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Dr. Andrew J. Barendse, Phd Institutional Institute of Communications “ Trends in Global Communications: Capturing the High Ground in an uncertain World” 2008 Annual Conference Hong Kong 3 – 4 November 2008 Incentivising investment in broadband networks: Taking stock and mapping futures for African countries
[object Object],[object Object],Broadband penetration in   South African and selected African countries Ineffectiveness of best regulatory practices to stem this trend
Addressing R egulatory tensions… Promote  effective  Competition Promote  efficient  Investment Supply  side of  network development  Demand  side of  Network development Services based competition Infrastructure   based competition A ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],B C D E B C D E B C D E
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broadband network development Regulatory best practices Permanent forbearance    Time limited forbearance    Equality of access Continuum of regulatory approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Its adoption in South Africa… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Regulatory concepts have formed part of Electronic Communications Act (ECA) since 2005 Question To what extent has these regulatory approaches incentivized investment  in broadband networks in SA?
Broadband  Internet Connections (PCs) Source: BMI-T, 2006 Note: Liberal definition of “Broadband” - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Internet Connections  Total Broadband
Snap Survey Results Effectiveness of regulatory approaches… Question What broadband actives are being undertaken in SA? Regulatory Approaches and Incentives for Investment How effective will permanent forbearance be on incentivising investment in broadband access? How effective will time limited forbearance be on incentivising investment in broadband access? How effective will equality of access be on incentivising investment in broadband access?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broadband developments in SA  (1 of 2)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broadband developments in SA  (2 of 2)   Question To what extent have government and operators sponsored projects impacted broadband competition in SA?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Snapshot of  Broadband competition in South African ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Snap Survey Results Effectiveness of government sponsored projects Effectiveness of Government Projects in Stimulating Competition in Broadband Networks How significant an impact will public regional broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public national broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public local broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks?
©  Andrew J. Barendse April 2008 Snap Survey Results Effectiveness of operator sponsored projects Question what has been the characteristics of broadband developments in SA? Effectiveness of Government Projects in Stimulating Competition in Broadband Networks How significant an impact will public the incumbents broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public second national operator broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public mobile’s broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks?
42.300 million 1.427 million 0.380 million 3.300 million 1.226 million Africa  Mobile, fixed line and Internet penetration rates per region
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Characteristics and unique features of Broadband rollout in South Africa Question What does this means for designing the most appropriate regulatory approaches for the SA context?
Promote  effective  Competition Promote  efficient  Investment A ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Implications for Innovative broadband regulatory approaches B C D E
Supply  side of  network development  Demand  side of  network development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Implications for Innovative broadband regulatory approaches B C D E
Services based competition Infrastructure   based competition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Implications for Innovative broadband regulatory approaches B C D E
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Taking stock and mapping communications futures for African countries

  • 1. Dr. Andrew J. Barendse, Phd Institutional Institute of Communications “ Trends in Global Communications: Capturing the High Ground in an uncertain World” 2008 Annual Conference Hong Kong 3 – 4 November 2008 Incentivising investment in broadband networks: Taking stock and mapping futures for African countries
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  • 6. Broadband Internet Connections (PCs) Source: BMI-T, 2006 Note: Liberal definition of “Broadband” - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Internet Connections Total Broadband
  • 7. Snap Survey Results Effectiveness of regulatory approaches… Question What broadband actives are being undertaken in SA? Regulatory Approaches and Incentives for Investment How effective will permanent forbearance be on incentivising investment in broadband access? How effective will time limited forbearance be on incentivising investment in broadband access? How effective will equality of access be on incentivising investment in broadband access?
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  • 11. Snap Survey Results Effectiveness of government sponsored projects Effectiveness of Government Projects in Stimulating Competition in Broadband Networks How significant an impact will public regional broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public national broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public local broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks?
  • 12. © Andrew J. Barendse April 2008 Snap Survey Results Effectiveness of operator sponsored projects Question what has been the characteristics of broadband developments in SA? Effectiveness of Government Projects in Stimulating Competition in Broadband Networks How significant an impact will public the incumbents broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public second national operator broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks? How significant an impact will public mobile’s broadband projects have on competition in broadband networks?
  • 13. 42.300 million 1.427 million 0.380 million 3.300 million 1.226 million Africa Mobile, fixed line and Internet penetration rates per region
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Notas del editor

  1. Greetings… Taking stock and mapping future for the bb experience in African countries Presentation include 2/3 taking stock and 1/3 of mapping futures