Our AI platform Auris has helped garner insights in the penultimate week to the elections. Our prediction - NDP is winning the province in this intense battle.

1. INSIGHTS ON THE VOICE OF THE VOTER IN ONTARIO
(MAY 4TH 2018)

2. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in 1st week
of June 2018
Ajax—Pickering
● Schedule 14 of the
budget
● ‘Back room deals’
allegedly done by
Kathleen Wynne
● Need to protect
Casino Ajax to keep
jobs and taxes
● Help to remove
algae at the
waterfront
● Need to protect
headwaters of
Caruthers Creek
● Discussion around
the transit policy.
Some questions on
whether budgets
are enough for
implementation of
the transit policy
● Undecided voters.
Supporters of NDP
and Liberals haven’t
met their candidates
● Debate evenly
balanced across NDP,
PC Party and Liberals
● Sentiment turning
towards NDP.
● Criticism around “un-
costed platform”
● Negative feedback on
“beer for a buck” and
its likely extension to
cannabis.
● Some favors for
reduced gas pricing.
Aurora
- PC Party being
perceived as “Right-
leaning”
- Some negative buzz
- Leaning towards NDP.
- Negative perceptions
around PC Party
continues.

3. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of May 2018
Issues in the 1st
week of June 2018
Barrie
- Discussions around
nominations – buzz about
process issues around the
11 candidates
- Integrity Commissions’
report on Patrick Brown –
buzz for and against the
findings.
- DFO funding for Autism,
- Raising ODSP, streamlining
passport Funding
- Kathleen Wynne’s ad and
response (mostly negative)
- Carbon Tax – buzz in
support of removing the
same
- Dan Janssen’s comments
on Doug Ford (“Change for
the worse”)
- Illegal immigrants
- Positive buzz around the
proposed concrete
barriers along Highway
401
- Demand for all day GO
for Barrie
- Need for more trains
between Barrie and
Toronto to rid people
of congestion on 400
- Positive response for
getting rid of rent
control
- Need to hasten
Booming Barrie service
- Dissent on the departure of
Patrick Brown. Air time
around Patrick Brown is
leading to issues.
- Perception of the PC Party
being for the rich and the
millionaires
- “Buck a beer” promise being
seen as frivolous and a
distraction from real issues
- Perception about PC Party
leadership being sexist or
racist in general (“Rightist”
perception)
- Support for low gas prices,
better transit
- Perceptions around the
deficits the Liberals are
running
- Perceptions that the socialist
agenda might take a back
seat
- Buzz around Ford’s promise
related to the destruction of
Ontario Greenbelt which
allows oil pipeline from
Barrie to Oshawa
- Intense fight.
Negative buzz for
the PC Party.
- “Buck a beer” vs.
high rents an issue
- Negative buzz
related to Patrick
Brown continues.

4. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Bay of
Quinte
- Perceptions that PC Party
leadership will lead to a lack
of focus on climate change
- Balanced buzz for and against
- Leaning towards NDP
- Negative buzz around
PC Party’s Doug Ford.
Beaches –
East York
- Leaning towards NDP.
Perceived as only one
to stop Doug Ford.
Brampton
North
- Support for NDP
- Scandal against
nominee leading to
negative buzz against
the PC Party
Brampton
Centre
- Positive buzz around
Harjit Jaswal’s
nomination win
- Leaning towards PC
Party
Brampton
—East
- Buzz around Doug
Ford’s campaign
supporting Simmer
Sandhu
- Some negative buzz around
the PC Party candidates
history with the CRA
- Unhappiness around the
candidate
- Intense battle, but
leaning towards NDP
Brampton-
South
- - Positive buzz around the PC
Party candidate Prabmeet
Singh Sarkaria
- Leaning towards PC
Party
Brant
- Discussion around
the proposed
reforms in
education –
scrapping of
“discovery math”..
- Some negative buzz around
Doug Ford
dodging questions from
journalists
- Buzz against PC Party
- Some negative buzz
around PC Party’s
interaction with
journalists. Some
damage continues.

5. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Bruce—
Grey—
Owen
Sound
- Hydro One’s high charges
- Carbon tax
- Kathleen Wynne’s
“smearing video” as an
ad – “The Real Doug
Ford” – some negative
buzz in there.
- NDP’s dental care plan –
support for that
- Perception around “Zero
income tax” will leave
lowest paid workers
worse off
- Appreciation for how
Doug Ford has dealt with
the “mess” around
nominations, increased
membership
- Buzz around the proposed
Transit plan
- Economic viability of delivering
on subway promise.
- Citizens want Doug Ford to
clean up the mess of Kathleen
Wynne (healthcare, Hydro
salaries)
- Voices on lack of concern for
climate change
- Negative buzz around
truncated scrum Q&A session
by Doug Ford
- Negative buzz around
permanent closure of a public
library “in the name of
efficiency”
- Support from Hydro Employees
- Sex education – buzz in support
and opposition to the fact that
this would be diluted. Mostly a
positive buzz.
- Negative perception about the
PC Party tolerating racism
- Accountability for Regional
Autism service
- Negative buzz
overall
- Concerns about lack
of a vision for
healthcare
- Positive buzz for the
NDP
- Some negative buzz
around the “beer
availability” promise
- seems to be
perceived as
frivolous
- Leaning towards NDP.
- Negative buzz for
Doug Ford around
various things,
including the law suit
by Renate Ford, Rob
Ford’s widow

6. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Burlington
- Concerns about
high Hydro bills
- Negative buzz around Two-
Tier Health Care discussion
by Dr. Merrilee Fullerton
- Positive buzz for the
PC Party
- NDP perceived as
“communist”
- Evenly balanced
between PC Party &
NDP
Cambridge
- Demand for a Cambridge GO
Train
- Issue around unfair practices
by the Toyota dealership
- Positive buzz around Liberals’
move to give the autoplant
$200 million to make them
stay in the riding.
- Buzz against NDP
- Perception that their
programs will cost the
tax payers dear
- Buzz of unions
supporting NDP
- Leaning towards NDP
- Positives emerging for
NDP party. Contest
balancing out
between PC Party and
NDP
Carleton—
Mississippi
Mills
- Negative perception about
PC Party’s healthcare policies
- Negative buzz around Dr.
Merrilee Fullerton
- Positive buzz around
educational reforms w.r.t.
Carleton University.
- Perception that Liberals are
making students communist!
- Negative perceptions
around PC Party
candidates denial of
climate change.
- Negative perception
around NDP’s plan to
move the money for
upgrading Highway
417 and investing in
bike lanes
- NDP – PC Party seems
to be an even contest
- NDP emerging as the
winner here
- Negative buzz around
PC Party’s candidate.
- Buzz against non-
conservatives running
as PC Party candidates

7. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Chatham-
Kent—Essex
- Positive buzz around the
proposed concrete
barriers along Highway
401
- NDP Party catching up in
terms of positive buzz and
campaign momentum
- Leaning towards NDP
Don Valley
West
- Leaning towards PC
Party
Dufferin—
Caledon
- Demand for
interventions related to
the GTA West Corridor
- Positive buzz in support to
promised reforms in sex-
education
- Positive buzz around
accountability
- Advantage PC Party
- Negative comments
around PC Party
emerging. Contest
balancing out.
Durham
- Support to fight Carbon
tax
- Buzz around the
proposed commission of
enquiry into Government
spending
- Protest against
appointment of Tory
candidates
- Negative perception
around PC Party’s
healthcare plan
- Sex education
changes – buzz for
and against
- Buzz against the NDP
around the likely closure
of the nuclear plan leading
to job cuts. Corresponding
positive buzz for PC Party’s
stand of savings jobs.
- Negative buzz for PC Party
for being a white
supremacist
- Leaning towards NDP
- Negative buzz around
PC Party emerging.
Contest balancing out
but advantage PC Party.
- Negative buzz continues
Etobicoke
North
- Negative buzz around
alleged racist remarks by
Liberal MPP candidate
Shafiq Qaadri (“there are
just too many white
people in the Ontario
Government”)
- Tight race between NDP
and PC Party
- Buzz around people asking
for the PC Party’s platform
for the election in the
riding
- Perception that PC Party is
the party for the rich
- Perception that Doug Ford
losing his own riding of
Etobicoke North to NDP
- Leaning towards NDP
- Negative buzz around
the PC Party

8. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Glengarry—
Prescott—
Russell
- Perception that Doug
Ford’s administration
would cut healthcare
budgets if voted to
power
- Issues around Doug
Ford’s supporter’s
narrative which paints
the North York tragedy
as immigration led
- Rent control – people
want a tab on ‘out of
control’ rents
- Negative perception
around Horwath’s
campaign solely
focussed on women,
disregarding men
- Doug Ford using paid
actors as supporters
- Negative
perceptions around
healthcare
- Negative perception
around attitude
towards minorities
(ex. Muslims)
- Perception that voting for
NDP would make the debt
situation worse
- Negative buzz around
Ford’s riding “A beer, for
a vote”
- Positive buzz around the
carbon tax - PC Party to
axe the carbon tax and
save people’s money
- Perceptions around “No
Tax”
- Buzz around the non-
existence of Green Party
in the ongoing debate for
leadership after 7th June
- Leaning towards PC
Party
- Positive buzz around PC
Party and negative
against the financially
irresponsible Liberals
Guelph
- Negative buzz around
the nomination
process
- Issue of injured
workers – low
priority for all.
- Hydro payouts
- Buzz around Doug Ford’s
platform not being costed
out.
- Leaning towards NDP
Haldimand—
Norfolk
- Buzz around Toby’s
candidature (positive)
- Healthcare budget cut
worries
- Doug Ford should
explain what is
budget cuts are –
the detail
- Perception around PC
Party not being good for
healthcare.
- Perception that
healthcare might be
privatized
- Leaning towards NDP

9. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Haliburton—
Kawartha
Lakes—
Brock
- Questions around
corporate tax rate
cuts (given it is
already the lowest
amongst other
provinces)
- Debate whether the
proposed tax reforms
are good for
minimum wage
earners
- Positive buzz around
reforms from Uni of
Waterloo, Laurier Univ
- No bus service for
heart and cancer
patients to
Peterborough
- Negative buzz around PC
Party is emerging - “beer
cartel”, lack of clarity on
economic policy etc.
- Buzz around carbon tax
scheme. Perception
acround “Is it a money grab
from the polluters or an
actual fund that helps the
environment”
- Concern over security of
jobs under NDP
government
- Negative buzz on Liberal
party. Wynne is responsible
for Ontario’s huge deficits,
failing economy and a
crumbling healthcare
system
- Leaning towards NDP
Kenora—
Rainy River
- Negative buzz around
Doug Ford’s inability to
answer a question
around how bill
becomes a law
- Negative buzz around
a video showing Doug
Ford bribing voters in
the past
- Negative buzz around
alleged “paid actors”
in Doug Ford’s
campaign
- Negative buzz continues
– around perceived
inability to run as a
premier
- Buzz around the deficits
where experts such as
Don Drummond says PC
Party’s startegy would
lead to higher deficits
compared to the Liberal
party.
- Leaning towards NDP
- Buzz about lack of clear
platform
- Negative perception
about healthcare cuts

10. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Kitchener—
Waterloo
- Issue around high
security costs for
Kathleen Wynne’s
rally at the University
of Waterloo
- Positive buzz
around free speech
and accountability
in education (Univ
of Waterloo)
- Negative buzz around
the negative impact
on education funding
if PC Party comes into
power
- Support for cut in
gasoline prices
- Leaning towards NDP
Lanark—
Frontenac—
Lennox and
Addington
- Dial back of
burdensome police-
oversight rules
- Concerns on climate
change
- Negative buzz
around Doug Ford’s
inability to answer
a question around
how bill becomes a
law
- Negative buzz continues
around Doug Ford
- Leaning towards NDP
London West
- Nomination process
related buzz –
painted as
undemocratic
Nomination issue
continues – buzz against
Andrew Lawton.
Considered to be racist
and homophobic
- Perception of PC Party
being “far-right-
learning”
- Leaning towards NDP

11. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Milton
- Negative buzz around
the nomination process
- Buzz supporting the
Milton GO Line.
- Concerns that the
401 expansion
plans are too slow.
Currently rush hour
only
- Positive buzz
around the
proposed changes
to the GTA Transit
- Negative
perception that the
PCParty does not
care much about
health
- Massive parking
problems in Milton
- Positive buzz around
accountability
- Negative buzz around
perception about
being “Anti-gay”
- Even battle between
PC Party, Liberals and
NDP
Mississauga -
Centre
- Opposition claims of
PC Party being racist
and homophobic
- Nomination issues
- Buzz continues
around the
overturning of
Tanya Granic Allen,
both positive and
negative (mostly
negative).
- Positive buzz
emerging around
Doug Ford’s campaign
- Leaning towards PC
Party
Mississauga -
Lakeshore
- Buzz around Rudy
Cuzzetto’s
nomination
- Leaning towards PC
Party

12. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Nepean—
Carleton
- Elimination of tax for
minimum wage
workers
- Buzz against
Liberal’s attempt to
pit communities
against each other.
- Leaning towards NDP
but a tough fight with
PC Party
Newmarket—
Aurora
- Positive buzz around
Christine Elliott
- Buzz around issues
related to
Immigration &
refugees because of
the incident involving
Alek Minassian
- Good positive buzz
around Doug Ford’s
rally
- - Leaning towards PC
Party
Niagara Falls
- Resentment around
postponement of
Doug Ford’s rally.
Some support for the
same as well.
- Positive buzz ins
support of the
proposed transit
between Toronto
and Niagara Falls
- NDP is garnering a
positive buzz.
- More positive buzz for
PC Party vs. negative
- Leaning towards PC
Party
Northumberlan
d—Quinte
West
- Hydro borrowing
scheme and how
that would increase
bills to skyrocket
- - Leaning towards PC
Party

13. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Oakville
- Buzz around
cancellation of the
gas plant
- Positive buzz for
PCs for
accountability
- High positive buzz for
the PC Party.
Negative buzz for
Kathleen Wynne
- - Leaning towards PC
Party
Oshawa
- Discussions around
the Schedule 14 of
the budget
- GOTrain
- Buzz for Chapman
• Negative buzz for Doug
Ford
- Buzz around destruction of
Greenbelt allowing oil
pipeline
- Negative buzz around lack of
healthcare vision of Liberals
- Leaning towards
NDP
Ottawa - Center
- Support for the PC
Party
Ottawa West—
Nepean
- Positive reception to
the pitch of
accountability in
education
- Negative buzz around NDPs
plan to invest in bike lanes (at
the cost of highway 417).
- Perceptions of NDP being
equivalent to communists
- Need for a “fully costed”
budget from PC Party
- Negative buzz around NDP:
“finding ways of detaching
income security from paid
employment”
- Support for NDP at
the cost of PC Party
Ottawa South
- Leaning towards
NDP
Oxford
- Buzz against
abolishing
supervised
injection sites
- Positive buzz around NDP
candidate
- Leaning towards
NDP

14. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Parry Sound—
Muskoka
- Lot of negative buzz
around Doug Ford – his
past, corporate tax rate
cut issue, perception
around budget cuts for
healthcare, education
etc.
- Negative buzz
around Doug Ford
related to his
response to the
question on law
making, appointing
Andrew Lawton,
issues from his past.
- “A beer for a buck”,
negative slogan around
the riding.
- Polarized voters –
strongly for and against
- Leaning against PC
Party
- Negative buzz for Doug
Ford.
Pickering—
Scarborough
East
- Residents are
concerned about the
continued operation of
the nuclear power
station
- Positive buzz around
the PC Party
campaign
- Job loss worry
dominates the buzz.
Positive in support of PC
Party
- Negative buzz around
the viability of the plant
given its outlived its life
- Leaning towards PC
Party
- Some support for NDP,
but largely a riding for
the PC Party
Renfrew—
Nipissing—
Pembroke
- Negative buzz around
Hydro One and its
executives
- Buzz around Mike
Harris Jr. nomination
- Very positive buzz
around this riding –
around the rally by
Doug Ford
- Negative buzz around
Brad Clarks’ official
expenses (on fashion,
dinners)
- Negative buzz around
NDP Party’s debate
performance
- Negative perceptions
around NDP being soft
on illegal immigrants
- Positive buzz in support
of PC Party
- Doug Ford seen as
someone who’d bring
tax cuts and
straightforwardness
Richmond Hill
- Discussion on
Immigration and
refugee policy
- - Leaning towards the PC
Party
St. Catharines
- Debate around Safe
injection vs. drug
rehab.
- Leaning towards PC
Party

15. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Sault Ste.
Marie
- Buzz around Doug
Ford’s rally and its
subsequent
cancellation
- Leaning towards PC
Party
- Steel plant workers
support the party
Stormont –
Dundas –
South
Glengarry
- Learning towards the
PC Party
- Intense, polarized
debate but more
support for PC Party
vs. NDP
Sudbury
- High gas prices
- Patients being
treated in Hallways’ –
financial indiscipline
by Kathleen Wynne
as the reason
- Positive buzz
around getting rid
of rent control
- Positive buzz
around
accountability
- Very positive buzz
around Sudbury
- - Leaning towards the
PC Party
Thornhill
- Positive buzz
around building the
Yonge Subway
extension
- Negative perception
around being “racist”
- Leaning towards NDP
- Negative buzz around
PC Party
Timmins—
James Bay
- Positive buzz
around Doug Ford’s
campaign
- Perception that
Northern Ontario
regions are being
ignored in the
campaign
- Some negative buzz
emerging. “Buck for a
beer” not leading to
positive perceptions
- Leaning towards PC
Party

16. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Toronto Centre
- Negative buzz
around “hired
actors” to pose as
supporters of
Meredith
Cartwright
- - Leaning towards NDP
Waterloo
- Leaning towards NDP
- Negative buzz for PC
Party because of lack
of the detailed
platform, Renate Ford
lawsuit,
Wellington
- - - Negative perception
around being “racist”
- Support for Mike
Schreiner
- Leaning towards NDP
Whitby—
Oshawa
- Schedule 14 of the
budget
- Demand for a
Subway GOTrain
- Buzz for Bob
Chapman
- Negative buzz for
Doug Ford -
- Balanced buzz –
positive and negative
- Support emerging for
PC Party vs. earlier
- Intense fight for the
top spot between
NDP and PC Party
- Increasingly leaning
towards NDP
Willowdale
- Ontario Hydro One’s
executive pays
- Positive buzz
around Doug Ford’s
campaign
- Negative buzz on NDP
who would raise taxes
and put thousands out
of work
- Leaning towards PC
Party
- Good support for Stan
Cho