2. Growth in the number of scholarly journals described in
various forums as “exponential,” “explosive,” “extreme,”
“egregious,” etc.
Some stats
Estimated 50M+ scholarly research articles in existence1
~1200% increase in number of journals included in the Science
Citation Index , 1964-20092
~59% increase in number of journals included in the Social
Science Citation Index , 1998-20092
The Landscape
1
Arif E.Jinha, Article 50 million: an estimate of the number of scholarly articles in existence.
Learned Publishing, 23(2010) , pp. 258-263.
2
Peder Olesen Larsen and Markus von Ins, The rate of growth in scientific publication and the
decline in coverage provided by Science Citation Index. Scientometrics, 84 (2010), pp. 575–603.
3. Couple this with the decline in institutional library
acquisitions budgets
State-funded institutions particularly hard hit
Per the 2012 EBSCO Library Collections and Budgeting Trends
Survey (Feb 2012) of 395 academic libraries
69% had reduced or flat budgets that year
52% expect flat budgets next year
22% expect reduced budgets next year
Cuts will come from print journals (80%), p+e journals
(63%), print books (55%)3
The Landscape
3
http://lj.libraryjournal.com/2012/04/funding/coping-with-the-terrible-twins-
periodicals-price-survey-2012/
4. Why launch a journal?
How might an existing journal be repositioned?
Given All That…
5. New fields are developing constantly
Renewable Energy Engineering
Sustainability Science
Proteomics
Social Learning
Digital Culture and Communication
Food and Energy Security
Multi-scale Modeling and Simulation
Research Areas Are Growing
6. Data on 4200 ScholarOne client journals shows significant
increases in submissions from 2005 to 20104
Overall submissions increased 215+%
China: 484% increase
India: 443.21% increase
Japan: 127.50% increase
US: 177.44% increase
Relative portion from developing world increasing as well
China: 6.1% of 2005 total subs; 11.3% of 2011 total
India: 2.9% to 4.9% of total
South Korea: 2.5% to 2.8% of total
Iran: 0.7% to 2.1% of total
Yet acceptance rates decreased by ~3%
Submissions Are Increasing
4
http://scholarone.com/media/pdf/GlobalPublishing_WP.pdf
7. Access models
OA
Subscription
Hybrid
Freemium
Format and presentation
Multimedia as content, not just as supplement
User interaction
Commentary, blogging, social features
Post-publication peer review
Models and Options Are Evolving
8. Mission support
Dissemination
“This field is increasingly relevant in [Asia] [Africa] [the UK]
and we need to get the information out.”
Perception of publisher
On the cutting edge, experimental, traditional
Cost recovery
Which costs?
Goals Are Expanding
9. Launching a new journal
Charismatic and connected champion essential
Build network of supporters at all levels
Ensure a submission pipeline
Set clear and realistic goals
ID the business model
No wishful thinking
Considerations
Is field mature enough to support new title?
Is author base/content unique enough/separate enough to
support new title?
Is format/editorial model/publishing flow different enough to
warrant new title?
Launch or Reposition?
10. Repositioning an existing journal
Modify the editorial policy
Change the editorial board
Introduce new article types/sections/formats
Market, promote, rinse, repeat
Expect it to take a while to sink in
Considerations
Is field undergoing evolution rather than radical change?
Will solicitation of papers in key areas of focus achieve
sustained expansion in new areas?
Will changes in article types/sections/formats address new
needs?
Is the journal brand strong enough to sustain a
content/format revamp or to support spin-off titles?
Launch or Reposition?