Play predict

•

1 recomendación•331 vistas

Seiji Armstrong

www.play-predict.com

Tecnología

15 players on a team
5 players on the court
The coach rotates players
between the bench and the court
Data-driven approach:
real-time performance prediction
Performance predictions

Game play has patterns
Positive: shots, assists, steals… Negative: turnovers, fouls…
Plays come in streaks

3
3
4
5
4 3 5
Plays come in streaks
Positive: shots, assists, steals… Negative: turnovers, fouls…
Game play has patterns

3
3
4
5
4 3 5
Plays come in streaks
Positive: shots, assists, steals… Negative: turnovers, fouls…
Game play has patterns
3 pointer
2 pointer

Play Predict :: algorithm
Basketballvalue.com
API Bulk download Scrape
2500 game events
per player
Probability
density
functions
Conditional
probabilities
Performance
predictions
Unique
streak
profiles
Classifying
streaks
Complete game logs

Play Predict :: validation
Training set
Testset
0.90.2
0.2
0.9
Validation set:
Played over 75% of
games (89 players).
Testing predictions
to continue streak
from 2 to 3.
Pearson R = 0.7

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Play predict

1. Play Predict Seiji Armstrong

2. 15 players on a team 5 players on the court The coach rotates players between the bench and the court Data-driven approach: real-time performance prediction Performance predictions

3. Game play has patterns Positive: shots, assists, steals… Negative: turnovers, fouls… Plays come in streaks

4. 3 3 4 5 4 3 5 Plays come in streaks Positive: shots, assists, steals… Negative: turnovers, fouls… Game play has patterns

5. 3 3 4 5 4 3 5 Plays come in streaks Positive: shots, assists, steals… Negative: turnovers, fouls… Game play has patterns 3 pointer 2 pointer

6. Play Predict :: algorithm Basketballvalue.com API Bulk download Scrape 2500 game events per player Probability density functions Conditional probabilities Performance predictions Unique streak profiles Classifying streaks Complete game logs

7. Play Predict :: validation Training set Testset 0.90.2 0.2 0.9 Validation set: Played over 75% of games (89 players). Testing predictions to continue streak from 2 to 3. Pearson R = 0.7

8. Seiji Armstrong

Play predict

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Play predict