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Inflation




How much was a candy bar in 1960?

How much is a candy bar now?
Inflation
Definition – Unstable prices, prices tend to increase
faster then wages


Inflation can be an indicator of the state of the
overall economy

High inflation indicates the economy is stressed and
contracting (slowing down)

Low inflation indicates low consumer confidence
and low consumer demand
Price Indexes
Price Index – measurement that shows how the
average price of a group of goods changes over time

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

CPI is computed each month by the Bureau of Labor
Statistics

Determined by measuring the price of a standard
group of goods that represents the market basket of a
typical consumer

Market Basket – representative collection of goods
and services
Inflation
Prices that fit into 5 Categories:

3.Creeping: 1% - 3%

5.Normal: 3% - 10%

7.Double Digit: 10% - 100%

9.Galloping: 100% - 500%

11.Hyper-inflation: 500% +

The US has experienced inflation as high as 15-20%
(1970’s)
Causes and Types of Inflation
• Demand-Pull – excessive demand for an item pushes up the
  price Examples: Cabbage Patch Kids, Tickle-Me Elmo

• Cost-Push – the cost of a production factor (land, labor,
  capital) pushes up the price
  Example: High oil prices causes the price of many goods
  and services to go up

3. Government Deficit – heavy government borrowing will
   increase interest rates

4. Wage-Price Spiral – one group’s price and wages have a
   domino effect on other group’s prices and wages (up or
   down)

5. Excessive Monetary Growth – overprinting of currency and
   too much currency in circulation
Deflation and Stagflation

Deflation – a surplus labor and products
 cause the value of these items to drop


Stagflation – time period of slow economic
  growth characterized by high
  unemployment and inflation at the same
  time
Who is Hurt by Inflation?
1. Retirees – most live on a fixed income (if
   prices increase, the same fixed amount of
   money will not buy as many goods or
   services)

3. Banks and Lenders – get paid back with
   money that is worth less (cheaper dollars)

5. Consumers – wages will no longer buy the
   same amount of goods and services
Who is Helped by Inflation?
1. Borrowers – pay back outstanding loans
   with money worth more then originally
   borrowed

3. Investors and Speculators – money
   invested in stocks and bonds is worth
   more as prices rise

5. Real Estate – homeowners see their
   property values increase (Increases
   Equity)
Destabilization Effects of Inflation
 •   Changes in Consumer Spending: people are
     discourage from buying cars, homes, etc.

 •   Stores cannot afford to keep shelves as full as before:
     shrinking inventory causes plant closings and layoffs

 •   Inflation leads to Speculation: diamonds, gold,
     artwork and other collectibles can be helped by
     inflation

 •   Inflation hurts creditors: repaid in cheaper dollars

 •   Inflation causes a decline in the value of money: $1 in
     1900 = 2 cents today

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Inflation

  • 1. Inflation How much was a candy bar in 1960? How much is a candy bar now?
  • 2. Inflation Definition – Unstable prices, prices tend to increase faster then wages Inflation can be an indicator of the state of the overall economy High inflation indicates the economy is stressed and contracting (slowing down) Low inflation indicates low consumer confidence and low consumer demand
  • 3.
  • 4. Price Indexes Price Index – measurement that shows how the average price of a group of goods changes over time Consumer Price Index (CPI) CPI is computed each month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Determined by measuring the price of a standard group of goods that represents the market basket of a typical consumer Market Basket – representative collection of goods and services
  • 5. Inflation Prices that fit into 5 Categories: 3.Creeping: 1% - 3% 5.Normal: 3% - 10% 7.Double Digit: 10% - 100% 9.Galloping: 100% - 500% 11.Hyper-inflation: 500% + The US has experienced inflation as high as 15-20% (1970’s)
  • 6.
  • 7. Causes and Types of Inflation • Demand-Pull – excessive demand for an item pushes up the price Examples: Cabbage Patch Kids, Tickle-Me Elmo • Cost-Push – the cost of a production factor (land, labor, capital) pushes up the price Example: High oil prices causes the price of many goods and services to go up 3. Government Deficit – heavy government borrowing will increase interest rates 4. Wage-Price Spiral – one group’s price and wages have a domino effect on other group’s prices and wages (up or down) 5. Excessive Monetary Growth – overprinting of currency and too much currency in circulation
  • 8.
  • 9. Deflation and Stagflation Deflation – a surplus labor and products cause the value of these items to drop Stagflation – time period of slow economic growth characterized by high unemployment and inflation at the same time
  • 10. Who is Hurt by Inflation? 1. Retirees – most live on a fixed income (if prices increase, the same fixed amount of money will not buy as many goods or services) 3. Banks and Lenders – get paid back with money that is worth less (cheaper dollars) 5. Consumers – wages will no longer buy the same amount of goods and services
  • 11.
  • 12. Who is Helped by Inflation? 1. Borrowers – pay back outstanding loans with money worth more then originally borrowed 3. Investors and Speculators – money invested in stocks and bonds is worth more as prices rise 5. Real Estate – homeowners see their property values increase (Increases Equity)
  • 13. Destabilization Effects of Inflation • Changes in Consumer Spending: people are discourage from buying cars, homes, etc. • Stores cannot afford to keep shelves as full as before: shrinking inventory causes plant closings and layoffs • Inflation leads to Speculation: diamonds, gold, artwork and other collectibles can be helped by inflation • Inflation hurts creditors: repaid in cheaper dollars • Inflation causes a decline in the value of money: $1 in 1900 = 2 cents today