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Engineering 245 The Lean LaunchPad Session 1: Overview/Business Models/Customer Development Professors Steve Blank, Ann Miura-Ko, Jon Feiber http://e245.stanford.edu/
Agenda “ Is This the Right Course for Me?” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Course Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Will you Learn? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Course  ‘By the Numbers’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Course Reading ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],copies available at the bookstore
This Class is  Hard ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Teams ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Team Projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Team Deliverables ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Grading ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introductions
Steve Blank,  Ann-Miura-Ko, Jon Feiber ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Steve Blank,  Ann-Miura-Ko , Jon Feiber ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Steve Blank, Ann-Miura-Ko,  Jon Feiber ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Course Assistant (CA ’s) Felix Huber ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Thomas Haymore ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[email_address] [email_address]
Volunteer Course Assistant (CA ’s) Felix Huber ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Thomas Haymore ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[email_address] [email_address]
Mentors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Class Logistics
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week (Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 4 th   Class 1 Business Model and  Customer Development - Hypotheses for each part of business model. - Test for whether your business is worth  pursuing (market  size) - Test for each of the hypotheses      - What  constitutes a pass/fail signal for the  test (e.g. at what point would you say your hypotheses wasn ’t even close to  correct)?
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week (Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 4 th   Class 1 Business Model and  Customer Development - Hypotheses for each part of business model. - Test for whether your business is worth  pursuing (market  size) - Test for each of the hypotheses      - What  constitutes a pass/fail signal for the  test (e.g. at what point would you say your hypotheses wasn ’t even close to  correct)?  January 6 th   Team Mixer - Teams by midnight Jan 6 th
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week (Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 4 th   Class 1 Business Model and  Customer Development - Hypotheses for each part of business model. - Test for whether your business is worth  pursuing (market  size) - Test for each of the hypotheses      - What  constitutes a pass/fail signal for the  test (e.g. at what point would you say your hypotheses wasn ’t even close to  correct)?  January 6 th   Team Mixer - Teams by midnight Jan 6 th January 11 th   Class 2  Testing the Value Proposition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 18 th   Class 3 Testing Customers /Users  /   Payers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 18 th   Class 3 Testing Customers and Users    ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],January 25 th   Class 4  Testing Demand Creation - Anything change about Value Proposition or  Customers/Users or Channel? - Present and explain your marketing campaign.  - What  worked best and why?
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) Feb 1 st   Class 5 Testing Sales Channel For web teams : Get working website/analytics up.  - Track where visitors are coming from, how behavior differs.  - What were your hypotheses about site results? - Anything in Value Proposition or Customers/Users?      For non-web  teams : Interview 10 people in channel  - Anything change in Value Proposition, Channel or  Customers/Users?  - Does your product extend/replace existing channel revenue?  - What ’s the “cost” of your channel/ it’s efficiency vs. product selling price.  For Everyone : What is your customer lifetime value?  - What feedback did you receive from your users? - What are the entry barriers?
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 1 st   Class 5 Testing Sales Channel For web teams: Get working website/analytics up.  - Track where visitors are coming from, how behavior differs.  - What were your hypotheses about site results? - Did anything  change about Value  Proposition or Customers/Users?      For non-web  teams: Interview 10 people in channel  - Did  anything  change  about  Value  Proposition  or  Customers/Users?  - Does your product extend/replace existing channel revenue?  - What ’s the “cost” of your channel/ it’s efficiency vs. product selling price.  For Everyone: What is your customer lifetime value?  - What feedback did you receive from your users? - What are the entry barriers? Feb 8 th   Class 6 Testing Revenue Model - Assemble income statement for your business model.   - Lifetime  value  calculation   for  customers.    
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 15 th   Class 7 Testing Partners - Any change of Value Proposition, Customers/Users,  Channel, or Demand  Creation?  - What are the partners incentives/impediments?
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 15 th   Class 7 Testing Partners - Any change of Value Proposition, Customers/Users,  Channel, or Demand  Creation?  - What are the partners incentives/impediments? Feb 22 nd   Class 8 Testing Key Resources and Cost Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 15 th   Class 7 Testing Partners - Any change of Value Proposition, Customers/Users,  Channel, or Demand  Creation?  - What are the partners incentives/impediments? Feb 22 nd   Class 8 Testing Key Resources and Cost Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],March 1 st Class 9 Present! ,[object Object],March 8 th Class 10 Present! ,[object Object]
How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 15 th   Class 7 Testing Partners - Any change of Value Proposition, Customers/Users,  Channel, or Demand  Creation?  - What are the partners incentives/impediments? Feb 22 nd   Class 8 Testing Key Resources and Cost Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],March 1 st Class 9 Present! ,[object Object],March 8 th Class 10 Present! ,[object Object],March 11 th   Funding! ,[object Object]
How to Build A Startup Idea Size Opportunity Business Model Customer Development
How to Build A Startup Idea Size  of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer  Discovery Customer  Validation
How to Build A Startup Idea Size  of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer  Discovery Customer  Validation Theory Practice
How to Build A Startup Idea Size  of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer  Discovery Customer  Validation ,[object Object]
How to Build A Startup Idea Size  of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer  Discovery Customer  Validation
Idea
We ’re  Engineers Darn It! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Stanford
Sources of Startup Ideas? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
An Idea is _Not_ a  Company
Size of Opportunity
This Class is about  Scalable Startups ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Small Business  Startups Small Business Startup ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Small Business  Startups ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://www.sba.gov/advo/stats/sbfaq.pdf Small Business Startup
Scalable  Startup Scalable Startup Large Company >$100M/year ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scalable  Startup Scalable Startup Large Company >$100M/year ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Very Different  Startup Goals Small Business Startup ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Scalable Startup Large Company ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Venture Firms  Invest in  Scalable Startups Small Business Startup Scalable Startup Large Company
Market/Opportunity Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How Big is the Pie? Total Available Market Total Available Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How Big is My Slice? Served Available Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Served  Available  Market Total Available Market
How Much Can I Eat? Target Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Total Available Market Target  Market Served Available Market
Segmentation Identification of groups most likely to buy Target  Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Total Available Market Served Available Market
Market Size: Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Business Model
What Is a Business  Model ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* Alex Osterwalder
9 building blocks  of a business model:
CUSTOMER SEGMENTS which customers and users are you serving?  which jobs do they really want to get done?
VALUE PROPOSITIONS what are you offering them? what is that  getting done for them? do they care?
CHANNELS how does each customer segment want to be reached? through which interaction points?
CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS what relationships are you establishing with each segment? personal? automated? acquisitive? retentive?
REVENUE STREAMS what are customers really willing to pay for? how?  are you generating transactional or recurring revenues?
KEY RESOURCES which resources underpin your business model? which assets are essential?
KEY ACTIVITIES which activities do you need to perform well in your business model? what is crucial?
KEY PARTNERS which partners and suppliers leverage your model?  who do you need to rely on?
COST STRUCTURE what is the resulting cost structure?  which key elements drive your costs?
images by JAM customer segments key partners cost structure revenue streams channels customer relationships key activities key  resources value proposition
sketch out your business model
building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block
But, Realize They ’re Hypotheses
9 Guesses Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess
How Do Startups  Search  For A Business Model? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Customer  Development Solving For Customer Risk
Customer Development Get Out of the Building The founders ^
More startups  fail from  a lack of customers  than from a failure of product development (focus on “who” more than “what”)
Customer Development Concept/ Bus. Plan Product Dev. Alpha/Beta Test Launch/1st Ship Product Introduction Model Customer   Development Company Building Customer Discovery Customer Validation Customer Creation Pivot
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customer  Discovery Customer Discovery Customer Validation Company Building Customer Creation Pivot
Turning Hypotheses to Facts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customer Development Team Agile Development
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customer Development Team Agile Development
The  Pivot ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Break
Our  “Culture” for E245 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Lies Ahead:   “To Do” List ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Stanford E245 Lean LaunchPad winter 10 session 01 course overview rev 4

  • 1. Engineering 245 The Lean LaunchPad Session 1: Overview/Business Models/Customer Development Professors Steve Blank, Ann Miura-Ko, Jon Feiber http://e245.stanford.edu/
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  • 20. How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week (Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 4 th Class 1 Business Model and Customer Development - Hypotheses for each part of business model. - Test for whether your business is worth  pursuing (market  size) - Test for each of the hypotheses     - What  constitutes a pass/fail signal for the  test (e.g. at what point would you say your hypotheses wasn ’t even close to  correct)?
  • 21. How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week (Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) January 4 th Class 1 Business Model and Customer Development - Hypotheses for each part of business model. - Test for whether your business is worth  pursuing (market  size) - Test for each of the hypotheses     - What  constitutes a pass/fail signal for the  test (e.g. at what point would you say your hypotheses wasn ’t even close to  correct)? January 6 th Team Mixer - Teams by midnight Jan 6 th
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  • 25. How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog) Feb 1 st Class 5 Testing Sales Channel For web teams : Get working website/analytics up.  - Track where visitors are coming from, how behavior differs.  - What were your hypotheses about site results? - Anything in Value Proposition or Customers/Users?     For non-web  teams : Interview 10 people in channel - Anything change in Value Proposition, Channel or  Customers/Users? - Does your product extend/replace existing channel revenue? - What ’s the “cost” of your channel/ it’s efficiency vs. product selling price. For Everyone : What is your customer lifetime value? - What feedback did you receive from your users? - What are the entry barriers?
  • 26. How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 1 st Class 5 Testing Sales Channel For web teams: Get working website/analytics up.  - Track where visitors are coming from, how behavior differs.  - What were your hypotheses about site results? - Did anything  change about Value  Proposition or Customers/Users?     For non-web  teams: Interview 10 people in channel - Did  anything  change  about  Value  Proposition  or  Customers/Users? - Does your product extend/replace existing channel revenue? - What ’s the “cost” of your channel/ it’s efficiency vs. product selling price. For Everyone: What is your customer lifetime value? - What feedback did you receive from your users? - What are the entry barriers? Feb 8 th Class 6 Testing Revenue Model - Assemble income statement for your business model.   - Lifetime  value  calculation   for  customers.    
  • 27. How the Class Works Class Topic Deliverable for the Next Week ( Submit interview notes, present results, update wiki/blog, build website) Feb 15 th Class 7 Testing Partners - Any change of Value Proposition, Customers/Users,  Channel, or Demand  Creation? - What are the partners incentives/impediments?
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  • 31. How to Build A Startup Idea Size Opportunity Business Model Customer Development
  • 32. How to Build A Startup Idea Size of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer Discovery Customer Validation
  • 33. How to Build A Startup Idea Size of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer Discovery Customer Validation Theory Practice
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  • 35. How to Build A Startup Idea Size of the Opportunity Business Model(s) Customer Discovery Customer Validation
  • 36. Idea
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  • 39. An Idea is _Not_ a Company
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  • 47. Venture Firms Invest in Scalable Startups Small Business Startup Scalable Startup Large Company
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  • 56. 9 building blocks of a business model:
  • 57. CUSTOMER SEGMENTS which customers and users are you serving? which jobs do they really want to get done?
  • 58. VALUE PROPOSITIONS what are you offering them? what is that getting done for them? do they care?
  • 59. CHANNELS how does each customer segment want to be reached? through which interaction points?
  • 60. CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS what relationships are you establishing with each segment? personal? automated? acquisitive? retentive?
  • 61. REVENUE STREAMS what are customers really willing to pay for? how? are you generating transactional or recurring revenues?
  • 62. KEY RESOURCES which resources underpin your business model? which assets are essential?
  • 63. KEY ACTIVITIES which activities do you need to perform well in your business model? what is crucial?
  • 64. KEY PARTNERS which partners and suppliers leverage your model? who do you need to rely on?
  • 65. COST STRUCTURE what is the resulting cost structure? which key elements drive your costs?
  • 66. images by JAM customer segments key partners cost structure revenue streams channels customer relationships key activities key resources value proposition
  • 67. sketch out your business model
  • 68. building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block building block
  • 69. But, Realize They ’re Hypotheses
  • 70. 9 Guesses Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess
  • 71.
  • 72. Customer Development Solving For Customer Risk
  • 73. Customer Development Get Out of the Building The founders ^
  • 74. More startups fail from a lack of customers than from a failure of product development (focus on “who” more than “what”)
  • 75. Customer Development Concept/ Bus. Plan Product Dev. Alpha/Beta Test Launch/1st Ship Product Introduction Model Customer Development Company Building Customer Discovery Customer Validation Customer Creation Pivot
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  • 84. Break
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