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Designing the perfect Display
Monetization Dashboard
Ian Thomas
Senior Director, Business & Customer Intelligence
Microsoft Online Services Division
Your dashboard…
The brief

    • Create a dashboard that captures the dynamics
      of display ad monetization for use in an exec
      briefing context and/or to be distributed to a
      broad audience




3
The rules…
•   The dashboard must be two-dimensional
     Unless you plan on buying a 3D printer
•   The dashboard must be self-sufficient
     Unless you plan on wasting time explaining the numbers every time you
      have a review meeting
•   The dashboard should contain no non-essential numbers
     Unless you plan on wasting time focusing on pointless numbers every
      time you have a review meeting
The archetypical dashboard (or scorecard)



                                    Need to be
                                  consistent and
              Need to be              easily
            consistent and         understood
                easily
             understood
The Dashboard




The Data
Challenges in measuring Display Ad
Monetization

1.   Product/pricing complexity
2.   Supply uncertainty
3.   Channel complexity
4.   Noise
Challenge 1: You can sell the same supply lots of
different ways
Ways to sell/package online display inventory

    Method                     Details                                          Key measure of value

    Sponsorship                All impressions during a particular time         Deal value ($)
                               window. Usually linked to a specific site area
                               or page.
    Reserved/guaranteed CPM    Guaranteed # of impressions over a               CPM
                               particular period at an agreed CPM. Usually
                               linked to a specific site area or page.
    Unreserved/discretionary   Target # of impressions at an agreed CPM.        CPM
    CPM                        Sometimes linked to a specific site area, or
                               sold as “Run of Site”.
    Negotiated CPC/CPA         Target # of clicks/conversions at an agreed      Negotiated CPC/CPA
                               rate – usually sold “blind”.
    Bidded CPM/CPC/CPA         Impressions/clicks/conversions delivered up      Actual CPM/CPC/CPA
                               to agreed budget at bidded rates, usually
                               sold blind.




9
Non-
                               Delive
             deliver
                                 ry
                y
                               revenu
             revenu
                                  e
                e

                       Reven
                        ue

                                         Imp-
      CPM                               ressio
                                          ns


                               Volum
CPC         Rate                            Clicks
                                 e
                                         Con-
      CPA                               versio
                                          ns
The importance of a common currency




                             Wow!
Where we are so far…




12
Challenge 2:
     Supply
     Uncertainty




13
The Michael Jackson effect
                                                                      Home Page volume and revenue
               Home Page eCPM
$3.00
                                                                5.0    Revenue                       $3.5




                                                                                                            Revenue (Millions)
                                            Volume (Billions)
                                                                                                     $3.0
$2.50                                                           4.0    Volume
                                                                                                     $2.5
$2.00
                                                                3.0                                  $2.0
$1.50
                                                                2.0                                  $1.5
$1.00
                                                                                                     $1.0
$0.50                                                           1.0
                                                                                                     $0.5
 $-
                                                                0.0                                  $0.0




        When supply is uncertain, sell-through rate (impressions sold as a
        percentage of impressions available) is the most reliable measure of volume
Where we are so far…




15
Challenge 3: Channel complexity



                             100%
 Amount of inventory sold direct




                                                               How much of your inventory
                                   50%
                                                               you can sell direct
                                                               (at a decent price)




                                   0%
                                            1        10       100          1,000       Your      The
                                                                                      entire    entire
                                        Size of your sales team (log scale)          company   industry
Dimensions of supply and demand

     • Supply dimensions:
         Site area (content taxonomy)
         Creative size
         Audience attributes (e.g. demographics)
         Delivery system
     • Demand dimensions:
         Sales channel (direct/indirect)
         Pricing method
         Delivery system
         Creative type (rich media vs non)
     • Remember the challenge: The dashboard must be two-
       dimensional


17
Inventory flow – avoiding double-counting
                                     Impression
                                       Supply


                 E.g. DFP
                                   First-party ad   First-party served
                                       server          impressions



                                      Unused
                                    impressions



        Dedicated                                    Network/AdEx
                                  Ad Network or
         remnant                                        served
                                    Exchange
       impressions                                    impressions

                         E.g. Microsoft Ad
                     Exchange, Google AdSense
Inventory flow
                     Impression
                       Supply



                    First-party ad   First-party served
                        server          impressions



                       Unused
                     impressions



       Dedicated                      Network/AdEx
                    Ad Network or
        remnant                          served
                      Exchange
      impressions                      impressions
Combining dimensions to simplify
     • Example: Sales Channel and Pricing Method




                                                   CAMs
                                                   (CxO Aggravation Metrics)




20
Where we are so far…




21
Challenge 4: Noise
Example: Reducing noise (1)
                                              Total eCPM
                $1.00

                $0.80

                $0.60

                $0.40                                                         eCPM
                $0.20

                 $-
                         Jul      Aug         Sep     Oct   Nov        Dec




                              Total revenue and impressions
           40,000,000                                             $25,000
           35,000,000
                                                                  $20,000
           30,000,000
           25,000,000                                             $15,000
           20,000,000                                                        Revenue
           15,000,000                                             $10,000
                                                                             Impressions
           10,000,000
                                                                  $5,000
            5,000,000
                   -                                              $-
                        Jul     Aug     Sep     Oct   Nov   Dec




23
Example: Reducing noise (2)
                          Impressions by size
     40,000,000
     35,000,000
     30,000,000
     25,000,000
     20,000,000                                                     Small                   Revenue by size
     15,000,000
                                                                    Large
     10,000,000                                                             $25,000
      5,000,000
             -                                                              $20,000

                        Jul     Aug     Sep     Oct   Nov     Dec
                                                                            $15,000
                                                                                                                          Small
                                                                            $10,000
                                                                                                                          Large
                                eCPM by size
                                                                             $5,000
     $1.40
     $1.20                                                                     $-
     $1.00                                                                            Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec

     $0.80
                                                                    Large
     $0.60
                                                                    Small
     $0.40
     $0.20
      $-
                  Jul     Aug     Sep     Oct     Nov       Dec




24
Our finished dashboard




25
Those challenges again…

  Challenge                    Approach
  Product/pricing complexity   Focus on eCPM, Impressions and
                               Revenue
  Supply uncertainty           Focus on sell-through on supply
  Channel complexity           Deduplicate and simplify
  Noise                        Filter out noisy signals – you do not
                               have to report on everything
Thank you
     More information:
     www.liesdamnedlies.com
     ian.thomas@microsoft.com




27

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Designing the perfect display monetization dashboard (public)

  • 1. Designing the perfect Display Monetization Dashboard Ian Thomas Senior Director, Business & Customer Intelligence Microsoft Online Services Division
  • 3. The brief • Create a dashboard that captures the dynamics of display ad monetization for use in an exec briefing context and/or to be distributed to a broad audience 3
  • 4. The rules… • The dashboard must be two-dimensional  Unless you plan on buying a 3D printer • The dashboard must be self-sufficient  Unless you plan on wasting time explaining the numbers every time you have a review meeting • The dashboard should contain no non-essential numbers  Unless you plan on wasting time focusing on pointless numbers every time you have a review meeting
  • 5. The archetypical dashboard (or scorecard) Need to be consistent and Need to be easily consistent and understood easily understood
  • 7. Challenges in measuring Display Ad Monetization 1. Product/pricing complexity 2. Supply uncertainty 3. Channel complexity 4. Noise
  • 8. Challenge 1: You can sell the same supply lots of different ways
  • 9. Ways to sell/package online display inventory Method Details Key measure of value Sponsorship All impressions during a particular time Deal value ($) window. Usually linked to a specific site area or page. Reserved/guaranteed CPM Guaranteed # of impressions over a CPM particular period at an agreed CPM. Usually linked to a specific site area or page. Unreserved/discretionary Target # of impressions at an agreed CPM. CPM CPM Sometimes linked to a specific site area, or sold as “Run of Site”. Negotiated CPC/CPA Target # of clicks/conversions at an agreed Negotiated CPC/CPA rate – usually sold “blind”. Bidded CPM/CPC/CPA Impressions/clicks/conversions delivered up Actual CPM/CPC/CPA to agreed budget at bidded rates, usually sold blind. 9
  • 10. Non- Delive deliver ry y revenu revenu e e Reven ue Imp- CPM ressio ns Volum CPC Rate Clicks e Con- CPA versio ns
  • 11. The importance of a common currency Wow!
  • 12. Where we are so far… 12
  • 13. Challenge 2: Supply Uncertainty 13
  • 14. The Michael Jackson effect Home Page volume and revenue Home Page eCPM $3.00 5.0 Revenue $3.5 Revenue (Millions) Volume (Billions) $3.0 $2.50 4.0 Volume $2.5 $2.00 3.0 $2.0 $1.50 2.0 $1.5 $1.00 $1.0 $0.50 1.0 $0.5 $- 0.0 $0.0 When supply is uncertain, sell-through rate (impressions sold as a percentage of impressions available) is the most reliable measure of volume
  • 15. Where we are so far… 15
  • 16. Challenge 3: Channel complexity 100% Amount of inventory sold direct How much of your inventory 50% you can sell direct (at a decent price) 0% 1 10 100 1,000 Your The entire entire Size of your sales team (log scale) company industry
  • 17. Dimensions of supply and demand • Supply dimensions:  Site area (content taxonomy)  Creative size  Audience attributes (e.g. demographics)  Delivery system • Demand dimensions:  Sales channel (direct/indirect)  Pricing method  Delivery system  Creative type (rich media vs non) • Remember the challenge: The dashboard must be two- dimensional 17
  • 18. Inventory flow – avoiding double-counting Impression Supply E.g. DFP First-party ad First-party served server impressions Unused impressions Dedicated Network/AdEx Ad Network or remnant served Exchange impressions impressions E.g. Microsoft Ad Exchange, Google AdSense
  • 19. Inventory flow Impression Supply First-party ad First-party served server impressions Unused impressions Dedicated Network/AdEx Ad Network or remnant served Exchange impressions impressions
  • 20. Combining dimensions to simplify • Example: Sales Channel and Pricing Method CAMs (CxO Aggravation Metrics) 20
  • 21. Where we are so far… 21
  • 23. Example: Reducing noise (1) Total eCPM $1.00 $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 eCPM $0.20 $- Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total revenue and impressions 40,000,000 $25,000 35,000,000 $20,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 $15,000 20,000,000 Revenue 15,000,000 $10,000 Impressions 10,000,000 $5,000 5,000,000 - $- Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 23
  • 24. Example: Reducing noise (2) Impressions by size 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 Small Revenue by size 15,000,000 Large 10,000,000 $25,000 5,000,000 - $20,000 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec $15,000 Small $10,000 Large eCPM by size $5,000 $1.40 $1.20 $- $1.00 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec $0.80 Large $0.60 Small $0.40 $0.20 $- Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 24
  • 26. Those challenges again… Challenge Approach Product/pricing complexity Focus on eCPM, Impressions and Revenue Supply uncertainty Focus on sell-through on supply Channel complexity Deduplicate and simplify Noise Filter out noisy signals – you do not have to report on everything
  • 27. Thank you More information: www.liesdamnedlies.com ian.thomas@microsoft.com 27

Notas del editor

  1. Comments here about the near-infinite configurability of ad inventory…
  2. Also important to speak to the point that
  3. What is causing the apparent dip in eCPM in Nov?
  4. Make sure to define large/small adsAnalogy: This is a lot like same-store sales figures for a retailer