The document discusses grain prices and market strategies. It analyzes factors that influenced high grain prices in the past, including population growth, increased meat consumption, and currency and commodity index values. It also examines reasons for recent price drops, such as high global corn yields. The document recommends a marketing plan for farmers to sell crops in increments from March to June to take advantage of price peaks, using a "Roach Ag Sell Signal" indicator. It suggests using on-farm storage and puts to manage risks and cash flow.

1. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies Peosta, Iowa by John Roach February 11, 2009

2. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Why were grain prices so high?

3. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Population Growth Rates Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017.

4. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Global Meat beef + pork + chickens & turkeys Production, per capita consumption, and population Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2017.

8. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. What happened to cause prices to drop?

9. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. USDA 2008 World Corn Yields 6/10/08 149.0 Bu/Acre U.S. 87.6 Bu/Acre Chinese 78.1 Bu/Acre World 60.1 Bu/Acre Non – U.S.

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14. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. There will not be enough money to raise crops this big next year

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36. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. How Should I Market My Crops?

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42. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell & Buy Signals Your Digital Thermometer For Prices

43. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal

44. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals 56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)

50. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

51. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

52. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

53. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

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56. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

57. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

58. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

59. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract

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62. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing Plan Worksheet

63. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. 7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL 33487 800-622-7628 [email_address] http://www.roachag.com