2. Attributes of an ideal DAA for HCV
“Must have”
High barrier to resistance
Safety & tolerability to support dosing for the duration
necessary to achieve viral clearance
Additional benefits, or required
Pan-genotype activity
Low risk of drug-drug interactions
3. “Potency” vs “Barrier to resistance”
“alpha” vs “beta” slopes?
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Days
HCVRNAChangefromBaseline(log10IU/mL)
Cohort 1: 938 mono
4. EASL 2011: Accepted Abstracts
PSI-7977: PROTON
– Once Daily PSI-7977 plus PegIFN/RBV: Rapid Virologic Suppression in
Treatment Naïve Patients with HCV GT2/GT3 in a Phase 2b Trial (Oral)
PSI-938: NUCLEAR
– PSI-352938, A Novel Purine Nucleotide Analog, Exhibits Potent Antiviral
Activity and No Evidence of Resistance in Patients With HCV Genotype 1
Over 7 Days
– Mechanism of HCV Replicon Resistance to PSI-352938, a Cyclic
Monophosphate Prodrug of 2’-α-F-2’-β-C-Methylguanosine
Latebreaker abstracts
– Once Daily Dual-Nucleotide Combination of PSI-938 and PSI-7977 Provides
94% HCV RNA <LOD at Day 14: First Purine/Pyrimidine Clinical
Combination data ( The NUCLEAR Study)
– Once Daily PSI-7977 Plus Peg-IFN/RBV in HCV GT1: 98% Rapid Virologic
Response, Complete Early Virologic Response: The PROTON Study
5. Which patients will benefit most markedly from
availability of the first generation protease
inhibitors?
9. PSI-7977 is a Potent and Specific
Nucleotide Analog Polymerase Inhibitor for HCV
USPTO issued patent (exp. 2025)
– Applications pending – if issue (exp. 2028)
Once-daily broad genotype coverage
Exceptional antiviral activity
– 93% RVR in 28day GT1
– 100% RVR and cEVR in GT2/3
No virologic breakthrough in 12 weeks of therapy (GT2/3)
Generally safe and well tolerated in clinical studies to date
Phase 2b PROTON trial ongoing in HCV GT1, GT2/3
– GT2/3 arm: Interim 12 week data reported1
– GT1 arms completed enrollment1
PSI-7977PSI-7977
O
CH3
FHO
O
N
NH
O
O
P
O
O
N
H
O
O CH3
1
Pharmasset Press Release dated 1/6/2011
10. PSI-7977: What do we know?
Feb 2009 – PSI-7851 Single Ascending Dose (HVT)
– No maximum tolerated dose up to 800mg
June 2009 – Multiple Ascending Dose (HCV GT1)
– ~2 log decline at d3, no resistance
Jan 2010 – Relative Bioavailability Study
– PSI-7977 100mg tablet acceptable to move into Ph 2a
Spring 2010 – 28 day HCV GT1 Phase 2a study
– 200mg & 400mg QD with PEG/RBV yielded 93-94% RVR
– No apparent impact of IL28B genotype
– No evidence of S282T
– SVR24 achieved with <24 weeks PEG/RBV
– No AE-related discontinuations, no dose-related lab changes
11. PSI-7977 Phase 2a:
No impact of IL28B on HCV RNA Response
C/C
C/T or T/T
PSI-7977 200mgQD+SOCIndividuals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70 77 84
Study Day
HCVRNA(log10IU/mL)
PSI-7977 400mgQD+SOCIndividuals
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70 77 84
Study Day
HCVRNA(log10IU/mL)
12. ‘The best way to prevent resistance is to
cure the patient’ M. Sulkowski
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0 28 56 84 112 140 168 196 224
Study Day
HCVRNA(IU/mL)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0 28 56 84 112 140 168 196 224
Study Day
HCVRNA(IU/mL)
54 yo NA M
HCV GT 1a
IL28B C/C
BMI 25
HOMA-IR 0.84
40 yo WM
HCV GT 1a
IL28B C/C
BMI 22
HOMA-IR 3.2
Peg-IFN dose-reductions:
@ d14 180-135 & d21 135-90
SVR24
SVR24
Study Week
Study Week
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
PSI-7977
400mg QD
+ SOC
13. PSI-7977: ELECTRON
How little Interferon is sufficient?
Objective: to explore the role of IFN in combination with PSI-7977
Treatment-naïve patients with HCV GT2 or GT3
Primary efficacy endpoint : SVR
Status: enrolling
Wk 0 4 12 368
PSI-7977 400 mg QD + RBVPSI-7977 400 mg QD + RBV
PSI-7977 400 mg QD
Peg-IFN + RBV
PSI-7977 400 mg QD
Peg-IFN + RBV
PSI-7977 400 mg QD + RBVPSI-7977 400 mg QD + RBV
PSI-7977 400 mg QD Peg-IFN + RBVPSI-7977 400 mg QD Peg-IFN + RBV PSI-7977 400 mg QD + RBVPSI-7977 400 mg QD + RBV
PSI-7977 400 mg QD + Peg-IFN + RBVPSI-7977 400 mg QD + Peg-IFN + RBV
SVR
Follow-Up
SVR
Follow-Up
A
n=10
B
n=10
C
n=10
D
n=10
ELECTRON
14. PSI-7977: ELECTRON
Enrollment to date: n=21
HCV GT3 (14) > GT2 (7)
Earthquake 22 Feb 2011
Similar viral kinetics in 1st
4
weeks
No rebound after last PEG
dose while on PSI-7977
First patients complete wk
12 on 04MAR2011
A
n=10
B
n=10
C
n=10
D
n=10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70
Days
HCVRNA(log10IU/mL)
1: 12w PSI/RBV
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70
Days
HCVRNA(log10IU/mL)
2: 4w PSI/RBV/PEG+8w PSI/RBV
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70
Days
HCVRNA(log10IU/mL)
3: 8w PSI/RBV/PEG+4w PSI/RBV
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56 63 70
Days
HCVRNA(log10IU/mL)
4: 12w PSI/RBV/PEG
17. PSI-7977 Phase 2b PROTON:
HCV GT2/GT3
25 subjects enrolled
– 1 lost to F/U after day 1
– 15 GT2 > 10 GT3 (one lost to F/U)
– 7 CC, 17 CT, 1 TT
24/24 achieved HCV RNA <LOD by week 4 (RVR)
– 7/24 wk 1, 21/24 wk 2, 23/24 wk 3
All 24 remained <LOD through week 12 (EOT/cEVR)
All have had at least one post-treatment visit
22/24 <LOD Wk +8
SVR12 on all 24 by 17 March 2011
All data at EASL (Friday April 1st
)
18. Confidence in PROTON GT2/3 SVR
Number of
Subjects
95% CI 90% CI 85% CI 80% CI
SVR Rate Lower Upper Lower Upper Lower Upper Lower Upper
24 75% 58% 92% 60% 90% 62% 88% 64% 86%
24 80% 64% 96% 67% 93% 68% 92% 70% 90%
24 83% 68% 98% 70% 96% 72% 94% 73% 93%
24 88% 75% 101% 77% 99% 78% 98% 79% 97%
24 90% 78% 102% 80% 100% 81% 99% 82% 98%
24 92% 81% 103% 83% 101% 84% 100% 85% 99%
24 95% 86% 104% 88% 102% 89% 101% 89% 101%
If the SVR is 75% based on the 24 subjects in the study. The 90% CI of (60%-90%) is two sided CI, i.e., we have 5%
chance <60%, and 5% chance>90%.
If we only look at the 1-sided CI, we can claim that we have 95% chance the true response will be >60% based on the
observed response of 75% with sample size of 24.
25. Modeling Viral Response Discussion Outline
PSI-7977: brief study and disposition background
Relationship of PSI-7977 formulation, exposure and
viral response
Preliminary viral dynamic modeling from NUCLEAR
study
Upcoming endeavors
26. PSI-7977 Dosing and PK-PD Link
previously dosed as PSI-
7851 (mixture of PSI-7977
and PSI-7976) in SAD, 3-
day monotherapy studies
relative bioavailability
study
two PSI-7977 formulations
employed in patient
clinical studies
importance of measuring
6206 given short-lived
prodrug
PSI-7977
(prodrug)
PSI-7409
(uridine-TP)
PSI-7410
(uridine-DP)
PSI-6206
(uridine)
PSI-7411
(uridine-MP)
PSI-352707
PSI-352707
PSI-7411
(uridine-MP)
Plasma
Hepatocyte
PSI-7977
PSI-6206
(uridine)
27. PSI-7851 3 Day Monotherapy Viral Load
Responses
1 2 1 4
0 m g Q D
0 0 m g Q D
0 0 m g Q D
0 0 m g Q D
M e a n
M e a n
M e a n
M e a n
e a n
29. PSI-7977 7 Day Monotherapy Viral Load
Responses
Subsequent examination of exposure with different formulations as an
explanation for PD differences undertaken
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Days
HCVRNAChangefromBaseline
(log10IU/mL)
PSI-7977 400 mg
Median--Nuclear
Median--7851 MAD
30. Enhanced Exposure = Enhance Antiviral Activity
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
PSI-6206 AUCtau (ng*hr/mL)
ChangefromBaselineHCVRNA
(log10,IU/mL)
50 mg 7851 MAD 200 mg 7851 MAD 400 mg NUCLEAR predicted data
100 mg 7851 MAD 400 mg 7851 MAD combined placebo
400mgPSI -7977
+PEG -IFN/RBVx
28days
EC50
Emax
200mgPSI -7977
+PEG -IFN/RBV
x28days
100mgPSI -7977
+PEG -IFN/RBV
x28days
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
PSI-6206 AUCtau (ng*hr/mL)
ChangefromBaselineHCVRNA
(log10,IU/mL)
50 mg 7851 MAD 200 mg 7851 MAD 400 mg NUCLEAR predicted data
100 mg 7851 MAD 400 mg 7851 MAD combined placebo
400mgPSI -7977
+PEG -IFN/RBVx
28days
EC50
Emax
200mgPSI -7977
+PEG -IFN/RBV
x28days
100mgPSI -7977
+PEG -IFN/RBV
x28days
Data support better systemic delivery of 7977 with new formulation
as measured by PSI-6206, which mediates the interstudy
differences in HCV RNA declines with PSI-7977
400 mg dose is superior to lower doses early in therapy
31. How can we use the monotherapy data to
predict the time to cure?
Goal: to determine the duration of nucleotide therapy
necessary to eradicate virus based on viral decline in GT-1
subjects to support QUANTUM, ATOMIC regimen durations
On-treatment monotherapy data included in analysis
(recently completed 14 day dual nuc data not yet examined)
Utilized individual subject data with simple 2 compartment
modeling describing alpha and beta phases vs. physiologic
viral model involving infected and uninfected hepatocytes and
epsilon
Assumptions:
– Continuous viral decline (i.e., no emergence of resistance)
– Virus considered eradicated when HCV RNA < 6.7 x10-5
IU/mL
(< 1 IU/15 L)
32. Typical HCV Response Patterns
n = 56 subjects in Parts 1 and 2 dosed with a nucleotide
– 12 subjects-- appeared to have monoexponential HCV RNA decline
– 20 subjects-- could not estimate parameters with reasonable certainty
– 24 subjects-- data provided reasonably certain estimates for all
parameters (CV% low)
Approximately 13% of on-treatment HCV RNA values were < LOD
33. Viral Modeling Output
Biased towards slowest responders
PSI-938
100 mg
QD 7 days
PSI-938
100 mg
BID 7 days
PSI-938
200 mg
7 days
PSI-938
300 mg
7,14 days
PSI-7977
400 mg
7 days
n 5 3 3 10 3
Baseline HCV
RNA (median;
log10 IU/mL)
6.62 6.51 6.39 6.93 6.51
Alpha half-life
(hours; median,
range)
13.4
(8.4, 15.4)
14.4
(13.0, 14.6)
17.0
(11.9, 21.7)
13.6
(10.5, 22.8)
14.0
(8.2, 15.3)
Beta slope*
(HCV RNA log10
drop/week;
median, range)
0.52
(0.35, 1.23)
0.49
(0.31, 0.68)
0.77
(0.27, 0.89)
0.48
(0.21, 1.02)
0.67
(0.64, 1.01)
Weeks to HCV
<1 IU/15 L
(median, range)
20.8
(9.0, 31.9)
18.9
(16.1, 35.4)
12.3
(11.4, 39.8)
21.2
(10.8, 51.6)
16.3
(10.9, 17.3)
* Includes only data points with >15 IU/mL
34. Viral Modeling Output
Biased towards slowest responders
PSI-938
100 mg
QD 7 days
PSI-938
100 mg
BID 7 days
PSI-938
200 mg
7 days
PSI-938
300 mg
7,14 days
PSI-7977
400 mg
7 days
n 5 3 3 10 3
Baseline HCV
RNA (median;
log10 IU/mL)
6.62 6.51 6.39 6.93 6.51
Alpha half-life
(hours; median,
range)
13.4
(8.4, 15.4)
14.4
(13.0, 14.6)
17.0
(11.9, 21.7)
13.6
(10.5, 22.8)
14.0
(8.2, 15.3)
Beta slope*
(HCV RNA log10
drop/week;
median, range)
0.52
(0.35, 1.23)
0.49
(0.31, 0.68)
0.77
(0.27, 0.89)
0.48
(0.21, 1.02)
0.67
(0.64, 1.01)
Weeks to HCV
<1 IU/15 L
(median, range)
20.8
(9.0, 31.9)
18.9
(16.1, 35.4)
12.3
(11.4, 39.8)
21.2
(10.8, 51.6)
16.3
(10.9, 17.3)
* Includes only data points with >15 IU/mL
35. Viral Modeling Output
Biased towards slowest responders
PSI-938
100 mg
QD 7 days
PSI-938
100 mg
BID 7 days
PSI-938
200 mg
7 days
PSI-938
300 mg
7,14 days
PSI-7977
400 mg
7 days
n 5 3 3 10 3
Baseline HCV
RNA (median;
log10 IU/mL)
6.62 6.51 6.39 6.93 6.51
Alpha half-life
(hours; median,
range)
13.4
(8.4, 15.4)
14.4
(13.0, 14.6)
17.0
(11.9, 21.7)
13.6
(10.5, 22.8)
14.0
(8.2, 15.3)
Beta slope*
(HCV RNA log10
drop/week;
median, range)
0.52
(0.35, 1.23)
0.49
(0.31, 0.68)
0.77
(0.27, 0.89)
0.48
(0.21, 1.02)
0.67
(0.64, 1.01)
Weeks to HCV
<1 IU/15 L
(median, range)
20.8
(9.0, 31.9)
18.9
(16.1, 35.4)
12.3
(11.4, 39.8)
21.2
(10.8, 51.6)
16.3
(10.9, 17.3)
* Includes only data points with >15 IU/mL
36. Viral Modeling Output
Biased towards slowest responders
PSI-938
100 mg
QD 7 days
PSI-938
100 mg
BID 7 days
PSI-938
200 mg
7 days
PSI-938
300 mg
7,14 days
PSI-7977
400 mg
7 days
n 5 3 3 10 3
Baseline HCV
RNA (median;
log10 IU/mL)
6.62 6.51 6.39 6.93 6.51
Alpha half-life
(hours; median,
range)
13.4
(8.4, 15.4)
14.4
(13.0, 14.6)
17.0
(11.9, 21.7)
13.6
(10.5, 22.8)
14.0
(8.2, 15.3)
Beta slope*
(HCV RNA log10
drop/week;
median, range)
0.52
(0.35, 1.23)
0.49
(0.31, 0.68)
0.77
(0.27, 0.89)
0.48
(0.21, 1.02)
0.67
(0.64, 1.01)
Weeks to HCV
<1 IU/15 L
(median, range)
20.8
(9.0, 31.9)
18.9
(16.1, 35.4)
12.3
(11.4, 39.8)
21.2
(10.8, 51.6)
16.3
(10.9, 17.3)
* Includes only data points with >15 IU/mL
37. Viral Modeling Data in Context
Nuc monotherapy alpha phase is deeper, beta-
slope comparable to RG7227+RG71281
Predictions for viral eradication with telaprevir +
PEG/RBV
– Garg: 10-11 weeks triple therapy needed for 95% to
achieve SVR assuming PI-resistance variants remain
sensitive to IFN/RBV2
– Perelson: 95% could clear HCV within 6 weeks, assuming
no loss of telaprevir effectiveness due to resistance3
1
Morcos et al., AASLD 2009
2
Garg et al., DDW 2007
3 Guedj and Perelson, AASLD 2010
38. Viral Modeling Supports Ongoing
Program
PSI-7977 400 mg QD is optimal dose
↑ AUC
– Antiviral effect
Improved alpha of PSI-7977
– New tablet formulation
Viral eradication possible with 12 and 20 weeks
of monotherapy with no resistance
12 and 24 week regimens to be explored in
ATOMIC and QUANTUM
41. Study Number of
subjects
Dose/Duration Number of
subjects
discontinuing
P7851-1101
(SAD)
33 25mg-800mg x 1D 0
P7851-1102
(MAD)
32 50mg-300mg x 3D 0
P7977-0111
(Bioavailability)
24 200mg x 1D 0
P7977-0221
(Safety & tolerability study with
PEG/RBV)
49 100mg, 200mg,
400mg QD +
PEG/RBV x 4W
0
P7977-0422
(Dose finding study with
PEG/RBV)
96 200mg, 400mg
QD +PEG/RBV x
12W
0
234 0
No subject discontinuation to date due to
PSI-7851 or PSI-7977
42. 42
PSI-7977 Phase 2a Safety
No study drug discontinuations related to AEs
No SAEs during the first 28 days of the study
– 1 SAE of abdominal pain occurred at Week 14
– 1 SAE of acute anemia occurred at Week 40
– 1 SAE of right lower extremity ischemia with pain at Week 31
– All 3 of the SAEs were deemed to be unrelated to study drug
Majority of AEs were mild and unrelated to study drug
Most common AEs reported: fatigue, nausea, arthralgia
No dose-related laboratory abnormalities
43. 43
PSI-7977 28 day dosing with P-IFN/RBV:
Safety Summary
Standard safety monitoring employed in this study
There were no significant safety issues identified, key observations
included:
– Hematology
– Mean ~0.5 g/dL hgb difference in combined active arms vs pbo/SOC 1st
28d; no
dose response
– Appropriate response in reticulocytes in all patients
– No effect on any other cell lines
Liver
– Rapid decrease in ALT in all active arms
– No bilirubin signal
Renal
– No signal in Scr or urine protein:creatinine
Cardiac
– No signal in standard vitals/ECGs
No additional safety monitoring required for Phase 2b studies
45. PROTON GT1 Patients on PSI-7977
PSI-7977 200mg/PEG/RBV
– All 48 remain on therapy through week 12
PSI-7977 400mg/PEG/RBV
– 43 of 47 remain on therapy through week 12
– 4 D/C during 1st
12 weeks with IFN-attributable AEs/SAEs
• wk 2 (SAE: ψ admission)
• wk 4 (aphthous ulcers)
• wk 8 (lost to f/u)
• wk 10 (SAE: acute MI)
96 of 97 subjects randomized to PSI-7977 200 mg or 400 mg
will be eligible to stop all therapy at week 24 (12+12)
49. 49
PSI-7977 Phase 2b PROTON Study
Preliminary Safety Summary
Hematology
– No difference between active treatment arms and placebo
– No dose-dependent hemoglobin decline; most significant
decline in 1st
4 weeks
– Appropriate response in reticulocytes in all patients
– No effect on any other cell lines
Liver
– Rapid decrease in ALT coincident with HCV RNA suppression
Renal
– No signal in Scr or urine protein:creatinine
Cardiac
– No signal in standard vitals/ECGs
– Dedicated QTc Study ongoing
PROTON
Notas del editor
Why are R1 and 3 in blue but R2 in black?
Refresh for advisors what we measure systemically vs. active triphosphate in hepatocytes
Relationship of 7977 formulation, exposure and viral response
Dose justification
Preliminary viral dynamic modeling from NUCLEAR study
compare/contrast to other compounds (telepravir presentations at AASLD 2010 [Perelson], DDW 2007), INFORM data
Upcoming endeavors (re: viral dynamic, population based modeling)
Relative bio study between 100 mg tabs and 7851 given a 200 mg dose; 7977 Cmax and AUC was 4.1 and 3.7 fold higher than 7851; 6206 Cmax and AUC was 2x and 1.5x higher after 7977 than after 7851
So essentially 3 formulations total in clinical studies (7851, 100 mg tabs in the 2a, and 200 mg tabs in the NUCLEAR, ELECTRON and PROTON studies);
Only PSI-7977 can effectively enter the cell and be metabolized to the active form (PSI-7409)
All compounds may be found inside the target cells (hepatocytes)
If PSI-7977 is metabolized outside the cell (e.g., in blood), PSI-352707, PSI-7411 and PSI-6206 will be detected in plasma and eliminated from the body
Measure PSI-6206, PSI-7977, 707; however, we have looked to PSI-6206 as primary systematic indicator of exposure of the active triphosphate given that PSI-7977 is so quickly absorbed and eliminated.
Liver to plasma ratio (ratio of 7851 I would assume ) is 13-26 fold with significant measureable triphosphate levels in nonclinical species
Median viral load drops PSI-7851 in MAD study (50, 100, 200, 400 mg): -0.44, -0.51,-0.91, and -1.72 log10 IU/mL
Explain Cohort 3 after 7 days of mono, went on to get 7 more days of combo 938, 7977
PSI-7977 in NUCLEAR study (400 mg): -3.7 log10 IU/mL
Walk through modeling process
SS data is plotted against Day 3 HCV RNA for comprability from monotherapy only (Probably doesn’t make sense to include 2a data w/ intermediate 6206 exposure as HCV RNA decline is confounded by addition of PEG RIBA to antiviral response)
Fit model to data; discern model of best fit
Output for Sigmoidal Emax provided model of best fit, superior to linear data provided EC50 which is in exposure that will mediate ½ Emax
Parameter Units EstimateCV%
Emax IU/mL 4.72603221
EC50 ng*hr/mL 4871.58531
Gamma 1.78462224
7977, other PK parms had similar disposition
Mean AUCtau for 6206 in NUCLEAR was 9511 ng*hr/mL, which according to the model would provide a viral load drop of 3.62, pretty close to median of 3.7 and a % maximum of 76%; there is room to improve but you need to drastically increase exposure in order to get meaningful increases in viral load CFB in the range of 80-100% of maximal effect; maybe adding a second drug will give you this?
Arrows are where the mean exposure w/ different doses, same formulation fall in the 2a study fall and assume no effect of IFN.
So in a sense, we now have tested a higher doses of PSI-7851 in the MAD where exposure did not plateau; does appear that we have reached and this data illustrate the exposures
Based upon 21/24 GT2/3 being HCV negative at W2W12 and assuming SVR 8 holds as cure…10 weeks seems sufficient
Did not model the add-on on-treament phase as this is not likely to be a regimen we would pursue in further clinical trials
Viral dynamic models often estimate t0 (time delay in achieving ε), ε (drug effectiveness parameter between 0 and 1), c(first order clearance rate of virions) and δ (effected cell loss rate)
With this model, The slope of the first phase of HCV kinetic decline is dependent c; while the absolute level of decline is related to the effectiveness ε , such that ε=0.9 corresponds to ~1 log10 decline, ε=0.99 to ~2 log10 decline, etc. The second phase slope is approximated by the maximal drug effectiveness, ε, times the infected cell loss rate, δ.
w/ protease inhibitors and other DAAs whereby active drug can be measured in plasma, ε is often a function of in vitro EC50 and plasma concentrations
15 L is extracellular fluid; similar cutoffs used for ‘cure’ are 1 copy/15L (&lt; 3 x 10^5 copy/mL) (Perelson et al, AASLD 2010); 11 log drop from baseline; ‘Total body burden &lt; 1 copy’ defined as 10-5 plasma HCV RNA (IU/mL) (Garg DDW 2007)
COBAS Taqman does not identify an IU copy/mL conversion and will not disclose to our central laboratory
1st figure: 1 cmpt data prior to undetectable is subject 222 (7977 then 938 add-on)
2nd figure: 2 points in terminal slope during monotherapy is subject 235 (7977 then 938 add-on)
3rd figure: Good plot is subject 210 (300 mg 938 x 14 days)
938 300 is a combination of 3 cohorts in the MAD: 300 x 7 days; 300 x 14 days; 300 x 7 days (then add on of 7977)
Mean of subjects at each dose of 938 and at 7977 that had estimatable parameters had higher HCV RNA levels than their overall group
Take home points:
Reinforce that these data are from monotherapy
No real difference in alpha and beta phases with 938 dose except that 938 300 mg data that appears to be worse than 200 mg is dominated by subjects from 300 mg x14 day cohort (n = 6 out of the 10 analyzed) that had very high baseline HCV RNA
7977 monotherapy certainly seems to rival 938 monotherapy in terms of long term response assuming no fit variants to 7977
These estimates for beta slopes are probably the worst case scenario where data existed; numerous subjects went undetectable on-treatment
938 300 is a combination of 3 cohorts in the MAD: 300 x 7 days; 300 x 14 days; 300 x 7 days (then add on of 7977)
Mean of subjects at each dose of 938 and at 7977 that had estimatable parameters had higher HCV RNA levels than their overall group
Take home points:
Reinforce that these data are from monotherapy
No real difference in alpha and beta phases with 938 dose except that 938 300 mg data that appears to be worse than 200 mg is dominated by subjects from 300 mg x14 day cohort (n = 6 out of the 10 analyzed) that had very high baseline HCV RNA
7977 monotherapy certainly seems to rival 938 monotherapy in terms of long term response assuming no fit variants to 7977
These estimates for beta slopes are probably the worst case scenario where data existed; numerous subjects went undetectable on-treatment
938 300 is a combination of 3 cohorts in the MAD: 300 x 7 days; 300 x 14 days; 300 x 7 days (then add on of 7977)
Mean of subjects at each dose of 938 and at 7977 that had estimatable parameters had higher HCV RNA levels than their overall group
Take home points:
Reinforce that these data are from monotherapy
No real difference in alpha and beta phases with 938 dose except that 938 300 mg data that appears to be worse than 200 mg is dominated by subjects from 300 mg x14 day cohort (n = 6 out of the 10 analyzed) that had very high baseline HCV RNA
7977 monotherapy certainly seems to rival 938 monotherapy in terms of long term response assuming no fit variants to 7977
These estimates for beta slopes are probably the worst case scenario where data existed; numerous subjects went undetectable on-treatment
938 300 is a combination of 3 cohorts in the MAD: 300 x 7 days; 300 x 14 days; 300 x 7 days (then add on of 7977)
Mean of subjects at each dose of 938 and at 7977 that had estimatable parameters had higher HCV RNA levels than their overall group
Take home points:
Reinforce that these data are from monotherapy
No real difference in alpha and beta phases with 938 dose except that 938 300 mg data that appears to be worse than 200 mg is dominated by subjects from 300 mg x14 day cohort (n = 6 out of the 10 analyzed) that had very high baseline HCV RNA
7977 monotherapy certainly seems to rival 938 monotherapy in terms of long term response assuming no fit variants to 7977
These estimates for beta slopes are probably the worst case scenario where data existed; numerous subjects went undetectable on-treatment
INFORM:
A bi-phasic mixed effects model was used to describe the viral kinetic profiles. The individual parameter estimates were then used to compute alpha phase half-life, length of alpha phase and the slope of the beta phase.
appears to be ~ median 3.8 log drop at Day 3 from Fig 2 in poster; similar ~ median log drop in Part 2 Cohorts 2 and 3 of MAD study (938 is 3.8 log and 7977 is 3.62 log); Day 1.5 appears to be driving the
Alpha half-lives were approx 3 hours
Garg et al. DDW 2007
Summarize DDW poster
SVR 12+0 (+ RBV group) week arm in PROVE 2 study: 60% (49/81), so modeling quite a bit underpredictive
Guedj and Perelson AASLD 2010
3 day data from monotherapy and PEG-IFN/RBV studies
Further summarize poster
With 12 week regimens in combo, where you might expect an enhanced beta phase, 12 week treatment may be sufficient
INFORM:
A bi-phasic mixed effects model was used to describe the viral kinetic profiles. The individual parameter estimates were then used to compute alpha phase half-life, length of alpha phase and the slope of the beta phase.
appears to be ~ median 3.8 log drop at Day 3 from Fig 2 in poster; similar ~ median log drop in Part 2 Cohorts 2 and 3 of MAD study (938 is 3.8 log and 7977 is 3.62 log); Day 1.5 appears to be driving the
Alpha half-lives were approx 3 hours
Garg et al. DDW 2007
Summarize DDW poster
SVR 12+0 (+ RBV group) week arm in PROVE 2 study: 60% (49/81), so modeling quite a bit underpredictive
Guedj and Perelson AASLD 2010
3 day data from monotherapy and PEG-IFN/RBV studies
Further summarize poster
With 12 week regimens in combo, where you might expect an enhanced beta phase, 12 week treatment may be sufficient