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Credit rating

Functions, origins, benefits,
methodology and regulations
Concept
 It is essentially a symbolic indicator of the
  current opinion of the rating agency
  regarding the relative ability and
  willingness of the issuer of a financial
  instrument (debt) to meet the service
  obligations as and when they arise.
 It reduces the informational asymmetry
  between the investor and the issuing
  company.
Continue.
 It is only an opinion expressed by an
 independent professional organization, on
 the basis of a detailed study of all relevant
 factors, the rating does not amount to any
 recommendation to buy, hold, or sell an
 instruments as it does not take into
 consideration factors such as market
 prices and personal risk preference of the
 investor
Continue..
 It is done for specific debt security and not
  for a company as a whole
 A debt rating is not an one time evaluation
  of the credit risk, which can be regarded
  as valid for the entire life of the security.
Functions
 Superior information
 Low cost  information
 Quick investment decision
 Independent investment decision
 Investor protection
Benefits to rated companies
 Sources of additional certification
 Increase the investor population
 Forewarns risks
 Encourages financial discipline
 Merchant bankers job made easy
 Foreign collaboration made easy
 Benefits the industry as a whole
 Low cost of borrowing
 Rating as a marketing tool
Methodology
Any debt obligation and the issuer is
   evaluated on the basis of :
1. Business risk analysis
 Industry risk
 Market position of the company
 Operating efficiency of the company
 Management evaluation
Continue
1.   Financial risk analysis
    Earnings protection
    Leverage and asset protection
    Cash flow adequacy
    Financial flexibility
    Accounting quality
    Indenture
A .Business risk analysis
    Industry risk
1.    Is the industry in a growth, stable or declining phase?
2.   Is the business cycle independent of economy or it
     moves with economy in general
3.   What is the nature of the competition? Is it regional,
     national, or international?
4.   What is the nature of govt regulation and policies?
5.   What is the labour situation? Is it unionised
6.   Does the industry have good control of key raw
     material
7.   To what extent the industry is fixed capital or working
     capital intensive?
8.   Ease of entry or exit
Market position of the company
The rating company would evaluate a
  company’s sales position in terms of:
Market share
Marketing
Distribution
Strengths and weaknesses
Diversity of products and customer base
Operating efficiency
This is assessed from the operating
margins of the company and its ability to
maintain or improve them based upon
pricing or cost advantages.
Management evaluation
Management is assessed for its role in
determining operational success and also for its
risk tolerance.
A company’s earning performance, financial
structure and business mix are all a function of
management.
Evaluation of management emphasises past
performance, fulfillment of earlier plans and debt
usage policies. It has also concern with the
philosophy, experience, maturity, capability and
depth of management
B. Financial risk analysis
Earning protection can be viewed from
1. Profit potential angle
2. Break even analysis
 the most significant measures of profitability are
1. Return on capital (pre-tax)
2. Profit margin
 Finally the aim is to find out the source of future
    earning growth.
Continue
  Leverage and asset protection
1. Long term debt/total capitalisation
2. Total debt/total capitalisation
The concept of asset protection refers to
    measurement of the relative amount of
    equity supporting the asset base
Cash flow adequacy:
 Earnings may be the best long-term determinant
  of creditworthiness.
 The principal ratio computed is the debt service
  coverage ratio.
Financial flexibility
It is an evaluation of a company’s financing needs,
    plans and alternatives and its flexibility to
    accomplish its financing program under adverse
    condition without damaging creditworthiness
Accounting quality
    The various aspects reviewed in this category
     would include:
1.   Auditor’s qualification
2.   Method of income recognition
3.   Inventory valuation policies
4.   Depreciation policies
5.   Interconnection with subsidiaries
6.   Undervaluation/overvaluation of assets
7.   Off-balance sheet liabilities
Indenture
 Whether the provision of indenture deviate the
  standard practice?
 Whether the indenture allow the company to
  issue other bonds with equal or greater claim on
  the assets of the company?
 Whether creation of sinking fund for redemption
  of principal is stipulated?
 Are bonds senior or subordinated to other
  bonds.
 Is the indenture too restrictive in terms of
  payments of dividends, further borrowings, etc.
Credit rating for advance accounts with fund based
  working capital limits of Rs. 1 cr and above from the
                     banking system

PARAMETERS
1.  financial standing (actual)
      Current ratio
   score
   1.33 and above                            10
   1.25 to 1.32                              08
   1.34 to 1.24                              05
   1.00 to 1.10                              03
    below 1.00                               00
Continue..
D/E ratio
    3.0 and below          10
above 3.00 and upto 4.00    08
Above 4.00 and upto 5.00    05
Above 5.00                   00
Continue
 Sales
 increasing trend
Achievement more than 90%            05
Achievement between 75% and 90%      03
Achievement less than 75%            02
 Tangible net worth
   increasing trend for last 3 yrs   03
    stangant                         01
    decreasing                        00
Continue ..
PARAMETERS                 SCORE
II Information system
a. various statements
  Timely submission         03
    delayed upto 30 days     01
     non submission          00
b.Renewal data
   timely submission        06
 delayed                    03
Non submission              00
Continue..
III financial discipline
 prompt compliance            06
Delayed                       03
Non                            00
Continue..
Credit rating       aggregate score
 AAA                  50 and above
   AA                  40 to 49
    A                   30 to 39
     B                  Below 30
CRISIL RATING SYMBOLS
High investment grade
 AAA-Highest security
 AA-High safety

Investment grade
 A- Adequate safety
 BBB-Moderate safety
Continue..
Speculative grade
 BB-Inadequate safety
 B-High risk
 C-Substantial risk
 D -Default
THANK YOU …..

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212013 14398 f013_credit rating

  • 1. Credit rating Functions, origins, benefits, methodology and regulations
  • 2. Concept  It is essentially a symbolic indicator of the current opinion of the rating agency regarding the relative ability and willingness of the issuer of a financial instrument (debt) to meet the service obligations as and when they arise.  It reduces the informational asymmetry between the investor and the issuing company.
  • 3. Continue.  It is only an opinion expressed by an independent professional organization, on the basis of a detailed study of all relevant factors, the rating does not amount to any recommendation to buy, hold, or sell an instruments as it does not take into consideration factors such as market prices and personal risk preference of the investor
  • 4. Continue..  It is done for specific debt security and not for a company as a whole  A debt rating is not an one time evaluation of the credit risk, which can be regarded as valid for the entire life of the security.
  • 5. Functions  Superior information  Low cost information  Quick investment decision  Independent investment decision  Investor protection
  • 6. Benefits to rated companies  Sources of additional certification  Increase the investor population  Forewarns risks  Encourages financial discipline  Merchant bankers job made easy  Foreign collaboration made easy  Benefits the industry as a whole  Low cost of borrowing  Rating as a marketing tool
  • 7. Methodology Any debt obligation and the issuer is evaluated on the basis of : 1. Business risk analysis  Industry risk  Market position of the company  Operating efficiency of the company  Management evaluation
  • 8. Continue 1. Financial risk analysis  Earnings protection  Leverage and asset protection  Cash flow adequacy  Financial flexibility  Accounting quality  Indenture
  • 9. A .Business risk analysis  Industry risk 1. Is the industry in a growth, stable or declining phase? 2. Is the business cycle independent of economy or it moves with economy in general 3. What is the nature of the competition? Is it regional, national, or international? 4. What is the nature of govt regulation and policies? 5. What is the labour situation? Is it unionised 6. Does the industry have good control of key raw material 7. To what extent the industry is fixed capital or working capital intensive? 8. Ease of entry or exit
  • 10. Market position of the company The rating company would evaluate a company’s sales position in terms of: Market share Marketing Distribution Strengths and weaknesses Diversity of products and customer base
  • 11. Operating efficiency This is assessed from the operating margins of the company and its ability to maintain or improve them based upon pricing or cost advantages.
  • 12. Management evaluation Management is assessed for its role in determining operational success and also for its risk tolerance. A company’s earning performance, financial structure and business mix are all a function of management. Evaluation of management emphasises past performance, fulfillment of earlier plans and debt usage policies. It has also concern with the philosophy, experience, maturity, capability and depth of management
  • 13. B. Financial risk analysis Earning protection can be viewed from 1. Profit potential angle 2. Break even analysis the most significant measures of profitability are 1. Return on capital (pre-tax) 2. Profit margin Finally the aim is to find out the source of future earning growth.
  • 14. Continue Leverage and asset protection 1. Long term debt/total capitalisation 2. Total debt/total capitalisation The concept of asset protection refers to measurement of the relative amount of equity supporting the asset base
  • 15. Cash flow adequacy:  Earnings may be the best long-term determinant of creditworthiness.  The principal ratio computed is the debt service coverage ratio. Financial flexibility It is an evaluation of a company’s financing needs, plans and alternatives and its flexibility to accomplish its financing program under adverse condition without damaging creditworthiness
  • 16. Accounting quality  The various aspects reviewed in this category would include: 1. Auditor’s qualification 2. Method of income recognition 3. Inventory valuation policies 4. Depreciation policies 5. Interconnection with subsidiaries 6. Undervaluation/overvaluation of assets 7. Off-balance sheet liabilities
  • 17. Indenture  Whether the provision of indenture deviate the standard practice?  Whether the indenture allow the company to issue other bonds with equal or greater claim on the assets of the company?  Whether creation of sinking fund for redemption of principal is stipulated?  Are bonds senior or subordinated to other bonds.  Is the indenture too restrictive in terms of payments of dividends, further borrowings, etc.
  • 18. Credit rating for advance accounts with fund based working capital limits of Rs. 1 cr and above from the banking system PARAMETERS 1. financial standing (actual) Current ratio score 1.33 and above 10 1.25 to 1.32 08 1.34 to 1.24 05 1.00 to 1.10 03 below 1.00 00
  • 19. Continue.. D/E ratio 3.0 and below 10 above 3.00 and upto 4.00 08 Above 4.00 and upto 5.00 05 Above 5.00 00
  • 20. Continue  Sales increasing trend Achievement more than 90% 05 Achievement between 75% and 90% 03 Achievement less than 75% 02  Tangible net worth increasing trend for last 3 yrs 03 stangant 01 decreasing 00
  • 21. Continue .. PARAMETERS SCORE II Information system a. various statements Timely submission 03 delayed upto 30 days 01 non submission 00 b.Renewal data timely submission 06 delayed 03 Non submission 00
  • 22. Continue.. III financial discipline prompt compliance 06 Delayed 03 Non 00
  • 23. Continue.. Credit rating aggregate score AAA 50 and above AA 40 to 49 A 30 to 39 B Below 30
  • 24. CRISIL RATING SYMBOLS High investment grade  AAA-Highest security  AA-High safety Investment grade  A- Adequate safety  BBB-Moderate safety
  • 25. Continue.. Speculative grade  BB-Inadequate safety  B-High risk  C-Substantial risk  D -Default