Regional Workshop “NEEAP Development in the Arab region: Monitoring and Evaluation Methodology” December 11th, 2012

1. NEEAP ex-ante Evaluation Report
National Energy Efficiency Action Plan
Monitoring and Evaluation
Yemen,11 December 2012

2. Ex-ante Evaluation

3. Topics of the Presentation
Lebanon
Target Structure
Palestine
Indicative Targets
Egypt
Sector Planning
Sudan
Targets and Measures Planning

4. Target Structure
Overview: Overall national indicative target Egypt Lebanon Palestine Sudan
Key indicators yes yes yes yes
Indicative target yes yes yes yes
Calculation methodology of the national indicative yes - yes yes
energy savings target
Name of mandated national entity & contact person MoEE LCEC PEC ERA

5. Indicative Targets

6. Indicative Target - Macro
2020 Target Interim Target
Baseline
Country Consumption
GWh/5 years % GWh % GWh Target
average year
Egypt 112162.8 - - 4.96 5565.69 2015
Lebanon - 5 - - - -
Palestine 4114 5 426 1 54 2013
Sudan 6210 33 2029 12 775 2016

7. Indicative Target - Residential & Tertiary
2020 Target Interim Target
Baseline
Consumption Target Comments
Country % GWh % GWh
GWh/5 years year
average
Targets are
Egypt 112162.8 - - 4.96 5565.69 2015 identical to the
macro targets
5570 (buildings) 12 - Calculation of
Lebanon 5 - 2013 targets is not
2500 (govern) - -
clear
2880
Palestine 6 363 1 38 2014
(buildings)
2649
117.68 1095 4.9 307
(residential)
Sudan 2016
729.4
14 890 7 425
(government)

8. Indicative Target - Industrial
2020 Target Interim Target
Baseline
Consumption Target Comments
Country % GWh % GWh
GWh/5 years year
average
Egypt did not
Egypt - - - - - - include industry
sector at all
Interim target is
Lebanon 3627 5 - 2 80 2013 % of baseline
consumption
Palestine 370 2 19 1 5 2014
Target is
expressed as
Sudan 768.4 0.95 - - 2016
enhancing power
factor

9. Indicative Target - Utility
2020 Target Interim Target
Baseline
Consumption
Country Target
GWh/5 years % GWh % GWh
average year
Egypt - - - - - -
Lebanon - - - - - -
Palestine 823 3 42 1 11 2013
Sudan - - - - - -

10. Indicative Target - Baseline Consumption
Findings
Without baseline consumption it is difficult to validate EE savings
Palestine has done the best job by providing baseline consumption
at the macro and sector specific level as well
Some macro level baseline consumption is identical to baseline
consumption indicated for residential & tertiary sector; in this case, it
is not clear whether baseline consumption constitutes final electricity
consumption of the whole economy including industry and utility
sectors or only of residential & tertiary sector
baseline consumption is also provided at the sector specific level,
but target is not linked to the baseline consumption

11. Sectors Planning

12. Sectorial Planning
Sectorial Planned and ongoing EE
Egypt Lebanon Palestine Sudan
measures for 2011-2013
Sector 1 Residen Industries Residen
Overview table of EE measures 3 measures 2 measures 1
measure
Detailed information of individual yes yes yes
measures
Sector 2 Public Buildings Public
Overview table of EE measures 3 measures 4 measures 1
measure
Detailed information of individual yes yes yes
measures
Sector 3 Tourism Others Industrial
Overview table of EE measures 1 measure 1 measure 1
measure
Detailed information of individual yes yes
measures

13. Additional Measures
Additional measures Egypt Lebanon Palestine Sudan
Public sector: exemplary role public
sect
Overview table of all EE measures 1
measure
Detailed information of individual measures yes
Utilities responsibilities utilities utilies utilities
Overview table of all EE measures 2 measures 4 8
measures measures
Detailed information of individual measures yes - yes
Measures for power sector RE power power RE power
Overview table of all EE measures 12 measures 3 7
measures measures
Detailed information of individual measures yes - yes

14. Supportive Measures
Horizontal and cross-sectorial measures Egypt Lebanon Palestine Sudan
Overview table of all EE measures 1 measure 7
measures
Detailed information of individual measures - yes
Supportive measures that difficult to quantify 7 5
6 measures measures measures
savings
EE policy progress assessment

15. Energy Savings Measures
Egypt Lebanon Palestine Sudan
Total number of measures 28 14 29 23
Energy Saving Measures 9 5 12 11
- All countries ensured the exemplary role of public Utility
sector by identifying measures in the government
sector. Residential
- None of the countries included measures on
restructuring electricity tariffs to promote EE in Tertiary
accordance with Article IX of the Arab Guidelines.
Industry

16. Targets and Measures Planning

17. Target and Measures Planning
Findings
Surprisingly all countries, except for Palestine chose not to include
utility or power sector in target setting, whereas almost all NEEAPs
contain quite specific measures to improve energy efficiency in
distribution and transmission networks with specific targets.
Excluding utility sector from targets might create communication
problems in the future because it is likely that countries will achieve
the stated targets but not only because of measures in the
residential, tertiary and industrial sector, but also because of energy
efficiency improvements in the utility sector. In such case it might
create difficulties in properly communicating, explaining and
interpreting the results.
In all NEEAPs there is a correlation between target and individual
measures in NEEAPs

18. Correlations- Examples
Expected
Measure savings Calculation of savings
GWh
Program aims to increase awareness of energy
consumers in governmental buildings through:
Rationalization
(1)putting labels motivating energy conservation;
of energy use in 46.6
(2)training workers;
public buildings
(3)recommending assigning responsible person;
(4)identifying opportunities for conserving electricity.
Calculation of target is not presented:
1.No specific government buildings are identified
2.No current consumption of government buildings is presented
Without such basic information it is difficult to monitor and verify the
target.

19. Correlations- Examples
Expected
Measure savings Calculation of savings
GWh
Promotion of EE
Initiative aims to promote EE equipment
equipment: initiative aims
in residential and commercial buildings
at promoting EE equipment 38
by focusing on CFL, AC units, fridges….and
in residential and
establishing national EE standard
commercial buildings
This measure is poorly drafted. Calculation of expected savings is not presented.
So, it is not clear how the savings of 38 GWh/year is calculated
•No specific appliances are identified
•No information on current electricity consumption is presented (of current
appliances);
•No target for market share of high-efficiency appliances is presented
Saving can be achieved only if high-efficiency household appliances are sold in
the market. Preparing standards is not enough; implementation needs to follow
with certain target for market share.

20. Correlations- Examples
Expected
Measure savings Calculation of savings
GWh
National awareness program on
EE & RE in buildings: initiative Raising awareness about benefits of EE
3
aims at promoting awareness measures.
about energy conservation
Calculation of expected energy savings is not presented. It is not clear how 3
GWh are calculated.

21. Correlations- Examples
Expected
Measure savings Calculation of savings
GWh
To improve power To oblige the factories owners to install equipment to
factor from 0.6-0.8 improve power factor by imposing tariffs of reactive energy
to 0.95 on the loads by power factor less than 0.95. To raise tariff
of KVARh.
Power factor is calculated monthly for all plants.
Apparent power is reduced to provide 1 mega watt by 200
KVA at improving the power factor from 0.8 to 0.95.
Apparent power is reduced to provide 1 mega watt by 614
KVA when improving the power factor from 0.6 to 0.95
As the apparent power to provide 1 mega watt at power
factor of 0.95 equals 1053 KVA and at power factor of 0.6
equals 1667 KVA.
What are the savings of this measure? what shall be done?
This a concept more than a measure

22. Lebanon
Palestine
Egypt
Sudan

23. Thank you MSc. Eng. Ashraf Kraidy
Senior Expert
Regional Centre for Renewable Energy
and Energy Efficiency (RCREEE)
Building of the Hydro Power Plants
Execution Authority, 7th floor
Ministry of Electricity and Energy
Melsa District – Ardh El Golf
Nasr City - Cairo, Egypt
T. +2-02-24154691
F. +2-02-24154661
M. +2-01-11 0668503
E. ashraf.kraidy@rcreee.org ;
w. www.rcreee.org