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Opportunities in Cloud COMPUTING Investment Thesis & Market Map | Rei Kasai | Q3 2010 | reikasai@gmail.com Source: Flickr.com/COTE
CLOUD COMPUTING IS THE DELIVERY OF APPLICATIONS OVER THE INTERNET CLOUD COMPUTING IS NOT NEW… DO YOU REMEMBER ASPS? RK Consulting Cloud Computing is Internet-based computing for both Enterprise and Consumer markets, whereby software and information are provided to computers and other devices on-demand, like a public utility.  –Wikipedia Source: Wikipedia, Forrester
HOW IS CLOUD DIFFERENT THAN ASPS AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? IT WILL FINALLY BE ABLE TO CONSUME TECHNOLOGY SIMILAR TO HOW THEY CONSUME ELECTRICITY FROM UTILITIES, ON A PAY-AS-YOU USE BASIS THEREBY ELIMINATING LARGE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES Cloud computing comes into focus only when you think about what IT always needs: a way to increase capacity or add capabilities on the fly without investing in new infrastructure, training new personnel, or licensing new software. -Infoworld RK Consulting Key Attributes: ,[object Object]
Solution-packaged – a “turnkey” offering, integrates required resources
Self-service  – admin, provisioning; may require some “on-boarding” support
Elastic scaling – dynamic and fine-grained
Use-based pricing – supported by service metering
Accessible via the Internet/IP – ubiquitous (authorized) network access
Standard UI technologies – browsers, RIA clients and underlying technologies
Published service interface/API – e.g., web services APIs-IDC Source: Lone Wolf Librarian Source: IDC, Infoworld, Lone Wolf Librarian
THE MATURATION AND ADOPTION OF VIRTUALIZATION HAS ENABLED CLOUD TO FINALLY EMERGE CLOUD COMPUTING IS FINALLY TOP OF MIND OF CIOS RK Consulting Source: Gartner,  Adapted from http://www.flickr.com/photos/mobian/3426349990/
HOWEVER, MAINSTREAM ADOPTION IS STILL SEVERAL YEARS OUT… PER GARTNER’S 2010 EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES HYPE CYCLE ANALYSIS, CLOUD IS CURRENTLY  “IN THE PEAK OF INFLATED EXPECTATIONS.”=  2 TO 5 YEARS FROM MAINSTREAM ADOPTION RK Consulting Cloud Computing in 2008 (First Time on Hype Cycle) Source: Gartner
GOOG & MSFT ARE THE ONLY ONES THAT HAVE OFFERINGS IN ALL THREE CATEGORIES OF THE CLOUD MERRILL LYNCH HAS IDENTIFIED THE FOLLOWING DOZEN WITH A STRATEGY TO PARTICIAPTE IN CLOUD COMPUTING RK Consulting The overall Cloud market is a multi-billion dollar opportunity. IDC and Merrill forecast the TAM in 2013 to be approximately $44B and $108B respectively, which equals approximately 10% to 12% of total IT spend. Infrastructure SaaS Platform Source: IDC, Merrill Lynch
Cloud Applications(SaaS) ,[object Object]
E.g. Salesforce.com  and Google Mail (subsidized through Ads)Cloud Platform Services(PaaS) ,[object Object]

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Opportunities in Cloud Computing Q3 2010

  • 1. Opportunities in Cloud COMPUTING Investment Thesis & Market Map | Rei Kasai | Q3 2010 | reikasai@gmail.com Source: Flickr.com/COTE
  • 2. CLOUD COMPUTING IS THE DELIVERY OF APPLICATIONS OVER THE INTERNET CLOUD COMPUTING IS NOT NEW… DO YOU REMEMBER ASPS? RK Consulting Cloud Computing is Internet-based computing for both Enterprise and Consumer markets, whereby software and information are provided to computers and other devices on-demand, like a public utility. –Wikipedia Source: Wikipedia, Forrester
  • 3.
  • 4. Solution-packaged – a “turnkey” offering, integrates required resources
  • 5. Self-service – admin, provisioning; may require some “on-boarding” support
  • 6. Elastic scaling – dynamic and fine-grained
  • 7. Use-based pricing – supported by service metering
  • 8. Accessible via the Internet/IP – ubiquitous (authorized) network access
  • 9. Standard UI technologies – browsers, RIA clients and underlying technologies
  • 10. Published service interface/API – e.g., web services APIs-IDC Source: Lone Wolf Librarian Source: IDC, Infoworld, Lone Wolf Librarian
  • 11. THE MATURATION AND ADOPTION OF VIRTUALIZATION HAS ENABLED CLOUD TO FINALLY EMERGE CLOUD COMPUTING IS FINALLY TOP OF MIND OF CIOS RK Consulting Source: Gartner, Adapted from http://www.flickr.com/photos/mobian/3426349990/
  • 12. HOWEVER, MAINSTREAM ADOPTION IS STILL SEVERAL YEARS OUT… PER GARTNER’S 2010 EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES HYPE CYCLE ANALYSIS, CLOUD IS CURRENTLY “IN THE PEAK OF INFLATED EXPECTATIONS.”= 2 TO 5 YEARS FROM MAINSTREAM ADOPTION RK Consulting Cloud Computing in 2008 (First Time on Hype Cycle) Source: Gartner
  • 13. GOOG & MSFT ARE THE ONLY ONES THAT HAVE OFFERINGS IN ALL THREE CATEGORIES OF THE CLOUD MERRILL LYNCH HAS IDENTIFIED THE FOLLOWING DOZEN WITH A STRATEGY TO PARTICIAPTE IN CLOUD COMPUTING RK Consulting The overall Cloud market is a multi-billion dollar opportunity. IDC and Merrill forecast the TAM in 2013 to be approximately $44B and $108B respectively, which equals approximately 10% to 12% of total IT spend. Infrastructure SaaS Platform Source: IDC, Merrill Lynch
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Manage those resources based on scalability and availability needs
  • 18. E.g. Amazon S3THE CATEGORIES OF CLOUD IN MORE DETAIL… RK Consulting Source: Coord, Merrill Lynch
  • 19. WHILE TAM ESTIMATES DRAMATICALLY RANGE FROM $44B TO $108B BY IDC AND MERRILL RESPECTIVELY, BOTH AGREE THAT SAAS WILL BE THE LARGEST PIECE OF THE CLOUD PIE TAM ESTIMATES BY CLOUD CATEGORY IN 2013 RK Consulting Source: IDC, Merrill Lynch
  • 20. CIOS ARE MOVING MISSION CRITICAL APPLICATIONS TO THE CLOUD PER IDC RK Consulting 67.3% Collaboration applications 66.9% Web applications/Web serving 59.4% Data Back-up or Archive services 55.6% Business apps (CRM, HR, ERP) 55.1% Personal productivity apps 54.8% Data/Content Distribution services 52.9% Storage capacity on demand 51.3% IT Management software 50.6% Server capacity on demand 49.8% Business Intelligence/Analytics 49.1% Application dev/test/deploy platform 48.6% IT/Information Security 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Q: Rate your likelihood to pursue the cloud model for the following (Scale: 1 = Very Unlikely 5 = Very Likely) Source: IDC Enterprise Panel, 3Q09, n = 263, September 2009
  • 21. PAIN POINTS OF CIOS = OPPORTUNITIES IN CLOUD RK Consulting 87.5% Security 83.3% Availability 82.9% Performance 81.0% On-demand paym’t model may cost more 80.2% Lack of interoperability standards 79.8% Bringing back in-house may be difficult 76.8% Hard to integrate with in-house IT 76.0% Not enough ability to customize 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Q: Rate the challenges/issues of the 'cloud'/on-demand model Source: IDC Enterprise Panel, 3Q09, n = 263, September 2009
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 25. Drive operational expenses for cloud downOPPORTUNITIES IN INFRASTRUCTURE SEGMENT RK Consulting Source: RK Consulting
  • 26.
  • 28. Help adopt BI in the cloud
  • 29. Integrate enterprise/private data better with the cloud
  • 30. Compliance- Moving data outside the firewall and into the cloud requires new processes to ensure data is not compromised
  • 31. Security management- Distributed cloud environment is a nightmare for IT admins. OPPORTUNITIES IN PLATFORM SEGMENT RK Consulting Source: RK Consulting
  • 32.
  • 33. Collaboration/social services to augment existing enterprise products
  • 34. Billing/monetization services for SaaS/Cloud servicesOPPORTUNITIES IN SOFTWARE SEGMENT RK Consulting Source: RK Consulting
  • 35.
  • 36. Focus on early-stage mobile and cloud technologies
  • 37. 8+ years of mobile, 11+ in software
  • 38. M&A strategy for a mobile payments venture
  • 39. BD and Product leader for Dexterra, a multi-OS (iOS, Symbian, RIM, and Windows Mobile) mobile applications platform for carriers and ISVs
  • 40. Customer development for Net6 (Acquired by Citrix for $50M in 2002), a mobile internet platform for consumer internet
  • 41. IT Consulting for Octane Software (Acquired by E.piphany for $3.2B in 1999), first internet-based CRM software for enterprise
  • 43. Contact info: reikasai@gmail.com, www.linkedin.com/in/reikasaiABOUT THE AUTHOR- REI KASAI