The Next Moore's Law: Netness - describes the growing and changing power of connectivity - and why connectivity is replacing Moore's Law as the most important source of opportunity. It suggests that "everything wants to be connected" because the more things are connected (can communicate) the better things work. It describes connectivity as evolving to become fields rather than networks. Original date of presentation: June, 2009.

1. MOORE’S LAW the next Sheldon Renan vision (+) strategy Twitter @srenan

2. WHY EVERYTHING WANTS TO BE CONNECTED netness

3. this all started one day in 1989 when I tried to go out of business but the next morning THE PHONE RANG

4. this all started one day in 1989 when I tried to go out of business but the next morning THE PHONE RANG somebody wanted an interactive version of Murder She Wrote

5. this all started one day in 1989 when I tried to go out of business but the next morning THE PHONE RANG somebody wanted an interactive version of Murder She Wrote and somehow… within a short time I was learning Moore’s Law then writing for XEROX PARC

6. this all started one day in 1989 when I tried to go out of business but the next morning THE PHONE RANG somebody wanted an interactive version of Murder She Wrote and somehow… within a short time I was learning Moore’s Law then writing for XEROX PARC THEN ONE DAY I WAS DOING A WHITEPAPER FOR SOMEBODY ON

7. … interoperability.

8. … interoperability. Why interoperability (I asked)? Because communications… getting different things to work together… consumed most of the time and money in creating products and systems.

9. NOTE TO SELF: making it easier for things to work together is the fastest way to lower the cost of anything ? anything that is connected will always have more opportunity than anything this is not connected. —1994

10. NOTE TO SELF: Anything that is connected always has more opportunity than anything that isn’t. Making it easy for things to work together is the fastest way to lower the cost of anything? —1994

11. John Seely Brown tells me: if two machines do roughly the same thing (LIKE COPYING) if one machine (COPY MACHINE) is in the world of atoms if one machine ( VIRTUAL COPY MACHINE) is in the world of bits if both has the same user interface (big green button), look and feel if machine in world of atoms is connected with machine in the world of bits EACH MACHINE HAS MORE opportunity than if it is a standalone machine — jsb’s law, 1997

12. Something deep was changing I was aware of a shift the internet? the net? what? jsb kept talking about the fabric, an emerging fabric of rich services surrounding and interconnecting communities

13. I began to recognize it was not the internet it was not the net work it was net ness that was making the difference between our past and our future

14. Moore’s Law observes….

15. the price and performance available from semi-conductor technology will double every 24 months

16. it began as conversations between Gordon Moore & Carver Mead as an article in electronics magazine 1965 as marketing to promote future use of chips in consumer products

17. Carver Mead named it Dr. Moore’s Law in 1971 became metronome that set the pace for the global technology ecosystem most important source of new opportunity.

18. foundation of digital everything enabler of global communications & technology influence that extends far beyond technology

19. I asked Gordon Moore, “What is it people don’t understand?” He answered, “What people don’t understand is that the smaller things get the faster and cheaper and better they always work.”

20. Moore’s Law vs. Netness

21. EVERY DAY it becomes less important to have faster computer chips enabled by Moore’s Law

22. EVERY DAY it becomes more important / productive to be able to connect, communicate, and collaborate anywhere with anything on an ad hoc basis

23. what is netness?

24. in which connectivity is increasingly ubiquitous , lives are increasingly entangled. two worlds < the world of atoms and the world of bits > become one. IS AN EMERGING STATE OF BEING netness

25. Increasingly… connectivity now becomes the most important driver of new opportunity the critical creator of new value

26. not networks not the Internet but connectivity itself

27. The more things are connected, the better things work.

28. The more things are connected, the better things work the smarter things are

29. The more things are connected, the better things work the smarter they are the safer things are

30. The more things you connect, the better things work the smarter they are the safer they are the more opportunity is created for sharing resources and collaborating

31. We all know… more things, people and places are becoming connected every day

32. 5 vectors of growth for connectivity

33. 1. The number of networks

34. 2. The number of connectable points

35. 3. The number of connected devices

36. 4. The number of connected locations

37. 5. The ubiquity, frequency & intimacy of connections

38. How is connectivity changing?

39. As connectivity becomes ubiquitous systems (networks) become fields.

40. Networks and lives become entangled.

41. A new state of connectivity is emerging We used to talk about 3 states of connectivity : 1 st Loosely connected 2 nd Closely connected 3 rd Embedded

42. Now a 4 th state of connectivity is emerging: 1st Loosely connected 2 nd Closely connected 3 rd Embedded 4 th Entangled

43. When connectivity becomes ubiquitous < and things, people, places are entangled >

44. Systems (networks) become fields …

45. Two worlds the world of atoms the world of bits become one

46. The more things, people, places, particles and bits become connected < entangled > the better things work… the safer things are.

47. What creates the value ? Connectivity has many mechanisms and effects.

48. Metcalfe’s Law < value created by networks > Reed’s Law < opportunity created by networks > Externalities Effect < opportunity created by networks > summation < more data from more points of view > netness < benefits from more ubiquitous connectivity >

49. Netness is not new. It is an iteration and extension of earlier recognitions. Euler & the Bridges of Konigsberg, Erdos & Renyi, Teilhard de Chardin, Solomonoff, Rapport & Small Worlds , Travers & Milgram, Derek J de Solla Price, Douglas Engelbart, Vint Cerf, Robert Kahn & The Internet , Metcalfe & Gilder, David Reed , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi & Scale Free Networks , Mark Newman, Duncan Watts, JSB, Mark Weiser & Ubicomp, Timothy Bernes-Lee & The World Wide Web, Manuel Castells , Bernardo Huberman , David Weinberger , Yochai Benkler, Usman Haque & Pachube and the list goes on…

50. We are not talking about connecting more things over networks, We are not talking about connecting more networks

51. We are talking about connecting everything

52. individual world What we consider today to be interconnected networks

53. individual world planet particle … is just the beginning

54. connect everything , at every level particle planet

55. Limit connectivity You limit opportunity + decrease safety

56. Connect the unconnected you increase opportunity, safety & success

57. Example

58. AN EIGHTY YEAR OLD MAN

59. WHO LIVES BY HIM SELF

60. AN EIGHTY YEAR OLD MAN TAKES A S H O W E R

61. AN EIGHTY YEAR OLD MAN TAKES A S H O W E R WHEN HE FALLS INTO THE TUB

62. What if

63. WHEN HE FELL INTO THE TUB KNOWS

64. THAT THE MAN IS FALL ING WHEN HE FELL INTO THE TUB KNOWS

65. THAT HE HAS OSTEO PORO SIS WHEN HE FELL INTO THE TUB KNOWS

66. THAT THE MAN IS FALL ING THE TUB KNOWS AND THEN PROCEEDED TO CONTACT

67. THAT THE MAN IS FALL ING THE TUB KNOWS AND THEN PROCEEDED TO CONTACT – 911 – Daughter – Remote care-taker – Building manager

68. THAT THE MAN IS FALL ING THE BATHTUB KNOWS AND THEN PROCEEDED TO

69. THAT THE MAN IS FALL ING THE BATHTUB KNOWS REARRANGE ITS MOLECULES

70. HITS THE SO TUB WHEN HE THE BATHTUB KNOWS REARRANGE ITS MOLECULES

71. HITS THE SO TUB WHEN HE THE TUB CATCHES HIM

72. connectivity fields will enable emergence of “ virtuous service fabrics ” individual world

73. connectivity fields will enable emergence of “ virtuous service fabrics ” programmed to mitigate threats and optimize outcomes for individuals individual world

74. “ virtuous service fabrics ” will evolve from current experiments with individual world

75. “ virtuous service fabrics ” will evolve from current experiments with individual world sensor nets

76. “ virtuous service fabrics ” will evolve from current experiments with sensor nets & individual world pervasive computing

77. “ virtuous service fabrics ” will evolve from current experiments with sensor nets & pervasive computing for healthcare individual world

78. early stage virtuous service fabrics are already operating invisibly in a surprising number of automobiles today.

79. Where can we use netness today ?

80. netness is a compass you can use to plan products , business models & governance

81. what is the most urgent reason for recognizing, understanding and optimizing netness?

82. Confluencing crises of population growth, climate change & insufficient resources & reserves

83. Confluencing crises of population growth, climate change & insufficient resources are the most urgent reason to recognize, optimize and utilize netness. We must radically iimprove our abilities to cooperate and collaborate with maximum efficiency (minimum waste.) This is an absolute requirement to assure optimal survival of our communities and species .

84. How can we accelerate recognition and optimization of netness?

85. It’s time to begin thinking of a post network age where networks “get out of the way” and connectivity reigns.

86. - make connectivity visible. - validate the value of scaling up connectedness. - specify, implement and spread “The Field”. < move from networks to connectivity fields > - create new models for governance and business - build on connectivity instead of owning and selling it. - create a taxonomy of connectivity.

87. implicit in Teilhard de Chardin’s The Phenomenon of Man Connectivity = Life

88. Implicit in Teilhard de Chardin’s The Phenomenon of Man Connectivity = Life Isolation = Death

89. That is why we can say WHY EVERYTHING WANTS TO BE CONNECTED

90. This is why we can say WHY EVERYTHING WANTS TO BE CONNECTED

91. NIELS BOHR (quoted by ANTON ZEILINGER) “There are two types of truths: simple truths & deep truths. Simple truth is truth where the opposite is not true. Deep truth is truth where the opposite is also true. ” DALAI LAMA “There’s something to that.”

92. final thoughts

93. There are risks to increasing connectivity. It can be argued that netness increases vulnerability as well as value and virtue. Given the mortal stakes before us, the benefits far outweigh the risks.

94. Thank you see you on www.netness.net soon. Sheldon Renan [email_address]

95. Designed by Bram Pitoyo [email_address]