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Phenomenology of
large scale structure



 Ravi K Sheth (ICTP/UPenn)
• The Halo Model
  – Observations/Motivation

• The Excursion Set approach
  – The ansatz
  – Correlated steps
  – Large scale bias
  – Ensemble averages: Halos and peaks
  – Modified gravity
Galaxy spatial
distribution
depends on
galaxy type
(luminosity,
color, etc.)


Not all galaxies
can be unbiased
tracers of the
underlying Mass
distribution
Light is a biased tracer




Understanding bias important for understanding mass
How to describe different point
processes which are all built from
the same underlying distribution?


     THE HALO MODEL
Center-satellite process requires knowledge of how
1) halo abundance;        2) halo clustering;     3) halo profiles;
4) number of galaxies per halo;           all depend on halo mass.

(Revived, then discarded in 1970s by Peebles, McClelland & Silk)
The halo-model of clustering
• Two types of pairs: both particles in same halo, or
  particles in different halos




• ξobs(r) = ξ1h(r) + ξ2h(r)
• All physics can be decomposed similarly: ‘nonlinear’
  effects from within halo, ‘linear’ from outside
The halo-model of clustering
• Two types of particles: central + ‘satellite’




• ξobs(r) = ξ1h(r) + ξ2h(r)
•            ξ1h(r) = ξcs(r) + ξss(r)
To implement
    Neyman-Scott program
       need model for
      cluster abundance
     and cluster clustering

Next generation of surveys will
have 109 galaxies in105 clusters
In Cold Dark Matter models, mass doesn’t move very far
The Cosmic
 Background
  Radiation
Cold: 2.725 K
Smooth: 10-5
Simple physics

Gaussian fluctuations
= seeds of subsequent
structure formation
= simple(r) math
Logic which follows
is general
Birkhoff’s theorem important
Use initial conditions (CMB)
               +
      model of nonlinear
    gravitational clustering
  to make inferences about
late-time, nonlinear structures
Hierarchical clustering in GR




= the persistence of memory
THE EXCURSION SET
       APPROACH


 (Epstein 1983; Bond et al. 1991; Lacey & Cole 1993;
Sheth 1998; Sheth & van de Weygaert 2004; Shen et al. 2006)
N-body
simulations
of

gravitational
clustering

in an
expanding
universe
Assume a spherical cow …




       (Gunn & Gott 1972)
Spherical evolution
 very well approximated by
 ‘deterministic’ mapping …
(Rinitial/R)3 = Mass/(ρcomVolume) =

  1 + δ ≈ (1 – δ0/δsc)     −δsc


  …which can be inverted:
(δ0/δsc) ≈ 1 – (1 + δ)      −1/δsc
The Nonlinear PDF
δcrit

δ0(M/V)


Linear
theory
over-             This patch       Halo of mass
density           of volume        m<M within
                  v contains       this patch
                  mass M           (M,v)
           V                   v
                                   MASS
• Halo mass function is distribution of counts in cells
  of size v→0 that are not empty.

• Fraction f of walks which first cross barrier
  associated with cell size V at mass scale M,
      f(M|V) dM = (M/V) p(M|V) dM
  where p(M|V) dM is probability randomly placed cell
  V contains mass M.
• Note: all other crossings irrelevant → stochasticity in
  mapping between initial and final density
The Random Walk Model
Higher
Redshift
Critical


over-
density
               This      smaller mass
               patch     patch within
               forms     more massive
               halo of   region
               mass M
                             MASS
From Walks to Halos: Ansätze
• f(δc,s)ds = fraction of walks which first
  cross δc(z) at s
   ≈ fraction of initial volume in patches of
  comoving volume V(s) which were just dense
  enough to collapse at z
   ≈ fraction of initial mass in regions which
  each initially contained m =ρV(1+δc) ≈ ρV(s)
  and which were just dense enough to collapse
  at z (ρ is comoving density of background)
   ≈ dm m n(m,δc)/ρ
Random Walk = Accretion history




                                   eti h’
    High-z




                                 cr ot
                                      on
                               ac o
                              ‘sm
               Major merger
    Low-z
    over-
    density
                          larger    small mass
Time                      mass at   at high-z
evolution of              low z   Mapping between σ2
barrier                           and M depends on P(k)
depends on                                  MASS
cosmology                                   σ2(M)
Simplification because…
• Everything local
• Evolution determined by cosmology (competition
  between gravity and expansion)
• Statistics determined by initial fluctuation field:
  since Gaussian, statistics specified by initial
  power-spectrum P(k)
• Fact that only very fat cows are spherical is a
  detail (crucial for precision cosmology); in
  excursion set approach, mass-dependent barrier
  height increases with distance along walk
•Exact analytic solution
only for sharp-k filter
(for Gaussian fields k-
modes are independent)

•Numerical solution
easy to implement for
any filter, P(k)
•Simple analytic
bounds/approximations
available

First crossing distribution ~ independent of
smoothing filter (TH,G) and P(k) when
expressed as function of δc/σ(m)
Assumptions of convenience
• Uncorrelated steps
  – Correlated steps (Peacock & Heavens 1990; Bond et al. 1991;
    Maggiore & Riotto 2010; Paranjape et al. 2011)
  – Non-Gaussian mass function (Matarrese et al. 2001) ~
    given by changing PDF but keeping uncorrelated
    steps (Lam & Sheth 2009)
• Barrier is sharp
  – Fuzzy/porous barriers (Sheth, Mo, Tormen        2001; Sheth
    &Tormen 2002 ; Maggiore & Riotto 2010; Paranjape et al 2011)

• Ensemble of walks is also random
  – The real cloud-in-cloud problem
Peacock-Heavens approximation
• Steps are correlated
  – correlation length scale depends on smoothing window
    and Pk
  – correlation length on scale s is Γs with Γ ~ 5
  – steps further apart than this length are ~ independent
• Survival probability (to have not crossed) is
 P (sn) ≈ ∏i p(<δc|si)
             n

                         s
       = p(<δc|s) exp[0∫ ds/sΓ ln p(<δc|s)]
 First crossing distribution is -∂P /∂s.
Completely correlated steps

Critical


over-
density
                   Typical mass smaller
                   at early times:
                   hierarchical clustering


                                 MASS
Correlations with environment


Critical
                             Easier to get here
                             from over-dense
            over-dense       environment
initial
over-
density                  This
                         patch
                         forms   ‘Top-heavy’
                         halo of mass function in
                         mass M dense regions
     under-dense                          MASS
Peacock-Heavens
approximation to
correlated steps
problem is most
accurate analytic
approximation to
date

Noise around
complete            Paranjape et al. 2011
correlation also
                                            mass
quite good
Extensions           (Paranjape, Lam, Sheth 2011)



– conditional distributions (environmental trends)
– large-scale bias
– can both be understood as arising from fact that
  p(x|y) = Gaussian with <x|y> = y <xy>/<yy>
– so simply make this replacement in PH expressions
– moving barriers (ellipsoidal collapse, PDF),
• Generalization of PH to
  constrained walks:
  p(<δc|s) → p(<δc,s|δ0, S0)
 is trivial and accurate

          δ1 – (Sx/S0) δ0        mass
  ν10 = ------------------
        √S1- (Sx/S0)2 S0

• Read fine print (and correct
  the typos!) in Bond et al.
  (1991)
ν10 =

  δ1 – (Sx/S0) δ0
----------------------------------------

√S1- (Sx/S0) S0                2




  N.B.: Sx/S0 ≠ 1
Large scale bias
• f(m|δ0)/f(m) – 1 ~ f(ν10)/f(ν) – 1
                        ~ (Sx/S) b(ν) δ0
  where b is usual (Mo-White) bias factor
• So, real space bias should differ from Fourier
  space bias by factor (Sx/S)
• N.B. exactly same effect seen for peaks
  (Desjacques et al. 2010); in essence, this is same
  calculation as the ‘peak’ density profile (BBKS
  1986)
Real and Fourier space
  measures of bias
    should differ,
 especially for most
    massive halos                  Tophat


Basis for getting scale
 dependent bias from                   sharp-k
excursion set approach
                            Paranjape & Sheth 2011


Assembly bias from
<δ0, S0 | δc, S1, δf, Sf>
Most of apparent
difference is due to
difference between
real and Fourier space
bias



Real difference in
Fourier space bias is
small – but significant
at small masses
Hamana et al. 2002
Massive halos
more strongly
 clustered

  ‘linear’ bias
 factor on large
scales increases
 monotonically
with halo mass
Luminosity dependent clustering from
   mass dependence of halo bias
            Zehavi et al. 2005
                         SDSS




• Deviation from power-law statistically significant
• Centre plus Poisson satellite model (two free parameters)
provides good description
Summary
• Intimate connection between abundance and
  clustering of dark halos
   – Can use cluster clustering as check that cluster mass-
     observable relation correctly calibrated
   – Almost all correlations with environment arise through halo
     bias (massive halos populate densest regions)
• Next step in random walk ~ independent of previous
   – History of object ~ independent of environment
   – Not true for correlated steps
• Description quite detailed; sufficiently accurate to
  complete Neyman-Scott program (The Halo Model)
Success to date motivates
search for more accurate
   (better than 10%)
     models of halo
 abundance/clustering:

 Quest for Halo Grail?
Work in progress
• Correlated steps
  – Assembly bias
• Correlated walks
  – What is correct ensemble?
  – Generically increase high-m abundance
    (ST99 parameter ‘a’)
• Dependence on parameters other
  than δ
  – Higher dimensional walks
  – What is correct basis set? (e,p)? (I2,I3)?
Model the entire cosmic web,
     not just the knots
Study of random walks with
        correlated steps
 (i.e. path integral methods)
                =
Cosmological constraints from
     large scale structures
‘Modified’ gravity theories
                 Martino & Sheth 2009




weaker gravity     on large scales      stronger gravity


 Voids/clusters/clustering are useful indicators
In many modifications to GR,
scale-dependent linear theory is
           generic:

     δ(k,t) = D(k,t) δ(k,ti)

     N.B. Peaks in ICs are not
   peaks in linearly evolved field
Modified force modifies
 (spherical) collapse




      (Martino & Sheth 2009; Parfrey et al. 2011)
Halo density
               stronger gravity
 profiles in
 modified
   gravity
  theories:             weaker gravity


   X-ray
observations
  useful?
                     Martino & Sheth 2009
Modified halo abundances …




… potentially from two effects
δc(m) and σ(m)
• In standard GR, σ(m) is an integral over initial P(k),
  evolved using linear theory to later (collapse) time.
• In modified theories, D(k,t) means there is a
  difference between calculating in ICs vs linearly
  evolved field.
• Energy conservation arguments suggest better to
  work in ICs.
Critical
    overdensity
   required for
collapse at present
  becomes mass
dependent: δc(m)

 This is generic.
Implication for halo bias
• Halos are linearly biased tracers of initial field
• D(k) means they are not linearly biased tracers
  of linearly-evolved field (Parfrey et al. 2011)

• Simulations in hand too small to test, but if
  real, this is an important systematic

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R. Sheth - The Phenomenology of Large Scale Structure

  • 1. Phenomenology of large scale structure Ravi K Sheth (ICTP/UPenn)
  • 2. • The Halo Model – Observations/Motivation • The Excursion Set approach – The ansatz – Correlated steps – Large scale bias – Ensemble averages: Halos and peaks – Modified gravity
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Galaxy spatial distribution depends on galaxy type (luminosity, color, etc.) Not all galaxies can be unbiased tracers of the underlying Mass distribution
  • 6. Light is a biased tracer Understanding bias important for understanding mass
  • 7. How to describe different point processes which are all built from the same underlying distribution? THE HALO MODEL
  • 8. Center-satellite process requires knowledge of how 1) halo abundance; 2) halo clustering; 3) halo profiles; 4) number of galaxies per halo; all depend on halo mass. (Revived, then discarded in 1970s by Peebles, McClelland & Silk)
  • 9. The halo-model of clustering • Two types of pairs: both particles in same halo, or particles in different halos • ξobs(r) = ξ1h(r) + ξ2h(r) • All physics can be decomposed similarly: ‘nonlinear’ effects from within halo, ‘linear’ from outside
  • 10. The halo-model of clustering • Two types of particles: central + ‘satellite’ • ξobs(r) = ξ1h(r) + ξ2h(r) • ξ1h(r) = ξcs(r) + ξss(r)
  • 11. To implement Neyman-Scott program need model for cluster abundance and cluster clustering Next generation of surveys will have 109 galaxies in105 clusters
  • 12. In Cold Dark Matter models, mass doesn’t move very far
  • 13. The Cosmic Background Radiation Cold: 2.725 K Smooth: 10-5 Simple physics Gaussian fluctuations = seeds of subsequent structure formation = simple(r) math Logic which follows is general
  • 15. Use initial conditions (CMB) + model of nonlinear gravitational clustering to make inferences about late-time, nonlinear structures
  • 16. Hierarchical clustering in GR = the persistence of memory
  • 17. THE EXCURSION SET APPROACH (Epstein 1983; Bond et al. 1991; Lacey & Cole 1993; Sheth 1998; Sheth & van de Weygaert 2004; Shen et al. 2006)
  • 18.
  • 20. Assume a spherical cow … (Gunn & Gott 1972)
  • 21. Spherical evolution very well approximated by ‘deterministic’ mapping … (Rinitial/R)3 = Mass/(ρcomVolume) = 1 + δ ≈ (1 – δ0/δsc) −δsc …which can be inverted: (δ0/δsc) ≈ 1 – (1 + δ) −1/δsc
  • 22. The Nonlinear PDF δcrit δ0(M/V) Linear theory over- This patch Halo of mass density of volume m<M within v contains this patch mass M (M,v) V v MASS
  • 23. • Halo mass function is distribution of counts in cells of size v→0 that are not empty. • Fraction f of walks which first cross barrier associated with cell size V at mass scale M, f(M|V) dM = (M/V) p(M|V) dM where p(M|V) dM is probability randomly placed cell V contains mass M. • Note: all other crossings irrelevant → stochasticity in mapping between initial and final density
  • 24. The Random Walk Model Higher Redshift Critical over- density This smaller mass patch patch within forms more massive halo of region mass M MASS
  • 25. From Walks to Halos: Ansätze • f(δc,s)ds = fraction of walks which first cross δc(z) at s ≈ fraction of initial volume in patches of comoving volume V(s) which were just dense enough to collapse at z ≈ fraction of initial mass in regions which each initially contained m =ρV(1+δc) ≈ ρV(s) and which were just dense enough to collapse at z (ρ is comoving density of background) ≈ dm m n(m,δc)/ρ
  • 26. Random Walk = Accretion history eti h’ High-z cr ot on ac o ‘sm Major merger Low-z over- density larger small mass Time mass at at high-z evolution of low z Mapping between σ2 barrier and M depends on P(k) depends on MASS cosmology σ2(M)
  • 27. Simplification because… • Everything local • Evolution determined by cosmology (competition between gravity and expansion) • Statistics determined by initial fluctuation field: since Gaussian, statistics specified by initial power-spectrum P(k) • Fact that only very fat cows are spherical is a detail (crucial for precision cosmology); in excursion set approach, mass-dependent barrier height increases with distance along walk
  • 28. •Exact analytic solution only for sharp-k filter (for Gaussian fields k- modes are independent) •Numerical solution easy to implement for any filter, P(k) •Simple analytic bounds/approximations available First crossing distribution ~ independent of smoothing filter (TH,G) and P(k) when expressed as function of δc/σ(m)
  • 29. Assumptions of convenience • Uncorrelated steps – Correlated steps (Peacock & Heavens 1990; Bond et al. 1991; Maggiore & Riotto 2010; Paranjape et al. 2011) – Non-Gaussian mass function (Matarrese et al. 2001) ~ given by changing PDF but keeping uncorrelated steps (Lam & Sheth 2009) • Barrier is sharp – Fuzzy/porous barriers (Sheth, Mo, Tormen 2001; Sheth &Tormen 2002 ; Maggiore & Riotto 2010; Paranjape et al 2011) • Ensemble of walks is also random – The real cloud-in-cloud problem
  • 30. Peacock-Heavens approximation • Steps are correlated – correlation length scale depends on smoothing window and Pk – correlation length on scale s is Γs with Γ ~ 5 – steps further apart than this length are ~ independent • Survival probability (to have not crossed) is P (sn) ≈ ∏i p(<δc|si) n s = p(<δc|s) exp[0∫ ds/sΓ ln p(<δc|s)] First crossing distribution is -∂P /∂s.
  • 31. Completely correlated steps Critical over- density Typical mass smaller at early times: hierarchical clustering MASS
  • 32. Correlations with environment Critical Easier to get here from over-dense over-dense environment initial over- density This patch forms ‘Top-heavy’ halo of mass function in mass M dense regions under-dense MASS
  • 33. Peacock-Heavens approximation to correlated steps problem is most accurate analytic approximation to date Noise around complete Paranjape et al. 2011 correlation also mass quite good
  • 34. Extensions (Paranjape, Lam, Sheth 2011) – conditional distributions (environmental trends) – large-scale bias – can both be understood as arising from fact that p(x|y) = Gaussian with <x|y> = y <xy>/<yy> – so simply make this replacement in PH expressions – moving barriers (ellipsoidal collapse, PDF),
  • 35. • Generalization of PH to constrained walks: p(<δc|s) → p(<δc,s|δ0, S0) is trivial and accurate δ1 – (Sx/S0) δ0 mass ν10 = ------------------ √S1- (Sx/S0)2 S0 • Read fine print (and correct the typos!) in Bond et al. (1991)
  • 36. ν10 = δ1 – (Sx/S0) δ0 ---------------------------------------- √S1- (Sx/S0) S0 2 N.B.: Sx/S0 ≠ 1
  • 37. Large scale bias • f(m|δ0)/f(m) – 1 ~ f(ν10)/f(ν) – 1 ~ (Sx/S) b(ν) δ0 where b is usual (Mo-White) bias factor • So, real space bias should differ from Fourier space bias by factor (Sx/S) • N.B. exactly same effect seen for peaks (Desjacques et al. 2010); in essence, this is same calculation as the ‘peak’ density profile (BBKS 1986)
  • 38. Real and Fourier space measures of bias should differ, especially for most massive halos Tophat Basis for getting scale dependent bias from sharp-k excursion set approach Paranjape & Sheth 2011 Assembly bias from <δ0, S0 | δc, S1, δf, Sf>
  • 39. Most of apparent difference is due to difference between real and Fourier space bias Real difference in Fourier space bias is small – but significant at small masses
  • 40. Hamana et al. 2002 Massive halos more strongly clustered ‘linear’ bias factor on large scales increases monotonically with halo mass
  • 41. Luminosity dependent clustering from mass dependence of halo bias Zehavi et al. 2005 SDSS • Deviation from power-law statistically significant • Centre plus Poisson satellite model (two free parameters) provides good description
  • 42. Summary • Intimate connection between abundance and clustering of dark halos – Can use cluster clustering as check that cluster mass- observable relation correctly calibrated – Almost all correlations with environment arise through halo bias (massive halos populate densest regions) • Next step in random walk ~ independent of previous – History of object ~ independent of environment – Not true for correlated steps • Description quite detailed; sufficiently accurate to complete Neyman-Scott program (The Halo Model)
  • 43. Success to date motivates search for more accurate (better than 10%) models of halo abundance/clustering: Quest for Halo Grail?
  • 44. Work in progress • Correlated steps – Assembly bias • Correlated walks – What is correct ensemble? – Generically increase high-m abundance (ST99 parameter ‘a’) • Dependence on parameters other than δ – Higher dimensional walks – What is correct basis set? (e,p)? (I2,I3)?
  • 45. Model the entire cosmic web, not just the knots
  • 46. Study of random walks with correlated steps (i.e. path integral methods) = Cosmological constraints from large scale structures
  • 47. ‘Modified’ gravity theories Martino & Sheth 2009 weaker gravity on large scales stronger gravity Voids/clusters/clustering are useful indicators
  • 48. In many modifications to GR, scale-dependent linear theory is generic: δ(k,t) = D(k,t) δ(k,ti) N.B. Peaks in ICs are not peaks in linearly evolved field
  • 49.
  • 50. Modified force modifies (spherical) collapse (Martino & Sheth 2009; Parfrey et al. 2011)
  • 51. Halo density stronger gravity profiles in modified gravity theories: weaker gravity X-ray observations useful? Martino & Sheth 2009
  • 52. Modified halo abundances … … potentially from two effects
  • 53. δc(m) and σ(m) • In standard GR, σ(m) is an integral over initial P(k), evolved using linear theory to later (collapse) time. • In modified theories, D(k,t) means there is a difference between calculating in ICs vs linearly evolved field. • Energy conservation arguments suggest better to work in ICs.
  • 54. Critical overdensity required for collapse at present becomes mass dependent: δc(m) This is generic.
  • 55. Implication for halo bias • Halos are linearly biased tracers of initial field • D(k) means they are not linearly biased tracers of linearly-evolved field (Parfrey et al. 2011) • Simulations in hand too small to test, but if real, this is an important systematic