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DR. SWATI SHIKHA
JR(A)
Dept of PSM
RIMS
 Introduction : need and the design of case control
study
 Basic steps
 Estimating the sample size
 To describe measure of association in case control
study and its interpretation
 To discuss potential biases in case control study
2
3
4
 Definition:
“The observational epidemiological study of persons with the
disease (or other outcome variable) of interest and a suitable
control(comparison / reference) group of persons without the
disease”
(Dictionary of epidemiology; 4th edition, John M Last)
 Subtype of analytical observational study
 Also called as - Retrospective study design
- TROHOC study etc
5
population
cases
controls
Exposed
Not exposed
EEExposed
Not exposed
Direction of study
Time
6
 Observational, non experimental
 Explanatory (analytical)
 Both exposure and outcome have occurred before the start of
the study
 Proceeds backward from outcome(effect) to exposure (cause)
i.e Retrospective
 It uses a control or a comparison group to support or refute an
inference
7
 Disease Perspective
 The disease is rare
 The disease has a long
incubation and latent period
 Data on exposure is
meager or expensive to
obtain
 The study population is
dynamic
 The risk factors for the
disease is not known
 Researcher perspective
 Limited resources in terms
of material and time.
 Investigating multiple risk
factors
8
 Research question- based on PECO
 Methods – objectives and sample size
 Selection of cases and controls
 Matching
 Ascertainment of exposure
 Analysis and interpretation
9
10
 Clear case definition for accurate classification of diseased
and non-diseased
 Cases comprise all (or a representative sample of) members
of a defined population who develop a given health outcome
during a given period of time.
 Efficient and accurate sources should be used to identify cases
 Incident cases are preferable to prevalent cases
 Sources of cases:
Hospital, disease registries, Special surveys etc .
11
 Most important step
 The guiding principle for valid selection of cases and
controls is that they represent the same base population
 Controls must be sampled independently of exposure
status
 Sources
Population controls
Hospital or clinic controls
Dead controls
Friend, spouse and relative controls (case nominate)
Neighborhood controls
12
 At least 1 control for each case.
 Can select 2 /3/ 4 … 100 controls per case: BUT
More Controls, More Resources
 Do not gain much statistical power if more that 4
Controls per case are enrolled
 Multiple controls a) Same type
b) Different type
13
14
 Arises when cases and control may not be representative of
cases and control in the general population.
 There may be systematic differences in the characteristic of
cases and control
 Types:
• Berkson’s Paradox
• Neyman Fallacy
• Selective Referral
• Detection Bias
• Non-Response
• Length of Hospital Stay Bias
• Survival Bias
15
16
 A type of selection bias which arises when the samples are not
taken from the general population but from sub population,
eg: hospital.
 Hospital samples may exhibit spurious associations between
two variables, even though these variables are independently
distributed in the general population.
 eg: medication-diseases associations Laxative use and
arthritic disease
OR (General Population): 1.48
OR (Hospital Sample): 5.00
17
18
19
 A selection bias where the very sick or very well (or both) are
erroneously excluded from a study.
 Excluding patients who have died will make conditions look
less severe.
 Excluding patients who have recovered will make conditions
look more severe.
 also called prevalence-incidence bias, selective survival bias
20
 If cases within the population are differentially reported to
study hospital.
 Tertiary Care Hospital: Complicated/Severe D Which may
differ etiologically from other cases.
21
 A situation in which an association between an
exposure and an outcome is entirely or partially due
to another exposure which is called confounder
 Must be associated with exposure of interest
 Must be a risk factor for outcome of interest
 Must not be on the causal pathway
 Confounding masks the true effect of a risk factor on
a disease or outcome due to the presence of another
variable
22
23
Confounder
(Smoking)
Exposure of
interest
( Drinking
coffee)
Outcome of
interest
(Carcinoma
pancreas)
During study design:
 Randomisation
 Restriction
 Matching
During analysis:
 Stratification
 Standardization
24
 Cases and controls might differ in the characteristic or exposure
other than the one that is targeted for the study
 Purpose: To adjust - effects of relevant confounders
 Involves only those variables which improve statistical efficiency or
eliminate bias from the effect of interest.
 Matching is of two types:
(a) group matching
(b) individual matching
 Unplanned matching
25
Matching of variables other than those which we are
sure are not risk factors for the disease of interest
either in a planned manner or inadvertent manner is
called overmatching.
26
 Standardized methods should be used:
by Interview by review
Questionnaire records, biomarkers
 Methods should be applied similarly in both case and control
groups
 Selection on particular source depends on availability,
accuracy, logistics and cost
 Accuracy is a particular concern in case-control study
27
 Occurs when the means for obtaining information about the
subject in the study are inadequate so that as a result some of
the information gathered regarding exposure or disease
outcome is incorrect.
 Types:
- Interviewers bias
- Surveillance bias
- Recall bias ( main problem in case control study)
- Reporting bias
28
 When interviewer knows the hypothesis and also
knows who the cases are. Eg: OCP consumption
leads to breast carcinoma.
 Check on this type of bias can be made by noting the
time of interview of cases and control.
 Eliminated by double blinding.
29
 A non random type of information bias
 Refers to the idea : the more you look, the more you find.
eg: DVT reported after trauma.
REPORTING BIAS
 Reporting bias is defined as "selective revealing or
suppression of information" by subjects (for example about
past medical history, smoking etc)
30
 Also called as memory bias
Eg: A study to find out whether maternal infection
during pregnancy leads to congenital malformation in
the neonate.
 Cases can better recall the past history as compared
to controls
 Called as rumination bias by “Ernst Wynder”
 Eliminated by : prospective studies
31
 Compare rates of exposure across cases and
controls i.e Proportion exposed rates among cases
and controls
 Measure of Associations
- Odds Ratio and confidence interval
32
a b
c d
33
Cases [CHD]
(with disease)
Controls[no CHD]
(without disease)
Exposed
[Smokers]
Not Exposed
[Non Smokers]
a + c b + dTotals
Proportions Exposed a / a+c b / b+d
Exposure Diseased Non diseased Total
Yes a b a + b
No c d c + d
Total a + c b + d a + b + c + d
34
 Odds that cases were exposed = a/c
Odds that controls were exposed = b/d
= Odds that cases were exposed
Odds that controls were exposed
= a/c
b/d
= a * d
b * c
Odds ratio is a measure of strength of association.
35
 OR = 1 Exposure is not related to the
disease
 OR >1 Exposure is positively related to the
disease i.e causal to disease
 OR <1 Exposure is negatively related to the
disease i.e protective to the disease
36
 95% CI value is taken.
 An odds ratio of 5.2 with a confidence interval of 3.2 to 7.2
suggests that there is a 95% probability that the true odds
ratio would be likely to lie in the range 3.2-7.2 assuming
there is no bias or confounding.
 Odds ratio should ideally be given with limits of confidence
interval.
37
Research Question:
Whether there is an association between coffee
drinking and occurence of pancreatic carcinoma??
38
exposure Cases
(pancreatic
carcinoma)
Controls
(healthy
individuals)
total
Coffee drinking
+
90 20 110
Coffee drinking
-
10 80 90
total 100 100 200
Research Question:
Whether there is any association between the
development of lung cancer and history of uranium
exposure through mining??
39
Exposure Cases
(lung cancer
pts.)
Controls
(Healthy
individuals)
Total
Uranium mining
+
23 0 23
Uranium mining
-
9 64 73
Total 32 64 96
ADVANTAGES
 Can obtain findings quickly
 Can often be undertaken
with minimal funding
 Efficient for rare diseases
 Can study multiple
exposures
 Generally requires few
study subjects
DISADVANTAGES
 Inefficient for rare exposure
 Subject to bias
 Difficult if record keeping
is either inadequate or
unreliable
 Selection of controls can be
difficult
 Difficult to ascertain
temporal relationship
40
 Evaluating Vaccine Effectiveness
 Evaluations of Treatment & Program
 Efficacy
 Evaluation of Screening
 Outbreak Investigations
 Indirect Estimation in Demography
 Genetic Epidemiology
 Occupational Health Research
 Predictive Modeling
41
 Study material from workshop on advanced
epidemiology – NIMHANS
 Epidemiology – Leon Gordis, 5th edition
 Parks textbook of Preventive and Social Medicine,
24th edition
42
43

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Case control study

  • 2.  Introduction : need and the design of case control study  Basic steps  Estimating the sample size  To describe measure of association in case control study and its interpretation  To discuss potential biases in case control study 2
  • 3. 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5.  Definition: “The observational epidemiological study of persons with the disease (or other outcome variable) of interest and a suitable control(comparison / reference) group of persons without the disease” (Dictionary of epidemiology; 4th edition, John M Last)  Subtype of analytical observational study  Also called as - Retrospective study design - TROHOC study etc 5
  • 7.  Observational, non experimental  Explanatory (analytical)  Both exposure and outcome have occurred before the start of the study  Proceeds backward from outcome(effect) to exposure (cause) i.e Retrospective  It uses a control or a comparison group to support or refute an inference 7
  • 8.  Disease Perspective  The disease is rare  The disease has a long incubation and latent period  Data on exposure is meager or expensive to obtain  The study population is dynamic  The risk factors for the disease is not known  Researcher perspective  Limited resources in terms of material and time.  Investigating multiple risk factors 8
  • 9.  Research question- based on PECO  Methods – objectives and sample size  Selection of cases and controls  Matching  Ascertainment of exposure  Analysis and interpretation 9
  • 10. 10
  • 11.  Clear case definition for accurate classification of diseased and non-diseased  Cases comprise all (or a representative sample of) members of a defined population who develop a given health outcome during a given period of time.  Efficient and accurate sources should be used to identify cases  Incident cases are preferable to prevalent cases  Sources of cases: Hospital, disease registries, Special surveys etc . 11
  • 12.  Most important step  The guiding principle for valid selection of cases and controls is that they represent the same base population  Controls must be sampled independently of exposure status  Sources Population controls Hospital or clinic controls Dead controls Friend, spouse and relative controls (case nominate) Neighborhood controls 12
  • 13.  At least 1 control for each case.  Can select 2 /3/ 4 … 100 controls per case: BUT More Controls, More Resources  Do not gain much statistical power if more that 4 Controls per case are enrolled  Multiple controls a) Same type b) Different type 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15.  Arises when cases and control may not be representative of cases and control in the general population.  There may be systematic differences in the characteristic of cases and control  Types: • Berkson’s Paradox • Neyman Fallacy • Selective Referral • Detection Bias • Non-Response • Length of Hospital Stay Bias • Survival Bias 15
  • 16. 16
  • 17.  A type of selection bias which arises when the samples are not taken from the general population but from sub population, eg: hospital.  Hospital samples may exhibit spurious associations between two variables, even though these variables are independently distributed in the general population.  eg: medication-diseases associations Laxative use and arthritic disease OR (General Population): 1.48 OR (Hospital Sample): 5.00 17
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 19
  • 20.  A selection bias where the very sick or very well (or both) are erroneously excluded from a study.  Excluding patients who have died will make conditions look less severe.  Excluding patients who have recovered will make conditions look more severe.  also called prevalence-incidence bias, selective survival bias 20
  • 21.  If cases within the population are differentially reported to study hospital.  Tertiary Care Hospital: Complicated/Severe D Which may differ etiologically from other cases. 21
  • 22.  A situation in which an association between an exposure and an outcome is entirely or partially due to another exposure which is called confounder  Must be associated with exposure of interest  Must be a risk factor for outcome of interest  Must not be on the causal pathway  Confounding masks the true effect of a risk factor on a disease or outcome due to the presence of another variable 22
  • 24. During study design:  Randomisation  Restriction  Matching During analysis:  Stratification  Standardization 24
  • 25.  Cases and controls might differ in the characteristic or exposure other than the one that is targeted for the study  Purpose: To adjust - effects of relevant confounders  Involves only those variables which improve statistical efficiency or eliminate bias from the effect of interest.  Matching is of two types: (a) group matching (b) individual matching  Unplanned matching 25
  • 26. Matching of variables other than those which we are sure are not risk factors for the disease of interest either in a planned manner or inadvertent manner is called overmatching. 26
  • 27.  Standardized methods should be used: by Interview by review Questionnaire records, biomarkers  Methods should be applied similarly in both case and control groups  Selection on particular source depends on availability, accuracy, logistics and cost  Accuracy is a particular concern in case-control study 27
  • 28.  Occurs when the means for obtaining information about the subject in the study are inadequate so that as a result some of the information gathered regarding exposure or disease outcome is incorrect.  Types: - Interviewers bias - Surveillance bias - Recall bias ( main problem in case control study) - Reporting bias 28
  • 29.  When interviewer knows the hypothesis and also knows who the cases are. Eg: OCP consumption leads to breast carcinoma.  Check on this type of bias can be made by noting the time of interview of cases and control.  Eliminated by double blinding. 29
  • 30.  A non random type of information bias  Refers to the idea : the more you look, the more you find. eg: DVT reported after trauma. REPORTING BIAS  Reporting bias is defined as "selective revealing or suppression of information" by subjects (for example about past medical history, smoking etc) 30
  • 31.  Also called as memory bias Eg: A study to find out whether maternal infection during pregnancy leads to congenital malformation in the neonate.  Cases can better recall the past history as compared to controls  Called as rumination bias by “Ernst Wynder”  Eliminated by : prospective studies 31
  • 32.  Compare rates of exposure across cases and controls i.e Proportion exposed rates among cases and controls  Measure of Associations - Odds Ratio and confidence interval 32
  • 33. a b c d 33 Cases [CHD] (with disease) Controls[no CHD] (without disease) Exposed [Smokers] Not Exposed [Non Smokers] a + c b + dTotals Proportions Exposed a / a+c b / b+d
  • 34. Exposure Diseased Non diseased Total Yes a b a + b No c d c + d Total a + c b + d a + b + c + d 34  Odds that cases were exposed = a/c Odds that controls were exposed = b/d
  • 35. = Odds that cases were exposed Odds that controls were exposed = a/c b/d = a * d b * c Odds ratio is a measure of strength of association. 35
  • 36.  OR = 1 Exposure is not related to the disease  OR >1 Exposure is positively related to the disease i.e causal to disease  OR <1 Exposure is negatively related to the disease i.e protective to the disease 36
  • 37.  95% CI value is taken.  An odds ratio of 5.2 with a confidence interval of 3.2 to 7.2 suggests that there is a 95% probability that the true odds ratio would be likely to lie in the range 3.2-7.2 assuming there is no bias or confounding.  Odds ratio should ideally be given with limits of confidence interval. 37
  • 38. Research Question: Whether there is an association between coffee drinking and occurence of pancreatic carcinoma?? 38 exposure Cases (pancreatic carcinoma) Controls (healthy individuals) total Coffee drinking + 90 20 110 Coffee drinking - 10 80 90 total 100 100 200
  • 39. Research Question: Whether there is any association between the development of lung cancer and history of uranium exposure through mining?? 39 Exposure Cases (lung cancer pts.) Controls (Healthy individuals) Total Uranium mining + 23 0 23 Uranium mining - 9 64 73 Total 32 64 96
  • 40. ADVANTAGES  Can obtain findings quickly  Can often be undertaken with minimal funding  Efficient for rare diseases  Can study multiple exposures  Generally requires few study subjects DISADVANTAGES  Inefficient for rare exposure  Subject to bias  Difficult if record keeping is either inadequate or unreliable  Selection of controls can be difficult  Difficult to ascertain temporal relationship 40
  • 41.  Evaluating Vaccine Effectiveness  Evaluations of Treatment & Program  Efficacy  Evaluation of Screening  Outbreak Investigations  Indirect Estimation in Demography  Genetic Epidemiology  Occupational Health Research  Predictive Modeling 41
  • 42.  Study material from workshop on advanced epidemiology – NIMHANS  Epidemiology – Leon Gordis, 5th edition  Parks textbook of Preventive and Social Medicine, 24th edition 42
  • 43. 43