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Update on National Health Reform:  A Moving Target Lynn A. Blewett, Ph.D.  State Health Access Data Assistance Center  University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN June 18, 2009 Minnesota Health Care Reform Review Council Funded by a grant from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
2 Outline of Presentation Overview of Key Proposals Legislative Process  Financing Hurdles State Role in Health Reform Payment Reform What Next?
Overview of Key Proposals
Three Democratic Proposals 1. Kennedy: “Affordable Health Choices Act” ,[object Object]
Introduced June 9th, 615 pages…2. Baucus “Ideas” based on white papers ,[object Object]
Hopes to co-sponsor with Sen. GrassleyHouse- Waxman Framework - Energy and Commerce, Ways and Means, Education and Labor 4
Key Provisions of All Proposals Individual mandate with minimum credible coverage requirement “Play-or-pay” requirement for employers Premium subsidies for families and expanded eligibility for Medicaid Insurance exchange (national or state run) Public plan option Federal health board (to define minimum credible coverage and run the exchange) 5
6 Key Legislation:  1.  Sen. Kennedy “Affordable Health Choices Act” ,[object Object]
Senator Dodd taking the lead
Introduced June 9th, 615 pages….
Mark up started yesterday in Senate,[object Object]
Individual mandate
State-based insurance exchanges
No ratingon health status, gender, class of business, claims experience
Rating on age (2:1), family structure and actuarial value of the benefit,[object Object]
Eligibility based on income (no asset test)
Premium subsidies up to 500% of FPL for families to buy private insurance through the exchange,[object Object]
Allow young adults up to 26 years of age to enroll in parents health plan
Prohibits self-insurance for employers with less than 250 employeesFinancing 	- No provisions
10 Key Legislation:  2. Sen. Baucus Senator Baucus ,[object Object]
Plan to co-author bill with Sen. Grassley
Three white papers released in May for public comment
No bill introduced to date (details from the white papers…),[object Object]
No specifics on rating rules but will be specified in the bill
National insurance exchange
Public plan option
Employer pay or play (with small employers exempt),[object Object]
Children mandate up to 250% of FPLMedicare Provisions - Medicare buy-in for those aged 55-64 (until nation exchange developed) 	- Phase out of Medicare 2 yr waiting provisions for people with disabilities
13 Other Provisions of Baucus Proposal Financing Options Proposed ,[object Object]
Modifying/repealing itemized deduction for medical expenses
Modifying/repealing the tax exemption for FSAs and HRAs
Modifying tax exemption for non-profit hospitals
New alcohol, sugar-sweetened beverages excise taxes,[object Object]
15 Key Provisions of Waxman Framework Regulation of Private Insurance ,[object Object]
Individual mandate
Standards for “adequate coverage” including a cap on out-of-pocket spending
Require no cost sharing on preventive services
No rating on health status, gender, or occupation; rate restrictions on age ,[object Object]
Subsidies for families < 400% FPL to buy into the exchange through sliding scale “affordability credits”

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Update on National Health Reform: A Moving Target

  • 1. Update on National Health Reform: A Moving Target Lynn A. Blewett, Ph.D. State Health Access Data Assistance Center University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN June 18, 2009 Minnesota Health Care Reform Review Council Funded by a grant from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 2. 2 Outline of Presentation Overview of Key Proposals Legislative Process Financing Hurdles State Role in Health Reform Payment Reform What Next?
  • 3. Overview of Key Proposals
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Hopes to co-sponsor with Sen. GrassleyHouse- Waxman Framework - Energy and Commerce, Ways and Means, Education and Labor 4
  • 7. Key Provisions of All Proposals Individual mandate with minimum credible coverage requirement “Play-or-pay” requirement for employers Premium subsidies for families and expanded eligibility for Medicaid Insurance exchange (national or state run) Public plan option Federal health board (to define minimum credible coverage and run the exchange) 5
  • 8.
  • 10. Introduced June 9th, 615 pages….
  • 11.
  • 14. No ratingon health status, gender, class of business, claims experience
  • 15.
  • 16. Eligibility based on income (no asset test)
  • 17.
  • 18. Allow young adults up to 26 years of age to enroll in parents health plan
  • 19. Prohibits self-insurance for employers with less than 250 employeesFinancing - No provisions
  • 20.
  • 21. Plan to co-author bill with Sen. Grassley
  • 22. Three white papers released in May for public comment
  • 23.
  • 24. No specifics on rating rules but will be specified in the bill
  • 27.
  • 28. Children mandate up to 250% of FPLMedicare Provisions - Medicare buy-in for those aged 55-64 (until nation exchange developed) - Phase out of Medicare 2 yr waiting provisions for people with disabilities
  • 29.
  • 31. Modifying/repealing the tax exemption for FSAs and HRAs
  • 32. Modifying tax exemption for non-profit hospitals
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 36. Standards for “adequate coverage” including a cap on out-of-pocket spending
  • 37. Require no cost sharing on preventive services
  • 38.
  • 39. Subsidies for families < 400% FPL to buy into the exchange through sliding scale “affordability credits”
  • 41.
  • 42. 18 Coverage Expansion Under Reform Proposals (Family of Four FPL = $22,050 in 2009) ReformProposal $88,200 $88,200 FamilyIncome *Under Baucus proposal, children are Medicaid-eligible at ≤250% FPL, or $55,125 for a family of four.
  • 44. First Choice: Bipartisan Bill by August Both House and Senate to mark up bills by end of June Kennedy bill in Finance YESTERDAY! Other’s scheduled to go in in next few days Conference in July Bill to President by August Recess
  • 45. Second Option: Budget Reconciliation-Sept Pros -Can be passed on Democratic Vote (do not need to bring republicans along…) Cons - Five-year sunset provisions - Can do only spending and budget reductions – NO POLICY (eliminate all the insurance policy provisions) - Program would sunset after five years (e.g. CHIP)
  • 47. Health Care Is the Budget Problem When I headed the CBO…. &quot;the health care challenge was &apos;Don&apos;t make the [budget] situation worse.&apos; Now, it&apos;s &apos;Do health care reform so we can make the budget situation better.” Robert Reischauer, former CBO Director during the Clinton care debate
  • 49. President Obama’s Proposal 25 Estimated cost of reform = $1-2 Trillion
  • 50. CBO – “Scoring” Reform Elements
  • 51. State Role in Health Reform
  • 52. State Role in Reform: Implementation! Medicaid/SCHIP expansions State insurance exchange and regulation Premium subsidies for small employers and families Possible public plan implementation at the state level Implementation of insurance regulations
  • 53. Annual % Change in 2nd Quarter State and Local Tax Revenue Source: Quarterly Summary of State and Local Government Tax Revenue, U. S Census Bureau. 29 Concern about State Revenues
  • 54.
  • 56. Payment Reform No discussion of payment reform HIT stimulus funds cited as mechanism to increase efficiency Proposals include mostly blunt adjustments to payments and payment formulae i.e. no significant reform of payment policy Obama does mention potential use of MedPAC (see handout) http://www.medpac.gov/documents/Mar09_FactSheet.pdf
  • 57. MedPAC Recommendations Bundled payments for all services provided in a hospitalization episode Financial disincentives for certain hospital readmissions Measuring physician resource use and confidentially sharing the results so that future payment structure can be tied to resource use
  • 58. MedPAC Recommendations Use accountable care organizations (ACOs) to promote quality by offering bonuses and penalties related to cost and quality targets Restructure Medicare benefits, including supplemental coverage to better align cost sharing with quality targets Reduce payments to Medicare Advantage and incentivize innovation
  • 60. What Next? Day-to-day developments Kennedy bill only one introduced Not a lot of time to get consensus Big hurdles Public Plan (Obama wants) Financing Possibility – a high-level framework for reform with phased in time frame to allow for recovery of economy, development of the details, including financing options
  • 61.
  • 62. June 17: Senate Finance Comm. expected to release proposed draft of reform bill
  • 63.
  • 64. By June 19th: House to release proposed draft on healthcare reform.
  • 65. Week of June 22: Hearings in all three health subcommittees on the draft proposal
  • 66. Week of July 6: Full committee meeting to discuss healthcare reform billSenate and House want to have the bills on the floor before August recess. During recess, staff will work to reconcile the differences so that members can complete a conference agreement when they return in Sept/Oct and send the agreement to the President by mid-October.
  • 67.
  • 68. June 17June 19 or June 22/23: Senate Finance Comm. expected to release proposed draft of reform bill
  • 69. June 19 or 22 DELAYED: Senate Finance Comm. expected to release final version of reform bill
  • 70. June 23LIKELY DELAYED (possibly until after July 4th Recess):Senate Finance Comm. Mark-up of bill begins
  • 71. By June 19th: House to release proposed draft on healthcare reform.
  • 72. Week of June 22: Hearings in all three health subcommittees on the draft proposal
  • 73.