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Bikenomics
& Manchester
Steve Connor
sicko?
    1%         £95m
 increase    saving for
in cycling   business
                  Based on TNO Dutch study of employee sick days and levels of cycling
The Great Bicycle Economy
                                      150




                                      100
Millions of units produced per year




                                                                                        Bicycles
                                      50
                                                                                        Cars




                                        0

                                       1950   1957   1964   1971   1978   1985   1992      1999    2006
                                                                                                   Earth Policy Institute
Happy Commuters
                                       100%




                                                                                                                   HAPPY CYCLISTS
                                       80%
Perception of daily commute, by mode




                                       60%




                                       40%




                                       20%




                                        0%

                                              Car only       Public only   Mixed car & public   Walking        Cycling

                                                   Dislike            Neutral               Like
                                                                                                          Todd Litman, Victoria Transport Policy Institute
LIVE       LOOK
 LONGER     YOUNGER


  BEAT      BUNS OF
POLLUTION    STEEL
CAPACITY AND
       CAPACITY A
     QUALITY...(A DI
       QUALITY...(A
                                                                 It’s
                                                                 ec
                                                                 th
                                                                 en
                                                                 an
                                                                 co
                                                                 It’s
                                                                 ec
                                                                 W
                                                                 th
                                                                 an
                                                                 en
                                                                 da
                                                                 an
                                                                 no
                                                                 co
         1 Person     1 Person Person
                               9            9 Person Person 24 Perso
                                                  24
                                                                 Th
                Car / bikes / pedestrian / pedestrian comparsion W
                              Car / bikes comparsion
                                                                 of
                                                                 an
                                                                 w
                                                                 da
                                                                 in

£6,689   1 Person
                                £200
                     1 Person Person
                            9            9 Person Person
                                               24
                                                                 no
                                                                 Th
                                                            24 Perso
                                                                 Th
                                                                 ou
                                         Annual running costs for cars versus bikes - RAC & Sustrans


               Car / bikes / pedestrian / pedestrian comparsion
                             Car / bikes comparsion
Catching Up
27%
 % TRIPS BY BIKE
                    19%

                               10%

                                           2%
Holland            Denmark     Germany     UK
 (US$48k)           (US$56k)    (US$41k)   (US$35k)




                                                      EU Statistics
THE ENEMY
THE BRITISH CYCLING ECONOMY                                                                                  SK
                                                                                                                  Y RIDE                                     PARTICIPATION

                                                                                                                                                             £1.3m               • 22,000 daily journeys
                                                                                                                                                                                 • 200,00 Sky Ride

                                                                                                                                                             new                   participants


                                CYCLING ACCESSORIES
                                = £853m PER ANNUM
                                                             1
                                                                        AN EXTRA 12,000
                                                                        MILES OF CYCLE
                                                                                                                                                             cyclists
                                                                        NETWORKS
                                                                                                        208m CYCLE JOURNEYS TAKEN
                                                                                                        ACROSS THE UK IN 2010
                                                          INFRASTRUCTURE
FREQUENT        REGULAR     OCCASIONAL


                                                         200%               Expansion of the
                                                                            National Cycle
                                                                                                    WORK PERFORMANCE
                                                                            Network
                                                                                                    1    Regular Cyclists take 1 less
                                                                                                         sick day than non-cyclists

                                                                                                    • saving the economy £128m a year in
           VALUE TO THE ECONOMY                                                                       reduced absenteeism
                                                                                                    • inactivity costs in the UK = £760m
                                                                                                      per annum
                                                             40% OF HOUSEHOLDS
  £958m            £717m          £801m
                                                                 OWN A BIKE
                                                                                                                                                                  TOTAL ANNUAL
                                                                                                                                                                  COST OF TREATING
                                                                                                                                                                  OBESITY = £4.2b




                                                                                                     GROSS CYCLING                                                       MARKET POTENTIAL
                                                                                                     PRODUCT
                                                           MARKET
                                                                                                     £2.9b = £230                                                        £141m
                                                                                                           per cyclist                                                   = value of 1m additional
 EMPLOYMENT
                                                           3.7m                                                                    annually                              Regular Cyclists over next
                                                                                                                                                                         two years

23,000                                                     bikes sold
Employed directly in cycling                                • 28 per cent increase in
economy generating over £500m                                 volume of cycle sales
                                                            • £51m of which were
in wages and £100m in taxes
                                                              British-built
                                                            • Generating £1.62b

                                                                                                                                         OLYMPICS
                                                                                                                       *
                                                                                                                               *
                                                                                                                                     *
                                                                                               LEISURE AND
                                               PREFERENTIAL TRAFFIC                            RECREATION          *       *             *                           CARBON
                                                                                 COMMUTING                                     *                                     NEUTRAL
                                                     SIGNALS                                                                                        HEALTH
      RISING FUEL COSTS




             MOTIVATIONS FOR CYCLING
1   9   24
GROSS CYCLING
PRODUCT

£2.9b    = £230
         per cyclist
         annually
The Great Turnaround
15

       1952
       14 billion



10




                                         Billions vehicle miles by bike
5
                                                                 2010
                                                                 3 billion




0

1950    1957        1964   1971   1978      1985   1992   1999   2006
                                                                        Depart for Transport

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Cycling manifesto

  • 2. sicko? 1% £95m increase saving for in cycling business Based on TNO Dutch study of employee sick days and levels of cycling
  • 3. The Great Bicycle Economy 150 100 Millions of units produced per year Bicycles 50 Cars 0 1950 1957 1964 1971 1978 1985 1992 1999 2006 Earth Policy Institute
  • 4. Happy Commuters 100% HAPPY CYCLISTS 80% Perception of daily commute, by mode 60% 40% 20% 0% Car only Public only Mixed car & public Walking Cycling Dislike Neutral Like Todd Litman, Victoria Transport Policy Institute
  • 5. LIVE LOOK LONGER YOUNGER BEAT BUNS OF POLLUTION STEEL
  • 6. CAPACITY AND CAPACITY A QUALITY...(A DI QUALITY...(A It’s ec th en an co It’s ec W th an en da an no co 1 Person 1 Person Person 9 9 Person Person 24 Perso 24 Th Car / bikes / pedestrian / pedestrian comparsion W Car / bikes comparsion of an w da in £6,689 1 Person £200 1 Person Person 9 9 Person Person 24 no Th 24 Perso Th ou Annual running costs for cars versus bikes - RAC & Sustrans Car / bikes / pedestrian / pedestrian comparsion Car / bikes comparsion
  • 7. Catching Up 27% % TRIPS BY BIKE 19% 10% 2% Holland Denmark Germany UK (US$48k) (US$56k) (US$41k) (US$35k) EU Statistics
  • 9. THE BRITISH CYCLING ECONOMY SK Y RIDE PARTICIPATION £1.3m • 22,000 daily journeys • 200,00 Sky Ride new participants CYCLING ACCESSORIES = £853m PER ANNUM 1 AN EXTRA 12,000 MILES OF CYCLE cyclists NETWORKS 208m CYCLE JOURNEYS TAKEN ACROSS THE UK IN 2010 INFRASTRUCTURE FREQUENT REGULAR OCCASIONAL 200% Expansion of the National Cycle WORK PERFORMANCE Network 1 Regular Cyclists take 1 less sick day than non-cyclists • saving the economy £128m a year in VALUE TO THE ECONOMY reduced absenteeism • inactivity costs in the UK = £760m per annum 40% OF HOUSEHOLDS £958m £717m £801m OWN A BIKE TOTAL ANNUAL COST OF TREATING OBESITY = £4.2b GROSS CYCLING MARKET POTENTIAL PRODUCT MARKET £2.9b = £230 £141m per cyclist = value of 1m additional EMPLOYMENT 3.7m annually Regular Cyclists over next two years 23,000 bikes sold Employed directly in cycling • 28 per cent increase in economy generating over £500m volume of cycle sales • £51m of which were in wages and £100m in taxes British-built • Generating £1.62b OLYMPICS * * * LEISURE AND PREFERENTIAL TRAFFIC RECREATION * * * CARBON COMMUTING * NEUTRAL SIGNALS HEALTH RISING FUEL COSTS MOTIVATIONS FOR CYCLING
  • 10. 1 9 24
  • 11. GROSS CYCLING PRODUCT £2.9b = £230 per cyclist annually
  • 12. The Great Turnaround 15 1952 14 billion 10 Billions vehicle miles by bike 5 2010 3 billion 0 1950 1957 1964 1971 1978 1985 1992 1999 2006 Depart for Transport