4. Steven Berlin Johnson
• Born 1968
• Brown University – Semiotics
• Editor in NY Times, Wall street J.
• Author of 8 books
• Where good ideas come from?
5. Where good ideas come
from?
• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NugRZGDbPFU
6. Where good ideas come
from?
• The Slow Hunch Model
o Slow and Gradual Innovation
• Incubation period
• Chance favors the connected mind
7. Where good ideas come
from?
• The story behind GPS
• Darwin’s slow hunch
• Baby incubator for Africa
8. Why Innovation?
«Those that can adapt their strategic vision to the new
competitive realities and develop new capabilities
may emerge more vigorous, more competitive than
before.»
9. Types of Innovation
• Innovation Transilience: An innovation’s capacity to
transform existing systems of technology and marketing.
Four different type of innovations
Architectural
Regular
Revulationary
Niche Creation
14. Regular
• Refinements in technology applied to existing
markets and customers
• http://www.xerox.com/about-xerox/videos/fast_food_video/enus.html
Radical Technology
Refinements in Tech.
To New Market
To New Customers & Apps.
To Existing Market
To Existing Customers & Apps.
16. Uncertainty / Risk
High level of
uncertainty
(technical options-
customers choice-
market definition-
competitors)
Low level of
uncertainity
(technical-
market)
Significant uncertainty
about customers
choice,
Some implementation
risks
High level of
technical
uncertainty,
Low level of
market
uncertainty
17. Source of Value
New technical
evolution, redifining
industry
Improving
competition(cost,
quality),
Internal
improvement
Product development
and further
segmentation
New technical
evolution
19. Competitive Context
New market and
technical, configuration;
may be basis for entry
Implementation,
nuances in
engineering and
sales
Skill in marketing,
Temporary monopoly
within new segment
Rewriting rules
20. Managerial Skills
Assimilate new ideas,
adapt to change
Careful planning,
problem solving
within known
constraints
Spot emerging
customer demands
Leadership in
breaking
industry
conventions
21. Investment Analysis
• Simple DCF is useful for regular innovation
• No well defined cash flows in niche creation or
architectural innovation
• In complex cases, simple quantitative methods may
be misleading
• Particular methods should be tailored
• «In decisions about the firm’s strategic path, there is
no substitute for managerial judgment»
23. First Prompter
• 1948, for Television
• 1950, Soap Opera
• 1952, President Herpert Hoover
• Mounted inside what looked like a
suitcase and controlled by a
stagehand.
25. Refinements
• A podium with concealed prompting devices, plumbing for
drinking water and a platform to lift or lower a speaker.
• Later replaced the suitcase-like unit with glass panels and
eventually superimposed words in front of cameras.