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AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA




                   www.aciertoconsultora.com.ar



              Informe Final

                         Encuesta
   SITUACIÓN POLÍTICA
        SAN JUAN
              09 de Agosto de 2011
                    ID: 180 a 186-0811




                                                         San Juan
                                                         Mendoza

Jujuy 40 Sur - Oficina 18                                San Luís

CP: 5400 San Juan Argentina                              La Rioja
Tel: 0264 - 4211951                                      Tucumán
Cel: 0264-154650196                                      Catamarca




                                  1
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA


Contenido
  FICHA TÉCNICA -ACIERTO CONSULTORA: ................................................................. 3


Intención de Voto a Presidente ............................................. 4

Intención de Voto a Gobernador ............................................ 5

Intendente de Capital ......................................................... 6

Intendente de Rawson ........................................................ 7

Intendente de Rivadavia ...................................................... 8

Intendente de Chimbas ....................................................... 9

Intendente de Santa Lucía .................................................. 10




                                                     2
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA




FICHA TÉCNICA -ACIERTO CONSULTORA:

 Dirección del Estudio: Lic. Maximiliano Aguiar Masuelli – Sociólogo

 Jefa de Campo: Raquel Zeballos

 Trabajo de Campo: 1 A 9 de de Agosto

 Área de Investigación: Capital (450 casos) Rawson (450 casos), Rivadavia,

 Chimbas, Santa Lucía (300 casos cada uno)

 Sistema de consulta: Entrevistas domiciliarias

 Tamaño de la muestra: 1800 casos efectivos (unificación de Mediciones

 Departamentales) Ponderados según peso socio-demográfico

  Margen de error: +/- 2,16 % con un nivel de confianza de 95,5%

 Tipo de Muestreo: Probabilístico polietápico por aglomerados, ajustado por

 sexo, edad y nivel socio-económico

 Instrumento    de      recolección:   Cuestionario   semiestructurado   (preguntas

 cerradas y abiertas)

 Supervisión: 20%




                                               es miembro de:
         Sociedad Argentina de Investigación De Mercado y Opinión (SAIMO)
         Espacio para la Investigación Cualitativa en América Latina (EPICA)
         Directorio de Investigación de Mercado y Marketing (DIMM)
         American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR)




                                           3
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA




               Intención de Voto a Presidente

Intención de Voto PRESIDENTE
                                        %
       Cristina F. de Kirchner        62,2
       Alberto Rodríguez Saá          12,8
       Ricardo Alfonsín                6,4
       Hermes Binner                   3,6
       Otros                           6,8
       Indecisos                       8,2
       Total                           100
                     Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                       4
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA




              Intención de Voto a Gobernador
Intención de Voto GOBERNADOR
                                         %
       José Luis Gioja                 68,5
       Roberto Basualdo                16,5
       Rodolfo Colombo                  6,5
       Fernando Moya                    1,3
       Carlos Navas                     0,9
       Indecisos                        6,3
       Total                            100
                      Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                        5
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA




                   Intendente de Capital



Intención de Voto Intendente
          CAPITAL
                                       %
    Marcelo Lima                     51,3
    Eduardo Cáceres                  22,1
    Viviana Sansó                     8,3
    Alberto Sánchez                   6,4
    Daniel Aramburu                   3,6
    Indecisos                         8,3
    Total                             100
                    Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                      6
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA



                 Intendente de Rawson

Intención de Voto Intendente
          RAWSON
                                     %
    Juan Carlos Gioja              49,5
    Gustavo Rojas                  39,4
    Jorge Reta                      2,8
    Andrés Giménez                   1
    Alberto Armas                   0,9
    Indecisos                       6,4
    Total                           100
                  Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                    7
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA



                Intendente de Rivadavia

Intención de Voto Intendente
         RIVADAVIA
                                       %
    Ana M. López de
                                     43,7
    Herrera
    Elías Álvarez                    30,1
    Fabián Martín                    13,1
    Jorge Martín                      2,1
    José Otiñano                      0,7
    Adolfo Árias                      0,7
    Indecisos                         9,6
    Total                             100
                    Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                      8
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA



                  Intendente de Chimbas

Intención de Voto Intendente
          CHIMBAS
                                       %
    Mario Tello                      42,8

    José Pepe Camacho                37,6
    Manuel Chávez                     6,7
    Víctor Agüero                     1,9
    Carlos Ruiz                       1,3
    Ricardo Ferreyra                   1
    Héctor Mugas                      0,7
    Víctor Flores                     0,7
    Indecisos                         7,3
    Total                             100
                    Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                      9
AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA



                Intendente de Santa Lucía

Intención de Voto Intendente
        SANTA LUCÍA
                                     %
    Aníbal Fuentes                 36,5
    Marcelo Orrego                 30,3
    Luis Martinazzo                24,3
    Héctor Massut                   2,8
    Hugo Cárdenas                   0,7
    Indecisos                       5,4
    Total                           100
                  Fuente: Acierto Consultora




                                    10

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Encuesta primarias en san juan

  • 1. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA www.aciertoconsultora.com.ar Informe Final Encuesta SITUACIÓN POLÍTICA SAN JUAN 09 de Agosto de 2011 ID: 180 a 186-0811 San Juan Mendoza Jujuy 40 Sur - Oficina 18 San Luís CP: 5400 San Juan Argentina La Rioja Tel: 0264 - 4211951 Tucumán Cel: 0264-154650196 Catamarca 1
  • 2. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Contenido FICHA TÉCNICA -ACIERTO CONSULTORA: ................................................................. 3 Intención de Voto a Presidente ............................................. 4 Intención de Voto a Gobernador ............................................ 5 Intendente de Capital ......................................................... 6 Intendente de Rawson ........................................................ 7 Intendente de Rivadavia ...................................................... 8 Intendente de Chimbas ....................................................... 9 Intendente de Santa Lucía .................................................. 10 2
  • 3. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA FICHA TÉCNICA -ACIERTO CONSULTORA: Dirección del Estudio: Lic. Maximiliano Aguiar Masuelli – Sociólogo Jefa de Campo: Raquel Zeballos Trabajo de Campo: 1 A 9 de de Agosto Área de Investigación: Capital (450 casos) Rawson (450 casos), Rivadavia, Chimbas, Santa Lucía (300 casos cada uno) Sistema de consulta: Entrevistas domiciliarias Tamaño de la muestra: 1800 casos efectivos (unificación de Mediciones Departamentales) Ponderados según peso socio-demográfico Margen de error: +/- 2,16 % con un nivel de confianza de 95,5% Tipo de Muestreo: Probabilístico polietápico por aglomerados, ajustado por sexo, edad y nivel socio-económico Instrumento de recolección: Cuestionario semiestructurado (preguntas cerradas y abiertas) Supervisión: 20% es miembro de: Sociedad Argentina de Investigación De Mercado y Opinión (SAIMO) Espacio para la Investigación Cualitativa en América Latina (EPICA) Directorio de Investigación de Mercado y Marketing (DIMM) American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) 3
  • 4. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intención de Voto a Presidente Intención de Voto PRESIDENTE % Cristina F. de Kirchner 62,2 Alberto Rodríguez Saá 12,8 Ricardo Alfonsín 6,4 Hermes Binner 3,6 Otros 6,8 Indecisos 8,2 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 4
  • 5. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intención de Voto a Gobernador Intención de Voto GOBERNADOR % José Luis Gioja 68,5 Roberto Basualdo 16,5 Rodolfo Colombo 6,5 Fernando Moya 1,3 Carlos Navas 0,9 Indecisos 6,3 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 5
  • 6. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intendente de Capital Intención de Voto Intendente CAPITAL % Marcelo Lima 51,3 Eduardo Cáceres 22,1 Viviana Sansó 8,3 Alberto Sánchez 6,4 Daniel Aramburu 3,6 Indecisos 8,3 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 6
  • 7. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intendente de Rawson Intención de Voto Intendente RAWSON % Juan Carlos Gioja 49,5 Gustavo Rojas 39,4 Jorge Reta 2,8 Andrés Giménez 1 Alberto Armas 0,9 Indecisos 6,4 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 7
  • 8. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intendente de Rivadavia Intención de Voto Intendente RIVADAVIA % Ana M. López de 43,7 Herrera Elías Álvarez 30,1 Fabián Martín 13,1 Jorge Martín 2,1 José Otiñano 0,7 Adolfo Árias 0,7 Indecisos 9,6 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 8
  • 9. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intendente de Chimbas Intención de Voto Intendente CHIMBAS % Mario Tello 42,8 José Pepe Camacho 37,6 Manuel Chávez 6,7 Víctor Agüero 1,9 Carlos Ruiz 1,3 Ricardo Ferreyra 1 Héctor Mugas 0,7 Víctor Flores 0,7 Indecisos 7,3 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 9
  • 10. AGOSTO 2011 –SAN JUAN - ACIERTO CONSULTORA Intendente de Santa Lucía Intención de Voto Intendente SANTA LUCÍA % Aníbal Fuentes 36,5 Marcelo Orrego 30,3 Luis Martinazzo 24,3 Héctor Massut 2,8 Hugo Cárdenas 0,7 Indecisos 5,4 Total 100 Fuente: Acierto Consultora 10