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Using decision science to build
breakthrough creative ideas
February 2016
Thomas Bunnell
I wrote this presentation to introduce creative departments, client service
teams and clients to some of the basics surrounding decision science – and
how it can be meaningfully used in creative and strategic development.
The theories and examples have been taken from the work of leading
thinkers in this field, including Daniel Kahneman, Phil Barden and Byron
Sharpe.
This deck was written as a presentation (and not originally intended to be
read) but hopefully some of the key ideas are still clear.
About this presentation
1. How we make decisions
a. Introducing System 1 and System 2
2. How we can get people to think less and buy more
a. Decreasing the pain
b. Increasing the reward
3. How we can apply theory to creative
a. Decoding TV Ads
What this presentation covers
1. Provide new thinking on ways we can develop creative strategies and
ideas
2. Provide a shared language to help explain, defend, and sell-in highly
creative ideas
3. Build upon our knowledge of how advertising works
How this presentation can help our work
Informed by the leading industry texts
Part one: How we make decisions
Kahneman’s theory on decision making
System one
Autopilot
Automatic
Associative
System two
Pilot
Thinking
Slow
Activities
● Saying your phone number
● Driving a car
● The body’s reaction to a flame
Activities
● Solving a tough maths problem
● Learning a language
● Following a map
Intuitive and
low-energy
Reflective and
high-energy
Say the colour
BLUE
YELLOW
ORANGE
RED GREEN
ORANGE PURPLE
GREEN
GREEN
ORANGE
YELLOW
BLUE
RED
RED
GREEN
YELLOW
RED
PURPLE
PURPLE
PURPLE
BLUE YELLOW
BLUE ORANGEPURPLE
Say the colour not the word
BLACK
ORANGE
RED
GREEN PINK
WHITE YELLOW
YELLOW
BLUE
WHITE
BLUE
PURPLE
BLACK
YELLOW
ORANGE
GREEN
BLACK
BLUE
BLUE
PINK
GREEN RED
RED WHITEORANGE
“System one is really the one
that is the more influential; it is
guiding System two, it is
steering System two to a very
large extent” Daniel Kahneman
Marketing activities need to
activate System one and
circumvent System two, i.e. get
people to think less and buy
Part two: How we can get people to think less and buy more
Continually refresh memory structures
Fulfil implicit and
explicit goals throughout
all stages of the
experience: context,
product, brand and
comms
Be present at all stages
of the purchase journey
- mentally and
physically
Three approaches to getting people to buy
Address any areas of
resistance to buying
Learned behaviour
Maximise the rewardMinimise the painBe available
Buying is based on a simple calculation
=OFC Ventral Straitum Insular Cortex
- Net value
PainReward
Decrease
the pain
Thus, there are two levers we can pull to maximise net value
Increase
the reward
To decrease the pain
we need to consider how we
position and present value
Availability
Decreasing the pain using behavioural economics
Framing Anchoring
90% lean 10% fat
Loss aversionPermissibilitySocial Proof
Decreasing the pain using behavioural economics [Cont’d.]
To increase the reward
we need to appeal to people’s
‘explicit’ and ‘implicit’ goals
Pleasing scent,
restore and soften
skin
Explicit goals are specific to a given product category and are
vital to buyers
Gets you from A to B
Tasty, filling,
and gives energy
Implicit goals are deep psychological needs
Security
Care, trust, closeness,
security, warmth
Excitement
Vitality, fun, curiosity,
creativity, change
Autonomy
Pride, success, power,
superiority, recognition
Enjoyment
Relaxation, light-heartedness,
openness, pleasure
Adventure
Freedom, discovery,
rebellion, courage, risk
Discipline
Precision, order,
logic, reason
Signals and associations within the brand experience help serve
implicit goals
Product ExperienceCommunications Context
Thus, motivational theory can help us in two ways
1. Develop value
propositions
2. Provide guidance
for creative
signals and
associations
1. Developing value propositions
Soup
Enjoyment:
relaxation, light
heartedness,
openness, pleasure,
relief
It can be eaten with
sides, adapted with
spices, or even used as
a base to create a stew,
curry or laksa
Product/Feature Explicit Goal Implicit Goal
‘Brand X’ soups make your meal improvisation magnificent’
2. Provide guidance for creative signals and associations
Explicit goals
● Is it a feature no-one else owns?
● Is it a mature category?
● How important is the feature to
people?
Considerations when assigning explicit and implicit goals
Implicit goals
● What’s the dominant implicit goal of
the category?
● Who is the target audience?
● What are the positive and negative
brand associations?
● How does it relate to the product
experience/explicit goal?
Part three: How we can apply theory to creative
Value proposition development using motivational theory
Product/Feature Explicit goal Implicit goal Brand
Automatic braking
system
Automatic braking
system
Automatic braking
system
Shorter braking
distance
Shorter braking
distance
Shorter braking
distance
Superiority: owning
advanced technology
Driving pleasure: we
can drive faster, as the
system can react quicker
Safety: we can help
protect ourselves and
our family
Phil Barden, Decoded
Mercedes-Benz
Product/Feature
Explicit goal
Shorter braking distance
Implicit goal
Automatic braking system
Superiority
http://youtube.com/v/j_Q5s_LqxJ8
Mercedes-Benz
Product/Feature
Explicit goal
Shorter braking distance
Implicit goal
Automatic braking system
?
http://youtube.com/v/_DrJiOjN7nE
Toyota
Product/Feature
Explicit goal
Never breaks down
Implicit goal
Built with quality
engineering
Sagaciousness
http://youtube.com/v/vbsyEI78m5s
Southern Comfort
Product/Feature
Explicit goal
Refreshment
Implicit goal
Alcoholic spirit
Confidence/Autonomy
http://youtube.com/v/ygeWsoYYMuQ
Orangina
Product/Feature
Explicit goal
A refreshing drink
Implicit goal
A drink you need to shake
Excitement (adult)
http://youtube.com/v/rZJDqWmrS-E
Marlboro
Product/Feature
Explicit goal
A pick-me-up
Implicit goal
Full-flavour cigarettes
Autonomy
Creative needs fulfil goals in distinct and exciting ways
Security Adventure
Enjoyment Excitement
Discipline Autonomy
Phil Barden, Decoded
Culture is the gateway
1. System 1 (autopilot) and System 2 (pilot) are the two processes
involved in decision making
2. ‘Increasing the reward’ and ‘decreasing the pain’ are ways we can
encourage people to buy
a. Behavioural economic frameworks can help us decrease the pain in buying
b. Serving implicit and explicit goals can help us increase the reward and
provides guidance for signals and associations within the brand experience
3. Breakthrough creative needs to find distinct and culturally relevant
ways to serve implicit goals
Recap
Thank you

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Using Decision Science To Build Breakthrough Creative Ideas

  • 1. Using decision science to build breakthrough creative ideas February 2016 Thomas Bunnell
  • 2. I wrote this presentation to introduce creative departments, client service teams and clients to some of the basics surrounding decision science – and how it can be meaningfully used in creative and strategic development. The theories and examples have been taken from the work of leading thinkers in this field, including Daniel Kahneman, Phil Barden and Byron Sharpe. This deck was written as a presentation (and not originally intended to be read) but hopefully some of the key ideas are still clear. About this presentation
  • 3. 1. How we make decisions a. Introducing System 1 and System 2 2. How we can get people to think less and buy more a. Decreasing the pain b. Increasing the reward 3. How we can apply theory to creative a. Decoding TV Ads What this presentation covers
  • 4. 1. Provide new thinking on ways we can develop creative strategies and ideas 2. Provide a shared language to help explain, defend, and sell-in highly creative ideas 3. Build upon our knowledge of how advertising works How this presentation can help our work
  • 5. Informed by the leading industry texts
  • 6. Part one: How we make decisions
  • 7. Kahneman’s theory on decision making System one Autopilot Automatic Associative System two Pilot Thinking Slow Activities ● Saying your phone number ● Driving a car ● The body’s reaction to a flame Activities ● Solving a tough maths problem ● Learning a language ● Following a map Intuitive and low-energy Reflective and high-energy
  • 8. Say the colour BLUE YELLOW ORANGE RED GREEN ORANGE PURPLE GREEN GREEN ORANGE YELLOW BLUE RED RED GREEN YELLOW RED PURPLE PURPLE PURPLE BLUE YELLOW BLUE ORANGEPURPLE
  • 9. Say the colour not the word BLACK ORANGE RED GREEN PINK WHITE YELLOW YELLOW BLUE WHITE BLUE PURPLE BLACK YELLOW ORANGE GREEN BLACK BLUE BLUE PINK GREEN RED RED WHITEORANGE
  • 10. “System one is really the one that is the more influential; it is guiding System two, it is steering System two to a very large extent” Daniel Kahneman
  • 11.
  • 12. Marketing activities need to activate System one and circumvent System two, i.e. get people to think less and buy
  • 13. Part two: How we can get people to think less and buy more
  • 14. Continually refresh memory structures Fulfil implicit and explicit goals throughout all stages of the experience: context, product, brand and comms Be present at all stages of the purchase journey - mentally and physically Three approaches to getting people to buy Address any areas of resistance to buying Learned behaviour Maximise the rewardMinimise the painBe available
  • 15. Buying is based on a simple calculation =OFC Ventral Straitum Insular Cortex - Net value PainReward
  • 16. Decrease the pain Thus, there are two levers we can pull to maximise net value Increase the reward
  • 17. To decrease the pain we need to consider how we position and present value
  • 18. Availability Decreasing the pain using behavioural economics Framing Anchoring 90% lean 10% fat
  • 19. Loss aversionPermissibilitySocial Proof Decreasing the pain using behavioural economics [Cont’d.]
  • 20. To increase the reward we need to appeal to people’s ‘explicit’ and ‘implicit’ goals
  • 21. Pleasing scent, restore and soften skin Explicit goals are specific to a given product category and are vital to buyers Gets you from A to B Tasty, filling, and gives energy
  • 22. Implicit goals are deep psychological needs Security Care, trust, closeness, security, warmth Excitement Vitality, fun, curiosity, creativity, change Autonomy Pride, success, power, superiority, recognition Enjoyment Relaxation, light-heartedness, openness, pleasure Adventure Freedom, discovery, rebellion, courage, risk Discipline Precision, order, logic, reason
  • 23. Signals and associations within the brand experience help serve implicit goals Product ExperienceCommunications Context
  • 24. Thus, motivational theory can help us in two ways 1. Develop value propositions 2. Provide guidance for creative signals and associations
  • 25. 1. Developing value propositions Soup Enjoyment: relaxation, light heartedness, openness, pleasure, relief It can be eaten with sides, adapted with spices, or even used as a base to create a stew, curry or laksa Product/Feature Explicit Goal Implicit Goal ‘Brand X’ soups make your meal improvisation magnificent’
  • 26. 2. Provide guidance for creative signals and associations
  • 27. Explicit goals ● Is it a feature no-one else owns? ● Is it a mature category? ● How important is the feature to people? Considerations when assigning explicit and implicit goals Implicit goals ● What’s the dominant implicit goal of the category? ● Who is the target audience? ● What are the positive and negative brand associations? ● How does it relate to the product experience/explicit goal?
  • 28. Part three: How we can apply theory to creative
  • 29. Value proposition development using motivational theory Product/Feature Explicit goal Implicit goal Brand Automatic braking system Automatic braking system Automatic braking system Shorter braking distance Shorter braking distance Shorter braking distance Superiority: owning advanced technology Driving pleasure: we can drive faster, as the system can react quicker Safety: we can help protect ourselves and our family Phil Barden, Decoded
  • 30. Mercedes-Benz Product/Feature Explicit goal Shorter braking distance Implicit goal Automatic braking system Superiority http://youtube.com/v/j_Q5s_LqxJ8
  • 31. Mercedes-Benz Product/Feature Explicit goal Shorter braking distance Implicit goal Automatic braking system ? http://youtube.com/v/_DrJiOjN7nE
  • 32. Toyota Product/Feature Explicit goal Never breaks down Implicit goal Built with quality engineering Sagaciousness http://youtube.com/v/vbsyEI78m5s
  • 33. Southern Comfort Product/Feature Explicit goal Refreshment Implicit goal Alcoholic spirit Confidence/Autonomy http://youtube.com/v/ygeWsoYYMuQ
  • 34. Orangina Product/Feature Explicit goal A refreshing drink Implicit goal A drink you need to shake Excitement (adult) http://youtube.com/v/rZJDqWmrS-E
  • 35. Marlboro Product/Feature Explicit goal A pick-me-up Implicit goal Full-flavour cigarettes Autonomy
  • 36. Creative needs fulfil goals in distinct and exciting ways Security Adventure Enjoyment Excitement Discipline Autonomy Phil Barden, Decoded
  • 37. Culture is the gateway
  • 38. 1. System 1 (autopilot) and System 2 (pilot) are the two processes involved in decision making 2. ‘Increasing the reward’ and ‘decreasing the pain’ are ways we can encourage people to buy a. Behavioural economic frameworks can help us decrease the pain in buying b. Serving implicit and explicit goals can help us increase the reward and provides guidance for signals and associations within the brand experience 3. Breakthrough creative needs to find distinct and culturally relevant ways to serve implicit goals Recap