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The Asian Future Lab
Digital Disruption
Anders Sorman-Nilsson (LLB MBA) is
the founder of Thinque - a strategy
think tank that helps executives and
leaders convert disruptive questions
into proactive, future strategies.

As an Australian-Swedish futurist
and innovation strategist he has
helped executives and leaders on 4
continents map, prepare for, and
strategise for foreseeable and
unpredictable futures.

www.thinquetank.com
Demographic Dividend
Life Expectancy




                       Income Per Person
Demographic Dividend
Life Expectancy




                       Income Per Person
Affluence Continues to Increase in APAC




China     India   Indonesia   Malaysia   Philippines   Signapore         Taiwan       Thailand       Vietnam


                                                                   * World Income Distribution Report (Euromonitor)
Affluence Continues to Increase in APAC
    3




 2.25




  1.5




 0.75




    0
                  1990                        2000                                2007

China     India   Indonesia   Malaysia   Philippines   Signapore         Taiwan          Thailand    Vietnam


                                                                   * World Income Distribution Report (Euromonitor)
Affluence Continues to Increase in APAC
    3

                                               0.32                               0.32
                  0.26

 2.25             0.34                         0.34                               0.34

                  0.23                         0.23                               0.23
                  0.31                         0.3                                 0.3
  1.5
                  0.38                         0.39                               0.39


                  0.33                         0.33                               0.33

 0.75             0.28                         0.21                               0.21
                                               0.27                               0.27
                  0.24

                  0.27                         0.31                               0.31
    0
                  1990                        2000                                2007

China     India   Indonesia   Malaysia   Philippines   Signapore         Taiwan          Thailand    Vietnam


                                                                   * World Income Distribution Report (Euromonitor)
Future Urbanization Trends in Asian Countries




     2000   Trend 1   2010   Trend 2   2020   Trend 3   2030      Trend 4
                                                          * Population Division of DESA of UN
Future Urbanization Trends in Asian Countries
  0.9




0.675




 0.45




0.225




   0
        India         Indonesia      Pakistan      Bangladesh           Korea
        2000    Trend 1   2010    Trend 2   2020   Trend 3   2030       Trend 4
                                                                * Population Division of DESA of UN
Future Urbanization Trends in Asian Countries
  0.9




0.675




 0.45                                                                                                         86.3%
                                                                                            79.6%
                                             68.9%

                                                                49.8%
0.225                   40.6%   42%                                                 41%
                                                     33.2%
        27.7%
                                                                        23.6%


   0
                India             Indonesia              Pakistan        Bangladesh                 Korea
                2000       Trend 1    2010           Trend 2   2020       Trend 3   2030            Trend 4
                                                                                          * Population Division of DESA of UN
Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases


            1990                              2020




Chronic Disease    Other Diseases    Injury               * WHO, 2012
Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases


            1990                              2020




Chronic Disease    Other Diseases    Injury               * WHO, 2012
Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases


            1990                                2020




                  Chronic
                  Disease




Chronic Disease       Other Diseases   Injury             * WHO, 2012
Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases


            1990                                2020




                  Chronic
                  Disease




Chronic Disease       Other Diseases   Injury             * WHO, 2012
Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases


            1990                                2020




                  Chronic
                  Disease




Chronic Disease       Other Diseases   Injury             * WHO, 2012
Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases


            1990                                2020




                  Chronic                          Chronic
                  Disease                          Disease



Chronic Disease       Other Diseases   Injury             * WHO, 2012
APAC HC Expenditure to Increase 151% by 2020
Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier




           APAC         Rest of World
                         * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier
 2000




 1500




 1000




  500




    0
        2011   2012   2013   2014              2015


               APAC          Rest of World
                                * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier
 2000




 1500




 1000
                                                                CAGR: 4.3%

  500




    0
        2011   2012   2013   2014              2015


               APAC          Rest of World
                                * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier
 2000




 1500




 1000
                                                                CAGR: 4.3%

  500


                                                                CAGR: 12.1%
    0
        2011   2012   2013   2014              2015


               APAC          Rest of World
                                * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier
 2000




 1500




 1000
                                                                CAGR: 4.3%

  500


                                                                CAGR: 12.1%
    0
        2011   2012   2013   2014              2015


               APAC          Rest of World
                                * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
Soft Drink
Sales in 2011
Soft Drink
Sales in 2011
Soft Drink
Sales in 2011
Soft Drink
Sales in 2011
Soft Drink
   Sales in 2011




    Sugar is
on the Rise!
Packaged Food Sales on the Increase in Asia
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030

China

USA

India

Japan

                               *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030

China

USA

India

Japan
        0   0.03    0.06    0.09                0.12


                                   *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China

USA

India

Japan
        0   0.03          0.06   0.09                0.12


                                        *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%




USA

India

Japan
        0   0.03               0.06   0.09                0.12


                                             *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%


                                             10.2%

USA

India

Japan
        0   0.03               0.06   0.09                    0.12


                                                 *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%


                                             10.2%

USA                                                          12%




India

Japan
        0   0.03               0.06   0.09                    0.12


                                                 *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%


                                                  10.2%

USA                                                               12%


                                      7%

India

Japan
        0   0.03               0.06        0.09                    0.12


                                                      *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%


                                                    10.2%

USA                                                                 12%


                                      7%

India                                        9.5%




Japan
        0   0.03               0.06        0.09                      0.12


                                                        *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%


                                                    10.2%

USA                                                                 12%


                                      7%

India                                        9.5%




Japan                     5%




        0   0.03               0.06        0.09                      0.12


                                                        *International Diabetes Federation
Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030
                   4.2%

China                     5%


                                                       10.2%

USA                                                                    12%


                                         7%

India                                           9.5%




Japan                     5%


                               5.9%

        0   0.03                  0.06        0.09                      0.12


                                                           *International Diabetes Federation
Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016




   Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast   * Marketline
Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016

 320




 240




 160




  80




   0
          2011        2012         2013        2014   2015   2016

       Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast                    * Marketline
Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016

 320




 240




 160




  80




   0
          2011        2012         2013        2014   2015   2016

       Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast                    * Marketline
Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016
       42.9% growth from 2011
 320




 240




 160




  80




   0
          2011        2012         2013        2014   2015   2016

       Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast                    * Marketline
Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016
       42.9% growth from 2011
 320




 240




 160




  80




   0
          2011        2012         2013        2014   2015   2016

       Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast                    * Marketline
Who is Anders?
Anders Sorman-Nilsson (LLB MBA) is the founder of Thinque - a strategy think tank that helps
executives and leaders convert disruptive questions into proactive, future strategies.

As an Australian-Swedish futurist and innovation strategist he has helped executives and
leaders on 4 continents map, prepare for, and strategise for both foreseeable and unpredictable
futures. Since founding Thinque in 2005, he has worked with and spoken to clients like Xerox,
Apple, Johnson & Johnson, Cisco, Eli Lilly, SAP, IBM, ABN Amro Bank, Commonwealth Bank,
McCann Erickson and BAE Systems, across diverse cultural and geographic contexts. 

Anders is an active member of TEDGlobal (Oxford 2009 / Edinburgh 2011), has keynoted at
TEDx, guest lectured at University of Technology Sydney Business School, and Anders is on the
prestigious 2013 Million Dollar Roundtable roster. He is a member of the University of Sydney
Global Executive MBA cohort, and has completed executive education at Stanford University and
the Indian Institute of Management, Bangalore.
Enquire now www.anderssorman-nilsson.com
Testimonials
“There are those special moments when the right ideas and the right people collide to make magic. This is
one of those times. I want to say a HUGE THANK YOU for all your work to make the Senior Director
Conference both an engaging experience, and a catalyst for change.”

CMO Asia, Fortune 500, Pharmaceutical Industry


“Anders provided an engaging and energetic presentation of real and relevant information to the business
that could be used in all areas across the business both now and moving into the future.“

Head of Regional Portfolio Management Asia, Fortune 500, FMCG 


“Anders' presentation style and fresh content were an excellent and inspirational start to our Summit. It
resulted in only positive feedback from the audience. Anders is very professional and a brilliant thinker and
communicator!”

Management Consultant, Fortune 1000, Banking Industry
The Asian Future Lab

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Asia's Future Health Lab

  • 2. Digital Disruption Anders Sorman-Nilsson (LLB MBA) is the founder of Thinque - a strategy think tank that helps executives and leaders convert disruptive questions into proactive, future strategies. As an Australian-Swedish futurist and innovation strategist he has helped executives and leaders on 4 continents map, prepare for, and strategise for foreseeable and unpredictable futures. www.thinquetank.com
  • 5. Affluence Continues to Increase in APAC China India Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Signapore Taiwan Thailand Vietnam * World Income Distribution Report (Euromonitor)
  • 6. Affluence Continues to Increase in APAC 3 2.25 1.5 0.75 0 1990 2000 2007 China India Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Signapore Taiwan Thailand Vietnam * World Income Distribution Report (Euromonitor)
  • 7. Affluence Continues to Increase in APAC 3 0.32 0.32 0.26 2.25 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.31 0.3 0.3 1.5 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.75 0.28 0.21 0.21 0.27 0.27 0.24 0.27 0.31 0.31 0 1990 2000 2007 China India Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Signapore Taiwan Thailand Vietnam * World Income Distribution Report (Euromonitor)
  • 8. Future Urbanization Trends in Asian Countries 2000 Trend 1 2010 Trend 2 2020 Trend 3 2030 Trend 4 * Population Division of DESA of UN
  • 9. Future Urbanization Trends in Asian Countries 0.9 0.675 0.45 0.225 0 India Indonesia Pakistan Bangladesh Korea 2000 Trend 1 2010 Trend 2 2020 Trend 3 2030 Trend 4 * Population Division of DESA of UN
  • 10. Future Urbanization Trends in Asian Countries 0.9 0.675 0.45 86.3% 79.6% 68.9% 49.8% 0.225 40.6% 42% 41% 33.2% 27.7% 23.6% 0 India Indonesia Pakistan Bangladesh Korea 2000 Trend 1 2010 Trend 2 2020 Trend 3 2030 Trend 4 * Population Division of DESA of UN
  • 11. Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases 1990 2020 Chronic Disease Other Diseases Injury * WHO, 2012
  • 12. Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases 1990 2020 Chronic Disease Other Diseases Injury * WHO, 2012
  • 13. Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases 1990 2020 Chronic Disease Chronic Disease Other Diseases Injury * WHO, 2012
  • 14. Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases 1990 2020 Chronic Disease Chronic Disease Other Diseases Injury * WHO, 2012
  • 15. Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases 1990 2020 Chronic Disease Chronic Disease Other Diseases Injury * WHO, 2012
  • 16. Urbanization Goes Hand in Hand with Increasing Chronic Diseases 1990 2020 Chronic Chronic Disease Disease Chronic Disease Other Diseases Injury * WHO, 2012
  • 17. APAC HC Expenditure to Increase 151% by 2020
  • 18. Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier APAC Rest of World * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
  • 19. Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 APAC Rest of World * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
  • 20. Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier 2000 1500 1000 CAGR: 4.3% 500 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 APAC Rest of World * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
  • 21. Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier 2000 1500 1000 CAGR: 4.3% 500 CAGR: 12.1% 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 APAC Rest of World * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
  • 22. Global v APAC: The New Healthcare Frontier 2000 1500 1000 CAGR: 4.3% 500 CAGR: 12.1% 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 APAC Rest of World * Frost & Sullivan, APAC Healthcare Outlook, 2011 - 2015
  • 27. Soft Drink Sales in 2011 Sugar is on the Rise!
  • 28. Packaged Food Sales on the Increase in Asia
  • 29. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 China USA India Japan *International Diabetes Federation
  • 30. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 China USA India Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 31. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China USA India Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 32. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% USA India Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 33. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% 10.2% USA India Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 34. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% 10.2% USA 12% India Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 35. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% 10.2% USA 12% 7% India Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 36. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% 10.2% USA 12% 7% India 9.5% Japan 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 37. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% 10.2% USA 12% 7% India 9.5% Japan 5% 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 38. Comparing Diabetes Prevalence 2010 - 2030 4.2% China 5% 10.2% USA 12% 7% India 9.5% Japan 5% 5.9% 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 *International Diabetes Federation
  • 39. Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016 Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast * Marketline
  • 40. Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016 320 240 160 80 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast * Marketline
  • 41. Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016 320 240 160 80 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast * Marketline
  • 42. Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016 42.9% growth from 2011 320 240 160 80 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast * Marketline
  • 43. Pharma Market Forecast @ $ 310.2bn by 2016 42.9% growth from 2011 320 240 160 80 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Asia-Pacific Pharma Market Value Forecast * Marketline
  • 44.
  • 45. Who is Anders? Anders Sorman-Nilsson (LLB MBA) is the founder of Thinque - a strategy think tank that helps executives and leaders convert disruptive questions into proactive, future strategies. As an Australian-Swedish futurist and innovation strategist he has helped executives and leaders on 4 continents map, prepare for, and strategise for both foreseeable and unpredictable futures. Since founding Thinque in 2005, he has worked with and spoken to clients like Xerox, Apple, Johnson & Johnson, Cisco, Eli Lilly, SAP, IBM, ABN Amro Bank, Commonwealth Bank, McCann Erickson and BAE Systems, across diverse cultural and geographic contexts.  Anders is an active member of TEDGlobal (Oxford 2009 / Edinburgh 2011), has keynoted at TEDx, guest lectured at University of Technology Sydney Business School, and Anders is on the prestigious 2013 Million Dollar Roundtable roster. He is a member of the University of Sydney Global Executive MBA cohort, and has completed executive education at Stanford University and the Indian Institute of Management, Bangalore.
  • 47. Testimonials “There are those special moments when the right ideas and the right people collide to make magic. This is one of those times. I want to say a HUGE THANK YOU for all your work to make the Senior Director Conference both an engaging experience, and a catalyst for change.” CMO Asia, Fortune 500, Pharmaceutical Industry “Anders provided an engaging and energetic presentation of real and relevant information to the business that could be used in all areas across the business both now and moving into the future.“ Head of Regional Portfolio Management Asia, Fortune 500, FMCG  “Anders' presentation style and fresh content were an excellent and inspirational start to our Summit. It resulted in only positive feedback from the audience. Anders is very professional and a brilliant thinker and communicator!” Management Consultant, Fortune 1000, Banking Industry