Ignite Seoul: Machine Learning

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Michael Shilman

Tecnología Educación

SCI-FI INSPIRES, TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS...
Sci-Fi Technology

2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) Infinity Blade for iPhone (2011)

TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS... most of the time
Teleportation
Time Travel Hardware
Telekinesis

Artificial Intelligence (AI) Software

AI is the last big software problem left
...and has been largely a failure so far.

1960-70’s: CONCEPTS
Basic Theory Demos

Viterbi Decoding (1967) Sutherland’s Sketchpad (1968)

1980’s: MODELING THE BRAIN
Neuron Expert

Neural Network Expert System

ENTER MACHINE LEARNING
Machine Learning is the study of
computer algorithms that improve
automatically through experience.

Tom Mitchell, Machine Learning (1997)

BASIC MACHINE LEARNING
Observations X Learn f(x) = y
Labels Y
Y = gender

Male

Female
X = height

REAL-WORLD MACHINE LEARNING

Observations X Y - 100’s of labels
X - 1000’s of features
Labels Y N - Millions of examples
? - Not all data is labeled
? - Some data is mis-labeled

f(x) = y Model spatial context
Model temporal context

1990’s: MACHINE LEARNING BASICS
Speech Handwriting OCR

2000’s: BIG DATA
Web Search Collaborative Filtering Porn Detection

2011: PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER

Modeling the Brain (1980’s)
+
= Machine Learning Basics (1990’s)
+
Big Data (2000’s)

Apple’s Siri (2011)

SIRI TEARDOWN f u u d

a
e
i
o
u
“food”

Waveform Input Broken into Each Chunk is Find the most likely
Little Chunks a phoneme paths through the
X(t) Y(t) phonemes that match
a words from the
dictionary

SIRI TEARDOWN
“what
would
you like
to eat?”

dialog
“bet me food” “get me food”

Find the most likely Find the most Execute a query Speak the result to
paths through the likely sentences based on the most the user
words that make that match the likely sentence
grammatical sense context

SCI-FI INSPIRES, TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS?
Sci-Fi Technology

2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) Apple’s Siri (2011)

TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS? TIME WILL TELL
Good Bad Ugly

http://siriouslyweird.tumblr.com/

WHAT’S NEXT?

Modeling the Brain (1980’s)
??? ???
+
Machine Learning Basics (1990’s)
???
??? ??? ???
+
Big Data (2000’s)

WHAT’S NEXT ... BIG DECISIONS
What to Buy? Where to Live? Who to Marry?

WHAT’S NEXT? NEED MORE SCI-FI!
Sci-Fi Technology

??? ???
???
??? ??? ???

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Ignite Seoul: Machine Learning

1. How to detect porn and decide where to live using MACHINE LEARNING MICHAEL SHILMAN michael@shilman.net 1

2. SCI-FI INSPIRES, TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS... Sci-Fi Technology 2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) Infinity Blade for iPhone (2011)

3. TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS... most of the time Teleportation Time Travel Hardware Telekinesis Artificial Intelligence (AI) Software AI is the last big software problem left ...and has been largely a failure so far.

4. 1960-70’s: CONCEPTS Basic Theory Demos Viterbi Decoding (1967) Sutherland’s Sketchpad (1968)

5. 1980’s: MODELING THE BRAIN Neuron Expert Neural Network Expert System

6. ENTER MACHINE LEARNING Machine Learning is the study of computer algorithms that improve automatically through experience. Tom Mitchell, Machine Learning (1997)

7. BASIC MACHINE LEARNING Observations X Learn f(x) = y Labels Y Y = gender Male Female X = height

8. REAL-WORLD MACHINE LEARNING Observations X Y - 100’s of labels X - 1000’s of features Labels Y N - Millions of examples ? - Not all data is labeled ? - Some data is mis-labeled f(x) = y Model spatial context Model temporal context

9. 1990’s: MACHINE LEARNING BASICS Speech Handwriting OCR

10. 2000’s: BIG DATA Web Search Collaborative Filtering Porn Detection

11. 2011: PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER Modeling the Brain (1980’s) + = Machine Learning Basics (1990’s) + Big Data (2000’s) Apple’s Siri (2011)

12. SIRI TEARDOWN

13. SIRI TEARDOWN f u u d a e i o u “food” Waveform Input Broken into Each Chunk is Find the most likely Little Chunks a phoneme paths through the X(t) Y(t) phonemes that match a words from the dictionary

14. SIRI TEARDOWN “what would you like to eat?” dialog “bet me food” “get me food” Find the most likely Find the most Execute a query Speak the result to paths through the likely sentences based on the most the user words that make that match the likely sentence grammatical sense context

15. SCI-FI INSPIRES, TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS? Sci-Fi Technology 2001: A Space Odyssey (1968) Apple’s Siri (2011)

16. TECHNOLOGY DELIVERS? TIME WILL TELL Good Bad Ugly http://siriouslyweird.tumblr.com/

17. WHAT’S NEXT? Modeling the Brain (1980’s) ??? ??? + Machine Learning Basics (1990’s) ??? ??? ??? ??? + Big Data (2000’s)

18. WHAT’S NEXT ... BIG DECISIONS What to Buy? Where to Live? Who to Marry?

19. WHAT’S NEXT ... HUMAN STEERING

20. WHAT’S NEXT? NEED MORE SCI-FI! Sci-Fi Technology ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???

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