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The Millennium Development Goals Report
                                       2012




UNITED NATIONS
This report, reviewed and finalized by Dr Malik Khalid Mehmood PhD, Senior 
Advisor, is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert Group on MDG
Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, in response to the
wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of progress towards the MDGs. The Group comprises
representatives of the international organizations whose activities include the preparation of one or more of the series
of statistical indicators that were identified as appropriate for monitoring progress towards the MDGs, as reflected in
the list below. A number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers also contributed.




INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION

UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION
                                          Cover Inside
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

THE WORLD BANK

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTERN ASIA

JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS

UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN'S FUND

UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT

UNITED NATIONS ENTITY FOR GENDER Equality AND THE EMPOWERMENT OF WOMEN - UN
WOMEN

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE

UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES

UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND

INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE

INTER-PARLIAMENTARY UNION

ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND
DEVELOPMENT

WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
The Millennium Development Goals
Report 2012




U ni t e d na t i on s
new York, 2012
asd
f
fore word      |     3




Foreword
This year's report on progress towards the Millennium          The goal of gender equality also remains unfulfilled, again
Development Goals (MDGs) highlights several milestones.        with broad negative consequences, given that achieving
The target of reducing extreme poverty by half has been        the MDGs depends so much on women's empowerment
reached five years ahead of the 2015 deadline, as has          and equal access by women to education, work, health
the target of halving the proportion of people who lack        care and decision-making. We must also recognize the
dependable access to improved sources of drinking water.       unevenness of progress within countries and regions,
Conditions for more than 200 million people living in slums    and the severe inequalities that exist among populations,
have been ameliorated—double the 2020 target. Primary          especially between rural and urban areas.
school enrolment of girls equalled that of boys, and we
have seen accelerating progress in reducing child and          Achieving the MDGs by 2015 is challenging but possible.
maternal mortality.                                            Much depends on the fulfilment of MDG-8—the global
                                                               partnership for development. The current economic
These results represent a tremendous reduction in human        crises besetting much of the developed world must not
suffering and are a clear validation of the approach           be allowed to decelerate or reverse the progress that
embodied in the MDGs. But, they are not a reason to            has been made. Let us build on the successes we have
relax. Projections indicate that in 2015 more than             achieved so far, and let us not relent until all the MDGs
600 million people worldwide will still be using               have been attained.
unimproved water sources, almost one billion will be living
on an income of less than $1.25 per day, mothers will
continue to die needlessly in childbirth, and children will
suffer and die from preventable diseases. Hunger remains
a global challenge, and ensuring that all children are able
to complete primary education remains a fundamental,
but unfulfilled, target that has an impact on all the other    B an K i - moon
Goals. Lack of safe sanitation is hampering progress in        Secretary-General, United Nations
health and nutrition, biodiversity loss continues apace, and
greenhouse gas emissions continue to pose a major threat
to people and ecosystems.
4   |   t h e M i l l e n n i U M d e v e l o p M e n t G o a l s r e p o r t 2 0 12




Overview
Three years to the deadline, we can                                                    have benefited the most. The ratio between the enrolment
                                                                                       rate of girls and that of boys grew from 91 in 1999 to 97
report broad progress on the MDGs                                                      in 2010 for all developing regions. The gender parity index
                                                                                       value of 97 falls within the plus-or-minus 3-point margin of
The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) agreed to by
                                                                                       100 per cent, the accepted measure for parity.
world leaders over a decade ago have achieved important
results. Working together, Governments, the United Nations                             • Many countries facing the greatest challenges have
family, the private sector and civil society have succeeded in                            made significant progress towards universal primary
saving many lives and improving conditions for many more.                                 education
The world has met some important targets—ahead of the
                                                                                       Enrolment rates of children of primary school age increased
deadline.
                                                                                       markedly in sub-Saharan Africa, from 58 to 76 per cent
• Extreme poverty is falling in every region                                           between 1999 and 2010. Many countries in that region
                                                                                       succeeded in reducing their relatively high out-of-school rates
For the first time since poverty trends began to be monitored,
                                                                                       even as their primary school age populations were growing.
the number of people living in extreme poverty and poverty
rates fell in every developing region—including in sub-                                • Child survival progress is gaining momentum
Saharan Africa, where rates are highest. The proportion of
                                                                                       Despite population growth, the number of under-five deaths
people living on less than $1.25 a day fell from 47 per cent
                                                                                       worldwide fell from more than 12.0 million in 1990 to 7.6
in 1990 to 24 per cent in 2008—a reduction from over
                                                                                       million in 2010. And progress in the developing world as
2 billion to less than 1.4 billion.
                                                                                       a whole has accelerated. Sub-Saharan Africa—the region
• The poverty reduction target was met                                                 with the highest level of under-five mortality—has doubled
                                                                                       its average rate of reduction, from 1.2 per cent a year over
Preliminary estimates indicate that the global poverty rate at
                                                                                       1990-2000 to 2.4 per cent during 2000-2010.
$1.25 a day fell in 2010 to less than half the 1990 rate. If
these results are confirmed, the first target of the MDGs—                             • Access to treatment for people living with HIV
cutting the extreme poverty rate to half its 1990 level—will                              increased in all regions
have been achieved at the global level well ahead of 2015.
                                                                                       At the end of 2010, 6.5 million people were receiving
• The world has met the target of halving the proportion                               antiretroviral therapy for HIV or AIDS in developing regions.
                                                                                       This total constitutes an increase of over 1.4 million people
    of people without access to improved sources of water
                                                                                       from December 2009, and the largest one-year increase
The target of halving the proportion of people without
                                                                                       ever. The 2010 target of universal access, however, was not
sustainable access to safe drinking water was also met by                              reached.
2010, with the proportion of people using an improved
water source rising from 76 per cent in 1990 to 89 per cent                            • The world is on track to achieve the target of halting
in 2010. Between 1990 and 2010, over two billion people                                   and beginning to reverse the spread of tuberculosis
gained access to improved drinking water sources, such as
                                                                                       Globally, tuberculosis incidence rates have been falling since
piped supplies and protected wells.
                                                                                       2002, and current projections suggest that the 1990 death
• Improvements in the lives of 200 million slum dwellers                               rate from the disease will be halved by 2015.
    exceeded the slum target
                                                                                       • Global malaria deaths have declined
The share of urban residents in the developing world living
                                                                                       The estimated incidence of malaria has decreased globally,
in slums declined from 39 per cent in 2000 to 33 per cent
                                                                                       by 17 per cent since 2000. Over the same period,
in 2012. More than 200 million gained access to either
                                                                                       malaria-specific mortality rates have decreased by 25 per
improved water sources, improved sanitation facilities, or
                                                                                       cent. Reported malaria cases fell by more than 50 per cent
durable or less crowded housing. This achievement exceeds
                                                                                       between 2000 and 2010 in 43 of the 99 countries with
the target of significantly improving the lives of at least
                                                                                       ongoing malaria transmission.
100 million slum dwellers, well ahead of the 2020 deadline.

• The world has achieved parity in primary education
    between girls and boys
Driven by national and international efforts and the MDG
campaign, many more of the world's children are enrolled
in school at the primary level, especially since 2000. Girls
overvie w        |   5



Inequality is detracting from these gains,                        In the years ahead, we have the
and slowing advances in other key areas                           opportunity to achieve more and to
                                                                  shape the agenda for our future
Achievements were unequally distributed across and within
regions and countries. Moreover, progress has slowed for          The 2015 deadline is fast approaching. The contributions
some MDGs after the multiple crises of 2008-2009.                 of national Governments, the international community,
                                                                  civil society and the private sector will need to intensify
• Vulnerable employment has decreased only marginally             as we take on the longstanding and long-term challenge
   over twenty years
                                                                  of inequality, and press forward on food security, gender
Vulnerable employment—defined as the share of                     equality, maternal health, rural development, infrastructure
unpaid family workers and own-account workers in total            and environmental sustainability, and responses to climate
employment—accounted for an estimated 58 per cent of              change.
all employment in developing regions in 2011, down only
moderately from 67 per cent two decades earlier. Women            A new agenda to continue our efforts beyond 2015 is taking
and youth are more likely to find themselves in such insecure     shape. The MDG campaign, with its successes as well as
and poorly remunerated positions than the rest of the             setbacks, provides rich experience on which this discussion
employed population.                                              can draw, as well as confidence that further success is
                                                                  feasible.
• Decreases in maternal mortality are far from
   the 2015 target                                                • Gender equality and women's empowerment
                                                                     are key
There have been important improvements in maternal health
and reduction in maternal deaths, but progress is still slow.     Gender inequality persists and women continue to face
Reductions in adolescent childbearing and expansion of            discrimination in access to education, work and economic
contraceptive use have continued, but at a slower pace since      assets, and participation in government. Violence against
2000 than over the decade before.                                 women continues to undermine efforts to reach all goals.
                                                                  Further progress to 2015 and beyond will largely depend on
• Use of improved sources of water remains lower in               success on these interrelated challenges.
   rural areas
While 19 per cent of the rural population used unimproved
                                                                  • MDG progress shows the power of global goals and a
                                                                     shared purpose
sources of water in 2010, the rate in urban areas was only
4 per cent. And since dimensions of safety, reliability and       The MDGs have been a fundamental framework for global
sustainability are not reflected in the proxy indicator used      development. A clear agenda, with measurable goals and
to track progress towards the MDG target, it is likely that       targets, and a common vision have been crucial for this
these figures overestimate the actual number of people using      success.
safe water supplies. Worse, nearly half of the population         There is now an expectation around the world that sooner,
in developing regions—2.5 billion—still lacks access to           rather than later, all these goals can and must be achieved.
improved sanitation facilities. By 2015, the world will have      Leaders will be held to this high standard. Sectors such as
reached only 67 per cent coverage, well short of the 75 per       government, business, academia and civil society, often
cent needed to achieve the MDG target.                            known for working at cross-purposes, are learning how
                                                                  to collaborate on shared aspirations. The comprehensive
• Hunger remains a global challenge                               statistics and clear analysis in this year's MDG Report give us
The most recent FAO estimates of undernourishment set             all a good idea of where our efforts should be directed.
the mark at 850 million living in hunger in the world in the
2006/2008 period—15.5 per cent of the world population.
This continuing high level reflects the lack of progress on
hunger in several regions, even as income poverty has
decreased. Progress has also been slow in reducing child
undernutrition. Close to one third of children in Southern Asia
were underweight in 2010.                                         S ha Z uKang
                                                                  Under-Secretary-General for Economic
• The number of people living in slums continues to grow          and Social Affairs
Despite a reduction in the share of urban populations living
in slums, the absolute number has continued to grow from
a 1990 baseline of 650 million. An estimated 863 million
people now live in slum conditions.
Goal 1                   TarGET Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of


people
                         whose income is less than $1 a day
Eradicate extreme
poverty and hunger   Extreme poverty falls in every region

                     Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, 1990, 2005 and 2008
                     (Percentage)
                     Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                        56
                                                                                                   52
                                                                                              47
                     Southern Asia
                                                                                                   51
                                                                               38
                                                                          34
                     Southern Asia (excluding India)
                                                                                                   52
                                                                29
                                                           26
                     South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                         45
                                               19
                                          17
                     Eastern Asia (China only)
                                                                                                             60
                                       16
                                  13
                     Latin America & the Caribbean
                                 12
                             9
                           6
                     Western Asia *
                     5
                     5
                     3
                     Northern Africa
                     5
                     3
                     2
                     Developing regions (excluding China)
                                                                                    41
                                                                 31
                                                            28
                     Developing regions
                                                                                          47
                                                           27
                                                    24
                     0          10                  20               30             40             50         60   70

                           1990                     2005                   2008          Target

                     * The aggregate value is based on 5 of 13 countries in the region.
                     Note: No sufficient country data are available to calculate the aggregate values
                     for Oceania.


                     For the first time since the World Bank started to monitor poverty trends,
                     both the number of people living in extreme poverty and the poverty
                     rates fell in every developing region—including in sub-Saharan Africa,
                     where rates are highest. In the developing regions, the proportion of
people living on less than $1.25 a day fell from 47 per cent in 1990
G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r   |   7



to 24 per cent in 2008. In 2008, about 110 million                   On the other hand, poverty remains widespread in
fewer people than in 2005 lived in conditions of extreme             sub-Saharan Africa and in Southern Asia, despite
poverty. The number of extreme poor in the developing                significant progress. The sub-Saharan African poverty
regions fell from over 2 billion in 1990 to less than                rate fell by almost 5 percentage points, to less than
1.4 billion in 2008.                                                 48 per cent, between 2005 and 2008—the largest
                                                                     drop in that region since international poverty rates
More recent post-2008 analysis reveals that while high               began to be estimated. For the first time, the absolute
food and fuel prices and deep economic recession over                number of people living in extreme poverty also fell in
the course of the past four years have hurt vulnerable               the region, from 395 million in 2005 to 386 million in
populations and slowed the rate of poverty reduction                 2008. This drop reversed the long-term trend of increase
in some countries, global poverty rates have continued               since 1981.
to fall. A preliminary World Bank estimate—based
on a much smaller number of surveys than the global                  Further progress on the long-term goal of eradicating
update—indicates that the global poverty rate at $1.25               poverty is possible and likely over the coming years
a day fell in 2010 to less than half its 1990 value. If              if developing countries maintain the robust growth
these results are confirmed by follow-up studies, the first          rates achieved over a large part of the past decade;
target of the Millennium Development Goals—cutting the               and also if the conditions in which extreme poverty
extreme poverty rate to half its 1990 level—will have                thrives continue to be addressed: poor health and
been achieved on a global level well ahead of the 2015               lack of education that deprive people of productive
deadline.                                                            employment; environmental resources that have been
                                                                     depleted or spoiled; and corruption, conflict and bad
But even at the current rate of progress, estimates indicate         governance that waste public resources and discourage
that about 1 billion people will still be living on less than        private investment.
$1.25 a day in 2015—corresponding to a global extreme
poverty rate of just below 16 per cent. Four out of every            Simply being able to monitor how well anti-poverty
five people living in extreme poverty will live in sub-              efforts in specific localities are doing is an important tool
Saharan Africa and Southern Asia.                                    in poverty eradication. But data of sufficient quality and
                                                                     quantity are hard to come by, especially in small States
Some regions have seen greater progress than others. A               and in countries and territories in fragile situations. The
remarkable rate of progress was sustained in China. After            need to improve the quality and reach of household
the extreme poverty rate had dropped from 60 per cent                surveys—an important data source for monitoring
in 1990 to 16 per cent in 2005, the incidence fell further           poverty—is urgent.
by 2008 to 13 per cent. In India and in the Southern
Asian region excluding India, poverty rates fell from 51
to 37 per cent and from 52 to 26 per cent, respectively,
between 1990 and 2008.
8     |    t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12




    TarGET
    Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people


Eastern Asia sets the pace for worldwide progress on working poverty

Proportion of employed people living below $1.25 a day (Percentage) and number of working poor (Millions), 2000-2011
Millions                                                                                                         Percentage
800                                                                                                                   35              Working poor,
                                                                                                                                      Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                                      Working poor, world
                                                                                                                      30

                                                                                                                      excludi
                                                                                                                      ng
                                                                                                                      Easter
                                                                                                                      n Asia

600                                                                                                                                   Working poverty rate,
                                                                                                                      25              Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                                      Working poverty rate,
                                                                                                                                      world excluding
                                                                                                                      20

                                                                                                                      Easter
                                                                                                                      n Asia

400                                                                                                                                   Working poverty rate,
                                                                                                                      15              world


                                                                                                                      10
200

                                                                                                                      5


    0                                                                                                                 0
           2000     2001     2002      2003      2004     2005      2006      2007        2008   2009   2010   2011



                                                                                             Recent estimates, produced by the International Labour
                                                                                             Organisation (ILO) and based on a new methodology,
                                                                                             show that there were 456 million workers in the world
                                                                                             living below the $1.25 a day poverty line in 2011—a
                                                                                             reduction of 233 million since 2000 and of 38 million
                                                                                             since 2007. The global decline is heavily influenced by
                                                                                             the dramatic reduction in extreme poverty among workers
                                                                                             in Eastern Asia. Due to rapid economic growth, and to
                                                                                             poverty reduction especially in China, the number of poor
                                                                                             workers fell by 158 million between 2000 and 2011,
                                                                                             and by 24 million between 2007 and 2011.
                                                                                             Worldwide, the proportion of workers living below
                                                                                             the $1.25 poverty line declined from 26.4 per cent to
                                                                                             14.8 per cent between 2000 and 2011. If Eastern Asia
                                                                                             is excluded, the decline over the same period is less
                                                                                             dramatic—from 25.0 per cent to 17.4 per cent.
                                                                                             Even though working poverty is decreasing, progress has
                                                                                             slowed markedly since 2008. A projection of pre-crisis
                                                                                             (2002-2007) trends in the incidence of working poverty
                                                                                             shows a difference of 1.6 percentage points between
                                                                                             what was expected and the actual 2011 figure. This
corresponds to 50 million more working poor in 2011
than projected by pre-crisis trends.
G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r   |   9



Developing regions lag far behind the                                              The gap in labour productivity levels between the
developed world in labour productivity                                             developed and developing regions has narrowed over
                                                                                   the past two decades, but remains substantial: output per
                                                                                   worker in the developed regions was $64,319 in 2011,
Output per worker, 1991, 2001 and 2011                                             compared with an average of $13,077 in developing
(Thousands of constant 2005 PPP-adjusted international
dollars)                                                                           regions. This means that, adjusted for differences in prices
Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                   across countries, the average worker in the developing
    5                                                                              world produces only one fifth as much as the average
   5                                                                               worker in a developed country.
     6
Oceania                                                                            Average productivity in the developing world, however,
    5                                                                              hides substantial heterogeneity among regions. During the
    5                                                                              last decade, gains were very limited in Latin America and
      6
                                                                                   the Caribbean, sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania, while
Southern Asia
  4                                                                                productivity in Eastern Asia more than doubled between
     5                                                                             2001 and 2011. The relatively weak productivity growth
         9                                                                         in developing regions outside of Asia is one key factor
South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                   explaining the persistence of working poverty.
     6
       7
          10
Caucasus & Central Asia
           10
        7
              14
Eastern Asia
 3
      6
               14
Northern Africa
                  17
                   18
                       21
Latin America & the Caribbean
                      20
                      21
                          23
Western Asia
                             30
                                      35
                                           40
Developed regions
                                                48
                                                          57
                                                                    64
Developing regions
    6
      8
          13
0        10          20          30        40        50        60        70

      1991                2001              2011*

* Figures for 2011 are preliminary estimates.


Labour productivity is a key measure of economic
performance, which can be used to gauge the
likelihood that a country can create decent employment
opportunities with fair and equitable remuneration.
Sustained reductions in working poverty are consequently
difficult to achieve without gains in labour productivity.
10    |     t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12



Progress is slow in reducing vulnerable                                                    vulnerable employment is most prevalent contributed
employment                                                                                 strongly to this trend.
                                                                                           A high share of workers in vulnerable employment
Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in                               indicates the widespread prevalence of informal work
total employment, 1991 and 2011 (Percentage)
                                                                                           arrangements. Under these conditions, workers typically
Oceania

lack adequate
social protection
and suffer from
low
                                                                  74
                                                                       77                  pay and from difficult working conditions in which their
Southern Asia                                                                              fundamental rights may be violated or undermined.
                                                                            81
                                                                       76
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                                         Women are far more likely than men to
                                                                            82             be engaged in vulnerable employment
                                                                       76
Southern Asia (excluding India)


Proportion of own-account and
contributing family workers
                                                                  73                       in total employment, women, men, 2011 (Percentage)
                                                            68
South-Eastern Asia                                                                         Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                                                                 85
                                                             68
                                                                                                                                                     69
                                                       61
                                                                                           Oceania
Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                                                                84
                                                            66
                                                                                                                                                      71
                                             49
                                                                                           Southern Asia
Caucasus & Central Asia
                                                                                                                                                                83
                                            46
                                                                                                                                                           74
                                      42
                                                                                           South-Eastern Asia
Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                                                                                66
                                35
                                                                                                                                           58
                            32
                                                                                           Eastern Asia
Northern Africa
                                                                                                                                      53
                                 37
                                                                                                                                 46
                           30
                                                                                           Northern Africa
Eastern Asia (excluding China)
                                                                                                                             44
                                 37
                                                                                                                  26
                           30
                                                                                           Caucasus & Central Asia
Western Asia
                                                                                                                             43
                                       43
                                                                                                                            41
                      26
                                                                                           Western Asia
Developed regions
                                                                                                                            41
     11
                                                                                                             22
     10
                                                                                           Latin America & the Caribbean
Developing regions
                                                                                                                       32
                                                            67
                                                                                                                       32
                                                  58
                                                                                           Developed regions
0                20                   40           60                   80       100
                 9
          1991                   2011*                                                          11
* Figures for 2011 are preliminary estimates.                Developing regions
                                                                                                       62
Vulnerable employment—defined as the sum of the                                                   56
percentages of unpaid family workers and own-account         0     10      20     30    40   50        60   70   80    90
workers in total employment—accounted for an estimated             Women          Men
58 per cent of all employment in the developing regions in
2011.                                                        The gap between women's and men's vulnerable
                                                             employment is widest in Northern Africa—where in
The proportion of workers in employment defined as
                                                             2011, 44 per cent of women were in jobs classified as
vulnerable slowly decreased between 1991 and 2011.
                                                             vulnerable, compared with 26 per cent of men—and in
This moderate decline in proportion was not sufficient
to prevent the absolute number of workers in vulnerable      Western Asia, where the rates were 41 and 22 per cent,
employment from increasing by 136 million since 2000,        respectively. The share of vulnerable employment across
bringing the global number to 1.52 billion. Continuous       genders was highest in sub-Saharan Africa, reaching 85
expansion of the labour force in countries where             per cent for women and 69 per cent for men.
G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r       |   11



Youth tend to find themselves in low-                                                                       Many young people start their working life by supporting
opportunity family based work situations                                                                    informal family businesses or farms. Data for a sample
                                                                                                            of 20 developing economies for which breakdowns by
                                                                                                            age and status in employment are available show that the
Share of contributing family workers in total employment,                                                   share of contributing family workers among all employed
youth and adults, selected countries, 2003/2006 (Percentage)
                                                                                                            young people exceeded the corresponding share for adult
Madagascar
                                                                                               98           workers in all countries.
                                                                                79
Burkina Faso
                                                                                                            The school-to-work transition may also include spells
                                                                                          86                of unemployment or periods of temporary or casual
                                                              44
                                                                                                            employment, before reaching a final station that is likely to
Bhutan
                                                                               78                           be own-account work.
                                                                    61
Uganda
                                                                          65                                    TarGET
                                   21                                                                           Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of
Togo
                                                                          64
                                                                                                                people who suffer from hunger
                    13
Mali

                                              28
                                                                     62                                     The numbers of malnourished have
Mozambique                                                                                                  stabilized since 1990
                                                                     61
                                              28
Cambodia                                                                                                    Number and proportion of people in the developing regions who
                                                                    60                                      are undernourished 1990-92, 1995-97, 2000-02 and 2006-08
                                         26
Peru                                                                                                        Millions                                                               Percentage
                                                               45
                                                                                                            1,400                                                                          25
                              18
Pakistan
                                                         39
                         15                                                                                 1,200          19.8
India                                                                                                                                                                                      20
                                                    35
                          16                                                                                1,000                          16.8            16.5
Nicaragua
                                                                                                                                                                           15.5
                                               30                                                                                                                                          15
        6                                                                                                      800
Guatemala                                                                                                                  848                              836             850
                                        25                                                                                                  791
                9
                                                                                                               600
Philippines                                                                                                                                                                                10
                                   22
            7
                                                                                                               400
Colombia
                     14
        3                                                                                                                                                                                  5
Congo                                                                                                          200
                     13
        2
Mexico                                                                                                            0                                                                        0
                 12                                                                                                      1990-92         1995-97         2000-02         2006-08
    4                                                                                                                       Number of undernourished people
Gabon
                                                                                                                            Percentage of undernourished people
                11
3
Niger                                                                                                       The most recent estimates of undernourishment by the
                9
                                                                                                            Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations
    1
Armenia                                                                                                     (FAO) were published in 2011 for the 2006-2008 period.
  2                                                                                                         They set the mark at 850 million, which corresponds to
 1
                                                                                                            15.5 per cent of the world population. This was the first
0                                       20                    40         60          80         100
                                                                                                            assessment based on hard data on food production and
        Youth                            Adults
                                                                                                            consumption referring to 2008, and capturing the actual
                                                                                                            impact of the food price crisis of 2007-2008 and of the
                                                                                                            financial crisis of 2008.
12   |     t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12



The situation at the global level was not as stark as might                               of hunger and the implementation of appropriate policies
have been expected, and was originally projected, thanks                                  and measures.
to economic growth rates that remained high in many
developing countries at least through 2008.                                               Countries in sub-Saharan Africa were
                                                                                          the hardest hit by the food and financial
Progress in relieving food deprivation                                                    crises
has slowed or stalled in many regions
                                                                                          Number of undernourished people, 2003-2008 (Millions)
Proportion of people who are undernourished, 1990-92,
2000-2002, 2006-08 (Percentage)                                                                                              Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                                        600

                                                                          31
                                                                                                   579       579       578
                                                                     29
                                                                27                                                                   567
Southern Asia (excluding India)
                                                                                                                                                   557
                                                               26                                                                           556
                                                         23
                                                        22                                550
Southern Asia
                                                  22
                                                21
                                              20
South-Eastern Asia
                                                          24
                                     17                                                   500
                          14                                                                      2003      2004      2005          2006   2007   2008
Eastern Asia (excluding China)
               8                                                                                                    Sub Saharan Africa
                        13                                                                240
                        13                                                                                                                         231
Eastern Asia
                                         18
                  10
                                                                                          220
                  10
Latin America & the Caribbean
                     12                                                                   214
                  10                                                                                                   212                 213
                8                                                                                  211                              210
Western Asia
          6
                8                                                                         200
             7
Northern Africa
       <5
       <5
       <5                                                                                 180
Developing regions                                                                                2003      2004      2005          2006   2007   2008
                                              20
                                     17                                                   The FAO assessment reveals that small countries, heavily
                               15                                                         dependent on food imports, were deeply affected by
0           5         10            15             20          25         30   35
                                                                                          skyrocketing food prices-especially those in sub-Saharan
         1990-1992              2000-2002                       2006-2008
                                                                                          Africa. In contrast, some large countries in Asia were able
                                                                                          to insulate their markets through restrictive trade policies
The prevalence of hunger remains uncomfortably high in
                                                                                          and to protect consumers with social safety nets. As a
sub-Saharan Africa and in Southern Asia outside of India.
                                                                                          result, while the number of undernourished increased
And, despite recorded reductions in income poverty, there
                                                                                          sharply in sub-Saharan Africa, it remained constant in Asia.
are no signs of improvement in undernourishment rates in
Eastern Asia since 2000. The disparity between falling
poverty rates and steady levels of undernourishment calls
for improved understanding of the dimensions and causes
G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r   |   13



                                                                                              In the developing regions, the proportion of children under
        Improved methodology will help to better                                              age five who are underweight declined from 29 per cent
        understand the state of food insecurity in                                            in 1990 to 18 per cent in 2010. Progress was recorded
        the world                                                                             in all regions where comparable data are available, but is
                                                                                              insufficient to reach the global target by 2015. Continued
        New estimates of hunger prevalence are being                                          efforts are needed to reduce disparities related to urban-
        produced based on a larger number of household                                        rural differences and poverty, among other factors.
        expenditure surveys and a new methodology
        developed by FAO. The new figures will provide an                                     An equally important indicator of overall child health
        assessment for the years 2009-2011 and preliminary                                    and nutritional status is stunting, defined as low height
        estimates for 2012. The improved methodology should                                   for age. It is a condition, however, which often goes
        better capture changes in the degree of inequality                                    unrecognized in the developing world. More common
        in food access, as well as provide more accurate                                      than being underweight, stunting also more accurately
        estimates of food stocks, non-food uses and waste.                                    reflects nutritional deficiencies and illnesses that occur
                                                                                              during the early-life period and will hamper growth and
                                                                                              development. Although the prevalence of stunting fell
Nearly one in five children under age five                                                    from an estimated 44 per cent in 1990 to 29 per cent
in the developing world is underweight                                                        in 2010, millions of children remain at risk for diminished
                                                                                              cognitive and physical development resulting from long-
                                                                                              term undernutrition.
Proportion of children under age five who are moderately
or severely underweight, 1990 and 2010 (Percentage)                                           Despite clear evidence of the disastrous consequences
Southern Asia
                                                                                              of childhood nutritional deprivation in the short and long
                                                                   51
                                               32
                                                                                              terms, nutritional health remains a low priority. It is time for
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                                            nutrition to be placed higher on the development agenda.
                                          29
                                  22
                                                                                              A number of simple, cost-effective measures to reduce
South-Eastern Asia                                                                            undernutrition in the critical period from conception to two
                                               31                                             years after birth are available. These measures include
                    17
                                                                                              improved maternal nutrition and care, breastfeeding within
Northern Africa
       10
                                                                                              one hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the first six
  6                                                                                           months of life, and timely, adequate, safe and appropriate
Western Asia                                                                                  complementary feeding and micronutrient intake in the
                        15                                                                    following 18 months. Urgent, accelerated and concerted
        5
                                                                                              actions are needed to deliver and scale up such
Caucasus & Central Asia
         11                                                                                   interventions so as to extend the gains made thus far.
  4
Eastern Asia
                    15
    3
Latin America & Caribbean
  8
3
Developing regions
                                          29
                             18
0                  10             20           30        40         50             60

            1990                   2010         Target        Range of estimates
Note: Prevalence estimates are calculated according to the WHO Child
Growth Standards. The trend analysis presented above is based on a
multilevel regression model, described in de Onis et al., 'Methodology for
Estimating Regional and Global Trends of Child Malnutrition',International
Journal of Epidemiology, vol. 33, pp. 1260-1270, using all available
trend data points from 1985 to 2010.
Error bars represent 95 per cent confidence intervals of the estimated
regional prevalence. Owing to differences in source data, international
standard reference population and estimation methodology, these
prevalence estimates may not be comparable to the averages published
in previous editions of this report.
14   |       t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12



Differences in undernutrition found                                                         Poverty is a major determinant of
between rural and urban children                                                            undernutrution in children in all regions
are largest in Latin America and the
Caribbean                                                                                   Proportion of under-five children who are underweight,
                                                                                            developing regions, by wealth quintile, 2006/2010
                                                                                            (Percentage)
Proportion of under-five children who are underweight,

60
developing regions, urban and rural areas, 2006/2010                                                           Poorest 20%
(Percentage)                                                                                                   Wealthiest 20%
                                                                                                                                                        55
50                                                                                          50
                   Urban
45                 Rural
                                                                    45                      40
40                                                                                                                                                                       38

35                                                                                          30
                                                                                                                                       28
                                                               33
30                                                                             32
                                                                                            20
                                                                                                                                                             20
25
                                                                                                                                                                              14
20                                                       22                                 10                                              11
                                                                                                      7                 7
15                                                                        17                               4                 4
                                                    15                                      0
10                                                                                                  Northern          Caucasus &     Sub-Saharan        Southern       Developing
                                                                                                     Africa           Central Asia      Africa            Asia          regions*
                                               8
 5                                                                                               * Excluding China.
                           6        6
         4    5      5         4          3
             Note: These regional averages are
         based on a subset of 65 countries
 0                                                                                               with wealth quintile information covering 54 per cent of the 20 per cent poorest
         Western  Northern Caucasus   Latin     Sub-          Southern Developing                population and 20 per cent richest population in the developing regions (It is
          Asia     Africa      &     America Saharan            Asia    regions*                 assumed that an equal distribution for population coverage for richest and
                            Central   & the    Africa                                            poorest 20 per cent, which may or may not hold true). Data for Eastern Asia
                              Asia  Caribbean                                                    are not available.
     * Excluding China.
     Note: Regional averages are based on a subset of 70 countries with residence
                                                                                            Poorer children are almost three times as likely to be
     area information covering 62 per cent of the rural populationand 53 per cent
     of the urban population in the developing region. Data for Eastern Asia                underweight as are children in the wealthiest 20 per cent
     are not available.                                                                     of the households. The disparity is greatest in Southern
                                                                                            Asia, where the prevalence of underweight children in the
In the developing regions as a whole, children living in
                                                                                            poorest quintile of households is 2.8 times that of children
rural areas are almost twice as likely to be underweight                                    from the richest 20 per cent.
than children in urban households. The largest gap is in
Latin America and the Caribbean. In that region, eight per
cent of children are underweight in rural areas—more than
twice the rate in cities.
G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r    |   15



The number of refugees and of the displaced remains high, even with an upturn in
repatriation in 2011

Number of refugees, asylum seekers and internally displaced persons, 2000-2011 (Millions)

60                                                                                                                                         Asylum seekers
                                                                                                                                           Refugees
50                                                                                                                                         Internally displaced
                                                                                                                                            persons
                 1.1                                                            0.7        0.8        1.0
                                                                                0.8        0.9
                           1.1
        1.1                         1.0       0.9
                                    0.7
40                                                     0.8


       15.9      16.0     14.6      13.7     13.8      13.0        14.3         16.0       15.2       15.2       15.4       15.2
30



20


       21.2      25.0     25.0      24.6     25.3      23.7        24.4         26.0       26.0       27.1       27.5       26.4
10



  0
       2000     2001      2002     2003      2004     2005         2006        2007       2008       2009       2010       2011


Armed conflict and violence uprooted more than 4 million                        At the end of 2011, an estimated 42.5 million people
people in 2011, either inside or outside the borders of                         worldwide were living in a place to which they had been
their countries. This is the highest number in many years.                      forcibly displaced due to conflict or persecution. Of these,
Post-election violence in Côte d'Ivoire, "Arab Spring"                          15.2 million were refugees, including 10.4 million who
uprisings and a deteriorating situation in Somalia were                         fall under the responsibility of the UNHCR and 4.8 million
all contributing factors, in particular during the first half of                Palestinian refugees registered with the United Nations
2011.                                                                           Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the
                                                                                Near East (UNRWA). Some 26.4 million people were
The number of refugees returning home voluntarily had
                                                                                uprooted by violence and persecution but remain within
fallen steadily since 2004. With the situation improving
                                                                                the borders of their own countries. Some 900,000 were
in some countries, this trend was reversed in 2011, with
                                                                                asylum seekers.
more than half a million refugees repatriating during the
year. This number is more than double the 2010 total of                         On average, four out of five refugees are hosted by
197,600, and constitutes the highest repatriation flow                          developing countries. The largest refugee populations
since the return of 604,000 refugees in 2008.                                   covered under the mandate of the UNHCR at the end of
                                                                                2011 continued to be Afghans (2.7 million) and Iraqis (1.4
But 2011 also produced the third lowest number of
                                                                                million). Together, they account for four out of ten of all
voluntarily repatriated refugees in a decade. Globally,
                                                                                refugees under the UNHCR mandate.
more than 9.1 million refugees have returned home
over the past 10 years, three quarters of them with the
assistance of the United Nations High Commissioner for
Refugees (UNHCR).
Goal 2                  TArGeT
                        Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike,
                        will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling
Achieve universal
primary education   Progress on primary school enrolment has slowed
                    since 2004, even as countries with the toughest
                    challenges have made large strides

                    Adjusted net enrolment rate in primary education,* 1999, 2004 and 2010
                    (Percentage)
                    Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                     58
                                                                               68
                                                                                         76
                    Western Asia
                                                                                               84
                                                                                                     89
                                                                                                       92
                    Southern Asia
                                                                                         77
                                                                                                     89
                                                                                                           93
                    Caucasus & Central Asia
                                                                                                            94
                                                                                                          94.5
                                                                                                          93.9
                    Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                                           94
                                                                                                            95
                                                                                                            95
                    South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                         92
                                                                                                           94
                                                                                                            95
                    Northern Africa
                                                                                                    88
                                                                                                               95
                                                                                                                96
                    Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                 96
                                                                                                                97.3
                                                                                                               96.6
                    Developed regions
                                                                                                                 97
                                                                                                                 97
                                                                                                                 97
                    Developing regions
                                                                                              82
                                                                                                    88
                                                                                                      90
                    0       10        20      30       40       50        60        70        80          90           100

                           1999             2004              2010

                    * Defined as the number of pupils of the official school age for primary education
                    enrolled either in primary or secondary school, expressed as a percentage of the total
                    population in that age group.
                    Note: Data for Oceania are not available.
G o a l 2 : a c h i e v e u n i v e r s a l p r i m a r y e d u c at i o n   |   17



In the developing regions, the net enrolment rate for             More than half of all out-of-school
children of primary school age rose from 82 to 90 per             children are in sub-Saharan Africa
cent between 1999 and 2010. However, a closer look
at the data reveals that nearly all of this growth occurred
between 1999 and 2004, and that progress in reducing              Primary school age children out of school, 1999-2010
                                                                  (Millions)
the number of out-of-school children slowed considerably
                                                                  120
after 2004.
At the same time, many of the countries facing the                100

greatest challenges have recorded significant progress
towards universal primary education. Enrolment rates of            80

children of primary school age increased markedly in
                                                                   60
sub-Saharan Africa, from 58 to 76 per cent between
1999 and 2010. Total enrolment of children of primary
                                                                   40
school age in the region rose by more than two thirds,
with 43 million more enrolled. Not only did countries
                                                                   20
succeed in reducing their relatively high out-of-school
rates, they also improved their enrolment rates even as
                                                                    0
the primary school age population was growing by more                   1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
than one quarter between 1999 and 2010 (28 per cent,                      Rest of the world           Southern Asia           Sub-Saharan Africa
or 31 million children).
Apart from in sub-Saharan Africa, more than 90 per cent
                                                                  In 2010, 61 million children of primary school age were
of children of primary school age were enrolled either in
                                                                  out of school. More than half of them (33 million) were in
primary or secondary schools in 2010. In four developing
                                                                  sub-Saharan Africa and a further one fifth (13 million) in
regions (Northern Africa, Eastern Asia, Latin America and
                                                                  Southern Asia. In relative terms, 24 per cent of children of
the Caribbean and South-Eastern Asia), at least 95 per
                                                                  primary school age in sub-Saharan Africa and 7 per cent
cent of primary-age children were in school.
                                                                  in Southern Asia were not in school.
18   |   t h e m i l l e n n i u m d e v e l o p m e n t G o a l s r e p o r t 2 0 12



Globally, there has been progress in reducing girls'                                    Young adolescents from poor and
exclusion from primary education, with the female share                                 rural households are more likely to be
of out-of-school children in developing countries dropping
                                                                                        out of school
from 58 to 53 per cent between 1999 and 2010. But
regional gender disparities continue to detract from efforts
to achieve universal primary education. In Southern Asia,                               Percentage of lower secondary-age children out of school
Western Asia and Northern Africa, girls accounted for                                   by sex, household wealth and location, 55 countries, 2005/2010

55, 65 and 79 per cent, respectively, of the total share of                             40

out-of-school children.
                                                                                        35   36
Universal primary education would be a hollow
achievement if the focus were simply on enrolment rather                                30        31
than on the completion of primary education. In 2010, the                                              29
global primary completion rate (measured by the gross                                   25                                                              27
intake ratio to the last grade of primary education) reached                                                24     23
90 per cent, compared with 81 per cent in 1999.                                                                    23

Regional values ranged from 70 per cent in sub-Saharan                                  20                              21
Africa to almost 100 per cent in Latin America and the                                                                       1918

Caribbean and also in the Caucasus and Central Asia.                                    15                                       16
                                                                                                                                      14           14
Girls and boys have similar chances of completing                                       10

primary education in all regions except for sub-Saharan                                                                                    10

Africa and Western Asia. In sub-Saharan Africa, boys                                     5

are more likely than girls to complete primary education
in 25 out of 43 countries with available data. In only 10                                0
                                                                                             Poorest   Second      Middle    Fourth   Richest   Urban   Rural
of these countries do both groups have equal chances                                          20%       20%         20%       20%      20%
of finishing primary school. But notably, in 8 countries                                     Girls          Boys
in sub-Saharan Africa more girls than boys are currently
completing primary education, although these disparities                                Analysis of household survey data collected between
tend to be less extreme than those tilted against girls.                                2005 and 2010 in 55 developing countries reveals
                                                                                        that exclusion from education occurs most often among
                                                                                        children from disadvantaged groups. Poverty emerges
Success at the primary level places                                                     as a strong determinant of school exclusion for lower
increased demands on secondary schools                                                  secondary-age youth. Young adolescents from the
                                                                                        poorest households are three times as likely to be out
With more children completing primary education,                                        of school as those from the richest households. Girls of
the demand for secondary education is growing. This                                     lower secondary-age are more likely to be out of school
increased demand poses a serious challenge for countries                                than boys, regardless of the wealth or location of the
with limited resources. In sub-Saharan Africa, about one                                household. Nevertheless, the greatest disparities are
quarter of the children who complete primary school do                                  found between the richest and poorest households, and
not continue on to secondary education. The regional                                    between urban and rural areas.
average, however, hides substantial differences between
countries. The transition rate from primary to secondary
education ranges from around 40 per cent in Angola,
Mauritania and the United Republic of Tanzania to 98 per
cent in Seychelles and Swaziland.
Young people who do not pursue their education join
the group of adolescents of lower-secondary age who
are not enrolled in either primary or secondary school. In
2010, there were 71 million young adolescents (typically
aged 12-15 years) out of school around the world. Of
these, around 48 million lived in countries where lower-
secondary schooling is officially recognized as part of the
compulsory education system.
G o a l 2 : a c h i e v e u n i v e r s a l p r i m a r y e d u c at i o n   |   19



Illiteracy still holds back more than                                Globally, the youth literacy rate reached 90 per cent in
120 million young people                                             2010, an increase of 6 percentage points since 1990.
                                                                     Over the last two decades, the greatest progress has
Out-of-school youth tend to have limited opportunities to            been achieved in Southern Asia, where youth literacy rose
develop or maintain literacy skills, restricting their options       from 60 to 81 per cent, and in Northern Africa, where it
in life and compounding the disadvantages they face                  increased from 68 to 88 per cent.
later on.                                                            Gender gaps in youth literacy rates are also narrowing.
In 2010, there were still 122 million people between 15              Globally, there were 95 literate young women for every
and 24 years of age—74 million women and 48 million                  100 young men in 2010, compared with 90 women in
men—who were unable to read and write a short, simple                1990. At the regional level, this gap is most notable in
statement about their everyday life.                                 Southern Asia, where there were only 86 literate women
                                                                     for every 100 literate men in the age group 15-24 years
The great majority of these young adults live in Southern            in 2010.
Asia (62 million) and sub-Saharan Africa (45 million). In
relative terms, literacy rates among the youth population
are lowest in sub-Saharan Africa (72 per cent) and
Oceania (76 per cent).
Goal 3               TarGeT:
                     Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary
                     education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education
Promote gender       no later than 2015

equality and     Parity is achieved in developing world primary
empowerwomen     schools, even though some regions lag behind

                 Gender parity index for gross enrolment ratios in primary, secondary and
                 tertiary education (Girls' school enrolement ratio in relation to boys'
                 enrolment ratio), 1999 and 2010 (Girls per 100 boys)

                 Primary education
                 Western Asia                                             85                   93
                 Sub-Saharan Africa                                       85                   93
                 Northern Africa                                               90                  95
                 Latin America & the Caribbean                                           97         97
                 Southern Asia                                           83                         98
                 Caucasus & Central Asia                                                      99     98
                 South-Eastern Asia                                                      96             99
                 Eastern Asia                                                             101             103
                 Oceania*                                                       90
                 Developed regions                                                       100            99
                 Developing regions                                             91                  97
                 Secondary education
                 Sub-Saharan Africa                                      83     82
                 Southern Asia                                      75                        91
                 Western Asia                                       74                        91
                 Caucasus & Central Asia                                                  98        97
                 Northern Africa                                                    92               98
                 Eastern Asia                                                       93                    104
                 South-Eastern Asia                                                      96               104
                 Latin America & the Caribbean                                                     107        108
                 Oceania*                                                      89
                 Developed regions                                                       101            99
                 Developing regions                                           88                    96
                 Tertiary education
                 Sub-Saharan Africa                      67        63
                 Southern Asia                             65             76
                 Western Asia                                       75                    89
                 Eastern Asia                                 67                                             105
                 Northern Africa                                    74                                       106
                 Caucasus & Central Asia                                        90                           106
                 South-Eastern Asia                                                      100                 107
                 Latin America & the Caribbean                                                               117      128
                 Oceania*                                                83
                 Developed regions                                                                              120    130
                 Developing regions                                      83                         98
                 0    10       20     30     40     50    60        70   80          90        100 110 120 130

                        1999          2010        Target = Gender parity index between 97 and 103

                 * Data for 2010 are not available.


                 Achieving parity in education is an important step toward equal
                 opportunity for men and women in the social, political and economic
                 domains. Driven by national and international efforts and the MDG
G o a l 3: P r o m o t e G e n d e r e q ua l i t y a n d e m P o w e r w o m e n   |   21



campaign, many more of the world's children have                        Girls face greater barriers at the secondary level of
enrolled in school at the primary level, especially since               education than at the primary level. The gender parity
2000. Girls have benefited the most. Progress is reflected              index in secondary education in the developing world as
in the gender parity index (GPI), showing the ratio                     a whole was 96 in 2010, compared with 97 for primary
between the enrolment rate of girls and that of boys.                   education. By 2010, sub-Saharan Africa had only 82
The GPI grew from 91 in 1999 to 97 in 2010 for the                      girls enrolled per 100 boys. But in Latin America and the
developing regions as a whole—falling within the plus-or-               Caribbean, enrolment rates in secondary school were
minus 3-point margin of 100 per cent that is the accepted               actually higher for girls than for boys, with a GPI of 108.
measure for parity.                                                     Western and Southern Asia emerge as the regions with the
                                                                        largest gains in this period, moving from a GPI of only 74
However, while most of the developing world had
                                                                        and 75, respectively, to 91 for both in 2010.
reached a GPI of at least 95 at the primary level by 2010,
the index was only 93 in Western Asia and sub-Saharan                   Gender disparities in secondary education emerge
Africa. These two regions, however, have recorded                       from gender-based discrimination in the family and in
the greatest progress. Between 1999 and 2010, girls'                    the society in general. Secondary schooling is more
participation in primary education, as measured by the                  costly than primary education, and households are often
gross enrolment ratio (ratio of girls enrolled regardless of            forced to ration resources among children. Where girls'
age to all girls of primary school age), increased from 72              education is less valued, or is perceived as generating
to 96 per cent in sub-Saharan Africa and from 87 to 97                  lower returns, parents may favour sons over daughters.
per cent in Western Asia.                                               Early marriage can act as another barrier to secondary
                                                                        school progression. Parents may also worry more about
At the country level, 71 out of 131 countries in developing
                                                                        the security of adolescent girls because secondary schools
regions reporting data by sex had achieved gender parity
                                                                        are often farther from home than primary schools.
in primary education by 2010. Boys' participation rates
were higher than those of girls in 53 countries, while the              In tertiary education, the GPI of 98, reached in 2010 for
opposite was true in the remaining 7 countries.                         the developing world, constitutes achievement of parity.
                                                                        This attainment was led by very high parity values in Latin
                                                                        America and the Caribbean, South-Eastern Asia, the
Gender disparities emerge at different
                                                                        Caucasus and Central Asia, Northern Africa and Eastern
points through the education system                                     Asia. But parity in tertiary education remains difficult to
                                                                        attain in sub-Saharan Africa (with a GPI of 63), Southern
In many countries, gender gaps appear on the first day                  Asia (76) and Western Asia (89).
of school. Three quarters of the countries that have not
achieved gender parity at the primary level enrol more                  In general, countries with lower levels of national wealth
boys than girls at the start of the school cycle. Unless this           tend to have more men enrolled in tertiary education than
imbalance is corrected, the inevitable result is a permanent            women, while the opposite occurs in countries with higher
gender disparity in primary school. Once girls gain access              average income. Thus, in 45 countries with an average
to primary education, however, they tend to outperform                  gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of $5,200
boys. Data show that in most countries, girls are less likely           (purchasing power parity (PPP)), there were substantially
to repeat grades or leave school early. In 102 out of 129               more men in tertiary education than women, while women
countries reporting data, girls progress more rapidly to the            outnumbered men in the 94 countries where per capita
last grade of primary education than boys.                              GDP averaged $16,500.
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
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The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
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The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report
The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report

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The millennium development_goals__an__analysis_report

  • 1. The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012 UNITED NATIONS
  • 2.
  • 3. This report, reviewed and finalized by Dr Malik Khalid Mehmood PhD, Senior  Advisor, is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert Group on MDG Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, in response to the wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of progress towards the MDGs. The Group comprises representatives of the international organizations whose activities include the preparation of one or more of the series of statistical indicators that were identified as appropriate for monitoring progress towards the MDGs, as reflected in the list below. A number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers also contributed. INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION Cover Inside WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION THE WORLD BANK INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTERN ASIA JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN'S FUND UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT UNITED NATIONS ENTITY FOR GENDER Equality AND THE EMPOWERMENT OF WOMEN - UN WOMEN UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE INTER-PARLIAMENTARY UNION ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
  • 4. The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012 U ni t e d na t i on s new York, 2012
  • 6.
  • 7. fore word | 3 Foreword This year's report on progress towards the Millennium The goal of gender equality also remains unfulfilled, again Development Goals (MDGs) highlights several milestones. with broad negative consequences, given that achieving The target of reducing extreme poverty by half has been the MDGs depends so much on women's empowerment reached five years ahead of the 2015 deadline, as has and equal access by women to education, work, health the target of halving the proportion of people who lack care and decision-making. We must also recognize the dependable access to improved sources of drinking water. unevenness of progress within countries and regions, Conditions for more than 200 million people living in slums and the severe inequalities that exist among populations, have been ameliorated—double the 2020 target. Primary especially between rural and urban areas. school enrolment of girls equalled that of boys, and we have seen accelerating progress in reducing child and Achieving the MDGs by 2015 is challenging but possible. maternal mortality. Much depends on the fulfilment of MDG-8—the global partnership for development. The current economic These results represent a tremendous reduction in human crises besetting much of the developed world must not suffering and are a clear validation of the approach be allowed to decelerate or reverse the progress that embodied in the MDGs. But, they are not a reason to has been made. Let us build on the successes we have relax. Projections indicate that in 2015 more than achieved so far, and let us not relent until all the MDGs 600 million people worldwide will still be using have been attained. unimproved water sources, almost one billion will be living on an income of less than $1.25 per day, mothers will continue to die needlessly in childbirth, and children will suffer and die from preventable diseases. Hunger remains a global challenge, and ensuring that all children are able to complete primary education remains a fundamental, but unfulfilled, target that has an impact on all the other B an K i - moon Goals. Lack of safe sanitation is hampering progress in Secretary-General, United Nations health and nutrition, biodiversity loss continues apace, and greenhouse gas emissions continue to pose a major threat to people and ecosystems.
  • 8. 4 | t h e M i l l e n n i U M d e v e l o p M e n t G o a l s r e p o r t 2 0 12 Overview Three years to the deadline, we can have benefited the most. The ratio between the enrolment rate of girls and that of boys grew from 91 in 1999 to 97 report broad progress on the MDGs in 2010 for all developing regions. The gender parity index value of 97 falls within the plus-or-minus 3-point margin of The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) agreed to by 100 per cent, the accepted measure for parity. world leaders over a decade ago have achieved important results. Working together, Governments, the United Nations • Many countries facing the greatest challenges have family, the private sector and civil society have succeeded in made significant progress towards universal primary saving many lives and improving conditions for many more. education The world has met some important targets—ahead of the Enrolment rates of children of primary school age increased deadline. markedly in sub-Saharan Africa, from 58 to 76 per cent • Extreme poverty is falling in every region between 1999 and 2010. Many countries in that region succeeded in reducing their relatively high out-of-school rates For the first time since poverty trends began to be monitored, even as their primary school age populations were growing. the number of people living in extreme poverty and poverty rates fell in every developing region—including in sub- • Child survival progress is gaining momentum Saharan Africa, where rates are highest. The proportion of Despite population growth, the number of under-five deaths people living on less than $1.25 a day fell from 47 per cent worldwide fell from more than 12.0 million in 1990 to 7.6 in 1990 to 24 per cent in 2008—a reduction from over million in 2010. And progress in the developing world as 2 billion to less than 1.4 billion. a whole has accelerated. Sub-Saharan Africa—the region • The poverty reduction target was met with the highest level of under-five mortality—has doubled its average rate of reduction, from 1.2 per cent a year over Preliminary estimates indicate that the global poverty rate at 1990-2000 to 2.4 per cent during 2000-2010. $1.25 a day fell in 2010 to less than half the 1990 rate. If these results are confirmed, the first target of the MDGs— • Access to treatment for people living with HIV cutting the extreme poverty rate to half its 1990 level—will increased in all regions have been achieved at the global level well ahead of 2015. At the end of 2010, 6.5 million people were receiving • The world has met the target of halving the proportion antiretroviral therapy for HIV or AIDS in developing regions. This total constitutes an increase of over 1.4 million people of people without access to improved sources of water from December 2009, and the largest one-year increase The target of halving the proportion of people without ever. The 2010 target of universal access, however, was not sustainable access to safe drinking water was also met by reached. 2010, with the proportion of people using an improved water source rising from 76 per cent in 1990 to 89 per cent • The world is on track to achieve the target of halting in 2010. Between 1990 and 2010, over two billion people and beginning to reverse the spread of tuberculosis gained access to improved drinking water sources, such as Globally, tuberculosis incidence rates have been falling since piped supplies and protected wells. 2002, and current projections suggest that the 1990 death • Improvements in the lives of 200 million slum dwellers rate from the disease will be halved by 2015. exceeded the slum target • Global malaria deaths have declined The share of urban residents in the developing world living The estimated incidence of malaria has decreased globally, in slums declined from 39 per cent in 2000 to 33 per cent by 17 per cent since 2000. Over the same period, in 2012. More than 200 million gained access to either malaria-specific mortality rates have decreased by 25 per improved water sources, improved sanitation facilities, or cent. Reported malaria cases fell by more than 50 per cent durable or less crowded housing. This achievement exceeds between 2000 and 2010 in 43 of the 99 countries with the target of significantly improving the lives of at least ongoing malaria transmission. 100 million slum dwellers, well ahead of the 2020 deadline. • The world has achieved parity in primary education between girls and boys Driven by national and international efforts and the MDG campaign, many more of the world's children are enrolled in school at the primary level, especially since 2000. Girls
  • 9. overvie w | 5 Inequality is detracting from these gains, In the years ahead, we have the and slowing advances in other key areas opportunity to achieve more and to shape the agenda for our future Achievements were unequally distributed across and within regions and countries. Moreover, progress has slowed for The 2015 deadline is fast approaching. The contributions some MDGs after the multiple crises of 2008-2009. of national Governments, the international community, civil society and the private sector will need to intensify • Vulnerable employment has decreased only marginally as we take on the longstanding and long-term challenge over twenty years of inequality, and press forward on food security, gender Vulnerable employment—defined as the share of equality, maternal health, rural development, infrastructure unpaid family workers and own-account workers in total and environmental sustainability, and responses to climate employment—accounted for an estimated 58 per cent of change. all employment in developing regions in 2011, down only moderately from 67 per cent two decades earlier. Women A new agenda to continue our efforts beyond 2015 is taking and youth are more likely to find themselves in such insecure shape. The MDG campaign, with its successes as well as and poorly remunerated positions than the rest of the setbacks, provides rich experience on which this discussion employed population. can draw, as well as confidence that further success is feasible. • Decreases in maternal mortality are far from the 2015 target • Gender equality and women's empowerment are key There have been important improvements in maternal health and reduction in maternal deaths, but progress is still slow. Gender inequality persists and women continue to face Reductions in adolescent childbearing and expansion of discrimination in access to education, work and economic contraceptive use have continued, but at a slower pace since assets, and participation in government. Violence against 2000 than over the decade before. women continues to undermine efforts to reach all goals. Further progress to 2015 and beyond will largely depend on • Use of improved sources of water remains lower in success on these interrelated challenges. rural areas While 19 per cent of the rural population used unimproved • MDG progress shows the power of global goals and a shared purpose sources of water in 2010, the rate in urban areas was only 4 per cent. And since dimensions of safety, reliability and The MDGs have been a fundamental framework for global sustainability are not reflected in the proxy indicator used development. A clear agenda, with measurable goals and to track progress towards the MDG target, it is likely that targets, and a common vision have been crucial for this these figures overestimate the actual number of people using success. safe water supplies. Worse, nearly half of the population There is now an expectation around the world that sooner, in developing regions—2.5 billion—still lacks access to rather than later, all these goals can and must be achieved. improved sanitation facilities. By 2015, the world will have Leaders will be held to this high standard. Sectors such as reached only 67 per cent coverage, well short of the 75 per government, business, academia and civil society, often cent needed to achieve the MDG target. known for working at cross-purposes, are learning how to collaborate on shared aspirations. The comprehensive • Hunger remains a global challenge statistics and clear analysis in this year's MDG Report give us The most recent FAO estimates of undernourishment set all a good idea of where our efforts should be directed. the mark at 850 million living in hunger in the world in the 2006/2008 period—15.5 per cent of the world population. This continuing high level reflects the lack of progress on hunger in several regions, even as income poverty has decreased. Progress has also been slow in reducing child undernutrition. Close to one third of children in Southern Asia were underweight in 2010. S ha Z uKang Under-Secretary-General for Economic • The number of people living in slums continues to grow and Social Affairs Despite a reduction in the share of urban populations living in slums, the absolute number has continued to grow from a 1990 baseline of 650 million. An estimated 863 million people now live in slum conditions.
  • 10. Goal 1 TarGET Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Extreme poverty falls in every region Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, 1990, 2005 and 2008 (Percentage) Sub-Saharan Africa 56 52 47 Southern Asia 51 38 34 Southern Asia (excluding India) 52 29 26 South-Eastern Asia 45 19 17 Eastern Asia (China only) 60 16 13 Latin America & the Caribbean 12 9 6 Western Asia * 5 5 3 Northern Africa 5 3 2 Developing regions (excluding China) 41 31 28 Developing regions 47 27 24 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1990 2005 2008 Target * The aggregate value is based on 5 of 13 countries in the region. Note: No sufficient country data are available to calculate the aggregate values for Oceania. For the first time since the World Bank started to monitor poverty trends, both the number of people living in extreme poverty and the poverty rates fell in every developing region—including in sub-Saharan Africa, where rates are highest. In the developing regions, the proportion of
  • 11. people living on less than $1.25 a day fell from 47 per cent in 1990
  • 12. G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r | 7 to 24 per cent in 2008. In 2008, about 110 million On the other hand, poverty remains widespread in fewer people than in 2005 lived in conditions of extreme sub-Saharan Africa and in Southern Asia, despite poverty. The number of extreme poor in the developing significant progress. The sub-Saharan African poverty regions fell from over 2 billion in 1990 to less than rate fell by almost 5 percentage points, to less than 1.4 billion in 2008. 48 per cent, between 2005 and 2008—the largest drop in that region since international poverty rates More recent post-2008 analysis reveals that while high began to be estimated. For the first time, the absolute food and fuel prices and deep economic recession over number of people living in extreme poverty also fell in the course of the past four years have hurt vulnerable the region, from 395 million in 2005 to 386 million in populations and slowed the rate of poverty reduction 2008. This drop reversed the long-term trend of increase in some countries, global poverty rates have continued since 1981. to fall. A preliminary World Bank estimate—based on a much smaller number of surveys than the global Further progress on the long-term goal of eradicating update—indicates that the global poverty rate at $1.25 poverty is possible and likely over the coming years a day fell in 2010 to less than half its 1990 value. If if developing countries maintain the robust growth these results are confirmed by follow-up studies, the first rates achieved over a large part of the past decade; target of the Millennium Development Goals—cutting the and also if the conditions in which extreme poverty extreme poverty rate to half its 1990 level—will have thrives continue to be addressed: poor health and been achieved on a global level well ahead of the 2015 lack of education that deprive people of productive deadline. employment; environmental resources that have been depleted or spoiled; and corruption, conflict and bad But even at the current rate of progress, estimates indicate governance that waste public resources and discourage that about 1 billion people will still be living on less than private investment. $1.25 a day in 2015—corresponding to a global extreme poverty rate of just below 16 per cent. Four out of every Simply being able to monitor how well anti-poverty five people living in extreme poverty will live in sub- efforts in specific localities are doing is an important tool Saharan Africa and Southern Asia. in poverty eradication. But data of sufficient quality and quantity are hard to come by, especially in small States Some regions have seen greater progress than others. A and in countries and territories in fragile situations. The remarkable rate of progress was sustained in China. After need to improve the quality and reach of household the extreme poverty rate had dropped from 60 per cent surveys—an important data source for monitoring in 1990 to 16 per cent in 2005, the incidence fell further poverty—is urgent. by 2008 to 13 per cent. In India and in the Southern Asian region excluding India, poverty rates fell from 51 to 37 per cent and from 52 to 26 per cent, respectively, between 1990 and 2008.
  • 13. 8 | t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12 TarGET Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people Eastern Asia sets the pace for worldwide progress on working poverty Proportion of employed people living below $1.25 a day (Percentage) and number of working poor (Millions), 2000-2011 Millions Percentage 800 35 Working poor, Eastern Asia Working poor, world 30 excludi ng Easter n Asia 600 Working poverty rate, 25 Eastern Asia Working poverty rate, world excluding 20 Easter n Asia 400 Working poverty rate, 15 world 10 200 5 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Recent estimates, produced by the International Labour Organisation (ILO) and based on a new methodology, show that there were 456 million workers in the world living below the $1.25 a day poverty line in 2011—a reduction of 233 million since 2000 and of 38 million since 2007. The global decline is heavily influenced by the dramatic reduction in extreme poverty among workers in Eastern Asia. Due to rapid economic growth, and to poverty reduction especially in China, the number of poor workers fell by 158 million between 2000 and 2011, and by 24 million between 2007 and 2011. Worldwide, the proportion of workers living below the $1.25 poverty line declined from 26.4 per cent to 14.8 per cent between 2000 and 2011. If Eastern Asia is excluded, the decline over the same period is less dramatic—from 25.0 per cent to 17.4 per cent. Even though working poverty is decreasing, progress has slowed markedly since 2008. A projection of pre-crisis (2002-2007) trends in the incidence of working poverty shows a difference of 1.6 percentage points between what was expected and the actual 2011 figure. This
  • 14. corresponds to 50 million more working poor in 2011 than projected by pre-crisis trends.
  • 15. G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r | 9 Developing regions lag far behind the The gap in labour productivity levels between the developed world in labour productivity developed and developing regions has narrowed over the past two decades, but remains substantial: output per worker in the developed regions was $64,319 in 2011, Output per worker, 1991, 2001 and 2011 compared with an average of $13,077 in developing (Thousands of constant 2005 PPP-adjusted international dollars) regions. This means that, adjusted for differences in prices Sub-Saharan Africa across countries, the average worker in the developing 5 world produces only one fifth as much as the average 5 worker in a developed country. 6 Oceania Average productivity in the developing world, however, 5 hides substantial heterogeneity among regions. During the 5 last decade, gains were very limited in Latin America and 6 the Caribbean, sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania, while Southern Asia 4 productivity in Eastern Asia more than doubled between 5 2001 and 2011. The relatively weak productivity growth 9 in developing regions outside of Asia is one key factor South-Eastern Asia explaining the persistence of working poverty. 6 7 10 Caucasus & Central Asia 10 7 14 Eastern Asia 3 6 14 Northern Africa 17 18 21 Latin America & the Caribbean 20 21 23 Western Asia 30 35 40 Developed regions 48 57 64 Developing regions 6 8 13 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1991 2001 2011* * Figures for 2011 are preliminary estimates. Labour productivity is a key measure of economic performance, which can be used to gauge the likelihood that a country can create decent employment opportunities with fair and equitable remuneration. Sustained reductions in working poverty are consequently difficult to achieve without gains in labour productivity.
  • 16. 10 | t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12 Progress is slow in reducing vulnerable vulnerable employment is most prevalent contributed employment strongly to this trend. A high share of workers in vulnerable employment Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in indicates the widespread prevalence of informal work total employment, 1991 and 2011 (Percentage) arrangements. Under these conditions, workers typically Oceania lack adequate social protection and suffer from low 74 77 pay and from difficult working conditions in which their Southern Asia fundamental rights may be violated or undermined. 81 76 Sub-Saharan Africa Women are far more likely than men to 82 be engaged in vulnerable employment 76 Southern Asia (excluding India) Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers 73 in total employment, women, men, 2011 (Percentage) 68 South-Eastern Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 85 68 69 61 Oceania Eastern Asia 84 66 71 49 Southern Asia Caucasus & Central Asia 83 46 74 42 South-Eastern Asia Latin America & the Caribbean 66 35 58 32 Eastern Asia Northern Africa 53 37 46 30 Northern Africa Eastern Asia (excluding China) 44 37 26 30 Caucasus & Central Asia Western Asia 43 43 41 26 Western Asia Developed regions 41 11 22 10 Latin America & the Caribbean Developing regions 32 67 32 58 Developed regions 0 20 40 60 80 100 9 1991 2011* 11
  • 17. * Figures for 2011 are preliminary estimates. Developing regions 62 Vulnerable employment—defined as the sum of the 56 percentages of unpaid family workers and own-account 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 workers in total employment—accounted for an estimated Women Men 58 per cent of all employment in the developing regions in 2011. The gap between women's and men's vulnerable employment is widest in Northern Africa—where in The proportion of workers in employment defined as 2011, 44 per cent of women were in jobs classified as vulnerable slowly decreased between 1991 and 2011. vulnerable, compared with 26 per cent of men—and in This moderate decline in proportion was not sufficient to prevent the absolute number of workers in vulnerable Western Asia, where the rates were 41 and 22 per cent, employment from increasing by 136 million since 2000, respectively. The share of vulnerable employment across bringing the global number to 1.52 billion. Continuous genders was highest in sub-Saharan Africa, reaching 85 expansion of the labour force in countries where per cent for women and 69 per cent for men.
  • 18. G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r | 11 Youth tend to find themselves in low- Many young people start their working life by supporting opportunity family based work situations informal family businesses or farms. Data for a sample of 20 developing economies for which breakdowns by age and status in employment are available show that the Share of contributing family workers in total employment, share of contributing family workers among all employed youth and adults, selected countries, 2003/2006 (Percentage) young people exceeded the corresponding share for adult Madagascar 98 workers in all countries. 79 Burkina Faso The school-to-work transition may also include spells 86 of unemployment or periods of temporary or casual 44 employment, before reaching a final station that is likely to Bhutan 78 be own-account work. 61 Uganda 65 TarGET 21 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of Togo 64 people who suffer from hunger 13 Mali 28 62 The numbers of malnourished have Mozambique stabilized since 1990 61 28 Cambodia Number and proportion of people in the developing regions who 60 are undernourished 1990-92, 1995-97, 2000-02 and 2006-08 26 Peru Millions Percentage 45 1,400 25 18 Pakistan 39 15 1,200 19.8 India 20 35 16 1,000 16.8 16.5 Nicaragua 15.5 30 15 6 800 Guatemala 848 836 850 25 791 9 600 Philippines 10 22 7 400 Colombia 14 3 5 Congo 200 13 2 Mexico 0 0 12 1990-92 1995-97 2000-02 2006-08 4 Number of undernourished people Gabon Percentage of undernourished people 11 3 Niger The most recent estimates of undernourishment by the 9 Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations 1 Armenia (FAO) were published in 2011 for the 2006-2008 period. 2 They set the mark at 850 million, which corresponds to 1 15.5 per cent of the world population. This was the first 0 20 40 60 80 100 assessment based on hard data on food production and Youth Adults consumption referring to 2008, and capturing the actual impact of the food price crisis of 2007-2008 and of the financial crisis of 2008.
  • 19. 12 | t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12 The situation at the global level was not as stark as might of hunger and the implementation of appropriate policies have been expected, and was originally projected, thanks and measures. to economic growth rates that remained high in many developing countries at least through 2008. Countries in sub-Saharan Africa were the hardest hit by the food and financial Progress in relieving food deprivation crises has slowed or stalled in many regions Number of undernourished people, 2003-2008 (Millions) Proportion of people who are undernourished, 1990-92, 2000-2002, 2006-08 (Percentage) Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 600 31 579 579 578 29 27 567 Southern Asia (excluding India) 557 26 556 23 22 550 Southern Asia 22 21 20 South-Eastern Asia 24 17 500 14 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Eastern Asia (excluding China) 8 Sub Saharan Africa 13 240 13 231 Eastern Asia 18 10 220 10 Latin America & the Caribbean 12 214 10 212 213 8 211 210 Western Asia 6 8 200 7 Northern Africa <5 <5 <5 180 Developing regions 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20 17 The FAO assessment reveals that small countries, heavily 15 dependent on food imports, were deeply affected by 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 skyrocketing food prices-especially those in sub-Saharan 1990-1992 2000-2002 2006-2008 Africa. In contrast, some large countries in Asia were able to insulate their markets through restrictive trade policies The prevalence of hunger remains uncomfortably high in and to protect consumers with social safety nets. As a sub-Saharan Africa and in Southern Asia outside of India. result, while the number of undernourished increased And, despite recorded reductions in income poverty, there sharply in sub-Saharan Africa, it remained constant in Asia. are no signs of improvement in undernourishment rates in Eastern Asia since 2000. The disparity between falling poverty rates and steady levels of undernourishment calls for improved understanding of the dimensions and causes
  • 20. G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r | 13 In the developing regions, the proportion of children under Improved methodology will help to better age five who are underweight declined from 29 per cent understand the state of food insecurity in in 1990 to 18 per cent in 2010. Progress was recorded the world in all regions where comparable data are available, but is insufficient to reach the global target by 2015. Continued New estimates of hunger prevalence are being efforts are needed to reduce disparities related to urban- produced based on a larger number of household rural differences and poverty, among other factors. expenditure surveys and a new methodology developed by FAO. The new figures will provide an An equally important indicator of overall child health assessment for the years 2009-2011 and preliminary and nutritional status is stunting, defined as low height estimates for 2012. The improved methodology should for age. It is a condition, however, which often goes better capture changes in the degree of inequality unrecognized in the developing world. More common in food access, as well as provide more accurate than being underweight, stunting also more accurately estimates of food stocks, non-food uses and waste. reflects nutritional deficiencies and illnesses that occur during the early-life period and will hamper growth and development. Although the prevalence of stunting fell Nearly one in five children under age five from an estimated 44 per cent in 1990 to 29 per cent in the developing world is underweight in 2010, millions of children remain at risk for diminished cognitive and physical development resulting from long- term undernutrition. Proportion of children under age five who are moderately or severely underweight, 1990 and 2010 (Percentage) Despite clear evidence of the disastrous consequences Southern Asia of childhood nutritional deprivation in the short and long 51 32 terms, nutritional health remains a low priority. It is time for Sub-Saharan Africa nutrition to be placed higher on the development agenda. 29 22 A number of simple, cost-effective measures to reduce South-Eastern Asia undernutrition in the critical period from conception to two 31 years after birth are available. These measures include 17 improved maternal nutrition and care, breastfeeding within Northern Africa 10 one hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the first six 6 months of life, and timely, adequate, safe and appropriate Western Asia complementary feeding and micronutrient intake in the 15 following 18 months. Urgent, accelerated and concerted 5 actions are needed to deliver and scale up such Caucasus & Central Asia 11 interventions so as to extend the gains made thus far. 4 Eastern Asia 15 3 Latin America & Caribbean 8 3 Developing regions 29 18 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1990 2010 Target Range of estimates Note: Prevalence estimates are calculated according to the WHO Child Growth Standards. The trend analysis presented above is based on a multilevel regression model, described in de Onis et al., 'Methodology for Estimating Regional and Global Trends of Child Malnutrition',International Journal of Epidemiology, vol. 33, pp. 1260-1270, using all available trend data points from 1985 to 2010. Error bars represent 95 per cent confidence intervals of the estimated regional prevalence. Owing to differences in source data, international standard reference population and estimation methodology, these prevalence estimates may not be comparable to the averages published in previous editions of this report.
  • 21. 14 | t h E m i l l E n n i u m d E v E l o p m E n t G o a l s r E p o r t 2 0 12 Differences in undernutrition found Poverty is a major determinant of between rural and urban children undernutrution in children in all regions are largest in Latin America and the Caribbean Proportion of under-five children who are underweight, developing regions, by wealth quintile, 2006/2010 (Percentage) Proportion of under-five children who are underweight, 60 developing regions, urban and rural areas, 2006/2010 Poorest 20% (Percentage) Wealthiest 20% 55 50 50 Urban 45 Rural 45 40 40 38 35 30 28 33 30 32 20 20 25 14 20 22 10 11 7 7 15 17 4 4 15 0 10 Northern Caucasus & Sub-Saharan Southern Developing Africa Central Asia Africa Asia regions* 8 5 * Excluding China. 6 6 4 5 5 4 3 Note: These regional averages are based on a subset of 65 countries 0 with wealth quintile information covering 54 per cent of the 20 per cent poorest Western Northern Caucasus Latin Sub- Southern Developing population and 20 per cent richest population in the developing regions (It is Asia Africa & America Saharan Asia regions* assumed that an equal distribution for population coverage for richest and Central & the Africa poorest 20 per cent, which may or may not hold true). Data for Eastern Asia Asia Caribbean are not available. * Excluding China. Note: Regional averages are based on a subset of 70 countries with residence Poorer children are almost three times as likely to be area information covering 62 per cent of the rural populationand 53 per cent of the urban population in the developing region. Data for Eastern Asia underweight as are children in the wealthiest 20 per cent are not available. of the households. The disparity is greatest in Southern Asia, where the prevalence of underweight children in the In the developing regions as a whole, children living in poorest quintile of households is 2.8 times that of children rural areas are almost twice as likely to be underweight from the richest 20 per cent. than children in urban households. The largest gap is in Latin America and the Caribbean. In that region, eight per cent of children are underweight in rural areas—more than twice the rate in cities.
  • 22. G o a l 1: E r a d i c a t E E x t r E m E p o v E r t y a n d h u n G E r | 15 The number of refugees and of the displaced remains high, even with an upturn in repatriation in 2011 Number of refugees, asylum seekers and internally displaced persons, 2000-2011 (Millions) 60 Asylum seekers Refugees 50 Internally displaced persons 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 40 0.8 15.9 16.0 14.6 13.7 13.8 13.0 14.3 16.0 15.2 15.2 15.4 15.2 30 20 21.2 25.0 25.0 24.6 25.3 23.7 24.4 26.0 26.0 27.1 27.5 26.4 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Armed conflict and violence uprooted more than 4 million At the end of 2011, an estimated 42.5 million people people in 2011, either inside or outside the borders of worldwide were living in a place to which they had been their countries. This is the highest number in many years. forcibly displaced due to conflict or persecution. Of these, Post-election violence in Côte d'Ivoire, "Arab Spring" 15.2 million were refugees, including 10.4 million who uprisings and a deteriorating situation in Somalia were fall under the responsibility of the UNHCR and 4.8 million all contributing factors, in particular during the first half of Palestinian refugees registered with the United Nations 2011. Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA). Some 26.4 million people were The number of refugees returning home voluntarily had uprooted by violence and persecution but remain within fallen steadily since 2004. With the situation improving the borders of their own countries. Some 900,000 were in some countries, this trend was reversed in 2011, with asylum seekers. more than half a million refugees repatriating during the year. This number is more than double the 2010 total of On average, four out of five refugees are hosted by 197,600, and constitutes the highest repatriation flow developing countries. The largest refugee populations since the return of 604,000 refugees in 2008. covered under the mandate of the UNHCR at the end of 2011 continued to be Afghans (2.7 million) and Iraqis (1.4 But 2011 also produced the third lowest number of million). Together, they account for four out of ten of all voluntarily repatriated refugees in a decade. Globally, refugees under the UNHCR mandate. more than 9.1 million refugees have returned home over the past 10 years, three quarters of them with the assistance of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).
  • 23. Goal 2 TArGeT Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Achieve universal primary education Progress on primary school enrolment has slowed since 2004, even as countries with the toughest challenges have made large strides Adjusted net enrolment rate in primary education,* 1999, 2004 and 2010 (Percentage) Sub-Saharan Africa 58 68 76 Western Asia 84 89 92 Southern Asia 77 89 93 Caucasus & Central Asia 94 94.5 93.9 Latin America & the Caribbean 94 95 95 South-Eastern Asia 92 94 95 Northern Africa 88 95 96 Eastern Asia 96 97.3 96.6 Developed regions 97 97 97 Developing regions 82 88 90 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1999 2004 2010 * Defined as the number of pupils of the official school age for primary education enrolled either in primary or secondary school, expressed as a percentage of the total population in that age group. Note: Data for Oceania are not available.
  • 24. G o a l 2 : a c h i e v e u n i v e r s a l p r i m a r y e d u c at i o n | 17 In the developing regions, the net enrolment rate for More than half of all out-of-school children of primary school age rose from 82 to 90 per children are in sub-Saharan Africa cent between 1999 and 2010. However, a closer look at the data reveals that nearly all of this growth occurred between 1999 and 2004, and that progress in reducing Primary school age children out of school, 1999-2010 (Millions) the number of out-of-school children slowed considerably 120 after 2004. At the same time, many of the countries facing the 100 greatest challenges have recorded significant progress towards universal primary education. Enrolment rates of 80 children of primary school age increased markedly in 60 sub-Saharan Africa, from 58 to 76 per cent between 1999 and 2010. Total enrolment of children of primary 40 school age in the region rose by more than two thirds, with 43 million more enrolled. Not only did countries 20 succeed in reducing their relatively high out-of-school rates, they also improved their enrolment rates even as 0 the primary school age population was growing by more 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 than one quarter between 1999 and 2010 (28 per cent, Rest of the world Southern Asia Sub-Saharan Africa or 31 million children). Apart from in sub-Saharan Africa, more than 90 per cent In 2010, 61 million children of primary school age were of children of primary school age were enrolled either in out of school. More than half of them (33 million) were in primary or secondary schools in 2010. In four developing sub-Saharan Africa and a further one fifth (13 million) in regions (Northern Africa, Eastern Asia, Latin America and Southern Asia. In relative terms, 24 per cent of children of the Caribbean and South-Eastern Asia), at least 95 per primary school age in sub-Saharan Africa and 7 per cent cent of primary-age children were in school. in Southern Asia were not in school.
  • 25. 18 | t h e m i l l e n n i u m d e v e l o p m e n t G o a l s r e p o r t 2 0 12 Globally, there has been progress in reducing girls' Young adolescents from poor and exclusion from primary education, with the female share rural households are more likely to be of out-of-school children in developing countries dropping out of school from 58 to 53 per cent between 1999 and 2010. But regional gender disparities continue to detract from efforts to achieve universal primary education. In Southern Asia, Percentage of lower secondary-age children out of school Western Asia and Northern Africa, girls accounted for by sex, household wealth and location, 55 countries, 2005/2010 55, 65 and 79 per cent, respectively, of the total share of 40 out-of-school children. 35 36 Universal primary education would be a hollow achievement if the focus were simply on enrolment rather 30 31 than on the completion of primary education. In 2010, the 29 global primary completion rate (measured by the gross 25 27 intake ratio to the last grade of primary education) reached 24 23 90 per cent, compared with 81 per cent in 1999. 23 Regional values ranged from 70 per cent in sub-Saharan 20 21 Africa to almost 100 per cent in Latin America and the 1918 Caribbean and also in the Caucasus and Central Asia. 15 16 14 14 Girls and boys have similar chances of completing 10 primary education in all regions except for sub-Saharan 10 Africa and Western Asia. In sub-Saharan Africa, boys 5 are more likely than girls to complete primary education in 25 out of 43 countries with available data. In only 10 0 Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest Urban Rural of these countries do both groups have equal chances 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% of finishing primary school. But notably, in 8 countries Girls Boys in sub-Saharan Africa more girls than boys are currently completing primary education, although these disparities Analysis of household survey data collected between tend to be less extreme than those tilted against girls. 2005 and 2010 in 55 developing countries reveals that exclusion from education occurs most often among children from disadvantaged groups. Poverty emerges Success at the primary level places as a strong determinant of school exclusion for lower increased demands on secondary schools secondary-age youth. Young adolescents from the poorest households are three times as likely to be out With more children completing primary education, of school as those from the richest households. Girls of the demand for secondary education is growing. This lower secondary-age are more likely to be out of school increased demand poses a serious challenge for countries than boys, regardless of the wealth or location of the with limited resources. In sub-Saharan Africa, about one household. Nevertheless, the greatest disparities are quarter of the children who complete primary school do found between the richest and poorest households, and not continue on to secondary education. The regional between urban and rural areas. average, however, hides substantial differences between countries. The transition rate from primary to secondary education ranges from around 40 per cent in Angola, Mauritania and the United Republic of Tanzania to 98 per cent in Seychelles and Swaziland. Young people who do not pursue their education join the group of adolescents of lower-secondary age who are not enrolled in either primary or secondary school. In 2010, there were 71 million young adolescents (typically aged 12-15 years) out of school around the world. Of these, around 48 million lived in countries where lower- secondary schooling is officially recognized as part of the compulsory education system.
  • 26. G o a l 2 : a c h i e v e u n i v e r s a l p r i m a r y e d u c at i o n | 19 Illiteracy still holds back more than Globally, the youth literacy rate reached 90 per cent in 120 million young people 2010, an increase of 6 percentage points since 1990. Over the last two decades, the greatest progress has Out-of-school youth tend to have limited opportunities to been achieved in Southern Asia, where youth literacy rose develop or maintain literacy skills, restricting their options from 60 to 81 per cent, and in Northern Africa, where it in life and compounding the disadvantages they face increased from 68 to 88 per cent. later on. Gender gaps in youth literacy rates are also narrowing. In 2010, there were still 122 million people between 15 Globally, there were 95 literate young women for every and 24 years of age—74 million women and 48 million 100 young men in 2010, compared with 90 women in men—who were unable to read and write a short, simple 1990. At the regional level, this gap is most notable in statement about their everyday life. Southern Asia, where there were only 86 literate women for every 100 literate men in the age group 15-24 years The great majority of these young adults live in Southern in 2010. Asia (62 million) and sub-Saharan Africa (45 million). In relative terms, literacy rates among the youth population are lowest in sub-Saharan Africa (72 per cent) and Oceania (76 per cent).
  • 27. Goal 3 TarGeT: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education Promote gender no later than 2015 equality and Parity is achieved in developing world primary empowerwomen schools, even though some regions lag behind Gender parity index for gross enrolment ratios in primary, secondary and tertiary education (Girls' school enrolement ratio in relation to boys' enrolment ratio), 1999 and 2010 (Girls per 100 boys) Primary education Western Asia 85 93 Sub-Saharan Africa 85 93 Northern Africa 90 95 Latin America & the Caribbean 97 97 Southern Asia 83 98 Caucasus & Central Asia 99 98 South-Eastern Asia 96 99 Eastern Asia 101 103 Oceania* 90 Developed regions 100 99 Developing regions 91 97 Secondary education Sub-Saharan Africa 83 82 Southern Asia 75 91 Western Asia 74 91 Caucasus & Central Asia 98 97 Northern Africa 92 98 Eastern Asia 93 104 South-Eastern Asia 96 104 Latin America & the Caribbean 107 108 Oceania* 89 Developed regions 101 99 Developing regions 88 96 Tertiary education Sub-Saharan Africa 67 63 Southern Asia 65 76 Western Asia 75 89 Eastern Asia 67 105 Northern Africa 74 106 Caucasus & Central Asia 90 106 South-Eastern Asia 100 107 Latin America & the Caribbean 117 128 Oceania* 83 Developed regions 120 130 Developing regions 83 98 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 1999 2010 Target = Gender parity index between 97 and 103 * Data for 2010 are not available. Achieving parity in education is an important step toward equal opportunity for men and women in the social, political and economic domains. Driven by national and international efforts and the MDG
  • 28. G o a l 3: P r o m o t e G e n d e r e q ua l i t y a n d e m P o w e r w o m e n | 21 campaign, many more of the world's children have Girls face greater barriers at the secondary level of enrolled in school at the primary level, especially since education than at the primary level. The gender parity 2000. Girls have benefited the most. Progress is reflected index in secondary education in the developing world as in the gender parity index (GPI), showing the ratio a whole was 96 in 2010, compared with 97 for primary between the enrolment rate of girls and that of boys. education. By 2010, sub-Saharan Africa had only 82 The GPI grew from 91 in 1999 to 97 in 2010 for the girls enrolled per 100 boys. But in Latin America and the developing regions as a whole—falling within the plus-or- Caribbean, enrolment rates in secondary school were minus 3-point margin of 100 per cent that is the accepted actually higher for girls than for boys, with a GPI of 108. measure for parity. Western and Southern Asia emerge as the regions with the largest gains in this period, moving from a GPI of only 74 However, while most of the developing world had and 75, respectively, to 91 for both in 2010. reached a GPI of at least 95 at the primary level by 2010, the index was only 93 in Western Asia and sub-Saharan Gender disparities in secondary education emerge Africa. These two regions, however, have recorded from gender-based discrimination in the family and in the greatest progress. Between 1999 and 2010, girls' the society in general. Secondary schooling is more participation in primary education, as measured by the costly than primary education, and households are often gross enrolment ratio (ratio of girls enrolled regardless of forced to ration resources among children. Where girls' age to all girls of primary school age), increased from 72 education is less valued, or is perceived as generating to 96 per cent in sub-Saharan Africa and from 87 to 97 lower returns, parents may favour sons over daughters. per cent in Western Asia. Early marriage can act as another barrier to secondary school progression. Parents may also worry more about At the country level, 71 out of 131 countries in developing the security of adolescent girls because secondary schools regions reporting data by sex had achieved gender parity are often farther from home than primary schools. in primary education by 2010. Boys' participation rates were higher than those of girls in 53 countries, while the In tertiary education, the GPI of 98, reached in 2010 for opposite was true in the remaining 7 countries. the developing world, constitutes achievement of parity. This attainment was led by very high parity values in Latin America and the Caribbean, South-Eastern Asia, the Gender disparities emerge at different Caucasus and Central Asia, Northern Africa and Eastern points through the education system Asia. But parity in tertiary education remains difficult to attain in sub-Saharan Africa (with a GPI of 63), Southern In many countries, gender gaps appear on the first day Asia (76) and Western Asia (89). of school. Three quarters of the countries that have not achieved gender parity at the primary level enrol more In general, countries with lower levels of national wealth boys than girls at the start of the school cycle. Unless this tend to have more men enrolled in tertiary education than imbalance is corrected, the inevitable result is a permanent women, while the opposite occurs in countries with higher gender disparity in primary school. Once girls gain access average income. Thus, in 45 countries with an average to primary education, however, they tend to outperform gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of $5,200 boys. Data show that in most countries, girls are less likely (purchasing power parity (PPP)), there were substantially to repeat grades or leave school early. In 102 out of 129 more men in tertiary education than women, while women countries reporting data, girls progress more rapidly to the outnumbered men in the 94 countries where per capita last grade of primary education than boys. GDP averaged $16,500.