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Cluster Randomization Trials
Dr. Ranadip Chowdhury.
M.B.B.S., M.D.
M.I.P.H.A.
What Are Cluster Randomization Trials
Cluster randomization trials are experiments in
which intact social units or clusters of
individuals rather than independent individuals
are randomly allocated to intervention groups.
Examples:
• Medical practices selected as the
randomization unit.
• Communities selected as the randomization
unit.
• Hospitals selected as the randomization unit
in trials.
Reasons for Adopting Cluster Randomization
• Intervention naturally applied at the
cluster level
• Administrative convenience
• To avoid treatment group contamination
• To obtain cooperation of investigators
• To enhance subject compliance
Challenges of CRTs
• Unit of Randomization vs. Unit of Analysis.
• Low power and a relatively high probability of
chance imbalance b/w intervention arms.
• Post randomization recruitment bias
Design
• 2 main approaches to randomization:
Unrestricted allocation
Restricted allocation
Matching
Stratification
Minimization
Covariate-constrained randomization
Choosing an allocation technique
Adv V/S Limitation of allocation techniques
Technique Advantages Limitations
Simple randomization No need for baseline data Higher risk for imbalance
Matching •Improves Face validity
•Balance effectively for
covariates.
•Lost to follow-up is doubled
•Challenges with analysis
•Difficult to estimate ICC
•Reduced degrees of freedom
limits power.
Stratification May be used in combination
with other allocation
techniques.
Can balance for covariates on
its own.
Minimization Can balance effectively for
many covariates.
•Continuous covariates may
need to be split into categories.
•Potential for selection bias.
Covariate-constrained
randomization
•Balances most effectively for
many covariates.
•Limits risk of selection bias.
•Access to baseline data.
•Additional statistical support.
•Allocation must occur after
recruitment.
Cohort versus cross-sectional designs
• Possible instability in cohorts of large size, with the
resulting likelihood of subject loss to follow-up.
• Representativeness of the target population, which is
invariably hampered by the ageing of the cohort over
time
If the primary questions of interest focus on
change at the community level rather than at the
level of the individual, cohort samples are the less
natural choice.
Methodological Considerations in CRT
• Observations on participants in the same cluster
tend to be correlated (non-independent).
• Degree of correlation within clusters is known as
intracluster correlation coefficient (ρ).
• Intracluster correlation coefficient is the
proportion of the total variance of the outcome
that can be explained by the variation between
clusters.
Sample size
• 2 important components of variation:
• Within cluster (Intracluster correlation coefficient)
• Between cluster
(A useful rule of thumb is that the power does not increase
appreciably once the number subjects per cluster exceeds 1/ ρ)
• No simple relation exist between k and ρ for
continuous outcomes but a relation exists for binary
outcome.
• For the same statistical power the overall sample size
needs to be larger in CRT than in an individually
randomized trial.
Standard sample size formulae for CRT
• where nI is the required sample size
per arm using a trial with individual
randomization to detect a difference
d, and VIF(Design Effect) can be
modified to allow for variation in
cluster sizes. This is the standard
result, that the required sample size
for a CRCT is that required under
individual randomisation, inflated
by the variance inflation factor.
• The trial will randomize the
intervention over k clusters per arm
each of size m, to provide a total of
nc = mk individuals per arm.
• The number of clusters
required per arm :
assuming equal cluster
sizes.
CRTs with a fixed number of clusters: sample size per cluster
• For a trial with a fixed
number of equal sized
clusters (k) the required
sample size per arm for
a trial with pre-specified
power 1 - b, to detect a
difference of d, is nc.
• Where nI is the sample
size required under
individual
randomisation.
• The corresponding number
of individuals in each of the
k equally sized clusters.
CRTs with a fixed number of clusters: a practical advice
• Determine the required number of individuals per arm
in a trial using individual randomisation (nI).
• Determine whether a sufficient number of clusters are
available. For equal sized clusters, this will occur
when: k > nIρ
• Where the design is still not feasible
• Either: the power must be reset at a value lower than the maximum
available power
• the detectable difference must be set greater than the minimum
detectable difference
• both power and detectable difference are adjusted in combination.
Statistical model for intracluster correlation
• where yik is the value of the
response variable for unit i
in cluster k, and is the
overall mean. The
remaining two terms
represent the two levels of
variation in the data, with ik
representing the “within-
cluster variation between
observations from the same
cluster, and bk the “between
cluster” variation.
Analysis
• Reducing clusters to independent observation
or summary statistics.
• Fixed effect regression/ ANOVA
• Methods that explicitly account for clustering
SUMMARY STATISTICS:
– Un-weighted method of analysis in unequal
numbers of observations per cluster.
– Taking the average of the observation in each
cluster, information regarding the individual
observations is lost.
Fixed effects regression/ANOVA approaches
– If a fixed effect is used, then the results of the
analysis are strictly only applicable to the
particular set of clusters in the study.
– If the data are normal or can be transformed to
normality, then a normal regression (ANOVA)
approach with a fixed effect for cluster and an
effect for group can be used.
• Methods that explicitly account for clustering:
– Methods that adjust existing tests to account
clustering
• Depends on data distribution
– Modeling approaches
• Linear Mixed model (LMM)
• Generalized Linear Mixed model (GEE)
Cluster Specific (CS) Model
• The clusters are sampled from a
larger population and the effect of
any particular cluster i is to add a
random effect Zi to all the outcomes.
For a cluster randomized we could set
X =1 for intervention and X =0 for
control. A CS model measures the
effect on Y of changing X, while Z is
held constant. This is a common
model for longitudinal data, where it
is possible to imagine, say in a cross-
over trial, a treatment value changing
over time. However, in a cluster
randomized, everyone in a cluster
receives the same treatment, and
although a CS model can be fitted,
the result can be interpreted
theoretically.
Marginal Model
• Fitting this model is
equivalent to fitting a
Marginal model, that is
we estimate the effect
of X on Y as averaged
over all the clusters Z.
• CS models would seem to be most suitable for testing
effect of cluster level covariates, while Marginal
models are conceptually preferable for estimating the
effect of cluster level covariate.
• Difference between two approaches disappear as the
ICC approaches zero.
• CS provides direct estimates of variance components
while those are treated as nuisance parameters when
the population average approached is adopted.
Reporting CRTs
Pitfalls and Controversies
• Ethical Issues
• Unit of reference
• Over matching
• Sample size and study power
• Assessing value of ICC from small studies.
THANK YOU…

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Cluster Randomization Trials Explained: Design, Analysis, Sample Size

  • 1. Cluster Randomization Trials Dr. Ranadip Chowdhury. M.B.B.S., M.D. M.I.P.H.A.
  • 2. What Are Cluster Randomization Trials Cluster randomization trials are experiments in which intact social units or clusters of individuals rather than independent individuals are randomly allocated to intervention groups.
  • 3. Examples: • Medical practices selected as the randomization unit. • Communities selected as the randomization unit. • Hospitals selected as the randomization unit in trials.
  • 4. Reasons for Adopting Cluster Randomization • Intervention naturally applied at the cluster level • Administrative convenience • To avoid treatment group contamination • To obtain cooperation of investigators • To enhance subject compliance
  • 5. Challenges of CRTs • Unit of Randomization vs. Unit of Analysis. • Low power and a relatively high probability of chance imbalance b/w intervention arms. • Post randomization recruitment bias
  • 6. Design • 2 main approaches to randomization: Unrestricted allocation Restricted allocation Matching Stratification Minimization Covariate-constrained randomization
  • 8. Adv V/S Limitation of allocation techniques Technique Advantages Limitations Simple randomization No need for baseline data Higher risk for imbalance Matching •Improves Face validity •Balance effectively for covariates. •Lost to follow-up is doubled •Challenges with analysis •Difficult to estimate ICC •Reduced degrees of freedom limits power. Stratification May be used in combination with other allocation techniques. Can balance for covariates on its own. Minimization Can balance effectively for many covariates. •Continuous covariates may need to be split into categories. •Potential for selection bias. Covariate-constrained randomization •Balances most effectively for many covariates. •Limits risk of selection bias. •Access to baseline data. •Additional statistical support. •Allocation must occur after recruitment.
  • 9. Cohort versus cross-sectional designs • Possible instability in cohorts of large size, with the resulting likelihood of subject loss to follow-up. • Representativeness of the target population, which is invariably hampered by the ageing of the cohort over time If the primary questions of interest focus on change at the community level rather than at the level of the individual, cohort samples are the less natural choice.
  • 10. Methodological Considerations in CRT • Observations on participants in the same cluster tend to be correlated (non-independent). • Degree of correlation within clusters is known as intracluster correlation coefficient (ρ). • Intracluster correlation coefficient is the proportion of the total variance of the outcome that can be explained by the variation between clusters.
  • 11. Sample size • 2 important components of variation: • Within cluster (Intracluster correlation coefficient) • Between cluster (A useful rule of thumb is that the power does not increase appreciably once the number subjects per cluster exceeds 1/ ρ) • No simple relation exist between k and ρ for continuous outcomes but a relation exists for binary outcome. • For the same statistical power the overall sample size needs to be larger in CRT than in an individually randomized trial.
  • 12. Standard sample size formulae for CRT • where nI is the required sample size per arm using a trial with individual randomization to detect a difference d, and VIF(Design Effect) can be modified to allow for variation in cluster sizes. This is the standard result, that the required sample size for a CRCT is that required under individual randomisation, inflated by the variance inflation factor. • The trial will randomize the intervention over k clusters per arm each of size m, to provide a total of nc = mk individuals per arm.
  • 13. • The number of clusters required per arm : assuming equal cluster sizes.
  • 14. CRTs with a fixed number of clusters: sample size per cluster • For a trial with a fixed number of equal sized clusters (k) the required sample size per arm for a trial with pre-specified power 1 - b, to detect a difference of d, is nc. • Where nI is the sample size required under individual randomisation.
  • 15. • The corresponding number of individuals in each of the k equally sized clusters.
  • 16. CRTs with a fixed number of clusters: a practical advice • Determine the required number of individuals per arm in a trial using individual randomisation (nI). • Determine whether a sufficient number of clusters are available. For equal sized clusters, this will occur when: k > nIρ • Where the design is still not feasible • Either: the power must be reset at a value lower than the maximum available power • the detectable difference must be set greater than the minimum detectable difference • both power and detectable difference are adjusted in combination.
  • 17. Statistical model for intracluster correlation • where yik is the value of the response variable for unit i in cluster k, and is the overall mean. The remaining two terms represent the two levels of variation in the data, with ik representing the “within- cluster variation between observations from the same cluster, and bk the “between cluster” variation.
  • 18. Analysis • Reducing clusters to independent observation or summary statistics. • Fixed effect regression/ ANOVA • Methods that explicitly account for clustering
  • 19. SUMMARY STATISTICS: – Un-weighted method of analysis in unequal numbers of observations per cluster. – Taking the average of the observation in each cluster, information regarding the individual observations is lost.
  • 20. Fixed effects regression/ANOVA approaches – If a fixed effect is used, then the results of the analysis are strictly only applicable to the particular set of clusters in the study. – If the data are normal or can be transformed to normality, then a normal regression (ANOVA) approach with a fixed effect for cluster and an effect for group can be used.
  • 21. • Methods that explicitly account for clustering: – Methods that adjust existing tests to account clustering • Depends on data distribution – Modeling approaches • Linear Mixed model (LMM) • Generalized Linear Mixed model (GEE)
  • 22. Cluster Specific (CS) Model • The clusters are sampled from a larger population and the effect of any particular cluster i is to add a random effect Zi to all the outcomes. For a cluster randomized we could set X =1 for intervention and X =0 for control. A CS model measures the effect on Y of changing X, while Z is held constant. This is a common model for longitudinal data, where it is possible to imagine, say in a cross- over trial, a treatment value changing over time. However, in a cluster randomized, everyone in a cluster receives the same treatment, and although a CS model can be fitted, the result can be interpreted theoretically.
  • 23. Marginal Model • Fitting this model is equivalent to fitting a Marginal model, that is we estimate the effect of X on Y as averaged over all the clusters Z.
  • 24. • CS models would seem to be most suitable for testing effect of cluster level covariates, while Marginal models are conceptually preferable for estimating the effect of cluster level covariate. • Difference between two approaches disappear as the ICC approaches zero. • CS provides direct estimates of variance components while those are treated as nuisance parameters when the population average approached is adopted.
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  • 30. Pitfalls and Controversies • Ethical Issues • Unit of reference • Over matching • Sample size and study power • Assessing value of ICC from small studies.