Ontario Election buzz by the 3rd week of May 2018

INSIGHTS ON THE VOICE OF THE VOTER IN ONTARIO
(MAY 29TH 2018)

Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of May 2018
Ajax—Pickering
● Schedule 14 of the budget
● ‘Back room deals’ allegedly
done by Kathleen Wynne
● Need to protect Casino Ajax
to keep jobs and taxes
● Help to remove algae at the
waterfront
● Need to protect
headwaters of Caruthers
Creek
● Discussion around the
transit policy. Some
questions on whether
budgets are enough for
implementation of the
transit policy
● Undecided voters. Supporters
of NDP and Liberals haven’t
met their candidates
● Debate evenly balanced across
NDP, PC Party and Liberals
Aurora
- PC Party being perceived as
“Right-leaning”
- Some negative buzz

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Barrie
- Discussions around
nominations – buzz about
process issues around the 11
candidates
- Integrity Commissions’ report
on Patrick Brown – buzz for
and against the findings.
- DFO funding for Autism,
- Raising ODSP, streamlining
passport Funding
- Kathleen Wynne’s ad and
response (mostly negative)
- Carbon Tax – buzz in support
of removing the same
- Dan Janssen’s comments on
Doug Ford (“Change for the
worse”)
- Illegal immigrants
- Positive buzz around the
proposed concrete barriers
along Highway 401
- Demand for all day GO for
Barrie
- Need for more trains
between Barrie and
Toronto to rid people of
congestion on 400
- Positive response for
getting rid of rent control
- Need to hasten Booming
Barrie service
- Dissent on the departure of
Patrick Brown. Air time around
Patrick Brown is leading to
issues.
- Perception of the PC Party
being for the rich and the
millionaires
- “Buck a beer” promise being
seen as frivolous and a
distraction from real issues
- Perception about PC Party
leadership being sexist or racist
in general (“Rightist”
perception)
- Support for low gas prices,
better transit
- Perceptions around the deficits
the Liberals are running
- Perceptions that the socialist
agenda might take a back seat
- Buzz around Ford’s promise
related to the destruction of
Ontario Greenbelt which allows
oil pipeline from Barrie to
Oshawa

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Bay of Quinte
- Perceptions that PC Party
leadership will lead to a lack of
focus on climate change
- Balanced buzz for and against
Brampton Centre
- Positive buzz around Harjit
Jaswal’s nomination win
Brampton—East
- Buzz around Doug Ford’s
campaign supporting Simmer
Sandhu
- Some negative buzz around the
PC Party candidates history with
the CRA
- Unhappiness around the
candidate
Brampton-South
- - Positive buzz around the PC
Party candidate Prabmeet
Singh Sarkaria
Brant
- Discussion around the
proposed reforms in
education – scrapping of
“discovery math”. People
have questions on this.
- Some negative buzz around
Doug Ford
dodging questions from
journalists

Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Bruce—Grey—
Owen Sound
- Hydro One’s high charges
- Carbon tax
- Kathleen Wynne’s “smearing
video” as an ad – “The Real
Doug Ford” – some negative
buzz in there.
- NDP’s dental care plan –
support for that
- Perception around “Zero
income tax” will leave lowest
paid workers worse off
- Appreciation for how Doug
Ford has dealt with the “mess”
around nominations, increased
membership
- Buzz around the proposed Transit
plan
- Economic viability of delivering on
subway promise.
- Citizens want Doug Ford to clean up
the mess of Kathleen Wynne
(healthcare, Hydro salaries)
- Voices on lack of concern for
climate change
- Negative buzz around truncated
scrum Q&A session by Doug Ford
- Negative buzz around permanent
closure of a public library “in the
name of efficiency”
- Support from Hydro Employees
- Sex education – buzz in support and
opposition to the fact that this
would be diluted. Mostly a positive
buzz.
- Negative perception about the PC
Party tolerating racism
- Accountability for Regional Autism
service
- Negative buzz overall
- Concerns about lack of a
vision for healthcare
- Positive buzz for the NDP
- Some negative buzz
around the “beer
availability” promise -
seems to be perceived as
frivolous

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Burlington
- Concerns about high Hydro
bills
- Negative buzz around Two-
Tier Health Care discussion
by Dr. Merrilee Fullerton
- Positive buzz for the PC Party
- NDP perceived as “communist”
Cambridge
- Demand for a Cambridge
GO Train
- Issue around unfair
practices by the Toyota
dealership
- Positive buzz around
Liberals’ move to give the
autoplant $200 million to
make them stay in the
riding.
- Buzz against NDP
- Perception that their programs
will cost the tax payers dear
- Buzz of unions supporting NDP
Carleton—
Mississippi Mills
- Negative perception about
PC Party’s healthcare
policies
- Negative buzz around Dr.
Merrilee Fullerton
educational reforms w.r.t.
Carleton University.
- Perception that Liberals are
making students
communist!
- Negative perceptions around
PC Party candidates denial of
climate change.
- Negative perception around
NDP’s plan to move the money
for upgrading Highway 417 and
investing in bike lanes
- NDP – PC Party seems to be an
even contest

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Chatham-Kent—
Essex
proposed concrete barriers
along Highway 401
- NDP Party catching up in terms of
positive buzz and campaign
momentum
Dufferin—Caledon
- Demand for interventions
related to the GTA West
Corridor
- Positive buzz in support to
promised reforms in sex-
education
accountability
Durham
- Support to fight Carbon tax
- Buzz around the proposed
commission of enquiry into
Government spending
- Protest against appointment
of Tory candidates
PC Party’s healthcare plan
- Sex education changes –
buzz for and against
- Buzz against the NDP around the
likely closure of the nuclear plan
leading to job cuts. Corresponding
positive buzz for PC Party’s stand
of savings jobs.
- Negative buzz for PC Party for
being a white supremacist
Etobicoke North
- Negative buzz around alleged
racist remarks by Liberal MPP
candidate Shafiq Qaadri
(“there are just too many
white people in the Ontario
Government”)
- Tight race between NDP and PC
Party
- Buzz around people asking for the
PC Party’s platform for the
election in the riding
- Perception that PC Party is the
party for the rich
- Perception that Doug Ford losing
his own riding of Etobicoke North
to the NDP

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Glengarry—
Prescott—Russell
- Perception that Doug Ford’s
administration would cut
healthcare budgets if voted to
power
- Issues around Doug Ford’s
supporter’s narrative which
paints the North York tragedy
as immigration led
- Rent control – people want a
tab on ‘out of control’ rents
Horwath’s campaign solely
focussed on women,
disregarding men
- Doug Ford using paid actors
as supporters
- Negative perceptions
around healthcare
attitude towards minorities
(ex. Muslims)
- Perception that voting for NDP
would make the debt situation
worse
- Negative buzz around Ford’s
riding “A beer, for a vote”
- Positive buzz around the carbon
tax - PC Party to axe the carbon
tax and save people’s money
- Perceptions around “No Tax”
- Buzz around the non-existence of
Green Party in the ongoing debate
for leadership after 7th June
Guelph
- Negative buzz around the
nomination process - Issue of injured workers –
low priority for all.
- Hydro payouts
- Buzz around Doug Ford’s platform
not being costed out.
Haldimand—Norfolk
- Buzz around Toby’s
candidature (positive)
- Healthcare budget cut worries - Doug Ford should explain
what is budget cuts are –
the detail
- Perception around PC Party not
being good for healthcare.
- Perception that healthcare might
be privatized

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Haliburton—
Kawartha Lakes—
Brock
- Questions around corporate
tax rate cuts (given it is
already the lowest amongst
other provinces)
- Debate whether the proposed
tax reforms are good for
minimum wage earners
reforms from Uni of
Waterloo, Laurier Univ
- No bus service for heart
and cancer patients to
Peterborough
- Negative buzz around PC Party is
emerging - “beer cartel”, lack of
clarity on economic policy etc.
- Buzz around carbon tax scheme.
Perception acround “Is it a money
grab from the polluters or an
actual fund that helps the
environment”
- Concern over security of jobs
under NDP government
- Negative buzz on Liberal party.
Wynne is responsible for Ontario’s
huge deficits, failing economy and
a crumbling healthcare system
Kenora—Rainy
River
- Negative buzz around Doug
Ford’s inability to answer a
question around how bill
becomes a law
- Negative buzz around a
video showing Doug Ford
bribing voters in the past
- Negative buzz around
alleged “paid actors” in
Doug Ford’s campaign
- Negative buzz continues –
around perceived inability to
run as a premier
- Buzz around the deficits where
experts such as Don
Drummond says PC Party’s
startegy would lead to higher
deficits compared to the
Liberal party.

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Kitchener—
Waterloo
- Issue around high security
costs for Kathleen Wynne’s
rally at the University of
Waterloo
- Positive buzz around free
speech and accountability
in education (Univ of
Waterloo)
negative impact on education
funding if PC Party comes into
power
- Support for cut in gasoline prices
Lanark—
Frontenac—Lennox
and Addington
- Dial back of burdensome
police-oversight rules
- Concerns on climate change - Negative buzz around Doug
Ford’s inability to answer a
question around how bill
becomes a law
- Negative buzz continues around
Doug Ford
London West
- Nomination process related
buzz – painted as
undemocratic
- Nomination issue continues
– buzz against Andrew
Lawton. Considered to be
racist and homophobic
- Perception of PC Party being “far-
right-learning”

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Milton
nomination process
- Buzz supporting the Milton
GO Line.
- Concerns that the 401
expansion plans are too
slow. Currently rush hour
only
proposed changes to the
GTA Transit
- Negative perception that
the PCParty does not care
much about health
- Massive parking problems
in Milton
accountability
perception about being “Anti-
gay”
Mississauga -
Centre
- Opposition claims of PC Party
being racist and homophobic
- Nomination issues
- Buzz continues around the
overturning of Tanya Granic
Allen, both positive and
negative (mostly negative).
- Positive buzz emerging around
Doug Ford’s campaign
Mississauga -
Lakeshore
- Buzz around Rudy Cuzzetto’s
nomination

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Nepean—Carleton
- Elimination of tax for
minimum wage workers - Buzz against Liberal’s
attempt to pit communities
against each other.
Newmarket—Aurora
- Positive buzz around Christine
Elliott
- Buzz around issues related to
Immigration & refugees
because of the incident
involving Alek Minassian
- Good positive buzz around
Doug Ford’s rally
-
Niagara Falls
- Resentment around
postponement of Doug Ford’s
rally. Some support for the
same as well.
- Positive buzz ins support of
the proposed transit
between Toronto and
Niagara Falls
- NDP is garnering a positive buzz.
- More positive buzz for PC Party
vs. negative
Northumberland—
Quinte West
- Hydro borrowing scheme
and how that would
increase bills to skyrocket
-

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Oakville
- Buzz around cancellation of
the gas plant
- High positive buzz for the PC
Party around the
responsibility, accountability,
trust slogan
- High positive buzz for the
PC Party. Negative buzz for
Kathleen Wynne
-
Oshawa
- Discussions around the
Schedule 14 of the budget
- Demand for a Subway
GOTrain
- Buzz for Bob Chapman
Negative buzz for Doug Ford - Buzz around destruction of
Ontario Greenbelt allowing oil
pipeline from Barrie to Oshawa
- Negative buzz around lack of
proper healthcare vision of
Liberals
Ottawa West—
Nepean
- Positive reception to the
pitch of accountability in
education
- Negative buzz around NDPs
plan to invest in bike lanes (at
the cost of highway 417).
- Perceptions of NDP being
equivalent to communists
- Need for a “fully costed”
budget from PC Party
- Negative buzz around NDPs
statement “finding ways of
detaching income security from
paid employment”
Oxford
- Buzz against abolishing
supervised injection sites
- Positive buzz around NDP
candidate

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Parry Sound—
Muskoka
- Lot of negative buzz around
Doug Ford – his past,
corporate tax rate cut issue,
perception around budget
cuts for healthcare, education
etc.
- Negative buzz around Doug
Ford related to his
response to the question
on law making, appointing
Andrew Lawton, issues
from his past..
- “A beer for a buck”, negative
slogan around the riding.
- Polarized voters – strongly for
and against
Pickering—
Scarborough East
- Residents are concerned
about the continued
operation of the nuclear
power station
- Positive buzz around the PC
Party campaign
- Job loss worry dominates the
buzz. Positive in support of PC
Party
viability of the plant given its
outlived its life
Renfrew—
Nipissing—
Pembroke
- Negative buzz around Hydro
One and its executives
- Buzz around Mike Harris Jr.
nomination
- Very positive buzz around
this riding – around the
rally by Doug Ford
- Negative buzz around Brad
Clarks’ official expenses (on
fashion, dinners)
- Negative buzz around NDP
Party’s debate performance
- Negative perceptions around
NDP being soft on illegal
immigrants
Richmond Hill
- Discussion on Immigration
and refugee policy

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
St. Catharines
- Debate around Safe injection
vs. drug rehab.
Sault Ste. Marie
- Buzz around Doug Ford’s rally
and its subsequent
cancellation
Sudbury
- High gas prices
- Patients being treated in
Hallways’ – financial
indiscipline by Kathleen
Wynne as the reason
getting rid of rent control
accountability
- Very positive buzz around
Sudbury
-
Thornhill
building the Yonge Subway
extension
being “racist”
Timmins—James
Bay
- Positive buzz around Doug
Ford’s campaign
- Perception that Northern
Ontario regions are being
ignored in the campaign
- Some negative buzz emerging.
“Buck for a beer” not leading
to positive perceptions

week of April 2018
week of May 2018
of May 2018
Toronto Centre
“hired actors” to pose as
supporters of Meredith
Cartwright
-
Wellington
- - - Negative perception around
being “racist”
- Support for Mike Schreiner
Whitby—Oshawa
- Schedule 14 of the budget
- Demand for a Subway
GOTrain
- Buzz for Bob Chapman
- Negative buzz for Doug
Ford -
- Balanced buzz – positive and
negative
- Support emerging for PC Party
vs. earlier
Willowdale
- Ontario Hydro One’s executive
pays
- Positive buzz around Doug
Ford’s campaign
- Negative buzz on NDP who
would raise taxes and put
thousands out of work

Ontario Election buzz by the 3rd week of May 2018

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Ontario Election buzz by the 3rd week of May 2018