Slides from discussion group examining future forces shaping education. Material derived from the 2020 Forecast map created by Knowledge Works and Institute for the Future. Presentation co-authored with Paul Owens, Training Coordinator for Instructional Technology.
1. 2020 Forecast: Creating the Future ofLearning Center for Teaching and Learning Innovation July 21, 2009 Based on 2020 Forecast by Knowledge Works
2. 1993 The World Forever Changed Mosiac browser introduced Visionaries predicted online distance learning and were often scoffed at. But now …. http://www.computerhistory.org/timeline/?category=net
3. What are we doing today that was unimaginable to most just a dozen years ago? “100 Things Your Kids May Never Know About” (A selected sample) #4 The number TV Channels being a single digit #39 Doing bank business only when the bank is open. #57 Typewriters. #70 Taking turns picking a radio station, or selecting a tape, for everyone to listen to during a long drive. #77 Relying on the 5-minute sport segment on the nightly news for baseball highlights. YouTube Wikis Medical Advances GPS Pharmaceutical DVRs What Else? From: http://www.wired.com/geekdad/2009/07/100-things-your-kids-may-never-know-about/
4. What is the 2020 Forecast? We want to provide information that empowers you to become leaders in creating the learning ecosystem of tomorrow.
5. What is the 2020 Forecast? This forecast is a tool to help you imagine your options and make the best choices in the next decade—to fundamentally rethink your role and that of your organization.
6. How is 2020 Being Used? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKVNmrLTIt8 http://www.futureofed.org/taking-action/scenario-planning/ohio/
11. Change Conversations “Ossified Institution” "It's appalling how little genuine innovation has gone on in higher education... [it] took us 25 years to get the overhead projector from the bowling alley to the classroom." * * Paul LeBlanc, President Southern New Hampshire University
16. Transformation of education debate “Digital Natives” Minds on Fire: Open Education, the Long Tail, and Learning 2.0, John Seely Brown and Richard P. Adler EDUCAUSE Review, vol. 43, no. 1 (January/February 2008): 16–32
17. Change Conversations Visualizing forces for and calls for change Two Videos: Did You Know? A Vision of Students Today Advance to next slide to view “Did You Know?”
18. Change Conversations Visualizing forces for and calls for change Two Videos: Did You Know? A Vision of Students Today Advance to next slide to view “A Vision of Students Today.”
19. Change Conversations Scenario Planning: Trends meet resistance From The Edinburgh Scenarios, Global Business Network
23. Who are today’s learning agents? Think broadly about the people and organizations that facilitate learning, training, human development and access to resources for each Librarians Consultants Community Organizers Bloggers Social Network Connections Writers/Journalists Counselors Mentors Trainers
24. Who are tomorrow’s learning agents? Learning Agents in the context of Vision 2020 (think of education as an ecosystem) Learning Fitness Instructor Community Intelligence Cartographer Education Sousveyor Social Capital Platform Developer Learning Partner Learning Journey Mentor Assessment Designer
25. Drivers Trends Signals Agents The components of the 2020 map
26. Self Organizations System Society Economy Knowledge What may learning look like as a result of each driver? In small groups, investigate a driver and related trends, signals and agents
27. Signals to explore: Nootropics – Pharmaceutical cognitive enhancements. UG 99 – Our grain supply at risk? Mind Hacks – Using brain research to improve mental performance Drivers Self: Altered Bodies
28. Signals to explore: Wisdom of Crowds: Harnessing the power of many voices. (see Slideshare) Social Bookmarking: Sharing expertise, following the maven Open Courseware: Abundance and ubiquity of learning materials Drivers Amplified Organization
29. Signals to explore: Local is the “new black” Local Matters: Farmers markets & Locavore movement Simply Living: Sustainability and local power The Groupery: Online organizing tools Drivers Platforms for Resiliance
30. Signals to explore: “Everyone coming together” Haven’t we heard this before? Columbus Underground – online civic discourse World Changing – Global crisis foster global civic identity Tension between fundamentalism and globalism Drivers A New Civic Discourse
31. Signals to explore: The World Is Flat on hyperdrive. The means of production are widely distributed and accessible Fab Labs: Design your own Etsy: Sell your own Blurb: Publish your own Drivers Maker Economy
32. Signals to explore: Mining data to detect patterns and correlations Prediction Markets: the pulse of opinion Wolfram Alpha: the semantic web Action Analytics: Accountability meets granular measurement Freakonomics: Behavioral Economics Drivers Pattern Recognition
33. What are the implications for Columbus State? Are we aware of trends? What are implications of renewed federal support for community colleges? Are there obstacles or forces of resistance? Where are we leading the way? Where are the business opportunities? Can we keep doing what we are doing or do we need to change our practices?