to absorb government securities in primary markets, to provide two-way quotes in
    the secondary market and help develop the retail market. The capital adequacy
    requirements of PDs take into account both credit risk and market risk. They are required to
    maintain a minimum capital of 15 per cent of aggregate risk weighted assets, including
    market risk capital (arrived at using the Value at Risk method). ALM discipline has been
    extended to PDs. RBI is also vested with the responsibility of on-site supervision of PDs.
    PDs have now been brought under the purview of the Board for Financial Supervision. The
    satellite dealer system was introduced in 1996 to act as a second tier to the Primary Dealers
    in developing the market particularly the retail segment. The system which was in operation
    for more than six years was discontinued because it did not yield the desired results.
SIZE OF DEBT MARKET

Worldwide debt markets are three to four times larger than equity markets. However, the
debt market in India is very small in comparison to the equity market. This is because the
domestic debt market has been deregulated and liberalized only recently and is at a
relatively nascent stage of development. The debt market in India is comprised of two main
segments, the Government securities market and the corporate securities market.
Government securities form the major part of the debt market-accounting for about 90-95%
in terms of outstanding issues, market capitalization and trading value. In the last few years
there has been significant growth in the Government securities market. The aggregate
trading volumes of Government securities in the secondary market have grown significantly
from 1998-99 to 2008-09.




                             Turnover in the Government Securities Market (Face
Value)




GOI TURNOVER
summary of average maturity and cut-off yields in primary market borrowings of the
government.



In terms of size, the Indian debt market is the third largest in Asia after Japan and Korea. It,
however, fairs poorly when compared to other economies like the US and the Euro area.
The Indian debt market also lags behind in terms of the size of the corporate debt market.
The share of corporate debt in the total debt issued had in fact declined.
Market Capitalization - NSE-WDM Segment as on March 31,
2008




REGULATORS


The Securities Contracts Regulation Act (SCRA) defines the regulatory role of various
regulators in the securities market. Accordingly, with its powers to regulate the money and
Government securities market, the RBI regulates the money market segment of the debt
    products (CPs, CDs) and the Government securities market. The non Government bond
    market is regulated by the SEBI. The SEBI also regulates the stock exchanges and hence
    the regulatory overlap in regulating transactions in Government securities on stock
    exchanges have to be dealt with by both the regulators (RBI and SEBI) through mutual
    cooperation. In any case, High Level Co-ordination Committee on Financial and Capital
    Markets (HLCCFCM), constituted in 1999 with the Governor of the RBI as Chairman, and
    the Chiefs of the securities market and insurance regulators, and the Secretary of the
    Finance Ministry as the members, is addressing regulatory gaps and overlaps.


    FACTORS AFFECTING MARKET


•     Internal Factors
–     Interest rate movement in the system
–     RBI economic policies
–     Demand for money
–     Government borrowings to tide over its fiscal deficit
–     Supply of money
–     Inflation rate
–     Credit quality of the issuer.


•    External Factors
–    World Economy & its impact
–     Foreign Exchange
–     Fed rate cut
–     Crude Oil prices
–     Economic Indicators


    BENEFITS OF INVESTING IN A DEBT MARKET


·    Safety: The Zero Default Risk is the greatest attraction for investments in Government
    Securities. It enjoys the greatest amount of security possible, as the Government of India
    issues it. Hence they are also known as Gilt-Edged Securities or 'Gilts'.


·   Fixed Income: During the term of the security there is likely to be fluctuations in the
    Government Security prices and thus there exists a price risk associated with investment in
    Government Security. However, the return on the holding of investment is fixed if the
security is held till maturity and the effective yield at the time of purchase is known and
    certain. In other words the investment becomes a fixed income investment if the buyer holds
    the security till maturity.


·   Convenience: Government Securities do not attract deduction of tax at source (TDS) and
    hence the investor having a non-taxable gross income need not file a return only to obtain a
    TDS refund.


·   Simplicity: To buy and sell Government Securities all an individual has to do is call his / her
    Broker and place an order. If an individual does not trade in the Equity markets, he / she has
    to open a demat account and then can commence trading through any broker.


·   Liquidity: Government Security when actively traded on exchanges will be highly liquid,
    since a national trading platform is available to the investors.


·   Diversification Government Securities are available with a tenor of a few months up to 30
    years. An investor then has a wide time horizon, thus providing greater diversification
    opportunities


    DEVELOPMENTS IN MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE:


    Securities Settlement System: Settlement of government securities and funds is being
    done on a gross trade-by-trade Delivery vs. Payments (DvP) basis in the books of Reserve
    Bank, since 1995. A Special Funds Facility from Reserve Bank for securities settlement has
    also been in operation since October 2000 for breaking gridlock situations arising in the
    course of DvP settlement.

    With the introduction of Clearing Corporation of India Ltd (CCIL) in February 2002, which
    acts as clearing house and a central counterparty, the problem of gridlock of settlements has
    been reduced. To enable Constituent Subsidiary General Ledger (CSGL) account holders to
    avail of the benefits of dematerialised holding through their bankers, detailed guidelines have
    been issued to ensure that entities providing custodial services for their constituents employ
    appropriate accounting practices and safekeeping procedures.

    Negotiated Dealing System: A Negotiated Dealing System (NDS) (Phase I) has been
    operationalised effective from February 15, 2002. In Phase I, the NDS provides on line
    electronic bidding facility in primary auctions, daily LAF auctions, screen based electronic
    dealing and reporting of transactions in money market instruments, facilitates secondary
market transactions in Government securities and dissemination of information on trades
with minimal time lag. In addition, the NDS enables "paperless" settlement of transactions in
government securities with electronic connectivity to CCIL and the DvP settlement system at
the Public Debt Office through electronic SGL transfer form.

Clearing Corporation of India Limited:The Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL)
commenced its operations in clearing and settlement of transactions in Government
securities (including repos) with effect from February 15, 2002. Acting as a central
counterparty through novation, the CCIL provides guaranteed settlement and has in place
risk management systems to limit settlement risk and operates a settlement guarantee fund
backed by lines of credit from commercial banks. All repo transactions have to be
necessarily put through the CCIL, while all outright transactions up to Rs.200 million have to
be settled through CCIL (Transactions involving larger amounts are settled directly in RBI).

Transparency and Data Dissemination : To enable both institutional and retail investors to
plan their investments better and also to providing further transparency and stability in the
Government securities market, an indicative calendar for issuance of dated securities has
been introduced in 2002. To improve the information flow to the market Reserve Bank
announces auction results on the day of auction itself and all transactions settled through
SGL accounts are released on the same day by way of press releases/on RBI website.
Statistical information relating to both primary and secondary market for Government
securities is disseminated at regular interval to ensure transparency of debt management
operations as well as of secondary market activity. This is done through either press
releases or Bank‟s publications viz., (e.g., RBI monthly Bulletin, Weekly Statistical
Supplement, Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy, Report on Currency and Finance
and Annual Report).

                                   Fixed Income Auction

                                      INTRODUCTION


The Government of India issues securities in order to borrow money from the market. One
way in which the securities are offered to investors is through auctions. The government
notifies the date on which it will borrow a notified amount through an auction. The investors
bid either in terms of the rate of interest (coupon) for a new security or the price for an
existing security being reissued. Since the process of bidding is somewhat technical, only
the large and informed investors, such as, banks, primary dealers, financial institutions,
mutual funds, insurance companies, etc generally participate in the auctions. This left out a
large section of medium and small investors from the primary market for government
    securities which is not only safe and secure but also gives market related rates of return.


    The Reserve Bank of India has announced a facility of non-competitive bidding in dated
    government securities on December 7th 2001 for small investors.


    NON-COMPETITIVE BIDDING


    Non-competitive bidding means the bidder would be able to participate in the auctions of
    dated government securities without having to quote the yield or price in the bid. Thus, he
    will not have to worry about whether his bid will be on or off-the-mark; as long as he bids in
    accordance with the scheme, he will be allotted securities fully or partially.


    Participation


    Participation in the Scheme of non-competitive bidding is open to individuals, HUFs, firms,
    companies, corporate bodies, institutions, provident funds, trusts and any other entity
    prescribed by RBI. As the focus is on the small investors lacking market expertise, the
    Scheme will be open to those who do not have current account (CA) or Subsidiary General
    Ledger (SGL) account with the Reserve Bank of India do not require more than Rs.one crore
    (face value) of securities per auction


    As an exception, Regional Rural Banks (RRBs), Urban Cooperative Banks (UCBs) and Non-
    banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) can also apply under this Scheme in view of their
    statutory obligations. However, the restriction in regarding the maximum amount of Rs. one
    crore per auction per investor will remain applicable.


    Silent Features


·    Eligible investors cannot participate directly. They have to necessarily come through a
    Bank or Primary Dealer (PD) for auction.
·    The minimum amount for bidding will be Rs.10,000 (face value) and in multiples in
    Rs.10,000.
·    An investor can make only a single bid through any bank or PD under this scheme in each
    specified auction.
·    The bank or PD through whom the investor bids will obtain and keep on record an
    undertaking to the effect that the investor is making only a single bid.
Advantages


    The non competitive bidding facility will encourage wider participation and retail holding of
    government securities. It will enable individuals , firms and other mid segment investors who
    do not have the expertise to bid competitively in the auctions. Such investors will have fair
    chance of assured allotments at the rate which emerges in the auction.
    Scope of the scheme


·    Non-competitive bids will be allowed upto 5 percent of the notified amount in the specified
    auctions of dated securities.


·    Non-competitive bidding will be allowed only in select auctions of dated Government of
    India securities which will be announced as and when proposed to be issued.


·    The scheme is not applicable for Treasury Bills.


    Auction Process


·    Each bank or PD will, on the basis of firm orders, submit a single bid for the aggregate
    amount of non-competitive bids on the day of the auction. The bank or PD will furnish details
    of individual customers, viz., name, amount, etc. along with the application.


·    This will be notified at the time of announcement of the specific auction for which non
    competitive bids will be invited.


·    The Government of India notifies the auction of government securities. It also notifies the
    amount and whether it will be a new loan or reissue of an existing loan. It also announces
    whether the bidders have to bid for the price or the coupon (interest rate).The competitive
    bidders put in competitive bids for the price or the coupon. The cutoff price or the coupon is
    then announced by RBI on the basis of the bids received. All successful bidders will be
    allotted the security auctioned either in full or in part.


    Example
    Recently, an auction was held for government of India's 12 year Government Stock in which
    the notified amount was Rs.5,000 crore. The coupon rate for cut-off yield was 8.40 per cent.
    The weighted average yield was, however, 8.36 per cent since allotments were made to
different successful bidders at the rates quoted by them at or below the cut off rates (i.e.
    multiple price auction system).


·    The allotment to the non-competitive segment will be at the weighted average rate that will
    emerge in the auction on the basis of competitive bidding.


    Allotment Process


·    The RBI will allot the bids under the non-competitive segment to the bank or PD which, in
    turn, will allocate to the bidders.


·    In case the aggregate amount bid is more than the reserved amount through non-
    competitive bidding, allotment would be made on a pro rata basis.


    Example:
    Suppose, the amount reserved for allotment in non competitive basis is 10 crore. The total
    amount bid at the auction for Non competitive segment is 12 crore. The partial allotment
    percentage is =10/12=83.33%. The actual allocation in the auction will be as follows:




·    It may be noted that the actual allotment may vary slightly at times from the partial
    allotment ratio due to rounding off with a view to ensuring that the allotted amounts are in
    multiples of 10,000/-.


·    In case the aggregate amount bid is less than the reserved amount all the applicants will be
    allotted in full and the shortfall amount will be taken to the competitive portion.


·    It will be responsibility of the bank or PD to appropriately allocate securities to their clients
    in a transparent manner.


    Settlement Process
·    In the above example, where the auction was yield based, the cut off rate that emerged in
    the auction was 8.40 per cent; while the weighted average cut off rate was 9.36 per cent. At
    the weighted average rate of 8.36 per cent the price of the security works out to Rs.100.27.
    Therefore, under the Scheme, the investor will get the security at Rs.100.27. Hence, price
    payable for every Rs.100 (face value) is Rs. 100.27. Therefore, for securities worth
    Rs.10,000, he will have to pay (Price x Face value/100) = 100.27 x 10,000/100=Rs.10,270/-


·    Since the bank/PD has to make payment on the date of issue itself , in case payment is
    made by the client after date of issue of the security, the consideration amount payable by
    the client to the bank or the PD would include accrued interest. For example, if for security
    8.40% GOI 2022, the payment is made three days after the date of issue, the accrued
    interest component will amount to 8.40/100x3/360x10,000 = Rs.7.83. Hence, if the security
    price is Rs.100.27, the total amount payable by the investor for acquiring securities worth
    Rs.10,000 after three days will be Rs. 10, 270 + Rs. 7.83 = Rs.10, 277. 83 (if not rounded
    off).


·    The non competitive bidders will pay the weighted average price which will emerge in the
    auction.


·    For example, on December 5, 2009 RBI held a price based auction of an existing security
    8.20% GOI 2022 maturing on 19 April, 2022. The cut off price emerged in the auction was
    Rs. 100.62. The weighted average price was Rs. 100.69. Thus the non competitive bidders
    will pay the weighted average price of Rs. 100.69. In addition, they have to pay accrued
    interest as indicated below.


·    Price payable for every Rs.100 (face value) is Rs.100.69. Therefore, for securities worth
    Rs.10,000, he will have to pay (Price x Face value/100) = 100.69 x 10,000/100=Rs.10,069/-.
    Since the coupon on dated GOI securities are payable half yearly, the coupon payment
    dates for the security are 19 April/ 19 October. Now if the security was paid for (settled) on
    December 6, 2009, the accrued interest from the last coupon date to the date of settlement
    viz. from 19 October, 2009 to December 6, 2009, i.e. for 47 days will be 8.22/100 x
    47/360x10000=Rs 107.31


·    Hence, the amount payable by the investor will be price plus accrued interest, i.e. Rs
    10069 + 107.31 = 10,176.31/- (if not rounded off). If the payment is not made on December
    6, 2009 but, say, on December 9, 2009, the accrued interest component will be for 50 days
instead of 47 days (i.e.3 days more) and it will work out to 8.22/100x50/360
    x10,000=Rs.114.16 .The total amount payable by the investor will then be 10069 + 114.16
    =10,183.16/-(if not rounded off)


·    The transfer of securities to the clients should be completed within five working days from
    the date of the auction. Delivery and Form of Holding.


·    RBI will issue securities only in demat (SGL) form. It will credit the securities to the CSGL
    account of the bank/PD.


·    SGL or CSGL are a demat form of holding government securities with the RBI. Just as an
    investor can hold shares in demat form with a depository participant, he can also hold
    government securities in an account with a bank or a PD. Securities kept on behalf of
    customers by banks or PDs are kept in a segregated CSGL A/c with the RBI. Thus, if the
    bank or the PD buys security for his client, it gets credited to the CSGL account of bank or
    PD with the RBI.


·    It will not be mandatory for the retail investor to maintain a constituent subsidiary general
    ledger (CSGL) account with a bank or a primary dealer (PD) through whom it proposes to
    participate in the auction. It will, however, be convenient for the investor to have such an
    account.


·    RBI will issue the securities to the bank or PD that has bid on behalf of non-competitive
    bidder against payment made by the bank or PD on the date of issue itself.


·    The non-competitive bidder will make payment to the bank or the PD through which he has
    put the bid and receive his securities from them.


·    In other words, the RBI will issue securities to the bank or the PD against payment received
    from the bank or the PD on the date of issue irrespective of whether the bank or the PD has
    received payment from their clients.


·    The bank or the PD can recover upto six paise per Rs.100 as commission for rendering this
    service to their clients.


·    The bank or the PD can build this cost into the sale price or it can recover separately from
    the clients.
·    Modalities for obtaining payment from clients towards the cost of securities, accrued
    interest, wherever applicable and commission will have to be worked out by the bank or the
    PD and clearly stated in the contract made for the purpose with the client.


·    The bank or the PD is not permitted to build any other cost, such as funding cost, into the
    price. In other words, the bank or the PD cannot recover any other cost from the client other
    than accrued interest as indicated.


·    PDs and banks will furnish information relating to the Scheme to the Reserve Bank of India
    as and when called for. RBI can also review the guidelines. If and when the guidelines are
    revised, RBI will notify the modified guidelines.



    Fixed Income Instruments

    INTRODUCTION


    A bond is a debt security, similar to an I.O.U. When you purchase a bond, you are lending
    money to a government, municipality, corporation, federal agency or other entity known as
    an issuer. In return for that money, the issuer provides you with a bond in which it promises
    to pay a specified rate of interest during the life of the bond and to repay the face value of
    the bond (the principal) when it matures, or comes due.


    Fixed income instruments constitute a claim on the issuer of a loan. The yield is normally
    paid in the form of interest. There are various types of fixed income instruments depending
    on which the issuer has issued the instrument, the collateral given by the issuer for the loan,
    the maturity until repayment date and the form of disbursement of interest.


    TYPES OF FIXED INCOME INSTRUMENTS


·     BASED ON COUPON OF A BOND
·     BASED ON MATURITY OF A BOND
·     BASED ON THE PRINCIPAL REPAYMENT OF A BOND
·     ASSET BACKED SECURITIES


BASED ON COUPON OF A BOND
Zero Coupon Bond


In such a bond, no coupons are paid. The bond is instead issued at a discount to its face
value, at which it will be redeemed. There are no intermittent payments of interest. When
such a bond is issued for a very long tenor, the issue price is at a steep discount to the
redemption value. Such a zero coupon bond is also called a deep discount bond. The
effective interest earned by the buyer is the difference between the face value and the
discounted price at which the bond is bought. There are also instances of zero coupon
bonds being issued at par, and redeemed with interest at a premium. The essential feature
of this type of bonds is the absence of intermittent cash flows.


Treasury Strips


In the United States, government dealer firms buy coupon paying treasury bonds, and create
out of each cash flow of such a bond, a separate zero coupon bond. For example, a 7-year
coupon-paying bond comprises of 14 cash flows, representing half-yearly coupons and the
repayment of principal on maturity. Dealer firms split this bond into 14 zero coupon bonds,
each one with a differing maturity and sell them separately, to buyers with varying tenor
preferences. Such bonds are known as treasury strips. (Strips is an acronym for Separate
Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities). We do not have treasury strips yet
in the Indian markets. RBI and Government are making efforts to develop market for strips in
government securities.


Floating Rate Bonds


Instead of a pre-determined rate at which coupons are paid, it is possible to structure bonds,
where the rate of interest is re-set periodically, based on a benchmark rate. Such bonds
whose coupon rate is not fixed, but reset with reference to a benchmark rate, are called
floating rate bonds. For example, IDBI issued a 5 year floating rate bond, in July 2009, with
the rates being reset semi-annually with reference to the 10 year yield on Central
Government securities and a 50 basis point mark-up. In this bond, every six months, the 10-
year benchmark rate on government securities is ascertained. The coupon rate IDBI would
pay for the next six months is this benchmark rate, plus 50 basis points. The coupon on a
floating rate bond thus varies along with the benchmark rate, and is reset periodically.
The Central Government has also started issuing floating rate bonds tying the coupon to the
  average cut-off yields of last six 364-day T-bills yields.


  Some floating rate bonds also have caps and floors, which represent the upper and lower
  limits within which the floating rates can vary. For example, the IDBI bond described above
  had a floor of 9.5%. This means, the lender would receive a minimum of 9.5% as coupon
  rate, should the benchmark rate fall below this threshold. A ceiling or a cap represents the
  maximum interest that the borrower will pay, should the benchmark rate move above such a
  level. Most corporate bonds linked to the call rates, have such a ceiling to cap the interest
  obligation of the borrower, in the event of the benchmark call rates rising very steeply.
  Floating rate bonds, whose coupon rates are bound by both a cap and floor, are called as
  range notes, because the coupon rates vary within a certain range.


  The other names, by which floating rate bonds are known, are variable rate bonds and
  adjustable rate bonds. These terms are generally used in the case of bonds whose coupon
  rates are reset at longer time intervals of a year and above. These bonds are common in the
  housing loan markets.


  In the developed markets, there are floating rate bonds, whose coupon rates move in the
  direction opposite to the direction of the benchmark rates. Such bonds are called inverse
  floaters.


  Other Variations


  In the mid-eighties, the US markets witnessed a variety of coupon structures in the high yield
  bond market (junk bonds) for leveraged buy-outs. In many of these cases, structures that
  enabled the borrowers to defer the payment of coupons were created. Some of the more
  popular structures were: (a) deferred interest bonds, where the borrower could defer the
  payment of coupons in the initial 3 to 7 year period; (b) Step-up bonds, where the coupon
  was stepped up by a few basis points periodically, so that the interest burden in the initial
  years is lower, and increases over time; and (c) extendible reset bond, in which investment
  bankers reset the rates, not on the basis of a benchmark, but after re-negotiating a new rate,
  which in the opinion of the lender and borrower, represented the rate for the bond after
  taking into account the new circumstances at the time of reset.


BASED ON MATURITY OF A BOND
Callable Bonds


Bonds that allow the issuer to alter the tenor of a bond, by redeeming it prior to the original
maturity date, are called callable bonds. The inclusion of this feature in the bond‟s structure
provides the issuer the right to fully or partially retire the bond, and is therefore in the nature
of call option on the bond. Since these options are not separated from the original bond
issue, they are also called embedded options. A call option can be an European option,
where the issuer specifies the date on which the option could be exercised. Alternatively, the
issuer can embed an American option in the bond, providing him the right to call the bond on
or anytime before a pre-specified date. The call option provides the issuer the option to
redeem a bond, if interest rates decline, and re-issue the bonds at a lower rate. The investor,
however, loses the opportunity to stay invested in a high coupon bond, when interest rates
have dropped.


The call option, therefore, can effectively alter the term of a bond, and carries an added set
of risks to the investor, in the form of call risk, and re-investment risk. As we shall see later,
the prices at which these bonds would trade in the market are also different, and depend on
the probability of the call option being exercised by the issuer. In the home loan markets,
pre-payment of housing loans represent a special case of call options exercised by
borrowers. Housing finance companies are exposed to the risk of borrowers exercising the
option to pre-pay, thus retiring a housing loan, when interest rates fall. The Central
Government has also issued an embedded option bond that gives options to both issuer
(Government) and the holders of the bonds to exercise the option of call/put after expiry of 5
years. This embedded option would reduce the cost for the issuer in a falling interest rate
scenario and helpful for the bond holders in a rising interest rate scenario.


Puttable Bonds


Bonds that provide the investor with the right to seek redemption from the issuer, prior to the
maturity date, are called puttable bonds. The put options embedded in the bond provides the
investor the rights to partially or fully sell the bonds back to the issuer, either on or before
pre-specified dates. The actual terms of the put option are stipulated in the original bond
indenture.


A put option provides the investor the right to sell a low coupon-paying bond to the issuer,
and invest in higher coupon paying bonds, if interest rates move up. The issuer will have to
re-issue the put bonds at higher coupons. Puttable bonds represent a re-pricing risk to the
issuer. When interest rates increase, the value of bonds would decline. Therefore put
  options, which seek redemptions at par, represent an additional loss to the issuer.


  Convertible Bonds


  A convertible bond provides the investor the option to convert the value of the outstanding
  bond into equity of the borrowing firm, on pre-specified terms. Exercising this option leads to
  redemption of the bond prior to maturity, and its replacement with equity. At the time of the
  bond‟s issue, the indenture clearly specifies the conversion ratio and the conversion price.
  The conversion ratio refers to the number of equity shares, which will be issued in exchange
  for the bond that is being converted. The conversion price is the resulting price when the
  conversion ratio is applied to the value of the bond, at the time of conversion. Bonds can be
  fully converted, such that they are fully redeemed on the date of conversion. Bonds can also
  be issued as partially convertible, when a part of the bond is redeemed and equity shares
  are issued in the pre-specified conversion ratio, and the nonconvertible portion continues to
  remain as a bond.


BASED ON THE PRINCIPAL REPAYMENT OF A BOND


  Amortising Bonds


  The structure of some bonds may be such that the principal is not repaid at the end/maturity,
  but over the life of the bond. A bond, in which payment made by the borrower over the life of
  the bond, includes both interest and principal, is called an amortising bond. Auto loans,
  consumer loans and home loans are examples of amortising bonds. The maturity of the
  amortising bond refers only to the last payment in the amortising schedule, because the
  principal is repaid over time.


  Bonds with Sinking Fund Provisions


  In certain bond indentures, there is a provision that calls upon the issuer to retire some
  amount of the outstanding bonds every year. This is done either by buying some of the
  outstanding bonds in the market, or as is more common, by creating a separate fund, which
  calls the bonds on behalf of the issuer. Such provisions that enable retiring bonds over their
  lives are called sinking fund provisions. In many cases, the sinking fund is managed by
  trustees, who regularly retire part of the outstanding bonds, usually at par. Sinking funds also
  enable paying off bonds over their life, rather than at maturity. One usual variant is
applicability of the sinking fund provision after few years of the issue of the bond, so that the
  funds are available to the borrower for a minimum period, before redemption can
  commence.


ASSET BACKED SECURITIES


  Asset backed securities represent a class of fixed income securities, created out of pooling
  together assets, and creating securities that represent participation in the cash flows from
  the asset pool. For example, select housing loans of a loan originator (say, a housing
  finance company) can be pooled, and securities can be created, which represent a claim on
  the repayments made by home loan borrowers. Such securities are called mortgage–backed
  securities. In the Indian context, these securities are known as structured obligations (SO).
  Since the securities are created from a select pool of assets of the originator, it is possible to
  „cherry-pick‟ and create a pool whose asset quality is better than that of the originator. It is
  also common for structuring these instruments, with clear credit enhancements, achieved
  either through guarantees, or through the creation of exclusive preemptive access to cash
  flows through escrow accounts. Assets with regular streams of cash flows are ideally suited
  for creating asset-backed securities. In the Indian context, car loan and truck loan
  receivables have been securitized. Securitized home loans represent a very large segment
  of the US bond markets, next in size only to treasury borrowings. However, the market for
  securitization has not developed appreciably because of the lack of legal clarity and
  conducive regulatory environment.


  The Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security
  Interest Act were approved by parliament in November 2002. The Act also provides a legal
  framework for securitization of financial assets and asset reconstruction. The securitization
  companies or reconstruction companies shall be regulated by RBI. The security receipts
  issued by these companies will be securities within the meaning of the Securities Contract
  (Regulation) Act, 1956. These companies would have powers to acquire assets by issuing a
  debenture or bond or any other security in the nature of debenture in lieu thereof. Once an
  asset has been acquired by the asset reconstruction company, such company would have
  the same powers for enforcement of securities as the original lender. This has given the
  legal sanction to securitized debt in India.

  Bond Investment Strategies

  INTRODUCTION
How do you make bonds work for your investment goals? Strategies for bond investing
range from a buy-and-hold approach to complex tactical trades involving views on inflation
and interest rates. As with any kind of investment, the right strategy for you will depend on
your goals, your time frame and your appetite for risk.


Bonds can help you meet a variety of financial goals such as: preserving principal, earning
income, managing tax liabilities, balancing the risks of stock investments and growing your
assets. Because most bonds have a specific maturity date, they can be a good way to make
sure that the money will be there at a future date when you need it.


Your goals will change over time, as will the economic conditions affecting the bond market.
As you regularly evaluate your investments, check back often for information that can help
you see if your bond investment strategy is still on target to meet your financial goals.


As you build your investment portfolio of fixed-income securities, there are various
techniques you and your investment advisor can use to help you match your investment
goals with your risk tolerance.


BOND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES


The way you invest in bonds for the short-term or the long-term depends on your investment
goals and time frames, the amount of risk you are willing to take and your tax status. When
considering a bond investment strategy, remember the importance of diversification.


DIVERSIFICATION


As a general rule, it‟s never a good idea to put all your assets and all your risk in a single
asset class or investment. You will want to diversify the risks within your bond investments
by creating a portfolio of several bonds, each with different characteristics. Choosing bonds
from different issuers protects you from the possibility that any one issuer will be unable to
meet its obligations to pay interest and principal. Choosing bonds of different types
(government, agency, corporate, municipal, mortgage-backed securities, etc.) creates
protection from the possibility of losses in any particular market sector. Choosing bonds of
different maturities helps you manage interest rate risk.
Bond Ladders, barbells, and bullets are strategies that will help the investor diversify and
balance their bond portfolios to achieve their desired result. The terminology of these
strategies actually reflects the character of that strategy. For example, a bond ladder will
enable the bond investor to set up a bond re-investment strategy, in steps. The barbell
approach resembles a barbell in that bonds are purchased heavily in the short end and the
long end. Medium term notes are left out of the mix. Finally, with the bullet strategy, each
bond will share the same maturity date. They will typically start at different intervals, but they
all will mature together




Ladders


Ladders are a popular strategy for staggering the maturity of your bond investments and for
setting up a schedule for reinvesting them as they mature. A ladder can help you reap the
typically higher coupon rates of longer-term investments, while allowing you to reinvest a
portion of your funds every few years.


Example
You buy three bonds with different maturity dates: two years, four years, and six years. As
each bond matures, you have the option of buying another bond to keep the ladder going. In
this example, you buy 10-year bonds. Longer-term bonds typically offer higher interest rates.
Ladders are popular among investors who want bonds as part of a long-term investment
    objective, such as saving for college tuition, or seeking additional predictable income for
    retirement planning.


    Ladders have several potential advantages:


·    The periodic return of principal provides the investor with additional income beyond the set
    interest payments


·    The income derived from principal and interest payments can either be directed back into
    the ladder if interest rates are relatively high or invested elsewhere if they are relatively low


·    Interest rate volatility is reduced because the investor now determines the best investment
    option every few years, as each bond matures


·    Investors should be aware that laddering can require commitment of assets over time, and
    return of principal at time of redemption is not guaranteed
    Barbells


    Barbells are a strategy for buying short-term and long-term bonds, but not intermediate-term
    bonds. The long-term end of the barbell allows you to lock into attractive long-term interest
    rates, while the short-term end insures that you will have the opportunity to invest elsewhere
    if the bond market takes a downturn.


    Example:
    You see appealing long-term interest rates, so you buy two long-term bonds. You also buy
    two short-term bonds. When the short-term bonds mature, you receive the principal and
    have the opportunity to reinvest it.
Bullets


Bullets are a strategy for having several bonds mature at the same time and minimizing the
interest rate risk by staggering when you buy the bonds. This is useful when you know that
you will need the proceeds from the bonds at a specific time, such as when a child begins
college.


Example:
You want all bonds to mature in 10 years, but want to stagger the investment to reduce the
interest rate risk. You buy the bonds over four years.
BOND SWAPPING


     Techniques to lower your taxes and improve the quality of your portfolio.


     A bond swap is a technique whereby an investor chooses to sell a bond and simultaneously
     purchase another bond with the proceeds from the sale. Fixed-income securities make
     excellent candidates for swapping because it is often easy to find two bonds with similar
     features in terms of credit quality, coupon, maturity and price.


     In a bond swap, you sell one fixed-income holding for another in order to take advantage of
     current market and/or tax conditions and better meet your current investment objectives or
     adjust to a change in your investment status. A wide variety of swaps are generally available
     to help you meet your specific portfolio goals.


     Why You Would Consider Swapping


     Swapping can be a very effective investment tool to:


1.        increase the quality of your portfolio;
2.        increase your total return;
3.        benefit from interest rate changes; and
4.        lower your taxes.


     These are just a few reasons why you might find swapping your bond holdings beneficial.
     Although this booklet contains general information regarding federal tax consequences of
     swapping, we suggest you consult your own tax advisor for more specific advice regarding
     your individual tax situation.


     1.      Swapping for Quality


     A quality swap is a type of swap where you are looking to move from a bond with a lower
     credit quality rating to one with a higher credit rating or vice versa. The credit rating is
     generally a reflection of an issuer‟s financial health. It is one of the factors in the market‟s
     determination of the yield of a particular security. The spread between the yields of bonds
     with different credit quality generally narrows when the economy is improving and widens
     when the economy weakens. So, for example, if you expect a recession you might swap
     from lower-quality into higher-quality bonds with only a negligible loss of income.
Standard rating agencies classify most issuers‟ likelihood of repayment of principal and
payment of interest according to a grading system ranging from, say, triple-A to C (or an
equivalent scale), as a quality guideline for investors. Issuers considered to carry good
likelihood of payment are “investment grade” and are rated Baa3 or higher by Moody‟s
Investors Service or BBB- or higher by Standard & Poor‟s Ratings Services and Fitch
Ratings. Those issuers rated below Baa3 or below BBB- are considered “below investment
grade” and the repayment of principal and payment of interest are less certain. Suppose you
own a corporate bond rated BBB (lower-investment-grade quality) that is yielding 7.00% and
you find a triple-A-rated (higher-investment-grade quality) corporate bond that is yielding
6.70%.1 You could swap into the superior-credit, triple-A-rated bond by sacrificing only 30
basis points (one basis point is 1/100th of one percent, or .01%). Moreover, during an
economic downturn, higher-quality bonds, which represent greater certainty of repayment in
difficult market conditions, will typically hold their value better than lower-quality bonds.


Also, if a market sector or a particular bond has eroded in quality, it may no longer meet your
personal risk parameters. You may be willing to sacrifice some current income and/or yield
in exchange for enhanced quality.


2.   Swapping to Increase Yield


You can sometimes improve the taxable or tax-exempt returns on your portfolio by
employing a number of different bond-swapping strategies. In general, longer-maturity bonds
will typically yield more than those of a shorter maturity will; therefore, extending the average
maturity of a portfolio‟s holdings can boost yield. The relationship between yields on different
types of securities, ranging from three months to 30 years, can be plotted on a graph known
as the yield curve. The curve of that line is constantly changing, but you can often pick up
yield by extending the maturity of your investments, assuming the yield curve is sloping
upward. For example, you could sell a two-year bond that‟s yielding 5.50% and purchase a
15-year bond that is yielding 6.00%. However, you should be aware that the price of longer-
maturity bonds might fluctuate more widely than that of short-term bonds when interest rates
change.


When the difference in yield between two bonds of different credit quality has widened, a
cautious swap to a lower-quality bond could possibly enhance returns. But sometimes
market fluctuations create opportunities by causing temporary price discrepancies between
bonds of equal ratings. For example, the bonds of corporate issuers may retain the same
credit rating even though their business prospects are varying due to transient factors such
as a specific industry decline, a perception of increased risk or deteriorating credit in the
sector or company. So, suppose you purchased in the past (at par) a 30-year A-rated
$50,000 corporate bond with a 6.25% coupon. Assume that comparable bonds are now
being offered with a 6.50% coupon. Assume that you can replace your bond with another
$50,000 A-rated corporate bond having the same maturity with a 6.50% coupon. By selling
the first bond and buying the second bond you will have increased your annual income by 25
basis points ($125). Discrepancies in yield among issuers with similar credit ratings often
reflect perceived risk in the marketplace. These discrepancies will change as market
conditions and perceptions change.


3.   Swapping for Increased Call Protection


Swaps may achieve other investment objectives, such as building a more diversified
portfolio, or establishing better call protection. Call protection is useful for reducing the risk of
reinvestment at lower rates, which may occur if an issuer retires, calls or pre-refunds its
bonds early. Call protection swaps are particularly advantageous in a declining interest rate
environment. For example, you could sell a bond with a short call, e.g., five years, and
purchase a bond with 10 years of call protection. This will enable you to lock in your coupon
for an additional five years and not worry about losing your higher-coupon bonds in the near
future. You may have to sacrifice yield in exchange for the stronger call protection.


Anticipating Interest Rates


If you believe that the overall level of interest rates is likely to change, you may choose to
make a swap designed to benefit or help you protect your holdings.


If you believe that rates are likely to decline, it may be appropriate to extend the maturity of
your holdings and increase your call protection. You will be reducing reinvestment risk of
principal and positioning for potential appreciation as interest rates trend down. Conversely,
if you think rates may increase, you might decide to reduce the average maturity of holdings
in your portfolio. A swap into shorter-maturity bonds will cause a portfolio to fluctuate less in
value, but may also result in a lower yield.


It should be noted that various types of bonds perform differently as interest rates rise or fall,
and may be selectively swapped to optimize performance. Long-term, zero-coupon2 and
discount bonds3 perform best during interest rate declines because their prices are more
sensitive to interest rate changes. Floating-rate, short- and intermediate-term, callable and
premium bonds4 perform best when interest rates are rising because they limit the downside
price volatility involved in a rising yield environment; their price fluctuates less on a
percentage basis than a par or discount bond.


However, you should remember that rate-anticipation swaps tend to be somewhat
speculative, and depend entirely on the outcome of the expected rate change. Moreover,
shorter- and longer-term rates do not necessarily move in a parallel fashion. Different
economic conditions can impact various parts of the yield curve differently. To the extent that
the anticipated rate change does not come about, a decline in market value could occur.


4.   Swapping to Lower Your Taxes


Tax swapping is the most common of all swaps. Anyone who owns bonds that are selling
below their amortized purchase price and who has capital gains or other income that could
be partially, or fully, offset by a tax loss can benefit from tax swapping.


You may have realized capital gains from the sale of a profitable capital asset (e.g., real
estate, your business, stocks or other securities). Or you may expect to sell such an asset at
a potential profit in the near future. By swapping those assets that are currently trading
below the purchase price (due to a rise in interest rates, deteriorating credit situation, etc.)
you can reduce or eliminate the capital gains you would otherwise have paid on your other
profitable transactions in the current tax year.


The traditional tax swap involves two steps: (1) selling a bond that is worth less than you
paid for it and (2) simultaneously purchasing a bond with similar, but not identical,
characteristics. For example, assume you own a $50,000, 20-year, triple-A-rated municipal
bond with a 5.00% coupon that you purchased five years ago at par. If interest rates
increase (such that new bonds are now being issued with a 5.50% coupon), the value of
your bond will fall to approximately $47,500. If you sell the bond, you will realize a $2,500
capital loss, which you can use to offset any capital gains you have realized. If you have no
capital gains, you can use the capital loss to offset ordinary income. You then purchase in
the secondary market a replacement triple-A-rated 5.00% municipal bond (from a different
issuer), maturing in 15 years, at an approximate cost of $47,500. Your yield, maturity and
quality of bond will be the same as before, plus you will have realized a loss that will save
you money on taxes in the year of the bond sale. Of course, if you hold the new bond to
maturity, you will realize a $2,500 gain in 15 years, taxable as ordinary income at that time.
By swapping, you have converted a “paper” loss into a real loss that can be used to offset
         taxable gain.


         ASSET ALLOCATION


         Asset allocation describes the percentage of total assets invested in different investment
         categories, also known as asset classes. The most common broad financial asset classes
         are Fixed Income, Equities, Commodities, Currencies& Real Estate and “alternative
         investments” such as hedge funds and commodities can also be viewed as asset classes.


         Each broad asset class has various subclasses with different risk and return profiles. In
         general, the more return an asset class has historically delivered, the more risk that its value
         could fall as well as rise because of greater price volatility. To earn higher potential returns,
         investors have to take higher risk.
         Asset classes differ by the level of potential returns they have historically generated and the
         types of risk they carry. Virtually all investments involve some type of risk that you might lose
         money.


         Asset subclasses of stocks include:


     ·       Large cap stocksstocks of large, well established and usually well known companies
     ·       Small cap stocksstocks of smaller, less well known companies
     ·       International stocksstocks of foreign companies


Large cap, small cap and international stocks can in turn be considered:


         ·      Value stocks whose prices are below their true value for temporary reasons
         ·      Growth stocks of companies that are growing at a rapid rate.


Asset subclasses of bonds include:


     ·       Different maturities long-term (10 years or longer), intermediate-term (3-10 year) or short-
         term (3 years or less)
     ·       Different issuers government and agencies, corporate, municipal, international
     ·       Different types of bonds callable bonds, zero-coupon bonds, inflation-protected bonds,
         high-yield bonds, etc.
Stocks are generally considered a risky investment because, among other things, their
values can decline if the stock market goes down (market risk) or the issuing company does
poorly (company risk). As owners of the company, stockholders are paid after all creditors,
including bond holders, are paid. In theory at least, a stock‟s value can go to zero.
Historically, stock prices have been the most volatile of all the different types of investments,
meaning their prices can move up and down quickly, frequently and not always in a
predictable way.


Bonds are considered less risky than stocks because bond prices have historically been
more stable and because bond issuers promise to repay the debt to the bondholders at
maturity. That promise is generally kept unless the issuer falls on hard times; some bonds
have credit risk based on the financial health of their issuer. When a bond issuer goes into
bankruptcy, bondholders are paid off before stockholders. Bonds are also vulnerable to
interest rate risk: when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and vice versa.


Cash investments carry opportunity risk. For example, investing in very safe, short-term
investments like Treasury bills may protect you from loss, but you may miss the opportunity
of more generous returns offered by other investments. Even people who keep their money
under their mattress have the risk that their money will be worth less in the future because of
inflation that reduces the purchasing power of the cash.


Smart investors do not put all their assets in one type of investment or “asset class.” Instead,
they spread or diversify their risk by investing in different types of investments. When one
asset class is performing poorly, another may be doing well and compensating for the poor
performance in the other.


Some studies have shown that overall asset allocation is more important to investment
success than the choice of investments within the allocation.


MARKET SIGNALS


Seven bond market signals in four market-driving categories.


Category: Fundamentals
Two fundamental forces drive bond yields: growth and inflation. If you understand that bond
prices are present values of future cash flows, then you know that forecasts of future growth
and inflation are more important than historical data reports on what has already occurred.


Signal one: Market consensus for year-ahead GDP growth, as measured monthly in the
Blue Chip survey of 50 professional forecasters.


Signal two: Market consensus for year-ahead inflation, as measured monthly in the Blue
Chip survey of 50 professional forecasters.
Trade: Buy the 10-year Treasury note when the consensus lowers its estimate of year-ahead
growth and inflation, suggesting interest rates will go down and bond prices will go up. Sell
the 10-year Treasury note when the consensus raises its estimate of year-ahead growth and
inflation, suggesting rates will rise and prices will fall. Hold for one month until next
consensus figures are released. Roll trade if consensus moves in same direction; reverse if
consensus turns; close if consensus in unchanged.


Category: Value


Presuming that asset prices fluctuate around a stable, long-term equilibrium, extreme
deviations serve as lead indicators of trend reversals.


Signal three: Real (inflation-adjusted) yields.
Trade: Buy the 10-year Treasury note when real yields are more than one standard deviation
above the long-term moving average sell when they are more than one standard deviation
below. Hold the position until real yields cross the opposite threshold.


Signal four: Ratio of the S&P 500 earnings yield to the 30-year Treasury yield.Trade: Buy
bonds when the ratio is more than half a standard deviation below its long-run moving
average (bonds are cheap relative to stocks) sell when it‟s more than half a standard
deviation above its long-run moving average (stocks are cheap relative to bonds).


Category: Risk appetite


Risk appetite refers to investors‟ relative preference for safe and risky assets, prompted by
business cycle fluctuations, policy developments or exogenous events.
Signal five: Credit Appetite Index, where zero represents minimum appetite (widest
spreads, positive for U.S. government bonds) and 100 represents maximum appetite
(tightest spreads, negative for U.S. government bonds).
Trade: Sell U.S. government bonds when credit appetite is high, as signaled by the CAI
being more than one standard deviation above its 50-day moving average, and buy when it
is low, or more than one standard deviation below its 50-day moving average.


Category: Technicals


Technical indicators trace market patterns in price and volume.


Signal six: Price data.
Trade: Buy when the short-term moving average of prices crosses the long-term average
from below sell when it crosses from above. In this momentum measure, the strongest
returns were generated when short-term was 10 days and long-term was 20 days.


Signal seven: Flow data, defined as net purchases of bond market mutual funds, as an
indicator of cash flow into the bond market
Trade: Buy the 10-year Treasury when the flow indicator is more than one standard
deviation above the long-term moving average sell when it‟s more than one standard
deviation below.


CONCLUSION


Diversification pays no single indicator works at all times or in all trading environments. In
the absence of foresight, a diversified strategy that combines different information sources
(fundamentals, value, risk appetite and technicals), trading strategies (momentum and
contrarian) and holding periods (daily, weekly and monthly) far outperforms narrower
approaches over the longer term.



Fixed Income Risks


INTRODUCTION


As an integral part of a well-balanced and diversified portfolio, fixed income securities afford
opportunities for predictable cash flows to match investors‟ individual needs and provide
capital preservation. In addition, they may offset the volatility of the stock market. However,
all investments have some degree of risk. In general, the higher the return potential, the
higher the risk. Safer investments usually offer relatively lower returns.


While the interest payment or coupon on most bonds is fixed and the principal amount,
known as par value, is returned to the investor upon maturity, the market price of a bond
during its life varies as market conditions change. Consequently, if a bond is sold prior to
maturity, the proceeds may be more or less than the original purchase price or the quoted
yield. If a bond is held to maturity, an investor can expect to receive the return or yield at
which the bond was initially purchased, subject to the credit worthiness of the issuer.


There are a number of variables to consider when investing in bonds that may affect the
value of the investment. These variables include changes in interest rates, income
payments, bond maturity, redemption features, credit quality, and priority in the capital
structure, price, yield, tax status and other provisions that are covered in the offering
documents.


In general, investors demand higher yields to compensate for higher risks. Discussed below
are the most common risks associated with fixed income securities.


Interest Rate Risk


The market value of the securities is inversely affected by movements in interest rates.
When rates rise, market prices of existing debt securities fall as these securities become
less attractive to investors when compared to higher coupon new issues. As prices decline,
bonds become cheaper so the overall return, when taking into account the discount, can
compete with newly issued bonds at higher yields. When interest rates fall, market prices on
existing fixed income securities tend to rise because these bonds become more attractive
when compared to newly issued bonds priced at lower rates.


Price Risk


Investors who need access to their principal prior to maturity must rely on the secondary
market to sell their securities. The price received may be more or less than the original
purchase price and may depend, in general, on the level of interest rates, time to term, credit
quality of the issuer and liquidity. Among other factors, prices may also be affected by
current market conditions or by the size of the trade (prices may be different for 10 bonds
versus 1,000 bonds). It is important to note that selling a security prior to maturity may affect
the actual yield received which may be different than the yield at which the bond was
originally purchased. This is because the initially quoted yield assumed holding the bond to
term.


As mentioned above, there is an inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices.
Therefore, when interest rates decline, bond prices increase, and when interest rates
increase, bond prices decline. Generally, longer maturity bonds are more sensitive to
interest rate changes. Dollar for dollar, a long-term bond should go up or down in value more
than a short-term bond in response to the same change in yield.




Liquidity Risk


Liquidity risk is the risk that an investor will be unable to sell securities due to lack of demand
from potential buyers and thus must sell them at a substantial loss and/or incur substantial
transaction costs in the sale process. Broker-dealers, although not obligated to do so, may
provide secondary markets.


Reinvestment Risk


Downward trends in interest rates also create reinvestment risk, or the risk that the income
and/or principal repayments must be invested at lower rates. Reinvestment risk is an
important consideration for investors who hold callable securities. Some bonds may be
issued with a call feature which allows the issuer to call, or repay, bonds prior to maturity.
Bonds with this feature are generally called when market rates fall low enough for the issuer
to save money by repaying existing higher coupon bonds and issuing new ones at lower
rates. Investors will stop receiving coupon payments if the bonds are called. Generally,
callable fixed income securities do not appreciate in value as much as comparable non-
callable securities.


Prepayment Risk


Similar to call risk, prepayment risk is the risk that the issuer may repay bonds prior to
maturity. This type of risk is generally associated with mortgage-backed securities.
Homeowners who prepay their mortgages in an effort to save money may adversely affect
the holders of the mortgage-backed securities. If the bonds are repaid early, investors face
the risk of reinvesting at lower rates.


Purchasing Power Risk


Fixed income investors often focus on the real rate of return, or the actual return minus the
rate of inflation. Rising inflation has a negative impact on real rates of return because
inflation reduces the purchasing power of both investment income and principal.


Credit Risk


The safety of the fixed income investor's principal depends on the issuer's credit quality and
ability to meet its financial obligations, such as payment of coupon and repayment of
principal at maturity. Rating agencies assign ratings based on their analysis of the issuer‟s
financial condition, economic and debt characteristics, and specific revenue sources
securing the bond. Issuers with lower credit ratings usually must offer investors higher yields
to compensate for additional credit risk. A change in either the issuer's credit rating or the
market's perception of the issuer's business prospects will affect the value of its outstanding
securities. Ratings are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold, and may be subject to
review, revision, suspension or reduction, and may be withdrawn at any time. If a bond is
insured, attention should be given to the creditworthiness of the underlying issuer or obligor
on the bond as the insurance feature may not represent additional value in the marketplace
or may not contribute to the safety of principal and interest payments.


Default Risk


The risk of default is the risk that the issuer will not be able to make interest payments and/or
return the principal at maturity.
Growth in Outright and repo settlement volumes (in
7000000                       Rs. Crore)

6000000



5000000



4000000



3000000



2000000



1000000



      0
          2002-03   2003-04   2004-05     2005-06    2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   2009-10
                                        G-sec       Repo
10
                                                                            14


                                                                      12




          0
              2
                                 4
                                         6
                                                 8
                                     Yield %

1997-98


1998-99


1999-00


2000-01


2001-02


2002-03


2003-04




                  Wt. avg yield
2004-05


2005-06


2006-07


2007-08


2008-09           Wt. avg maturity


2009-10
          0
              2
                  4
                                     6
                                         8
                                             10
                                                       12
                                                                 14
                                                                       16
                                                                            18




                                               years
Holder Profile in Central Govt securities as on
                         end Mar 2010

                                                                                   1. Commercial Banks
                               4%
                                                                                   2. Bank- Primary Dealers
                   12%
                                                                                   3. Non-Bank PDs
                                                                                   4. Insurance Companies
          7%                                           38%
                                                                                   5. Mutual Funds
   1%                                                                              6. Co-operative Banks
         3%
   0%                                                                              7. Financial Institutions
         3%
                                                                                   8. Corporates
    1%
                                                                                   9. FIIs
                                                                                   10. Provident Funds
                    22%                                                            11. RBI
                                              9%
                                                                                   12. Others
                                      0%




               Trend in corproate bond trades
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
    0
                            Sep/07




                                                       Sep/08




                                                                                  Sep/09
          Jan/07




                                     Jan/08




                                                                Jan/09




                                                                                             Jan/10
                   May/07




                                              May/08




                                                                         May/09




                                                                                                      May/10
Trends in Government Debt-GDP Ratio




           90
           80
           70
           60
Per cent




           50
           40
           30
           20
           10
            0
                  1980-81      1990-91     1996-97      2000-01      2004.05       2006-07
                                                                                     (BE)

                                        Centre        States         Total




  Centre’s Fiscal Responsibility Act

           •    Enactment of FRBM Act : August 26, 2003
           •    Came into force from July 5, 2004
           •    Elimination of RD by 2008-09 (3.6% in 2003-04) and revenue surplus thereafter
           •    Containment of GFD to 3 % of GDP by 2008-09 (4.5% in 2003-04)
           •    RD and GFD placed at 2.0% and 3.7% of GDP in 2006-07 (RE)
           •    RD and GFD budgeted to decline to 1.5% and 3.3% of GDP in 2007-08
           •    RBI prohibited from Participation in Primary Issuances of G-Secs

  Maturity and Yield
•                 Elongation of Maturity Profile
            •                 General Reduction in Weighted Average Yield




                              18
                              16
                              14
           Per cent / Years




                              12
                              10
                               8
                               6
                               4
                               2
                               0
                                     1995-96



                                                   1996-97



                                                                 1997-98



                                                                             1998-99



                                                                                             1999-00



                                                                                                           2000-01



                                                                                                                           2001-02



                                                                                                                                          2002-03



                                                                                                                                                     2003-04



                                                                                                                                                                    2004-05



                                                                                                                                                                              2005-06
                                   Weighted Average Yield (per cent)                                                 Weighted Average Maturity (years)




Yield Curve

            •                 Development of a Smooth Yield Curve




            16
            14
            12
Per cent




            10
             8
             6
             4
             2
             0
                              1     3          5             7    9        11           13      15        17          19             21   23        25         27        29
                                                                                       Maturity (Years)

                                                                           Mar-97                      Mar-04                 Jan-07
Ownership Pattern of Central G-Secs



               Chart 5: Ownership Pattern of Central G-Secs:
                                   1991
                                                              Reserve B ank o f Ind ia (o wn acco unt )


                          0% 5%
                           0%
                          1%                                  Co mmercial B anks

                    13%                     25%
                                                              Lif e Insurance Co rp o rat io n o f Ind ia #


                                                              Unit Trust o f Ind ia


                                                              NA B A RD


                                                              Emp lo yees Pro vid ent Fund Scheme


                                                              Co al M ines Pro vid ent Fund Scheme


                                                              Primary d ealers
                            56%
                                                              Ot hers




                Chart 6: Ownership Pattern of Central G-Secs:
                0%                  2005
                                                                      Res erve Bank of India
               0%                                                     (own account)
                                    7%                                Com m ercial Banks
               2%     16%
                                                                      Life Ins urance
               0%                                                     Corporation of India #
                                                                      Unit Trus t of India
               0%
                                                                      NABARD

                                                                      Em ployees Provident
               20%
                                                                      Fund Schem e
                                              53%                     Coal Mines Provident
                                                                      Fund Schem e
                                                                      Prim ary dealers

                                                                      Others



              External Borrowings


   •          Low Share of External Debt
   •          External Borrowings only from Multilateral and Bilateral Sources




               100.0

                 80.0
   Per cent




                 60.0

                 40.0

                 20.0

                    0.0
Corporate Bond Market


   •   Corporate Bond markets historically late to develop
   •   Access to bank credit
   •   Access to external sources of finance
   •   Require well developed accounting legal and regulatory systems
   •   Rating agencies
   •   Rigorous disclosure standards and effective governance of corporations
   •   Payment and settlement systems
   •   Secondary markets

Reforms in Corporate Bond Market

   •   Four Rating agencies operating in India
   •   De-materialisation and electronic transfer of securities
   •   Initial focus – reform of private placement market by encouraging rating of
       issues
   •   Further reforms needed
   •   Appointment of a High Powered Committee

High-powered committee recom

   •   Enhance the issuer base and investor base including measures to bring in
       retail investors
•   Listing of primary issues and creation of a centralized database of primary
       issues
   •   Electronic trading system
   •   Comprehensive automated trade reporting system
   •   Safe and efficient clearing and settlement standards
   •   Repo in corporate bonds
   •   Promote credit enhancement
   •   Specialized debt funds to fund infrastructure projects
   •   Development of a municipal bond market

The Way Ahead

   •   Build upon the Strong Macroeconomic Performance
          –     Adherence to FRL
          –     Stability of Inflation Rate

-external debt management policy

Pension reforms

   •   Active Consolidation
   •   Floating Rate Bonds and Inflation-Indexed Bonds
   •   STRIPS
   •   Corporate Bonds
          –     Bond Insurance Institutions
          –     Institutional Investors: Credit Enhancers
          –     Securitised paper to be traded on exchanges
          –     Municipal Bonds, Mortgage Backed Securities, General Securitised
                Paper
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Bond market in india fis
Bond market in india fis
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Bond market in india fis

  • 1. Bond market in India HISTORY Towards the eighteenth century, the borrowing needs of Indian Princely States were largely met by Indigenous bankers and financiers. The concept of borrowing from the public in India was pioneered by the East India Company to finance its campaigns in South India (the Anglo French wars) in the eighteenth century. The debt owed by the Government to the public, over time, came to be known as public debt. The endeavors of the Company to establish government banks towards the end of the 18th Century owed in no small measure to the need to raise term and short term financial accommodation from banks on more satisfactory terms than they were able to garner on their own. Public Debt, today, is raised to meet the Governments revenue deficits (the difference between the income of the government and money spent to run the government) or to finance public works (capital formation). Borrowing for financing railway construction and public works such irrigation canals was first undertaken in 1867. The First World War saw a rise in India's Public Debt as a result of India's contribution to the British exchequer towards the cost of the war. The provinces of British India were allowed to float loans for the first time in December, 1920 when local government borrowing rules were issued under section 30(a) of the Government of India Act, 1919. Only three provinces viz., Bombay, United Provinces and Punjab utilised this sanction before the introduction of provincial autonomy. Public Debt was managed by the Presidency Banks, the Comptroller and Auditor-General of India till 1913 and thereafter by the Controller of the Currency till 1935 when the Reserve Bank commenced operations. Interest rates varied over time and after the uprising of 1857 gradually came down to about 5% and later to 4% in 1871. In 1894, the famous 3 1/2 % paper was created which continued to be in existence for almost 50 years. When the Reserve Bank of India took over the management of public debt from the Controller of the Currency in 1935, the total funded debt of the Central Government amounted to Rs 950 crores of which 54% amounted to sterling debt and 46% rupee debt and the debt of the Provinces amounted to Rs 18 crores. Broadly, the phases of public debt in India could be divided into the following phases. Upto 1867: when public debt was driven largely by needs of financing campaigns.
  • 2. 1867- 1916: when public debt was raised for financing railways and canals and other such purposes. 1917-1940: when public debt increased substantially essentially out of the considerations of 1940-1946: when because of war time inflation, the effort was to mop up as much a spossible of the current war time incomes 1947-1951: represented the interregnum following war and partition and the economy was unsettled. Government of India failed to achieve the estimates for borrwings for which credit had been taken in the annual budgets. 1951-1985: when borrowing was influenced by the five year plans. 1985-1991: when an attempt was made to align the interest rates on government securities with market interest rates in the wake of the recommendations of the Chakraborti Committee Report. 1991 to date: When comprehensive reforms of the Government Securities market were undertaken and an active debt management policy put in place. Ad Hoc Treasury bills were abolished; commenced the selling of securities through the auction process; new instruments were introduced such as zero coupon bonds, floating rate bonds and capital indexed bonds; the Securities Trading Corporation of India was established; a system of Primary Dealers in government securities was put in place; the spectrum of maturities was broadened; the system of Delivery versus payment was instituted; standard valuation norms were prescribed; and endeavours made to ensure transparency in operations through market process, the dissemination of information and efforts were made to give an impetus to the secondary market so as to broaden and deepen the market to make it more efficient. In India and the world over, Government Bonds have, from time to time, have not only adopted innovative methods for rasing resources (legalised wagering contracts like the Prize Bonds issued in the 1940s and later 1950s in India) but have also been used for various innovative schemes such as finance for development; social engineering like the abolition of the Zamindari system; saving the environment; or even weaning people away from gold (the gold bonds issued in 1993). Normally the sovereign is considered the best risk in the country and sovereign paper sets the benchmark for interest rates for the corresponding maturity of other issuing entities. Theoretically, others can borrow at a rate above what the Government pays depending on
  • 3. how their risk is perceived by the markets. Hence, a well developed Government Securities market helps in the efficient allocation of resources. A country‟s debt market to a large extent depends on the depth of the Government‟s Bond Market. It in in this context that the recent initiatives to widen and deepen the Government Securities Market and to make it more efficient have been taken. INTRODUCTION Traditionally, the capital markets in India are more synonymous with the equity markets – both on account of the common investors‟ preferences and the oft huge capital gains it offered – no matter what the risks involved are. The investor‟s preference for debt market, on the other hand, has been relatively a recent phenomenon – an outcome of the shift in the economic policy, whereby the market forces have been accorded a greater leeway in influencing the resource allocation. In a developing economy such as India, the role of the public sector and its financial requirements need no emphasis. Growing fiscal deficits and the policy stance of “directed investment” through statutory pre emption (the statutory liquidity ratio – SLR - for banks), ensured a captive but passive market for the Government securities. Besides, participation of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) as an investor in the Government borrowing programme (monetisation of deficits) led to a regime of financial repression. In an eventual administered interest rate regime, the asset liability mismatches pose no threat to the balance sheets of financial institutions. As a result, the banking system, which is the major holder of the Government securities portfolio, remained a dominant passive investor segment and the market remained dormant. The Indian Bond Market has been traditionally dominated by the Government securities market. The reasons for this are · The high and persistent government deficit and the need to promote an efficient government securities market to finance this deficit at an optimal cost, · A captive market for the government securities in the form of public sector banks which are required to invest in government securities a certain per cent of deposit liabilities as per statutory requirement1,
  • 4. · The predominance of bank lending in corporate financing and · Regulated interest rate environment that protected the banks‟ balance sheets on account of their exposure to the government securities. While these factors ensured the existence of a big Government securities market, the market was passive with the captive investors buying and holding on to the government securities till they mature. The trading activity was conspicuous by its absence. The scenario changed with the reforms process initiated in the early nineties. The gradual deregulation of interest rates and the Government‟s decision to borrow through auction mechanism and at market related rates DEBT MARKET Debt market as the name suggests is where debt instruments or bonds are traded. The most distinguishing feature of these instruments is that the return is fixed i.e. they are as close to being risk free as possible, if not totally risk free. The fixed return on the bond is known as the interest rate or the coupon rate. Thus, the buyer of a bond gives the seller a loan at a fixed rate, which is equal to the coupon rate. Debt Markets are therefore, markets for fixed income securities issued by: · Central and State Governments · Municipal Corporations · Entities like Financial Institutions, Banks, Public Sector Units, and Public Ltd. companies. The money market also deals in fixed income instruments. However, difference between money and bond markets is that the instruments in the bond markets have a larger time to maturity (more than one year). The money market on the other hand deals with instruments that have a lifetime of less than one year.
  • 5. Segments of Debt Markets There are three main segments in the debt markets in India, · Government Securities, · Public Sector Units (PSU) bonds and · Corporate securities. The market for Government Securities comprises the Centre, State and State-Sponsored securities. The PSU bonds are generally treated as surrogates of sovereign paper, sometimes due to explicit guarantee and often due to the comfort of public ownership. Some of the PSU bonds are tax free while most bonds, including government securities are not tax free. The Government Securities segment is the most dominant among these three segments. Many of the reforms in pre-1997 period were fundamental, like introduction of auction systems and PDs. The reform in the Government Securities market which began in 1992, with Reserve Bank playing a lead role, entered into a very active phase since April 1997, with particular emphasis on development of secondary and retail markets MARKET STRUCTURE
  • 6. There is no single location or exchange where debt market participants interact for common business. Participants talk to each other, conclude deals, send confirmations etc. on the telephone, with clerical staff doing the running around for settling trades. In that sense, the wholesale debt market is a virtual market. In order to understand the entirety of the wholesale debt market we have looked at it through a framework based on its main elements. The market is best understood by understanding these elements and their mutual interaction. These elements are as follows: · Instruments - the instruments that are being traded in the debt market. · Issuers - entity which issue these instruments. · Investors - entities which invest in these instruments or trade in these instruments. · Interventionists or Regulators - the regulators and the regulations governing the market. It is necessary to understand microstructure of any market to identify processes, products and issues governing its structure and development. In this section a schematic presentation is attempted on the micro-structure of Indian corporate debt market so that the issues are placed in a proper perspective. Figure gives a bird‟s eye view of the Indian debt market structure.
  • 7. Participants As is well known, a large participant base would result in lower cost of borrowing for the Government. In fact, retailing of Government Securities is high on the agenda of further reforms. Banks are the major investors in the Government Securities markets. Traditionally, banks are required to maintain a part of their net demand and time liabilities in the form of liquid assets of which Government Securities have always formed the predominant share. Despite lowering the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) to the minimum of 24 per cent, banks are holding a much larger share of Government Stock as a portfolio choice. Other major investors in Government Stock are financial institutions, insurance companies, mutual funds,
  • 8. corporate, individuals, non-resident Indians and overseas corporate bodies. Foreign institutional investors are permitted to invest in Treasury Bills and dated Government Securities in both primary and secondary markets. Often, the same participants are present in the non-Government debt market also, either as issuers or investors. For example, banks are issuers in the debt market for their Tier-II capital. On the other hand, they are investors in PSU bonds and corporate securities. Foreign Institutional Investors are relatively more active in non-Government debt segment as compared to the Government debt segment. · Central Governments, raising money through bond issuances, to fund budgetary deficits and other short and long term funding requirements. · Reserve Bank of India, as investment banker to the government, raises funds for the government through bond and t-bill issues, and also participates in the market through open- market operations. · Primary Dealers, who are market intermediaries appointed by the Reserve Bank of India who underwrite and make market in government securities, and have access to the call markets and repo markets for funds. · State Governments, municipalities and local bodies, which issue securities in the debt markets to fund their developmental projects, as well as to finance their budgetary deficits. · Public Sector Units are large issuers of debt securities, for raising funds to meet the long term and working capital needs. These corporations are also investors in bonds issued in the debt markets. · Public Sector Financial Institutions regularly access debt markets with bonds for funding their financing requirements and working capital needs. They also invest in bonds issued by other entities in the debt markets. · Banks are the largest investors in the debt markets, particularly the treasury bond and bill markets. They have a statutory requirement to hold a certain percentage of their deposits (currently the mandatory requirement is 24% of deposits) in approved securities
  • 9. · Mutual Funds have emerged as another important player in the debt markets, owing primarily to the growing number of bond funds that have mobilized significant amounts from the investors. · Foreign Institutional Investors FIIs can invest in Government Securities upto US $ 5 billion and in Corporate Debt up to US $ 15 billion. · Provident Funds are large investors in the bond markets, as the prudential regulations governing the deployment of the funds they mobilise, mandate investments pre-dominantly in treasury and PSU bonds. They are, however, not very active traders in their portfolio, as they are not permitted to sell their holdings, unless they have a funding requirement that cannot be met through regular accruals and contributions. · Corporate treasuries issue short and long term paper to meet the financial requirements of the corporate sector. They are also investors in debt securities issued in the debt market. · Charitable Institutions, Trusts and Societies are also large investors in the debt markets. They are, however, governed by their rules and byelaws with respect to the kind of bonds they can buy and the manner in which they can trade on their debt portfolios. DEBT MARKET INSTRUMENTS The instruments traded can be classified into the following segments based on the characteristics of the identity of the issuer of these securities
  • 10. Commercial Paper (CP): They are primarily issued by corporate entities. It is compulsory for the issuance of CPs that the company be assigned a rating of at least P1 by a recognized credit rating agency. An important point to be noted is that funds raised through CPs do not
  • 11. represent fresh borrowings but are substitutes to a part of the banking limits available to them. Certificates of Deposit (CD): While banks are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity period of less than 1 year, financial institutions can issue CDs with a maturity of at least 1 year. The prime reason for an active market in CDs in India is that their issuance does not warrant reserve requirements for bank. Treasury Bills (T-Bills): T-Bills are issued by the RBI at the behest of the Government of India and thus are actually a class of Government Securities. Presently T-Bills are issued in maturity periods of 91 days, 182 days and 364 days. Potential investors have to put in competitive bids. Non-competitive bids are also allowed in auctions (only from specified entities like State Governments and their undertakings, statutory bodies and individuals) wherein the bidder is allotted T-Bills at the weighted average cut off price. Long-term debt instruments: These instruments have a maturity period exceeding 1year. The main instruments are Government of India dated securities (GOISEC), State Government securities (state loans), Public Sector Undertaking bonds (PSU bonds) and corporate bonds/debenture. Majority of these instruments are coupon bearing i.e. interest payments are payable at pre specified dates. Government of India dated securities (GOISECs): Issued by the RBI on behalf of the Central Government, they form a part of the borrowing program approved by Parliament in the Finance Bill each year (Union Budget). They have a maturity period ranging from 1 year to 30 years. GOISECs are issued through the auction route with the RBI pre specifying an approximate amount of dated securities that it intends to issue through the year. But unlike T-Bills, there is no pre set schedule for the auction dates. The RBI also issues products other than plain vanilla bonds at times, such as floating rate bonds, inflation-linked bonds and zero coupon bonds. State Government Securities (state loans): Although these are issued by the State Governments, the RBI organizes the process of selling these securities. The entire process, 17 right from selling to auction allotment is akin to that for GOISECs. They also form a part of the SLR requirements and interest payment and other modalities are analogous to GOISECs. Although there is no Central Government guarantee on these loans, they are believed to be exceedingly secure. One important point is that the coupon rates on state
  • 12. oans are slightly higher than those of GOISECs, probably denoting their sub-sovereign status. Public Sector Undertaking Bonds (PSU Bonds): These are long-term debt instruments issued generally through private placement. The Ministry of Finance has granted certain PSUs, the right to issue tax-free bonds. This was done to lower the interest cost for those PSUs who could not afford to pay market determined interest rates. Bonds of Public Financial Institutions (PFIs): Financial Institutions are also allowed to issue bonds, through two ways - through public issues for retail investors and trusts and secondly through private placements to large institutional investors. Corporate debentures: These are long-term debt instruments issued by private companies and have maturities ranging from 1 to 10 years. Debentures are generally less liquid as compared to PSU bonds. TERMS IN DEBT MARKET An individual must be aware about the following terms associated with Government Securities: · Coupon: The 'Coupon' denotes the rate of interest payable on the security. E.g. a security with a coupon of 7.40% would draw an interest of 7.40% on the face value. · Interest Payment Dates (IP dates): The dates on which the coupon (interest) payments are made are called as the IP dates. · Last Interest Payment Date (LIP Date): LIP date refers to the date on which the interest was last paid. · Accrued Interest: Accrued interest is the interest charged at the coupon rate from the Last Interest Payment to the date of settlement. Accrued Interest for a security depends upon its coupon rate and the number of days from its LIP date to the settlement date. · Day count convention: The market uses quite a few conventions for calculation of the number of days that has elapsed between two dates. The ultimate aim of any convention is to calculate (days in a month)/(days in a year). The Fixed Income Instruments in India 18/90
  • 13. conventions used are as below. We take the example of a bond with Face Value 100, coupon 12.50%, last coupon paid on 15th June, 2008 and traded for value 5th October, 2008. – A/360(Actual by 360) :In this method, the actual number of days elapsed between the two dates is divided by 360, i.e. the year is assumed to have 360 days. – A/365 (Actual by 365) :In this method, the actual number of days elapsed between the two dates is divided by 365, i.e. the year is assumed to have 365 days. – A/A (Actual by Actual): In this method, the actual number of days elapsed between the two dates is divided by the actual days in the year. – 30/360-Day Count: A 30/360-day count says that all months consist of 30 days. i.e. the month of February as well as the month of March is assumed to have thirty days. · Yield: Yield is the effective rate of interest received on a security. It takes into consideration the price of the security and hence differs as the price changes, since the coupon rate is paid on the face value and not the price of purchase. The concept can be best understood by the following example: Ø A security with a coupon of 7.40%: Ø If purchased at Rs. 100 the yield will be 7.40% Ø If purchased at Rs. 200 the yield becomes 3.70%. Ø If purchased at Rs. 50 the yield becomes 14.80% Ø Thus it is seen that higher the price lesser will be the yield and vice-versa. Ø The yield will be equal to the coupon rate if and only if the security is purchased at the face value (Par). · Yield to Maturity (YTM): YTM implies the effective rate of interest received if one holds the security till its maturity. This is a better parameter to see the effective rate of return as YTM also takes into consideration the time factor. · Holding Period Yield (HPY): HPY comes into the picture when an investor does not hold the security till maturity. HPY denotes the effective Fixed Income Instruments in India 19/90 yield for the period from the date of purchase to the date of sale.
  • 14. · Clean Price: Clean Price denotes the actual price of the security as determined by the market. · Dirty Price: Dirty Price is the price that is obtained when the accrued interest is added to the Clean Price. · Shut Period: The government security pays interest twice a year. This interest is paid on the IP dates. One working day prior to the IP date, the security is not traded in the market. This period is referred to as the 'Shut Period'. · Face Value: The Face Value of the securities in a transaction is the number of Government Security multiplied by Rs.100 (face Value of each Government Security). Say, a transaction of 5000 Government Security will imply a face value of Rs. 5,00,000 (i.e. 5000 * 100) · "Cum-Interest" and "Ex-Interest”: Cum-interest means the price of security is inclusive of the interest accrued for the interim period between last interest payment date and purchase date. Security with ex-interest means the accrued interest has to be paid separately · Trade Value: The Trade Value is the number of Government Security multiplied by the price of each security. Primary and Satellite Dealers: Primary Dealers can be referred to as Merchant Bankers to Government of India, comprising the first tier of the government securities market. They were formed during the year 1994-96 to strengthen the market infrastructure.PDs are expected to absorb government securities in primary markets, to provide two-way quotes in the secondary market and help develop the retail market. The capital adequacy requirements of PDs take into account both credit risk and market risk. They are required to maintain a minimum capital of 15 per cent of aggregate risk weighted assets, including market risk capital (arrived at using the Value at Risk method). ALM discipline has been extended to PDs. RBI is also vested with the responsibility of on-site supervision of PDs. PDs have now been brought under the purview of the Board for Financial Supervision. The satellite dealer system was introduced in 1996 to act as a second tier to the Primary Dealers in developing the market particularly the retail segment. The system which was in operation for more than six years was discontinued because it did not yield the desired results.
  • 15. SIZE OF DEBT MARKET Worldwide debt markets are three to four times larger than equity markets. However, the debt market in India is very small in comparison to the equity market. This is because the domestic debt market has been deregulated and liberalized only recently and is at a relatively nascent stage of development. The debt market in India is comprised of two main segments, the Government securities market and the corporate securities market. Government securities form the major part of the debt market-accounting for about 90-95% in terms of outstanding issues, market capitalization and trading value. In the last few years there has been significant growth in the Government securities market. The aggregate trading volumes of Government securities in the secondary market have grown significantly from 1998-99 to 2008-09. Turnover in the Government Securities Market (Face Value) GOI TURNOVER
  • 16. summary of average maturity and cut-off yields in primary market borrowings of the government. In terms of size, the Indian debt market is the third largest in Asia after Japan and Korea. It, however, fairs poorly when compared to other economies like the US and the Euro area. The Indian debt market also lags behind in terms of the size of the corporate debt market. The share of corporate debt in the total debt issued had in fact declined.
  • 17. Market Capitalization - NSE-WDM Segment as on March 31, 2008 REGULATORS The Securities Contracts Regulation Act (SCRA) defines the regulatory role of various regulators in the securities market. Accordingly, with its powers to regulate the money and
  • 18. Government securities market, the RBI regulates the money market segment of the debt products (CPs, CDs) and the Government securities market. The non Government bond market is regulated by the SEBI. The SEBI also regulates the stock exchanges and hence the regulatory overlap in regulating transactions in Government securities on stock exchanges have to be dealt with by both the regulators (RBI and SEBI) through mutual cooperation. In any case, High Level Co-ordination Committee on Financial and Capital Markets (HLCCFCM), constituted in 1999 with the Governor of the RBI as Chairman, and the Chiefs of the securities market and insurance regulators, and the Secretary of the Finance Ministry as the members, is addressing regulatory gaps and overlaps. FACTORS AFFECTING MARKET • Internal Factors – Interest rate movement in the system – RBI economic policies – Demand for money – Government borrowings to tide over its fiscal deficit – Supply of money – Inflation rate – Credit quality of the issuer. • External Factors – World Economy & its impact – Foreign Exchange – Fed rate cut – Crude Oil prices – Economic Indicators BENEFITS OF INVESTING IN A DEBT MARKET · Safety: The Zero Default Risk is the greatest attraction for investments in Government Securities. It enjoys the greatest amount of security possible, as the Government of India issues it. Hence they are also known as Gilt-Edged Securities or 'Gilts'. · Fixed Income: During the term of the security there is likely to be fluctuations in the Government Security prices and thus there exists a price risk associated with investment in Government Security. However, the return on the holding of investment is fixed if the
  • 19. security is held till maturity and the effective yield at the time of purchase is known and certain. In other words the investment becomes a fixed income investment if the buyer holds the security till maturity. · Convenience: Government Securities do not attract deduction of tax at source (TDS) and hence the investor having a non-taxable gross income need not file a return only to obtain a TDS refund. · Simplicity: To buy and sell Government Securities all an individual has to do is call his / her Broker and place an order. If an individual does not trade in the Equity markets, he / she has to open a demat account and then can commence trading through any broker. · Liquidity: Government Security when actively traded on exchanges will be highly liquid, since a national trading platform is available to the investors. · Diversification Government Securities are available with a tenor of a few months up to 30 years. An investor then has a wide time horizon, thus providing greater diversification opportunities DEVELOPMENTS IN MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE: Securities Settlement System: Settlement of government securities and funds is being done on a gross trade-by-trade Delivery vs. Payments (DvP) basis in the books of Reserve Bank, since 1995. A Special Funds Facility from Reserve Bank for securities settlement has also been in operation since October 2000 for breaking gridlock situations arising in the course of DvP settlement. With the introduction of Clearing Corporation of India Ltd (CCIL) in February 2002, which acts as clearing house and a central counterparty, the problem of gridlock of settlements has been reduced. To enable Constituent Subsidiary General Ledger (CSGL) account holders to avail of the benefits of dematerialised holding through their bankers, detailed guidelines have been issued to ensure that entities providing custodial services for their constituents employ appropriate accounting practices and safekeeping procedures. Negotiated Dealing System: A Negotiated Dealing System (NDS) (Phase I) has been operationalised effective from February 15, 2002. In Phase I, the NDS provides on line electronic bidding facility in primary auctions, daily LAF auctions, screen based electronic dealing and reporting of transactions in money market instruments, facilitates secondary
  • 20. market transactions in Government securities and dissemination of information on trades with minimal time lag. In addition, the NDS enables "paperless" settlement of transactions in government securities with electronic connectivity to CCIL and the DvP settlement system at the Public Debt Office through electronic SGL transfer form. Clearing Corporation of India Limited:The Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL) commenced its operations in clearing and settlement of transactions in Government securities (including repos) with effect from February 15, 2002. Acting as a central counterparty through novation, the CCIL provides guaranteed settlement and has in place risk management systems to limit settlement risk and operates a settlement guarantee fund backed by lines of credit from commercial banks. All repo transactions have to be necessarily put through the CCIL, while all outright transactions up to Rs.200 million have to be settled through CCIL (Transactions involving larger amounts are settled directly in RBI). Transparency and Data Dissemination : To enable both institutional and retail investors to plan their investments better and also to providing further transparency and stability in the Government securities market, an indicative calendar for issuance of dated securities has been introduced in 2002. To improve the information flow to the market Reserve Bank announces auction results on the day of auction itself and all transactions settled through SGL accounts are released on the same day by way of press releases/on RBI website. Statistical information relating to both primary and secondary market for Government securities is disseminated at regular interval to ensure transparency of debt management operations as well as of secondary market activity. This is done through either press releases or Bank‟s publications viz., (e.g., RBI monthly Bulletin, Weekly Statistical Supplement, Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy, Report on Currency and Finance and Annual Report). Fixed Income Auction INTRODUCTION The Government of India issues securities in order to borrow money from the market. One way in which the securities are offered to investors is through auctions. The government notifies the date on which it will borrow a notified amount through an auction. The investors bid either in terms of the rate of interest (coupon) for a new security or the price for an existing security being reissued. Since the process of bidding is somewhat technical, only the large and informed investors, such as, banks, primary dealers, financial institutions, mutual funds, insurance companies, etc generally participate in the auctions. This left out a
  • 21. large section of medium and small investors from the primary market for government securities which is not only safe and secure but also gives market related rates of return. The Reserve Bank of India has announced a facility of non-competitive bidding in dated government securities on December 7th 2001 for small investors. NON-COMPETITIVE BIDDING Non-competitive bidding means the bidder would be able to participate in the auctions of dated government securities without having to quote the yield or price in the bid. Thus, he will not have to worry about whether his bid will be on or off-the-mark; as long as he bids in accordance with the scheme, he will be allotted securities fully or partially. Participation Participation in the Scheme of non-competitive bidding is open to individuals, HUFs, firms, companies, corporate bodies, institutions, provident funds, trusts and any other entity prescribed by RBI. As the focus is on the small investors lacking market expertise, the Scheme will be open to those who do not have current account (CA) or Subsidiary General Ledger (SGL) account with the Reserve Bank of India do not require more than Rs.one crore (face value) of securities per auction As an exception, Regional Rural Banks (RRBs), Urban Cooperative Banks (UCBs) and Non- banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) can also apply under this Scheme in view of their statutory obligations. However, the restriction in regarding the maximum amount of Rs. one crore per auction per investor will remain applicable. Silent Features · Eligible investors cannot participate directly. They have to necessarily come through a Bank or Primary Dealer (PD) for auction. · The minimum amount for bidding will be Rs.10,000 (face value) and in multiples in Rs.10,000. · An investor can make only a single bid through any bank or PD under this scheme in each specified auction. · The bank or PD through whom the investor bids will obtain and keep on record an undertaking to the effect that the investor is making only a single bid.
  • 22. Advantages The non competitive bidding facility will encourage wider participation and retail holding of government securities. It will enable individuals , firms and other mid segment investors who do not have the expertise to bid competitively in the auctions. Such investors will have fair chance of assured allotments at the rate which emerges in the auction. Scope of the scheme · Non-competitive bids will be allowed upto 5 percent of the notified amount in the specified auctions of dated securities. · Non-competitive bidding will be allowed only in select auctions of dated Government of India securities which will be announced as and when proposed to be issued. · The scheme is not applicable for Treasury Bills. Auction Process · Each bank or PD will, on the basis of firm orders, submit a single bid for the aggregate amount of non-competitive bids on the day of the auction. The bank or PD will furnish details of individual customers, viz., name, amount, etc. along with the application. · This will be notified at the time of announcement of the specific auction for which non competitive bids will be invited. · The Government of India notifies the auction of government securities. It also notifies the amount and whether it will be a new loan or reissue of an existing loan. It also announces whether the bidders have to bid for the price or the coupon (interest rate).The competitive bidders put in competitive bids for the price or the coupon. The cutoff price or the coupon is then announced by RBI on the basis of the bids received. All successful bidders will be allotted the security auctioned either in full or in part. Example Recently, an auction was held for government of India's 12 year Government Stock in which the notified amount was Rs.5,000 crore. The coupon rate for cut-off yield was 8.40 per cent. The weighted average yield was, however, 8.36 per cent since allotments were made to
  • 23. different successful bidders at the rates quoted by them at or below the cut off rates (i.e. multiple price auction system). · The allotment to the non-competitive segment will be at the weighted average rate that will emerge in the auction on the basis of competitive bidding. Allotment Process · The RBI will allot the bids under the non-competitive segment to the bank or PD which, in turn, will allocate to the bidders. · In case the aggregate amount bid is more than the reserved amount through non- competitive bidding, allotment would be made on a pro rata basis. Example: Suppose, the amount reserved for allotment in non competitive basis is 10 crore. The total amount bid at the auction for Non competitive segment is 12 crore. The partial allotment percentage is =10/12=83.33%. The actual allocation in the auction will be as follows: · It may be noted that the actual allotment may vary slightly at times from the partial allotment ratio due to rounding off with a view to ensuring that the allotted amounts are in multiples of 10,000/-. · In case the aggregate amount bid is less than the reserved amount all the applicants will be allotted in full and the shortfall amount will be taken to the competitive portion. · It will be responsibility of the bank or PD to appropriately allocate securities to their clients in a transparent manner. Settlement Process
  • 24. · In the above example, where the auction was yield based, the cut off rate that emerged in the auction was 8.40 per cent; while the weighted average cut off rate was 9.36 per cent. At the weighted average rate of 8.36 per cent the price of the security works out to Rs.100.27. Therefore, under the Scheme, the investor will get the security at Rs.100.27. Hence, price payable for every Rs.100 (face value) is Rs. 100.27. Therefore, for securities worth Rs.10,000, he will have to pay (Price x Face value/100) = 100.27 x 10,000/100=Rs.10,270/- · Since the bank/PD has to make payment on the date of issue itself , in case payment is made by the client after date of issue of the security, the consideration amount payable by the client to the bank or the PD would include accrued interest. For example, if for security 8.40% GOI 2022, the payment is made three days after the date of issue, the accrued interest component will amount to 8.40/100x3/360x10,000 = Rs.7.83. Hence, if the security price is Rs.100.27, the total amount payable by the investor for acquiring securities worth Rs.10,000 after three days will be Rs. 10, 270 + Rs. 7.83 = Rs.10, 277. 83 (if not rounded off). · The non competitive bidders will pay the weighted average price which will emerge in the auction. · For example, on December 5, 2009 RBI held a price based auction of an existing security 8.20% GOI 2022 maturing on 19 April, 2022. The cut off price emerged in the auction was Rs. 100.62. The weighted average price was Rs. 100.69. Thus the non competitive bidders will pay the weighted average price of Rs. 100.69. In addition, they have to pay accrued interest as indicated below. · Price payable for every Rs.100 (face value) is Rs.100.69. Therefore, for securities worth Rs.10,000, he will have to pay (Price x Face value/100) = 100.69 x 10,000/100=Rs.10,069/-. Since the coupon on dated GOI securities are payable half yearly, the coupon payment dates for the security are 19 April/ 19 October. Now if the security was paid for (settled) on December 6, 2009, the accrued interest from the last coupon date to the date of settlement viz. from 19 October, 2009 to December 6, 2009, i.e. for 47 days will be 8.22/100 x 47/360x10000=Rs 107.31 · Hence, the amount payable by the investor will be price plus accrued interest, i.e. Rs 10069 + 107.31 = 10,176.31/- (if not rounded off). If the payment is not made on December 6, 2009 but, say, on December 9, 2009, the accrued interest component will be for 50 days
  • 25. instead of 47 days (i.e.3 days more) and it will work out to 8.22/100x50/360 x10,000=Rs.114.16 .The total amount payable by the investor will then be 10069 + 114.16 =10,183.16/-(if not rounded off) · The transfer of securities to the clients should be completed within five working days from the date of the auction. Delivery and Form of Holding. · RBI will issue securities only in demat (SGL) form. It will credit the securities to the CSGL account of the bank/PD. · SGL or CSGL are a demat form of holding government securities with the RBI. Just as an investor can hold shares in demat form with a depository participant, he can also hold government securities in an account with a bank or a PD. Securities kept on behalf of customers by banks or PDs are kept in a segregated CSGL A/c with the RBI. Thus, if the bank or the PD buys security for his client, it gets credited to the CSGL account of bank or PD with the RBI. · It will not be mandatory for the retail investor to maintain a constituent subsidiary general ledger (CSGL) account with a bank or a primary dealer (PD) through whom it proposes to participate in the auction. It will, however, be convenient for the investor to have such an account. · RBI will issue the securities to the bank or PD that has bid on behalf of non-competitive bidder against payment made by the bank or PD on the date of issue itself. · The non-competitive bidder will make payment to the bank or the PD through which he has put the bid and receive his securities from them. · In other words, the RBI will issue securities to the bank or the PD against payment received from the bank or the PD on the date of issue irrespective of whether the bank or the PD has received payment from their clients. · The bank or the PD can recover upto six paise per Rs.100 as commission for rendering this service to their clients. · The bank or the PD can build this cost into the sale price or it can recover separately from the clients.
  • 26. · Modalities for obtaining payment from clients towards the cost of securities, accrued interest, wherever applicable and commission will have to be worked out by the bank or the PD and clearly stated in the contract made for the purpose with the client. · The bank or the PD is not permitted to build any other cost, such as funding cost, into the price. In other words, the bank or the PD cannot recover any other cost from the client other than accrued interest as indicated. · PDs and banks will furnish information relating to the Scheme to the Reserve Bank of India as and when called for. RBI can also review the guidelines. If and when the guidelines are revised, RBI will notify the modified guidelines. Fixed Income Instruments INTRODUCTION A bond is a debt security, similar to an I.O.U. When you purchase a bond, you are lending money to a government, municipality, corporation, federal agency or other entity known as an issuer. In return for that money, the issuer provides you with a bond in which it promises to pay a specified rate of interest during the life of the bond and to repay the face value of the bond (the principal) when it matures, or comes due. Fixed income instruments constitute a claim on the issuer of a loan. The yield is normally paid in the form of interest. There are various types of fixed income instruments depending on which the issuer has issued the instrument, the collateral given by the issuer for the loan, the maturity until repayment date and the form of disbursement of interest. TYPES OF FIXED INCOME INSTRUMENTS · BASED ON COUPON OF A BOND · BASED ON MATURITY OF A BOND · BASED ON THE PRINCIPAL REPAYMENT OF A BOND · ASSET BACKED SECURITIES BASED ON COUPON OF A BOND
  • 27. Zero Coupon Bond In such a bond, no coupons are paid. The bond is instead issued at a discount to its face value, at which it will be redeemed. There are no intermittent payments of interest. When such a bond is issued for a very long tenor, the issue price is at a steep discount to the redemption value. Such a zero coupon bond is also called a deep discount bond. The effective interest earned by the buyer is the difference between the face value and the discounted price at which the bond is bought. There are also instances of zero coupon bonds being issued at par, and redeemed with interest at a premium. The essential feature of this type of bonds is the absence of intermittent cash flows. Treasury Strips In the United States, government dealer firms buy coupon paying treasury bonds, and create out of each cash flow of such a bond, a separate zero coupon bond. For example, a 7-year coupon-paying bond comprises of 14 cash flows, representing half-yearly coupons and the repayment of principal on maturity. Dealer firms split this bond into 14 zero coupon bonds, each one with a differing maturity and sell them separately, to buyers with varying tenor preferences. Such bonds are known as treasury strips. (Strips is an acronym for Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities). We do not have treasury strips yet in the Indian markets. RBI and Government are making efforts to develop market for strips in government securities. Floating Rate Bonds Instead of a pre-determined rate at which coupons are paid, it is possible to structure bonds, where the rate of interest is re-set periodically, based on a benchmark rate. Such bonds whose coupon rate is not fixed, but reset with reference to a benchmark rate, are called floating rate bonds. For example, IDBI issued a 5 year floating rate bond, in July 2009, with the rates being reset semi-annually with reference to the 10 year yield on Central Government securities and a 50 basis point mark-up. In this bond, every six months, the 10- year benchmark rate on government securities is ascertained. The coupon rate IDBI would pay for the next six months is this benchmark rate, plus 50 basis points. The coupon on a floating rate bond thus varies along with the benchmark rate, and is reset periodically.
  • 28. The Central Government has also started issuing floating rate bonds tying the coupon to the average cut-off yields of last six 364-day T-bills yields. Some floating rate bonds also have caps and floors, which represent the upper and lower limits within which the floating rates can vary. For example, the IDBI bond described above had a floor of 9.5%. This means, the lender would receive a minimum of 9.5% as coupon rate, should the benchmark rate fall below this threshold. A ceiling or a cap represents the maximum interest that the borrower will pay, should the benchmark rate move above such a level. Most corporate bonds linked to the call rates, have such a ceiling to cap the interest obligation of the borrower, in the event of the benchmark call rates rising very steeply. Floating rate bonds, whose coupon rates are bound by both a cap and floor, are called as range notes, because the coupon rates vary within a certain range. The other names, by which floating rate bonds are known, are variable rate bonds and adjustable rate bonds. These terms are generally used in the case of bonds whose coupon rates are reset at longer time intervals of a year and above. These bonds are common in the housing loan markets. In the developed markets, there are floating rate bonds, whose coupon rates move in the direction opposite to the direction of the benchmark rates. Such bonds are called inverse floaters. Other Variations In the mid-eighties, the US markets witnessed a variety of coupon structures in the high yield bond market (junk bonds) for leveraged buy-outs. In many of these cases, structures that enabled the borrowers to defer the payment of coupons were created. Some of the more popular structures were: (a) deferred interest bonds, where the borrower could defer the payment of coupons in the initial 3 to 7 year period; (b) Step-up bonds, where the coupon was stepped up by a few basis points periodically, so that the interest burden in the initial years is lower, and increases over time; and (c) extendible reset bond, in which investment bankers reset the rates, not on the basis of a benchmark, but after re-negotiating a new rate, which in the opinion of the lender and borrower, represented the rate for the bond after taking into account the new circumstances at the time of reset. BASED ON MATURITY OF A BOND
  • 29. Callable Bonds Bonds that allow the issuer to alter the tenor of a bond, by redeeming it prior to the original maturity date, are called callable bonds. The inclusion of this feature in the bond‟s structure provides the issuer the right to fully or partially retire the bond, and is therefore in the nature of call option on the bond. Since these options are not separated from the original bond issue, they are also called embedded options. A call option can be an European option, where the issuer specifies the date on which the option could be exercised. Alternatively, the issuer can embed an American option in the bond, providing him the right to call the bond on or anytime before a pre-specified date. The call option provides the issuer the option to redeem a bond, if interest rates decline, and re-issue the bonds at a lower rate. The investor, however, loses the opportunity to stay invested in a high coupon bond, when interest rates have dropped. The call option, therefore, can effectively alter the term of a bond, and carries an added set of risks to the investor, in the form of call risk, and re-investment risk. As we shall see later, the prices at which these bonds would trade in the market are also different, and depend on the probability of the call option being exercised by the issuer. In the home loan markets, pre-payment of housing loans represent a special case of call options exercised by borrowers. Housing finance companies are exposed to the risk of borrowers exercising the option to pre-pay, thus retiring a housing loan, when interest rates fall. The Central Government has also issued an embedded option bond that gives options to both issuer (Government) and the holders of the bonds to exercise the option of call/put after expiry of 5 years. This embedded option would reduce the cost for the issuer in a falling interest rate scenario and helpful for the bond holders in a rising interest rate scenario. Puttable Bonds Bonds that provide the investor with the right to seek redemption from the issuer, prior to the maturity date, are called puttable bonds. The put options embedded in the bond provides the investor the rights to partially or fully sell the bonds back to the issuer, either on or before pre-specified dates. The actual terms of the put option are stipulated in the original bond indenture. A put option provides the investor the right to sell a low coupon-paying bond to the issuer, and invest in higher coupon paying bonds, if interest rates move up. The issuer will have to re-issue the put bonds at higher coupons. Puttable bonds represent a re-pricing risk to the
  • 30. issuer. When interest rates increase, the value of bonds would decline. Therefore put options, which seek redemptions at par, represent an additional loss to the issuer. Convertible Bonds A convertible bond provides the investor the option to convert the value of the outstanding bond into equity of the borrowing firm, on pre-specified terms. Exercising this option leads to redemption of the bond prior to maturity, and its replacement with equity. At the time of the bond‟s issue, the indenture clearly specifies the conversion ratio and the conversion price. The conversion ratio refers to the number of equity shares, which will be issued in exchange for the bond that is being converted. The conversion price is the resulting price when the conversion ratio is applied to the value of the bond, at the time of conversion. Bonds can be fully converted, such that they are fully redeemed on the date of conversion. Bonds can also be issued as partially convertible, when a part of the bond is redeemed and equity shares are issued in the pre-specified conversion ratio, and the nonconvertible portion continues to remain as a bond. BASED ON THE PRINCIPAL REPAYMENT OF A BOND Amortising Bonds The structure of some bonds may be such that the principal is not repaid at the end/maturity, but over the life of the bond. A bond, in which payment made by the borrower over the life of the bond, includes both interest and principal, is called an amortising bond. Auto loans, consumer loans and home loans are examples of amortising bonds. The maturity of the amortising bond refers only to the last payment in the amortising schedule, because the principal is repaid over time. Bonds with Sinking Fund Provisions In certain bond indentures, there is a provision that calls upon the issuer to retire some amount of the outstanding bonds every year. This is done either by buying some of the outstanding bonds in the market, or as is more common, by creating a separate fund, which calls the bonds on behalf of the issuer. Such provisions that enable retiring bonds over their lives are called sinking fund provisions. In many cases, the sinking fund is managed by trustees, who regularly retire part of the outstanding bonds, usually at par. Sinking funds also enable paying off bonds over their life, rather than at maturity. One usual variant is
  • 31. applicability of the sinking fund provision after few years of the issue of the bond, so that the funds are available to the borrower for a minimum period, before redemption can commence. ASSET BACKED SECURITIES Asset backed securities represent a class of fixed income securities, created out of pooling together assets, and creating securities that represent participation in the cash flows from the asset pool. For example, select housing loans of a loan originator (say, a housing finance company) can be pooled, and securities can be created, which represent a claim on the repayments made by home loan borrowers. Such securities are called mortgage–backed securities. In the Indian context, these securities are known as structured obligations (SO). Since the securities are created from a select pool of assets of the originator, it is possible to „cherry-pick‟ and create a pool whose asset quality is better than that of the originator. It is also common for structuring these instruments, with clear credit enhancements, achieved either through guarantees, or through the creation of exclusive preemptive access to cash flows through escrow accounts. Assets with regular streams of cash flows are ideally suited for creating asset-backed securities. In the Indian context, car loan and truck loan receivables have been securitized. Securitized home loans represent a very large segment of the US bond markets, next in size only to treasury borrowings. However, the market for securitization has not developed appreciably because of the lack of legal clarity and conducive regulatory environment. The Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest Act were approved by parliament in November 2002. The Act also provides a legal framework for securitization of financial assets and asset reconstruction. The securitization companies or reconstruction companies shall be regulated by RBI. The security receipts issued by these companies will be securities within the meaning of the Securities Contract (Regulation) Act, 1956. These companies would have powers to acquire assets by issuing a debenture or bond or any other security in the nature of debenture in lieu thereof. Once an asset has been acquired by the asset reconstruction company, such company would have the same powers for enforcement of securities as the original lender. This has given the legal sanction to securitized debt in India. Bond Investment Strategies INTRODUCTION
  • 32. How do you make bonds work for your investment goals? Strategies for bond investing range from a buy-and-hold approach to complex tactical trades involving views on inflation and interest rates. As with any kind of investment, the right strategy for you will depend on your goals, your time frame and your appetite for risk. Bonds can help you meet a variety of financial goals such as: preserving principal, earning income, managing tax liabilities, balancing the risks of stock investments and growing your assets. Because most bonds have a specific maturity date, they can be a good way to make sure that the money will be there at a future date when you need it. Your goals will change over time, as will the economic conditions affecting the bond market. As you regularly evaluate your investments, check back often for information that can help you see if your bond investment strategy is still on target to meet your financial goals. As you build your investment portfolio of fixed-income securities, there are various techniques you and your investment advisor can use to help you match your investment goals with your risk tolerance. BOND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES The way you invest in bonds for the short-term or the long-term depends on your investment goals and time frames, the amount of risk you are willing to take and your tax status. When considering a bond investment strategy, remember the importance of diversification. DIVERSIFICATION As a general rule, it‟s never a good idea to put all your assets and all your risk in a single asset class or investment. You will want to diversify the risks within your bond investments by creating a portfolio of several bonds, each with different characteristics. Choosing bonds from different issuers protects you from the possibility that any one issuer will be unable to meet its obligations to pay interest and principal. Choosing bonds of different types (government, agency, corporate, municipal, mortgage-backed securities, etc.) creates protection from the possibility of losses in any particular market sector. Choosing bonds of different maturities helps you manage interest rate risk.
  • 33. Bond Ladders, barbells, and bullets are strategies that will help the investor diversify and balance their bond portfolios to achieve their desired result. The terminology of these strategies actually reflects the character of that strategy. For example, a bond ladder will enable the bond investor to set up a bond re-investment strategy, in steps. The barbell approach resembles a barbell in that bonds are purchased heavily in the short end and the long end. Medium term notes are left out of the mix. Finally, with the bullet strategy, each bond will share the same maturity date. They will typically start at different intervals, but they all will mature together Ladders Ladders are a popular strategy for staggering the maturity of your bond investments and for setting up a schedule for reinvesting them as they mature. A ladder can help you reap the typically higher coupon rates of longer-term investments, while allowing you to reinvest a portion of your funds every few years. Example You buy three bonds with different maturity dates: two years, four years, and six years. As each bond matures, you have the option of buying another bond to keep the ladder going. In this example, you buy 10-year bonds. Longer-term bonds typically offer higher interest rates.
  • 34. Ladders are popular among investors who want bonds as part of a long-term investment objective, such as saving for college tuition, or seeking additional predictable income for retirement planning. Ladders have several potential advantages: · The periodic return of principal provides the investor with additional income beyond the set interest payments · The income derived from principal and interest payments can either be directed back into the ladder if interest rates are relatively high or invested elsewhere if they are relatively low · Interest rate volatility is reduced because the investor now determines the best investment option every few years, as each bond matures · Investors should be aware that laddering can require commitment of assets over time, and return of principal at time of redemption is not guaranteed Barbells Barbells are a strategy for buying short-term and long-term bonds, but not intermediate-term bonds. The long-term end of the barbell allows you to lock into attractive long-term interest rates, while the short-term end insures that you will have the opportunity to invest elsewhere if the bond market takes a downturn. Example: You see appealing long-term interest rates, so you buy two long-term bonds. You also buy two short-term bonds. When the short-term bonds mature, you receive the principal and have the opportunity to reinvest it.
  • 35. Bullets Bullets are a strategy for having several bonds mature at the same time and minimizing the interest rate risk by staggering when you buy the bonds. This is useful when you know that you will need the proceeds from the bonds at a specific time, such as when a child begins college. Example: You want all bonds to mature in 10 years, but want to stagger the investment to reduce the interest rate risk. You buy the bonds over four years.
  • 36. BOND SWAPPING Techniques to lower your taxes and improve the quality of your portfolio. A bond swap is a technique whereby an investor chooses to sell a bond and simultaneously purchase another bond with the proceeds from the sale. Fixed-income securities make excellent candidates for swapping because it is often easy to find two bonds with similar features in terms of credit quality, coupon, maturity and price. In a bond swap, you sell one fixed-income holding for another in order to take advantage of current market and/or tax conditions and better meet your current investment objectives or adjust to a change in your investment status. A wide variety of swaps are generally available to help you meet your specific portfolio goals. Why You Would Consider Swapping Swapping can be a very effective investment tool to: 1. increase the quality of your portfolio; 2. increase your total return; 3. benefit from interest rate changes; and 4. lower your taxes. These are just a few reasons why you might find swapping your bond holdings beneficial. Although this booklet contains general information regarding federal tax consequences of swapping, we suggest you consult your own tax advisor for more specific advice regarding your individual tax situation. 1. Swapping for Quality A quality swap is a type of swap where you are looking to move from a bond with a lower credit quality rating to one with a higher credit rating or vice versa. The credit rating is generally a reflection of an issuer‟s financial health. It is one of the factors in the market‟s determination of the yield of a particular security. The spread between the yields of bonds with different credit quality generally narrows when the economy is improving and widens when the economy weakens. So, for example, if you expect a recession you might swap from lower-quality into higher-quality bonds with only a negligible loss of income.
  • 37. Standard rating agencies classify most issuers‟ likelihood of repayment of principal and payment of interest according to a grading system ranging from, say, triple-A to C (or an equivalent scale), as a quality guideline for investors. Issuers considered to carry good likelihood of payment are “investment grade” and are rated Baa3 or higher by Moody‟s Investors Service or BBB- or higher by Standard & Poor‟s Ratings Services and Fitch Ratings. Those issuers rated below Baa3 or below BBB- are considered “below investment grade” and the repayment of principal and payment of interest are less certain. Suppose you own a corporate bond rated BBB (lower-investment-grade quality) that is yielding 7.00% and you find a triple-A-rated (higher-investment-grade quality) corporate bond that is yielding 6.70%.1 You could swap into the superior-credit, triple-A-rated bond by sacrificing only 30 basis points (one basis point is 1/100th of one percent, or .01%). Moreover, during an economic downturn, higher-quality bonds, which represent greater certainty of repayment in difficult market conditions, will typically hold their value better than lower-quality bonds. Also, if a market sector or a particular bond has eroded in quality, it may no longer meet your personal risk parameters. You may be willing to sacrifice some current income and/or yield in exchange for enhanced quality. 2. Swapping to Increase Yield You can sometimes improve the taxable or tax-exempt returns on your portfolio by employing a number of different bond-swapping strategies. In general, longer-maturity bonds will typically yield more than those of a shorter maturity will; therefore, extending the average maturity of a portfolio‟s holdings can boost yield. The relationship between yields on different types of securities, ranging from three months to 30 years, can be plotted on a graph known as the yield curve. The curve of that line is constantly changing, but you can often pick up yield by extending the maturity of your investments, assuming the yield curve is sloping upward. For example, you could sell a two-year bond that‟s yielding 5.50% and purchase a 15-year bond that is yielding 6.00%. However, you should be aware that the price of longer- maturity bonds might fluctuate more widely than that of short-term bonds when interest rates change. When the difference in yield between two bonds of different credit quality has widened, a cautious swap to a lower-quality bond could possibly enhance returns. But sometimes market fluctuations create opportunities by causing temporary price discrepancies between bonds of equal ratings. For example, the bonds of corporate issuers may retain the same
  • 38. credit rating even though their business prospects are varying due to transient factors such as a specific industry decline, a perception of increased risk or deteriorating credit in the sector or company. So, suppose you purchased in the past (at par) a 30-year A-rated $50,000 corporate bond with a 6.25% coupon. Assume that comparable bonds are now being offered with a 6.50% coupon. Assume that you can replace your bond with another $50,000 A-rated corporate bond having the same maturity with a 6.50% coupon. By selling the first bond and buying the second bond you will have increased your annual income by 25 basis points ($125). Discrepancies in yield among issuers with similar credit ratings often reflect perceived risk in the marketplace. These discrepancies will change as market conditions and perceptions change. 3. Swapping for Increased Call Protection Swaps may achieve other investment objectives, such as building a more diversified portfolio, or establishing better call protection. Call protection is useful for reducing the risk of reinvestment at lower rates, which may occur if an issuer retires, calls or pre-refunds its bonds early. Call protection swaps are particularly advantageous in a declining interest rate environment. For example, you could sell a bond with a short call, e.g., five years, and purchase a bond with 10 years of call protection. This will enable you to lock in your coupon for an additional five years and not worry about losing your higher-coupon bonds in the near future. You may have to sacrifice yield in exchange for the stronger call protection. Anticipating Interest Rates If you believe that the overall level of interest rates is likely to change, you may choose to make a swap designed to benefit or help you protect your holdings. If you believe that rates are likely to decline, it may be appropriate to extend the maturity of your holdings and increase your call protection. You will be reducing reinvestment risk of principal and positioning for potential appreciation as interest rates trend down. Conversely, if you think rates may increase, you might decide to reduce the average maturity of holdings in your portfolio. A swap into shorter-maturity bonds will cause a portfolio to fluctuate less in value, but may also result in a lower yield. It should be noted that various types of bonds perform differently as interest rates rise or fall, and may be selectively swapped to optimize performance. Long-term, zero-coupon2 and discount bonds3 perform best during interest rate declines because their prices are more
  • 39. sensitive to interest rate changes. Floating-rate, short- and intermediate-term, callable and premium bonds4 perform best when interest rates are rising because they limit the downside price volatility involved in a rising yield environment; their price fluctuates less on a percentage basis than a par or discount bond. However, you should remember that rate-anticipation swaps tend to be somewhat speculative, and depend entirely on the outcome of the expected rate change. Moreover, shorter- and longer-term rates do not necessarily move in a parallel fashion. Different economic conditions can impact various parts of the yield curve differently. To the extent that the anticipated rate change does not come about, a decline in market value could occur. 4. Swapping to Lower Your Taxes Tax swapping is the most common of all swaps. Anyone who owns bonds that are selling below their amortized purchase price and who has capital gains or other income that could be partially, or fully, offset by a tax loss can benefit from tax swapping. You may have realized capital gains from the sale of a profitable capital asset (e.g., real estate, your business, stocks or other securities). Or you may expect to sell such an asset at a potential profit in the near future. By swapping those assets that are currently trading below the purchase price (due to a rise in interest rates, deteriorating credit situation, etc.) you can reduce or eliminate the capital gains you would otherwise have paid on your other profitable transactions in the current tax year. The traditional tax swap involves two steps: (1) selling a bond that is worth less than you paid for it and (2) simultaneously purchasing a bond with similar, but not identical, characteristics. For example, assume you own a $50,000, 20-year, triple-A-rated municipal bond with a 5.00% coupon that you purchased five years ago at par. If interest rates increase (such that new bonds are now being issued with a 5.50% coupon), the value of your bond will fall to approximately $47,500. If you sell the bond, you will realize a $2,500 capital loss, which you can use to offset any capital gains you have realized. If you have no capital gains, you can use the capital loss to offset ordinary income. You then purchase in the secondary market a replacement triple-A-rated 5.00% municipal bond (from a different issuer), maturing in 15 years, at an approximate cost of $47,500. Your yield, maturity and quality of bond will be the same as before, plus you will have realized a loss that will save you money on taxes in the year of the bond sale. Of course, if you hold the new bond to maturity, you will realize a $2,500 gain in 15 years, taxable as ordinary income at that time.
  • 40. By swapping, you have converted a “paper” loss into a real loss that can be used to offset taxable gain. ASSET ALLOCATION Asset allocation describes the percentage of total assets invested in different investment categories, also known as asset classes. The most common broad financial asset classes are Fixed Income, Equities, Commodities, Currencies& Real Estate and “alternative investments” such as hedge funds and commodities can also be viewed as asset classes. Each broad asset class has various subclasses with different risk and return profiles. In general, the more return an asset class has historically delivered, the more risk that its value could fall as well as rise because of greater price volatility. To earn higher potential returns, investors have to take higher risk. Asset classes differ by the level of potential returns they have historically generated and the types of risk they carry. Virtually all investments involve some type of risk that you might lose money. Asset subclasses of stocks include: · Large cap stocksstocks of large, well established and usually well known companies · Small cap stocksstocks of smaller, less well known companies · International stocksstocks of foreign companies Large cap, small cap and international stocks can in turn be considered: · Value stocks whose prices are below their true value for temporary reasons · Growth stocks of companies that are growing at a rapid rate. Asset subclasses of bonds include: · Different maturities long-term (10 years or longer), intermediate-term (3-10 year) or short- term (3 years or less) · Different issuers government and agencies, corporate, municipal, international · Different types of bonds callable bonds, zero-coupon bonds, inflation-protected bonds, high-yield bonds, etc.
  • 41. Stocks are generally considered a risky investment because, among other things, their values can decline if the stock market goes down (market risk) or the issuing company does poorly (company risk). As owners of the company, stockholders are paid after all creditors, including bond holders, are paid. In theory at least, a stock‟s value can go to zero. Historically, stock prices have been the most volatile of all the different types of investments, meaning their prices can move up and down quickly, frequently and not always in a predictable way. Bonds are considered less risky than stocks because bond prices have historically been more stable and because bond issuers promise to repay the debt to the bondholders at maturity. That promise is generally kept unless the issuer falls on hard times; some bonds have credit risk based on the financial health of their issuer. When a bond issuer goes into bankruptcy, bondholders are paid off before stockholders. Bonds are also vulnerable to interest rate risk: when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and vice versa. Cash investments carry opportunity risk. For example, investing in very safe, short-term investments like Treasury bills may protect you from loss, but you may miss the opportunity of more generous returns offered by other investments. Even people who keep their money under their mattress have the risk that their money will be worth less in the future because of inflation that reduces the purchasing power of the cash. Smart investors do not put all their assets in one type of investment or “asset class.” Instead, they spread or diversify their risk by investing in different types of investments. When one asset class is performing poorly, another may be doing well and compensating for the poor performance in the other. Some studies have shown that overall asset allocation is more important to investment success than the choice of investments within the allocation. MARKET SIGNALS Seven bond market signals in four market-driving categories. Category: Fundamentals
  • 42. Two fundamental forces drive bond yields: growth and inflation. If you understand that bond prices are present values of future cash flows, then you know that forecasts of future growth and inflation are more important than historical data reports on what has already occurred. Signal one: Market consensus for year-ahead GDP growth, as measured monthly in the Blue Chip survey of 50 professional forecasters. Signal two: Market consensus for year-ahead inflation, as measured monthly in the Blue Chip survey of 50 professional forecasters. Trade: Buy the 10-year Treasury note when the consensus lowers its estimate of year-ahead growth and inflation, suggesting interest rates will go down and bond prices will go up. Sell the 10-year Treasury note when the consensus raises its estimate of year-ahead growth and inflation, suggesting rates will rise and prices will fall. Hold for one month until next consensus figures are released. Roll trade if consensus moves in same direction; reverse if consensus turns; close if consensus in unchanged. Category: Value Presuming that asset prices fluctuate around a stable, long-term equilibrium, extreme deviations serve as lead indicators of trend reversals. Signal three: Real (inflation-adjusted) yields. Trade: Buy the 10-year Treasury note when real yields are more than one standard deviation above the long-term moving average sell when they are more than one standard deviation below. Hold the position until real yields cross the opposite threshold. Signal four: Ratio of the S&P 500 earnings yield to the 30-year Treasury yield.Trade: Buy bonds when the ratio is more than half a standard deviation below its long-run moving average (bonds are cheap relative to stocks) sell when it‟s more than half a standard deviation above its long-run moving average (stocks are cheap relative to bonds). Category: Risk appetite Risk appetite refers to investors‟ relative preference for safe and risky assets, prompted by business cycle fluctuations, policy developments or exogenous events.
  • 43. Signal five: Credit Appetite Index, where zero represents minimum appetite (widest spreads, positive for U.S. government bonds) and 100 represents maximum appetite (tightest spreads, negative for U.S. government bonds). Trade: Sell U.S. government bonds when credit appetite is high, as signaled by the CAI being more than one standard deviation above its 50-day moving average, and buy when it is low, or more than one standard deviation below its 50-day moving average. Category: Technicals Technical indicators trace market patterns in price and volume. Signal six: Price data. Trade: Buy when the short-term moving average of prices crosses the long-term average from below sell when it crosses from above. In this momentum measure, the strongest returns were generated when short-term was 10 days and long-term was 20 days. Signal seven: Flow data, defined as net purchases of bond market mutual funds, as an indicator of cash flow into the bond market Trade: Buy the 10-year Treasury when the flow indicator is more than one standard deviation above the long-term moving average sell when it‟s more than one standard deviation below. CONCLUSION Diversification pays no single indicator works at all times or in all trading environments. In the absence of foresight, a diversified strategy that combines different information sources (fundamentals, value, risk appetite and technicals), trading strategies (momentum and contrarian) and holding periods (daily, weekly and monthly) far outperforms narrower approaches over the longer term. Fixed Income Risks INTRODUCTION As an integral part of a well-balanced and diversified portfolio, fixed income securities afford opportunities for predictable cash flows to match investors‟ individual needs and provide
  • 44. capital preservation. In addition, they may offset the volatility of the stock market. However, all investments have some degree of risk. In general, the higher the return potential, the higher the risk. Safer investments usually offer relatively lower returns. While the interest payment or coupon on most bonds is fixed and the principal amount, known as par value, is returned to the investor upon maturity, the market price of a bond during its life varies as market conditions change. Consequently, if a bond is sold prior to maturity, the proceeds may be more or less than the original purchase price or the quoted yield. If a bond is held to maturity, an investor can expect to receive the return or yield at which the bond was initially purchased, subject to the credit worthiness of the issuer. There are a number of variables to consider when investing in bonds that may affect the value of the investment. These variables include changes in interest rates, income payments, bond maturity, redemption features, credit quality, and priority in the capital structure, price, yield, tax status and other provisions that are covered in the offering documents. In general, investors demand higher yields to compensate for higher risks. Discussed below are the most common risks associated with fixed income securities. Interest Rate Risk The market value of the securities is inversely affected by movements in interest rates. When rates rise, market prices of existing debt securities fall as these securities become less attractive to investors when compared to higher coupon new issues. As prices decline, bonds become cheaper so the overall return, when taking into account the discount, can compete with newly issued bonds at higher yields. When interest rates fall, market prices on existing fixed income securities tend to rise because these bonds become more attractive when compared to newly issued bonds priced at lower rates. Price Risk Investors who need access to their principal prior to maturity must rely on the secondary market to sell their securities. The price received may be more or less than the original purchase price and may depend, in general, on the level of interest rates, time to term, credit quality of the issuer and liquidity. Among other factors, prices may also be affected by current market conditions or by the size of the trade (prices may be different for 10 bonds
  • 45. versus 1,000 bonds). It is important to note that selling a security prior to maturity may affect the actual yield received which may be different than the yield at which the bond was originally purchased. This is because the initially quoted yield assumed holding the bond to term. As mentioned above, there is an inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices. Therefore, when interest rates decline, bond prices increase, and when interest rates increase, bond prices decline. Generally, longer maturity bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes. Dollar for dollar, a long-term bond should go up or down in value more than a short-term bond in response to the same change in yield. Liquidity Risk Liquidity risk is the risk that an investor will be unable to sell securities due to lack of demand from potential buyers and thus must sell them at a substantial loss and/or incur substantial transaction costs in the sale process. Broker-dealers, although not obligated to do so, may provide secondary markets. Reinvestment Risk Downward trends in interest rates also create reinvestment risk, or the risk that the income and/or principal repayments must be invested at lower rates. Reinvestment risk is an important consideration for investors who hold callable securities. Some bonds may be issued with a call feature which allows the issuer to call, or repay, bonds prior to maturity. Bonds with this feature are generally called when market rates fall low enough for the issuer to save money by repaying existing higher coupon bonds and issuing new ones at lower rates. Investors will stop receiving coupon payments if the bonds are called. Generally,
  • 46. callable fixed income securities do not appreciate in value as much as comparable non- callable securities. Prepayment Risk Similar to call risk, prepayment risk is the risk that the issuer may repay bonds prior to maturity. This type of risk is generally associated with mortgage-backed securities. Homeowners who prepay their mortgages in an effort to save money may adversely affect the holders of the mortgage-backed securities. If the bonds are repaid early, investors face the risk of reinvesting at lower rates. Purchasing Power Risk Fixed income investors often focus on the real rate of return, or the actual return minus the rate of inflation. Rising inflation has a negative impact on real rates of return because inflation reduces the purchasing power of both investment income and principal. Credit Risk The safety of the fixed income investor's principal depends on the issuer's credit quality and ability to meet its financial obligations, such as payment of coupon and repayment of principal at maturity. Rating agencies assign ratings based on their analysis of the issuer‟s financial condition, economic and debt characteristics, and specific revenue sources securing the bond. Issuers with lower credit ratings usually must offer investors higher yields to compensate for additional credit risk. A change in either the issuer's credit rating or the market's perception of the issuer's business prospects will affect the value of its outstanding securities. Ratings are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold, and may be subject to review, revision, suspension or reduction, and may be withdrawn at any time. If a bond is insured, attention should be given to the creditworthiness of the underlying issuer or obligor on the bond as the insurance feature may not represent additional value in the marketplace or may not contribute to the safety of principal and interest payments. Default Risk The risk of default is the risk that the issuer will not be able to make interest payments and/or return the principal at maturity.
  • 47.
  • 48. Growth in Outright and repo settlement volumes (in 7000000 Rs. Crore) 6000000 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 G-sec Repo
  • 49. 10 14 12 0 2 4 6 8 Yield % 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 Wt. avg yield 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 Wt. avg maturity 2009-10 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 years
  • 50. Holder Profile in Central Govt securities as on end Mar 2010 1. Commercial Banks 4% 2. Bank- Primary Dealers 12% 3. Non-Bank PDs 4. Insurance Companies 7% 38% 5. Mutual Funds 1% 6. Co-operative Banks 3% 0% 7. Financial Institutions 3% 8. Corporates 1% 9. FIIs 10. Provident Funds 22% 11. RBI 9% 12. Others 0% Trend in corproate bond trades 80000 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Sep/07 Sep/08 Sep/09 Jan/07 Jan/08 Jan/09 Jan/10 May/07 May/08 May/09 May/10
  • 51. Trends in Government Debt-GDP Ratio 90 80 70 60 Per cent 50 40 30 20 10 0 1980-81 1990-91 1996-97 2000-01 2004.05 2006-07 (BE) Centre States Total Centre’s Fiscal Responsibility Act • Enactment of FRBM Act : August 26, 2003 • Came into force from July 5, 2004 • Elimination of RD by 2008-09 (3.6% in 2003-04) and revenue surplus thereafter • Containment of GFD to 3 % of GDP by 2008-09 (4.5% in 2003-04) • RD and GFD placed at 2.0% and 3.7% of GDP in 2006-07 (RE) • RD and GFD budgeted to decline to 1.5% and 3.3% of GDP in 2007-08 • RBI prohibited from Participation in Primary Issuances of G-Secs Maturity and Yield
  • 52. Elongation of Maturity Profile • General Reduction in Weighted Average Yield 18 16 14 Per cent / Years 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Weighted Average Yield (per cent) Weighted Average Maturity (years) Yield Curve • Development of a Smooth Yield Curve 16 14 12 Per cent 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 Maturity (Years) Mar-97 Mar-04 Jan-07
  • 53. Ownership Pattern of Central G-Secs Chart 5: Ownership Pattern of Central G-Secs: 1991 Reserve B ank o f Ind ia (o wn acco unt ) 0% 5% 0% 1% Co mmercial B anks 13% 25% Lif e Insurance Co rp o rat io n o f Ind ia # Unit Trust o f Ind ia NA B A RD Emp lo yees Pro vid ent Fund Scheme Co al M ines Pro vid ent Fund Scheme Primary d ealers 56% Ot hers Chart 6: Ownership Pattern of Central G-Secs: 0% 2005 Res erve Bank of India 0% (own account) 7% Com m ercial Banks 2% 16% Life Ins urance 0% Corporation of India # Unit Trus t of India 0% NABARD Em ployees Provident 20% Fund Schem e 53% Coal Mines Provident Fund Schem e Prim ary dealers Others External Borrowings • Low Share of External Debt • External Borrowings only from Multilateral and Bilateral Sources 100.0 80.0 Per cent 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0
  • 54. Corporate Bond Market • Corporate Bond markets historically late to develop • Access to bank credit • Access to external sources of finance • Require well developed accounting legal and regulatory systems • Rating agencies • Rigorous disclosure standards and effective governance of corporations • Payment and settlement systems • Secondary markets Reforms in Corporate Bond Market • Four Rating agencies operating in India • De-materialisation and electronic transfer of securities • Initial focus – reform of private placement market by encouraging rating of issues • Further reforms needed • Appointment of a High Powered Committee High-powered committee recom • Enhance the issuer base and investor base including measures to bring in retail investors
  • 55. Listing of primary issues and creation of a centralized database of primary issues • Electronic trading system • Comprehensive automated trade reporting system • Safe and efficient clearing and settlement standards • Repo in corporate bonds • Promote credit enhancement • Specialized debt funds to fund infrastructure projects • Development of a municipal bond market The Way Ahead • Build upon the Strong Macroeconomic Performance – Adherence to FRL – Stability of Inflation Rate -external debt management policy Pension reforms • Active Consolidation • Floating Rate Bonds and Inflation-Indexed Bonds • STRIPS • Corporate Bonds – Bond Insurance Institutions – Institutional Investors: Credit Enhancers – Securitised paper to be traded on exchanges – Municipal Bonds, Mortgage Backed Securities, General Securitised Paper