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CITY REPORT
DELHI OFFICE MARKET
              Q4 2010
BNP Paribas Real Estate - INDIA
                                           All the building blocks




                                                                                                                                                    BNP Paribas Real Estate - SAS au capital de 329 196 608 € - 692 012 180 RCS Paris - Code NAF 4110B - Siège social : 13, boulevard du Fort de Vaux - 75017 Paris




                                                                                                              www.realestate.bnpparibas.co.in




In India our specialists bring you our expertise in Transaction Advisory, Consulting and Land and Building Valuations.
With our international scope and on-the-ground presence, you’ll find the perfect partner that can ensure the success of your real estate project.
With BNP Paribas Real Estate, all the pieces come together.


                                    BNP Paribas Real Estate and Infrastructure Advisory Services Pvt. Ltd
         Your contacts in India: Mumbai (Head Office) : +91 22 6138 8088 - Delhi : +91 11 4959 8800 - Bangalore : +91 80 4030 0334
                                                          info.india@bnpparibas.com
CONTENTS
Summary                                               p. 4

Macroeconomic Context                                 p. 5

Delhi Map                                             p. 6

Central Business District (CBD)                       p. 7

Alternate Central Business District (Alternate CBD)   p. 8

Secondary Business District (SBD)                     p. 9

Periphery Business District (PBD)                     p. 10

Rental Values                                         p. 11

Capital Values                                        p. 12

Key Transactions                                      p. 13

Key Projects                                          p. 14

Glossary                                              p. 15




        CITY REPORT
        DELHI OFFICE MARKET - Q4 2010
SUMMARY


Property Price Stability
The year 2010 has been the year of real estate recovery   During Q4 2010, approximately 1.5 mn sq ft of office
and stability for the NCR region. In comparison to the    space was transacted in the NCR region, with majority
last quarter, the achievable values have marginally       of the space being leased by IT/ITES companies. Office
improved in the CBD areas such as Connaught Place.        vacancies in NCR region stabilized to around 30%,
This can be largely attributed to the active demand       which is a marginal decline from Q3 2010 vacancy
from Banking and Financial Services coupled with the      levels owing to substantial availability of investment
absence of new supply within the CBD areas. The           grade office space in Gurgaon and Noida micro-
absence of new supply in turn has increased the           markets.
demand for Grade B buildings within this micro-
                                                          There has been growing interest from financial
market, which are now being refurbished to meet the
                                                          institutions and private equity funds to invest in ready
growing demand from this sector. On the other hand,
                                                          commercial premises especially in Gurgaon and Noida.
the peripheral locations like Gurgaon and Noida
                                                          It is expected that some large ticket purchase
showed stability in real estate prices supported by a
                                                          transaction may happen in the next 3-6 months.
growing demand from the IT/ITES sector.
                                                          It is expected that 2-3 large ticket transactions will
                                                          culminate in the leasing business in periphery district
                                                          of Gurgaon and Noida. However, the leasing values and
                                                          capital values are not expected to change.




                             CITY REPORT
                             DELHI OFFICE MARKET - Q4 2010                                                     I4I
CRR & SLR                                                                                                                                                         MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT
      35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             GDP growth moderates on account of unanticipated
      30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             factors
      25
Percent




      20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             The Indian economy, continued on the high growth path in 2010-11 despite
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             an uncertain global environment. Though the overall global outlook
      15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             suggested some moderation in growth in both advanced and emerging
      10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     economies in 2011, downside risks to India's growth momentum have
          5                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  receded considerably. However, the GDP grew moderately at 8.2 % during the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             quarter as compared to 8.8% during the previous two quarters. Significant
          0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             slowdown in the industrial sector along with marginal downward
               Jan-09
              Feb-09
              Mar-09
               Apr-09
              May-09
               Jun-09
                Jul-09
              Aug-09
              Sep-09
               Oct-09
              Nov-09
              Dec-09
               Jan-10
              Feb-10
              Mar-10
              Apr-10
              May-10
               Jun-10
                Jul-10
              Aug-10
              Sep-10
               Oct-10
              Nov-10
              Dec-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             movement in the services sector were primary factors that led to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             moderation in the GDP growth, despite of sharp increase in agricultural
                           SLR                                                        CRR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             growth.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Modest softening of manufactured products price and pressures aided by
                                       Repo & Reverse Repo Rate                                                                                                                                                                                              past monetary tightening by RBI, led to moderation in Wholesale Price Index
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (WPI) during August-November 2010 relative to double digit levels of 11%
          7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             experienced during March-July 2010. However, inflationary pressures
          6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             revived in December 2010 with WPI inflation increasing to 8.4 percent from
          5                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  7.5 per cent in November 2010. These were attributed to unanticipated
Percent




          4                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  factors such as unseasonal showers and supply chain factors affecting the
          3                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  prices of essential commodities such as vegetables. New drivers such as
          2                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Fuel and non-fuel international commodity prices and demand-supply
          1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             imbalances in some food items emerged as factors impacting the inflation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             rates.
          0
               23-Jul-09
                           23-Aug-09
                                       23-Sep-09
                                                     24-Oct-09
                                                                  24-Nov-09
                                                                              25-Dec-09
                                                                                           25-Jan-10
                                                                                                       25-Feb-10
                                                                                                                   19-Mar-10
                                                                                                                               20-Apr-10
                                                                                                                                            20-May-10
                                                                                                                                                          20-Jun-10
                                                                                                                                                                       2-Jul-10
                                                                                                                                                                                    27-Jul-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                  20-Aug-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                              16-Sep-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2-Nov-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Liquidity conditions remained tight during the third quarter of 2010-11,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             prompting liquidity easing measures being adopted by the Reserve Bank.
                           Repo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Under the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF), the RBI increased the repo rate
                                                                 Reverse Repo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             by 25 basis points from 6.0% to 6.25% and hiked the reverse repo rate by 25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             basis points from 5.0% to 5.25%. Conditions for enhancing the efficiency of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             monetary policy however, improved during the quarter with the tightness in
                                                     Gross Domestic Product (GDP)                                                                                                                                                                            liquidity leading to competition among banks, resulting in higher deposit
      10.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               8.80%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             and lending rates.
          9.00                                                                                                                                                                       8.60%
                                         8.80%
                                                                                                                                                 7.90%
          8.00                                                           7.60%
                                                                                                                                                                                                              8.80%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               8.20%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Supported by a stable economy, India continued to be high on Global
                                                   7.90%
          7.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Investment radar. According to The World Prospectus Survey by the United
                                                                                                        5.80%                                                                                                                                                Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), in spite of a dip in
Percent




          6.00                                                                                                                 6.10%                                   6%
          5.00                                                                            5.30%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             the FDI Inflows, India continues to be the second best attractive destination
          4.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               for FDI after China. India witnessed a total FDI inflow of USD 16,039 million
          3.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               dollars (as on Dec 2010) followed by Singapore and USA at third and fourth
          2.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             places.
          1.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Overall, robust and broad – based growth is expected to co-exist with
          0.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               elevated inflation in the near term.
                              Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4         Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
                             2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Major Real Estate      Sales (In INR / In million)    Profits (In INR / In million)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Companies in                              Q on Q                          Q on Q
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    India         Q4 2010   Q3 2010              Q4 2010    Q3 2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Change %                        Change %
                                                   Wholesale Price Index (WPI)                                                                                                                                                                                DLF Limited         24,799     23,690         5%     4,657      4,184        11%
          18.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Unitech              6,598      6,445         2%     1,113      1,740        -36%
          16.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               India Bulls          5,962      5,414        10%     2,025      1,727        17%
          14.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Sobha Developers     3,629      4,257       -15%     490         589         -17%
          12.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Peninsula Land       1,178      1,226        -4%     621         638          -3%
Percent




          10.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Parsvnath
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2,198      1,955        12%     314         498         -37%
              8.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Developers
              6.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Pheonix              451         443          2%     238         221          7%
              4.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Omaxe Limited        3,480      3,544        -2%     226         367         -39%
              2.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mahindra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1,558       890         75%     334         247         36%
              0.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Lifespace
                                                                                                                                                              Mar-09
                                                                                                                                                                           Jun-09
                                                                                                                                                                                        Sept-09
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Dec-09
                                                     Mar-07
                                                                  Jun-07
                                                                              Sept-07
                                                                                            Dec-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Mar-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jun-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sept-10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Dec-10
                           Sept-06
                                       Dec-06




                                                                                                         Mar-08
                                                                                                                     Jun-08
                                                                                                                                  Sept-08
                                                                                                                                                 Dec-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Anantraj               2        1.329       -100%    502        480           5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Ackruti City         2,123      1,624        31%     678         557         31%
                             Source: Confederation of Indian Industries                                                                                                                                                                                       Ansal Properties     3,378      3,197         6%     324         199         63%




                                                                                                                                                 CITY REPORT
                                                                                                                                                 DELHI OFFICE MARKET - Q4 2010                                                                                                                                                              I5I
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010
City Report   Delhi Office Market   Q4 2010

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City Report Delhi Office Market Q4 2010

  • 1. CITY REPORT DELHI OFFICE MARKET Q4 2010
  • 2. BNP Paribas Real Estate - INDIA All the building blocks BNP Paribas Real Estate - SAS au capital de 329 196 608 € - 692 012 180 RCS Paris - Code NAF 4110B - Siège social : 13, boulevard du Fort de Vaux - 75017 Paris www.realestate.bnpparibas.co.in In India our specialists bring you our expertise in Transaction Advisory, Consulting and Land and Building Valuations. With our international scope and on-the-ground presence, you’ll find the perfect partner that can ensure the success of your real estate project. With BNP Paribas Real Estate, all the pieces come together. BNP Paribas Real Estate and Infrastructure Advisory Services Pvt. Ltd Your contacts in India: Mumbai (Head Office) : +91 22 6138 8088 - Delhi : +91 11 4959 8800 - Bangalore : +91 80 4030 0334 info.india@bnpparibas.com
  • 3. CONTENTS Summary p. 4 Macroeconomic Context p. 5 Delhi Map p. 6 Central Business District (CBD) p. 7 Alternate Central Business District (Alternate CBD) p. 8 Secondary Business District (SBD) p. 9 Periphery Business District (PBD) p. 10 Rental Values p. 11 Capital Values p. 12 Key Transactions p. 13 Key Projects p. 14 Glossary p. 15 CITY REPORT DELHI OFFICE MARKET - Q4 2010
  • 4. SUMMARY Property Price Stability The year 2010 has been the year of real estate recovery During Q4 2010, approximately 1.5 mn sq ft of office and stability for the NCR region. In comparison to the space was transacted in the NCR region, with majority last quarter, the achievable values have marginally of the space being leased by IT/ITES companies. Office improved in the CBD areas such as Connaught Place. vacancies in NCR region stabilized to around 30%, This can be largely attributed to the active demand which is a marginal decline from Q3 2010 vacancy from Banking and Financial Services coupled with the levels owing to substantial availability of investment absence of new supply within the CBD areas. The grade office space in Gurgaon and Noida micro- absence of new supply in turn has increased the markets. demand for Grade B buildings within this micro- There has been growing interest from financial market, which are now being refurbished to meet the institutions and private equity funds to invest in ready growing demand from this sector. On the other hand, commercial premises especially in Gurgaon and Noida. the peripheral locations like Gurgaon and Noida It is expected that some large ticket purchase showed stability in real estate prices supported by a transaction may happen in the next 3-6 months. growing demand from the IT/ITES sector. It is expected that 2-3 large ticket transactions will culminate in the leasing business in periphery district of Gurgaon and Noida. However, the leasing values and capital values are not expected to change. CITY REPORT DELHI OFFICE MARKET - Q4 2010 I4I
  • 5. CRR & SLR MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT 35 GDP growth moderates on account of unanticipated 30 factors 25 Percent 20 The Indian economy, continued on the high growth path in 2010-11 despite an uncertain global environment. Though the overall global outlook 15 suggested some moderation in growth in both advanced and emerging 10 economies in 2011, downside risks to India's growth momentum have 5 receded considerably. However, the GDP grew moderately at 8.2 % during the quarter as compared to 8.8% during the previous two quarters. Significant 0 slowdown in the industrial sector along with marginal downward Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 movement in the services sector were primary factors that led to moderation in the GDP growth, despite of sharp increase in agricultural SLR CRR growth. Modest softening of manufactured products price and pressures aided by Repo & Reverse Repo Rate past monetary tightening by RBI, led to moderation in Wholesale Price Index (WPI) during August-November 2010 relative to double digit levels of 11% 7 experienced during March-July 2010. However, inflationary pressures 6 revived in December 2010 with WPI inflation increasing to 8.4 percent from 5 7.5 per cent in November 2010. These were attributed to unanticipated Percent 4 factors such as unseasonal showers and supply chain factors affecting the 3 prices of essential commodities such as vegetables. New drivers such as 2 Fuel and non-fuel international commodity prices and demand-supply 1 imbalances in some food items emerged as factors impacting the inflation rates. 0 23-Jul-09 23-Aug-09 23-Sep-09 24-Oct-09 24-Nov-09 25-Dec-09 25-Jan-10 25-Feb-10 19-Mar-10 20-Apr-10 20-May-10 20-Jun-10 2-Jul-10 27-Jul-10 20-Aug-10 16-Sep-10 2-Nov-10 Liquidity conditions remained tight during the third quarter of 2010-11, prompting liquidity easing measures being adopted by the Reserve Bank. Repo Under the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF), the RBI increased the repo rate Reverse Repo by 25 basis points from 6.0% to 6.25% and hiked the reverse repo rate by 25 basis points from 5.0% to 5.25%. Conditions for enhancing the efficiency of monetary policy however, improved during the quarter with the tightness in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) liquidity leading to competition among banks, resulting in higher deposit 10.00 8.80% and lending rates. 9.00 8.60% 8.80% 7.90% 8.00 7.60% 8.80% 8.20% Supported by a stable economy, India continued to be high on Global 7.90% 7.00 Investment radar. According to The World Prospectus Survey by the United 5.80% Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), in spite of a dip in Percent 6.00 6.10% 6% 5.00 5.30% the FDI Inflows, India continues to be the second best attractive destination 4.00 for FDI after China. India witnessed a total FDI inflow of USD 16,039 million 3.00 dollars (as on Dec 2010) followed by Singapore and USA at third and fourth 2.00 places. 1.00 Overall, robust and broad – based growth is expected to co-exist with 0.00 elevated inflation in the near term. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 Major Real Estate Sales (In INR / In million) Profits (In INR / In million) Companies in Q on Q Q on Q India Q4 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q3 2010 Change % Change % Wholesale Price Index (WPI) DLF Limited 24,799 23,690 5% 4,657 4,184 11% 18.00 Unitech 6,598 6,445 2% 1,113 1,740 -36% 16.00 India Bulls 5,962 5,414 10% 2,025 1,727 17% 14.00 Sobha Developers 3,629 4,257 -15% 490 589 -17% 12.00 Peninsula Land 1,178 1,226 -4% 621 638 -3% Percent 10.00 Parsvnath 2,198 1,955 12% 314 498 -37% 8.00 Developers 6.00 Pheonix 451 443 2% 238 221 7% 4.00 Omaxe Limited 3,480 3,544 -2% 226 367 -39% 2.00 Mahindra 1,558 890 75% 334 247 36% 0.00 Lifespace Mar-09 Jun-09 Sept-09 Dec-09 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sept-07 Dec-07 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sept-10 Dec-10 Sept-06 Dec-06 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sept-08 Dec-08 Anantraj 2 1.329 -100% 502 480 5% Ackruti City 2,123 1,624 31% 678 557 31% Source: Confederation of Indian Industries Ansal Properties 3,378 3,197 6% 324 199 63% CITY REPORT DELHI OFFICE MARKET - Q4 2010 I5I