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Capital Budgeting Analysis
Financial Policy and Planning
MB 29
Outline
Meaning of Capital Budgeting
Significance of Capital Budgeting Analysis
Traditional Capital Budgeting Techniques
Payback Period Approach
Discounted Payback Period Approach
Discounted Cash Flow Techniques
• Net Present Value
• Internal Rate of Return
• Profitability Index
• Net Present Value versus Internal Rate of Return
Meaning of Capital Budgeting
Capital budgeting addresses the issue of
strategic long-term investment decisions.
Capital budgeting can be defined as the
process of analyzing, evaluating, and deciding
whether resources should be allocated to a
project or not.
Process of capital budgeting ensure optimal
allocation of resources and helps
management work towards the goal of
shareholder wealth maximization.
Significance of Capital
Budgeting
Considered to be the most important
decision that a corporate treasurer has
to make.
So much is the significance of capital
budgeting that many business schools
offer a separate course on capital
budgeting
Why Capital Budgeting is so
Important?
Involve massive investment of
resources
Are not easily reversible
Have long-term implications for the
firm
Involve uncertainty and risk for the
firm
Due to the above factors, capital budgeting decisions
become critical and must be evaluated very carefully.
Any firm that does not follow the capital budgeting
process will not be maximizing shareholder wealth
and
management will not be acting in the best interests
of shareholders.
RJR Nabisco’s smokeless cigarette project example
Similarly, Euro-Disney, Concorde Plane, Saturn of GM
all faced problems due to bad capital
budgeting, while Intel became global leader due to
sound capital budgeting decisions in 1990s.
Techniques of Capital Budgeting
Analysis
Payback Period Approach
Discounted Payback Period Approach
Net Present Value Approach
Internal Rate of Return
Profitability Index
Which Technique should we
follow?
A technique that helps us in selecting projects
that are consistent with the principle of
shareholder wealth maximization.
A technique is considered consistent with
wealth maximization if
It is based on cash flows
Considers all the cash flows
Considers time value of money
Is unbiased in selecting projects
Payback Period Approach
The amount of time needed to recover the
initial investment
The number of years it takes including a
fraction of the year to recover initial
investment is called payback period
To compute payback period, keep adding the
cash flows till the sum equals initial
investment
Simplicity is the main benefit, but suffers
from drawbacks
Technique is not consistent with wealth
maximization—Why?
Discounted Payback Period
Similar to payback period approach with one
difference that it considers time value of
money
The amount of time needed to recover initial
investment given the present value of cash
inflows
Keep adding the discounted cash flows till the
sum equals initial investment
All other drawbacks of the payback period
remains in this approach
Not consistent with wealth maximization
Net Present Value Approach
Based on the dollar amount of cash flows
The dollar amount of value added by a
project
NPV equals the present value of cash inflows
minus initial investment
Technique is consistent with the principle of
wealth maximization—Why?
Accept a project if NPV ≥ 0
Internal Rate of Return
The rate at which the net present value
of cash flows of a project is
zero, I.e., the rate at which the present
value of cash inflows equals initial
investment
Project’s promised rate of return given
initial investment and cash flows
Consistent with wealth maximization
Accept a project if IRR ≥ Cost of Capital
NPV versus IRR
Usually, NPV and IRR are consistent with
each other. If IRR says accept the project,
NPV will also say accept the project
IRR can be in conflict with NPV if
Investing or Financing Decisions
Projects are mutually exclusive
• Projects differ in scale of investment
• Cash flow patterns of projects is different
If cash flows alternate in sign—problem of
multiple IRR
If IRR and NPV conflict, use NPV approach
Profitability Index (PI)
A part of discounted cash flow family
PI = PV of Cash Inflows/initial investment
Accept a project if PI ≥ 1.0, which means
positive NPV
Usually, PI consistent with NPV
PI may be in conflict with NPV if
Projects are mutually exclusive
• Scale of projects differ
• Pattern of cash flows of projects is different
When in conflict with NPV, use NPV
Evaluating Projects with
Unequal Lives
Replacement Chain Analysis
Equivalent Annual Cost Method
If two machines are unequal in life, we
need to make adjustment before
computing NPV.
Which technique is superior?
Although our decision should be based on
NPV, but each technique contributes in its
own way.
Payback period is a rough measure of
riskiness. The longer the payback
period, more risky a project is
IRR is a measure of safety margin in a
project. Higher IRR means more safety
margin in the project’s estimated cash flows
PI is a measure of cost-benefit analysis. How
much NPV for every dollar of initial
investment

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Capitalbudgeting (1)

  • 1. Capital Budgeting Analysis Financial Policy and Planning MB 29
  • 2. Outline Meaning of Capital Budgeting Significance of Capital Budgeting Analysis Traditional Capital Budgeting Techniques Payback Period Approach Discounted Payback Period Approach Discounted Cash Flow Techniques • Net Present Value • Internal Rate of Return • Profitability Index • Net Present Value versus Internal Rate of Return
  • 3. Meaning of Capital Budgeting Capital budgeting addresses the issue of strategic long-term investment decisions. Capital budgeting can be defined as the process of analyzing, evaluating, and deciding whether resources should be allocated to a project or not. Process of capital budgeting ensure optimal allocation of resources and helps management work towards the goal of shareholder wealth maximization.
  • 4. Significance of Capital Budgeting Considered to be the most important decision that a corporate treasurer has to make. So much is the significance of capital budgeting that many business schools offer a separate course on capital budgeting
  • 5. Why Capital Budgeting is so Important? Involve massive investment of resources Are not easily reversible Have long-term implications for the firm Involve uncertainty and risk for the firm
  • 6. Due to the above factors, capital budgeting decisions become critical and must be evaluated very carefully. Any firm that does not follow the capital budgeting process will not be maximizing shareholder wealth and management will not be acting in the best interests of shareholders. RJR Nabisco’s smokeless cigarette project example Similarly, Euro-Disney, Concorde Plane, Saturn of GM all faced problems due to bad capital budgeting, while Intel became global leader due to sound capital budgeting decisions in 1990s.
  • 7. Techniques of Capital Budgeting Analysis Payback Period Approach Discounted Payback Period Approach Net Present Value Approach Internal Rate of Return Profitability Index
  • 8. Which Technique should we follow? A technique that helps us in selecting projects that are consistent with the principle of shareholder wealth maximization. A technique is considered consistent with wealth maximization if It is based on cash flows Considers all the cash flows Considers time value of money Is unbiased in selecting projects
  • 9. Payback Period Approach The amount of time needed to recover the initial investment The number of years it takes including a fraction of the year to recover initial investment is called payback period To compute payback period, keep adding the cash flows till the sum equals initial investment Simplicity is the main benefit, but suffers from drawbacks Technique is not consistent with wealth maximization—Why?
  • 10. Discounted Payback Period Similar to payback period approach with one difference that it considers time value of money The amount of time needed to recover initial investment given the present value of cash inflows Keep adding the discounted cash flows till the sum equals initial investment All other drawbacks of the payback period remains in this approach Not consistent with wealth maximization
  • 11. Net Present Value Approach Based on the dollar amount of cash flows The dollar amount of value added by a project NPV equals the present value of cash inflows minus initial investment Technique is consistent with the principle of wealth maximization—Why? Accept a project if NPV ≥ 0
  • 12. Internal Rate of Return The rate at which the net present value of cash flows of a project is zero, I.e., the rate at which the present value of cash inflows equals initial investment Project’s promised rate of return given initial investment and cash flows Consistent with wealth maximization Accept a project if IRR ≥ Cost of Capital
  • 13. NPV versus IRR Usually, NPV and IRR are consistent with each other. If IRR says accept the project, NPV will also say accept the project IRR can be in conflict with NPV if Investing or Financing Decisions Projects are mutually exclusive • Projects differ in scale of investment • Cash flow patterns of projects is different If cash flows alternate in sign—problem of multiple IRR If IRR and NPV conflict, use NPV approach
  • 14. Profitability Index (PI) A part of discounted cash flow family PI = PV of Cash Inflows/initial investment Accept a project if PI ≥ 1.0, which means positive NPV Usually, PI consistent with NPV PI may be in conflict with NPV if Projects are mutually exclusive • Scale of projects differ • Pattern of cash flows of projects is different When in conflict with NPV, use NPV
  • 15. Evaluating Projects with Unequal Lives Replacement Chain Analysis Equivalent Annual Cost Method If two machines are unequal in life, we need to make adjustment before computing NPV.
  • 16. Which technique is superior? Although our decision should be based on NPV, but each technique contributes in its own way. Payback period is a rough measure of riskiness. The longer the payback period, more risky a project is IRR is a measure of safety margin in a project. Higher IRR means more safety margin in the project’s estimated cash flows PI is a measure of cost-benefit analysis. How much NPV for every dollar of initial investment