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Select Views Of The
                    North American Intermodal Marketplace,
                                Past & Present


                      Including Its Key Participants,*
                 The Railroads, Intermediaries, and Truckers

        *Excepting privately-held Schneider National, Inc., for which data details are not publicly available.




                                                                       Thom A. Williams, managing director




March 9, 2010
The Objects of Our Affection:
Class 1 Railroads' Intermodal Revenues


                           RR Intermodal Revenues
                           US$s in millions

                               $5,500
                                                                                                                                                                                BNI
                               $5,000


                               $4,500


                               $4,000                                                                                                                                     UNP


                               $3,500


  The North American            $3,000                                                                                                                              NSC
   Intermodal sector's
fortune is inextricably
                                $2,500
linked to international




                                                                                                                                                              CSX
     trade! About 60
   percent of N. A. rail        $2,000                                                                                                             CNR

    intermodal traffic
        consists of             $1,500
 merchandise imports                                                                                                                         CP
 and exports. In 2008,           $1,000
      the number of
       international               $500
intermodal containers
   moved by rail from
                                     $0                                                                                               KSU
  the seaports totaled
        7.8 million.
                                           00



                                                    01



                                                              02
                                          20




                                                                       03
                                                  20




                                                                               04
                                                            20




                                                                                           05
                                                                      20




                                                                                                     06
                                                                              20




                                                                                                           07
                                                                                         20




                                                                                                                    08
                                                                                                   20




                                                                                                                                 09
                                                                                                          20



                                                                                                                   20



                                                                                                                             20
 KSU, 9-yr. ('00-'09)       CP, 9-yr. ('00-'09)        CNR, 9-yr. ('00-'09)        CSX, 9-yr. ('00-'09)   NSC, 9-yr. ('00-'09)         UNP, 9-yr. ('00-'09)           BNI, 9-yr. ('00-'09)
 CAGR = +12.4%              CAGR = +4.2%               CAGR = +4.3                 CAGR = +0.3            CAGR = +3.5%                 CAGR = +3.0%                   CAGR = +4.5%



     AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                     Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
U.S. Maritime Port and Railroad Container Volumes
TEUs in thousands
45,000
                                                                                                                                                      45,000
                                                                                                                         44,400

                                                                                             42,000                                         Totals are for all container ports, including all container traffic (both loaded and empty
40,000                                                                                                                                      TEUs) in U.S. international maritime activity, U.S. imports and exports.

                                                                 38,700
                                                                                                                                                                                   38,000

35,000                               36,300
                                                                                                                                      Totals are for all container ports, reflecting only loaded containers
                                                                                                                                      (as TEUs) in U.S. international maritime activity, U.S. imports and exports.
         32,700
30,000                                                                                                                                                                                                     Totals reported by the National
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Retail Federation's & Global
                                                                                                                                                           28,969                                          Insight's Port-Tracker data, TEUs
                                                                                                                                                                                       28,190
                                                                                                                             27,600                                                                        shipped through major U.S.
25,000                                                                                           26,100                                                                                                    container ports.

                                                                     23,900

                                         21,300                                                                                                                                                                  AAR reported total U.S.
20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 and Canadian container
             19,700                                                                                                                                                                                              (COFC + TOFC) load
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 volumes.




                                                                                                                                                                 16,504
                                                                                                                                   16,428
15,000

                                                                                                       15,402




                                                                                                                                                                                             15,200
                                                                                                                                            14,639                        14,437
                                                                           14,027




                                                                                                                13,939                                                                                13,959
                                                                                    13,160




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12,700
                                               12,465




                                                        12,108                                                                                                                                                                   11,996
                   11,600




10,000                      11,383




 5,000




    0
                  2002                        2003                        2004                        2005                        2006                         2007                         2008                     2009



  RITA-BTS U.S. Total All Loaded & Empty TEU Traffic                                                                     RITA-BTS U.S. Total International International TEU Traffic
  NRF-PortTracker Total Loaded TEUs Shipped to Major Retail Ports                                                        American Assoc. of Railroads Total Intermodal (COFC + TOFC) Volumes




   AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                   Source Data: RITA-BTS, NRF-PortTracker, and AAR reports and records.
Class 1 Railroads' Intermodal Revenues
GrossRevenues                                                                                                   Avg. On-road Diesel
US$s in millions                                                                                                   Price, US$s/gal.
  $16,000
                                                                                                                     $3.750
                                                                                              $161

                                                                                              $1,400
              Fuel surcharges increases                                     $213     $254                            $3.550
  $14,000
              considerably masked otherwise
              dull revenue growths.                                         $1,257   $1,318
                                                                                                                     $3.350
                                                                                              $1,580
                                                                   $220
  $12,000                                                                   $1,394   $1,382
                                                                   $1,161                                            $3.150
                                                                                                       $143
                                                                                              $1,466
                                                                                                       $1,130                         KSU, 9-yr. ('00-
                                                           $60
                                                                   $1,270   $1,412   $1,356                          $2.950           '09)
                                                          $1,035                                                                      CAGR =
  $10,000                                                                                                                             +12.4%
                                                                                                       $1,337
                                                  $53                                         $2,058                                  CP, 9-yr. ('00-
                                                                   $1,362                                            $2.750
                                                 $940     $1,117                                                                      '09)
                                      $51                                            $1,921                                           CAGR = +4.2%
                                                                            $1,971
                    $50    $44       $882                                                              $1,204
                   $782                          $1,101                                                              $2.550           CNR, 9-yr. ('00-
   $8,000                 $804                            $1,346                                                                      '09)
                                     $1,052                        $1,826                                                             CAGR = +4.3
                   $919   $969                                                                         $1,530
                                                 $1,264                                       $3,023                 $2.350
                                                                                                                                      CSX, 9-yr. ('00-
                                     $1,180               $1,537            $2,805   $2,925                                           '09)
               $1,168     $1,112                                                                                                      CAGR = +0.3
   $6,000                                                                                                            $2.150
                                                 $1,239            $2,466                                                             NSC, 9-yr. ('00-
                                     $1,181                                                            $2,486
               $1,119     $1,123                                                                                                      '09)
                                                          $2,240                                                     $1.950           CAGR = +3.5%

                                                 $2,066                                                                               UNP, 9-yr. ('00-
   $4,000
                                     $1,995                                                                                           '09)
               $1,909     $1,905                                                                                     $1.750           CAGR = +3.0%

                                                                                              $5,551                                  BNI, 9-yr. ('00-
                                                                            $5,140   $5,168
                                                                                                                     $1.550           '09)
                                                                   $4,383                                                             CAGR = +4.5%
   $2,000                                                                                              $3,979
                                                          $3,608
                                     $2,783      $3,072                                                                               Avg. On-road
               $2,669     $2,618                                                                                     $1.350           Diesel Price,
                                                                                                                                      US$s/gal.

       $0                                                                                                            $1.150
                   2000   2001       2002        2003     2004     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009


    AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                    Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Container and Intermodal Volumes vs. RR Intermodal Revenues,
                                                       2006 - 2009
  Total Container Volumes,                                                                                                                      Total RR Intermodal Revenues,
  in thousands                                                                                                                                                US$s in millions
20,000                                                                                                                                                                   $16,000


                                                                                                   $15,238

                                                              $14,324                                                                                                    $14,000
                         $14,192




17,500                                                                                                                                                                   $12,000
            17,375                                                                                                                           $11,809

                                                    16,865

                                        16,428                           16,504                                                                                          $10,000

                                                                                      16,051



15,000                                                                                                           15,200                                                  $8,000




                                                                                                                                                                         $6,000
                                                                                                                                13,746



12,500                                                                                                                                                     12,700        $4,000


                                       YE2009 vs. YE2006: Container counts of imported goods fell ~23%, to 12.7 million at YE
                                        '09, and the railroads carried ~21% fewer intermodal shipments in '09 than during '06.
                                                                                                                                                                         $2,000
                                                What does not arrive at the ports is not transported across the Nation.



10,000                                                                                                                                                                   $0
                             2006                              2007                                 2008                                      2009


                                    RR Intermodal Shipments                 NRF Port Volumes                        RR Intermodal Revenue




         AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                  Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and reports and records of the AAR and NRF-PortTracker.
2005 Intermodal Railroads' Market Shares
                           How the 7 Class 1 RRs divided US$12.7 billion of '05 Intermodal revenues:




                                                                                                   KSU
                                                                                                   2%
                                           CP                          CSX
                                           9%                          11%
                   CNR                                                                                         NSC
                   10%                                                                                         14%




                             BNI
                                                                                                           UNP
                             35%
                                                                                                           19%




             BNI              CNR               CP           CSX             KSU             NSC                 UNP



AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                               Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
2009 Intermodal Railroads' Market Shares
                           How the 7 Class 1 RRs divided US$11.8 billion of '09 Intermodal revenues:




                                                                                                  KSU
                                                                                                  1%
                                             CP                         CSX
                                            10%                         10%
                   CNR                                                                                       NSC
                   11%                                                                                       13%




                                                                                                            UNP
                             BNI
                                                                                                            21%
                             34%




             BNI             CNR             CP             CSX             KSU             NSC                 UNP




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                               Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Western (BNI, UNP & KSU) vs. Eastern (CSX & NSC)
Intermodal Revenues,                U.S. Railroad Intermodal Revenues
US$s in millions



     $9,000

                                                                                                                         BNI,
             The Mississippi River essentially
                                                                                                                         UNP
      $8,000 separates the spheres of influence of the                                                   BNI,
                                                                                             BNI,                       & KSU
             Western-focused railroads (BNI, UNP and                                                     UNP
                                                                                             UNP                        $8,735
                                                                                                        & KSU
             KSU) from CSX and NSC, which likewise                                          & KSU
                                                                                                        $8,347
      $7,000 dominate the Eastern third of the U.S.                                         $8,158
                                                                                  BNI,
                                                                                  UNP
                                                                                                                                     BNI,
                                                                                 & KSU
      $6,000                                                                                                                         UNP
                                                                                 $7,069
                                                                        BNI,                                                        & KSU
                                                                        UNP                                                         $6,608
      $5,000                                                BNI,       & KSU
                                                 BNI,       UNP        $5,908
                            BNI,
                                      BNI,       UNP       & KSU
                            UNP
      $4,000                          UNP       & KSU      $5,191
                           & KSU
                                     & KSU      $4,829
                           $4,628
                                     $4,567
      $3,000
                                                                                       CSX                        CSX
                                                                            CSX                   CSX
                                                               CSX                    & NSC                      & NSC
                                                                           & NSC                 & NSC
                   CSX                             CSX        & NSC                   $3,383                     $3,524
      $2,000                 CSX        CSX                                $3,188                $3,277
                  & NSC                                       $2,883                                                              CSX
                            & NSC      & NSC      & NSC
                  $2,287                                                                                                         & NSC
                            $2,235     $2,361     $2,503
                                                                                                                                 $2,734
       $1,000



          $0
                                                                                                                                                    BNI,
                 2000      2001                                                                                                                   UNP & KSU
                                      2002
                                                 2003
                                                             2004                                                                              CSX & NSC
                                                                          2005
                                                                                     2006
                                                                                                 2007
                                                                                                                 2008
                                                                                                                                 2009
        Total annual Freight Ton Miles (Rail and Truck movements, combined) incurred within
        States east of the Mississippi consistently account for near 60% of total U.S. freight ton
        mileage, but now just 29% of total RR Intermodal revenues. Keep an eye on NSC's new
        alliance with JBHT and CSX's with Schneider National; from the freight ton per mile
        perspective, Eastern U.S. Intermodal revenues may soon far surpass what they are today.


AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Population Density Drives Overall Freight Ton Miles:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC
Freight Tonnage on Highways, Railroads, and Inland Waterways:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                  Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
Tonnage on Trailer-on-Flatcar and Container-on-Flatcar RR Intermodal Moves: 2006




 This display illuminates:

 (1) Intermodal’s strengths west of the Mississippi, where longer
 transport distances (avg. 1,500+ miles) are dominant; and,

 (2) Intermodal’s still-present challenges to capture revenues from
 trucking in the much-larger freight markets of the Eastern States,
 where the shorter transport distances handicap Intermodal’s “rail vs.
 truck” pricing advantages.

 Note, e.g., how little Intermodal flows to or from the East via rail from
 or to St. Louis, Memphis and Dallas.




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                            Source Data: reports of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and the International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
Major Truck Routes on the National Highway System:




                                                                                                                         The Interstate
                                                                                                                         Highways are
                                                                                                                         congested, the
                                                                                                                         Rails are open,
                                                                                                                         and Shippers
                                                                                                                         always seek to
                                                                                                                         reduce costs.

                                                                                                                         Herein lie the
                                                                                                                         substantial future
                                                                                                                         Intermodal
                                                                                                                         opportunities for
                                                                                                                         CSX, NSC, JBHT,
                                                                                                                         and others!




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC            Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
Major Freight Corridors:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
Components of the Major Freight Corridors:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC        Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
Current Train Volumes Compared to Current Capacity:




                                                                                                                        Clearly, CSX &
                                                                                                                        NSC (dominant
                                                                                                                        holders of rail
                                                                                                                        lanes east of the
                                                                                                                        Mississippi
                                                                                                                        River) are far
                                                                                                                        from lacking
                                                                                                                        capacity to
                                                                                                                        increase their
                                                                                                                        revenues via
                                                                                                                        growing
                                                                                                                        Intermodal
                                                                                                                        activities!




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC             Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC   Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
How the Truckload vs. Intermodal Freight Mix Appears Today:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                             Source Data: JB Hunt Transport Inc.
How the Truckload vs. Intermodal Freight Mix Will Look in 10-15 Years:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                             Source Data: JB Hunt Transport Inc.
Now, Let’s Take a Closer Look at JB Hunt Intermodal’s Very Successful Journey via Train:




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC
Intermodal Load Volumes: AAR U.S. vs. JBHT Intermodal
AAR Total U.S.
Intermodal Loads,                                                                                                                                                                JBHT Total
in thousands                                                                                                                                                               Intermodal Loads

                    JBHT's 9-year Intermodal                                                                                                                                       900,000
 12,000             Volume CAGR = +8.9%                                                                   12,280,000
                                                                                                                       12,030,000
                                                                                                                                                                       915,413
                                                                                         11,690,000




                                                                                                                                    11,510,000
 11,000             AAR U.S. RRs' 9-year Intermodal
                    Volume CAGR = +0.7%                                11,000,000                                                                                                  800,000
                                                                                                                                                 837,575

 10,000




                                                                                                                                                           9,881,000
                                                           9,956,000                                                    738,207
                                                                                                                                                                                   700,000
                                                                                                                                                                        9.3%
  9,000      9,286,000                         9,350,000
                              9,045,000

                                                                                                           629,533
  8,000                                                                                                                                                                            600,000
                                                                                          598,857
                                                                        581,894
                                                                                                                                                 7.3%
  7,000
                                                           527,404                                                                                                                 500,000

                                               473,856
  6,000                                                                                                                  6.1%
                               446,569
             425,304                                                                                                                                                               400,000
                                                            5.3%         5.3%
  5,000                                         5.1%                                       5.1%             5.1%
                                4.9%
              4.6%
  4,000                                                                                                                                                                            300,000



  3,000
                                                                                                                                                                                   200,000


  2,000

                                                                                                                                                                                   100,000
  1,000



      0                                                                                                                                                                            0
              2000              2001            2002        2003         2004              2005             2006         2007                     2008                  2009
                             AAR Total US Intermodal                            JBHT Total Intermodal                               JBHT Intermodal
                             Loads, 9-yr. ('00-'09)                             Loads, 9-yr. (''00-'09)                             as % of AAR total
                             CAGR = 0.7%                                        CAGR = 8.9%                                         U.S. Intermodal


       AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                             Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and AAR reports.
Intermodal Gross Revenues: Class 1 Railroads vs. JBHT Intermodal
Class 1 RRs' Intermodal                                                                                                                                         JBHT's Intermodal
Gross Revenues,                                                                                                                                                  Gross Revenues,
US$s in millions                                                                                                                                                  US$s in millions
$18,000                                                                                                                                                                      $2,000

            JBHT's 9-year Intermodal                                                                                                       $1,952
            Revenue CAGR = 11.2%
                                                                                                                                                                             $1,800
$16,000
           Class 1 RR's 9-year Intermodal                                                                                                                       $1,764
           Revenue CAGR = 3.6%




                                                                                                                                 $15,238
                                                                                                                        $1,653                                               $1,600
$14,000




                                                                                                              $14,324
                                                                                                  $14,192


                                                                                                  $1,430                                                                     $1,400
                                                                                       $12,688
$12,000




                                                                                                                                                      $11,809
                                                                                       $1,284
                                                                                                                                                                             $1,200
                                                                             $10,943
$10,000
                                                                              $1,115
                                                            $9,735
                                                                                                                                                                             $1,000
                                            $9,124
             $8,616           $8,574
 $8,000                                                      $936

                                                                                                                                                                             $800
                                            $809
                              $741
 $6,000
              $681
                                                                                                                                                                             $600



 $4,000
                                                                                                                                                                             $400



 $2,000
                                                                                                                                                                             $200




    $0                                                                                                                                                                       $0
              2000             2001          2002            2003              2004     2005        2006                 2007               2008                 2009
                                                     7 North American                            JBHT Intermodal,
                                                     Class 1 RRs, 9-yr. ('00-'09)                9-yr. ('00-'09)
                                                     CAGR = +3.6%                                CAGR = +11.2%


   AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Intermodal Marketing Companies (IMCs) vs. JBHT Intermodal
             Intermodal Load Totals               Load Volumes
                     1,300,000
                                                  1,306,237
                     1,200,000

                                                              1,165,015
                     1,100,000                                             1,135,582      1,137,938


                     1,000,000                                                                               1,053,771
                                                                                                                                994,174

                       900,000
                                                                                                                     915,413
                       800,000
                                                                                                837,575

                       700,000
                                                                                738,207
                       600,000

                                                   598,857       629,533
                                      581,894
                       500,000


                       400,000                                Since YE '04 independent Intermodal Marketing
                                                           Companies (the IMCs tracked by IANA) have watched
                       300,000                             their annual Intermodal volumes decline by ~312,000
                                                         shipments/yr. During that same time span JBHT's annual
                       200,000                            Intermodal volumes grew by an near identical amount,
                                                                           ~334,000 shipments/yr.
                       100,000


                                 0

                                     2004
                                                  2005
                                                                2006
                                                                              2007
                                                                                              2008
JBHT total Intermodal loads,         IANA IMC total Intermodal loads,                                              2009
5-yr. CAGR = +9.5%                   5-yr. CAGR = -5.3%


AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                  Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and IANA reports.
Recent Railroad & JBHT Intermodal Unit Volumes
Railroad Intermodal                                                                                  JBHT Intermodal
   Unit Volumes                                                                                       Unit Volumes
                                                                                         915,413
                                                                                                             900,000           KSU
                                                                                                                               3-year
                                                                                                                               ('06-'09)
                                                         837,575
5,000,000                                                                                                                      CAGR =
                                                                                                                               -7.4%%
                                                                                                             800,000
                                                                                                                               CP
                                                                                                                               3-year
                                          738,207                                                                              ('06-'09)
                                                                                                                               CAGR =
                                                                                                             700,000           -6.0%

4,000,000                                                                                                                      CNR
                                                                                                                               3-year
                      629,533
                                                                                                                               ('06-'09)
                                                                                                      BNI                      CAGR =
                                                                                                             600,000           -2.1%
                                                                                                                               CSX
                                                                                                                               3-year
                                                                                                                               ('06-'09)
3,000,000                                                                                                    500,000           CAGR =
                                                                                                                               -4.4%
                                                                                                                               NSC
                                                                                               UNP
                                                                                                                               3-year
                                                                                                             400,000           ('06-'09)
                                                                                         NSC
                                                                                                                               CAGR =
                                                                                                                               -8.1%
2,000,000                                                                                                                      UNP
                                                                                                                               3-year
                                                                                                             300,000           ('06-'09)
                                                                                  CSX
                                                                                                                               CAGR =
                                                                                                                               -7.1%
                                                                                                                               BNI
                                                                                                             200,000           3-year
                                                                                CNR                                            ('06-'09)
1,000,000
                                                                                                                               CAGR =
                                                                           CP                                                  -10.7

                                                                                                             100,000           JBHT
                                                                                                                               3-year
                                                                     KSU                                                       ('06-'09)
                                                                                                                               CAGR =
                                                                                                                               +13.3%
       0                                                                                                     0
                            2006                2007          2008                    2009




   AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                           Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and AAR reports.
Key Intermediaries' Intermodal Revenues
Intermodal Revenues,
US$s in millions
    $2,000
                         Little has changed for
                         Pacer and Hub Group
                          in the nine full years                                                                                           $1,764
    $1,750                       between
                             2000 and 2009!


    $1,500




    $1,250
                                                                                                                                  $1,191


                                                                                                                                 $1,055
               $1,004
    $1,000
                           $959



                                                                          In the meantime, JB Hunt has nearly tripled
     $750                                                                    its Intermodal revenues, and surely to
                             $681
                                                                           Pacer's and Hub's considerable detriment!
                                                                         Now facing JBHT's formidable traction here, do
                                                                                either PACR or HUBG have much
     $500
                                                                          chance for substantive Intermodal growth?



     $250




        $0
                  2000              2001          2002    2003    2004          2005       2006         2007          2008            2009

                                           LSTR          CHRW            HUBG              PACR                JBHT



        AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                 Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Key Intermediaries Gross Intermodal Revenues
  Gross Intermodal                                                                                                                         Avg. On-road
  Revenues,                                                                                                                                Diesel Price,
  US$s in millions                                                                                                                            US$s/gal.
$2,000                                                                                                                                              $4.000




$1,750                                                                                                                                              $3.500




$1,500                                                                                                                                              $3.000




$1,250                                                                                                                                              $2.500




$1,000                                                                                                                                              $2.000




 $750                                                                                                                                               $1.500




 $500                                                                                                                                               $1.000




 $250                                                                                                                                               $0.500




   $0                                                                                                                                               $0.000
               2000           2001     2002             2003         2004         2005          2006     2007          2008            2009


                  LSTR               CHRW                      PACR                  HUBG               JBHT                     Avg. On-road
                  9-year ('00-'08)   9-year ('00-'08)          9-year ('00-'09)      9-year ('00-'09)   9-year ('00-'09)         Diesel Price,
                  CAGR = +1.4%       CAGR = +10.4%             CAGR = +2.4%          CAGR = +0.5%       CAGR = +11.2%            US$s/gal.



         AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                    Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Comparing HUBG, PACR and JBHT Intermodal Revenues
  Gross Intermodal                                                                                                                                                                             Avg. On-road
  Revenues,                                                                                                                                                                                    Diesel Price,
  US$s in millions                                                                                                                                                                                US$s/gal.

$2,000                                                                                                                                                                                                  $4.000

                                                                                                                                                                             $1,952
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $3.750
$1,800

                                                                                                                                                                                               $1,764
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $3.500
$1,600                                                                                                                                                     $1,653       $1,633
                                                                                                                                                      $1,568
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $3.250
                                                                                                                                    $1,492
$1,400                                                                                                                                   $1,430
                                                                                                                  $1,403
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $3.000
                                                                                                                                                                    $1,329
                                                                                                                       $1,284
$1,200                                                                                          $1,250
                                                                                                                                                  $1,206                                                $2.750
                                                                                                                                $1,173                                                    $1,191
                                                                          $1,154
                                                                                                     $1,115
                                 $1,076                                                                       $1,080
$1,000                                               $1,053                                                                                                                           $1,055            $2.500
         $1,004                                                                             $1,015
               $959                                                    $977
                                                                                     $936
                             $905                 $915
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $2.250
 $800
                                                                $809
                                           $741
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $2.000
                      $681
 $600                                                                                                                           As fuel prices and fuel surcharges
                                                                                                                           declined, HUBG's and PACR's Intermodal
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $1.750
                                                                                                                                    revenues fell even faster.
 $400                                                                                                                      Little wonder that neither HUBG nor PACR
                                                                                                                             disclose Intermodal segment shipping                                       $1.500
                                                                                                                                       volumes or margins.
 $200
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $1.250



   $0                                                                                                                                                                                                   $1.000
              2000                  2001                 2002                 2003               2004              2005              2006              2007              2008              2009

                             HUBG                                               PACR                                            JBHT                                         Avg. On-road
                             9-year ('00-'09)                                   9-year ('00-'09)                                9-year ('00-'09)                             Diesel Price,
                             CAGR = +0.5%                                       CAGR = +2.4%                                    CAGR = +11.2%                                US$s/gal.



     AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                                          Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
YE 2000 Key Intermodal Intermediaries' Market Shares
                                   How the Top 5 divided US$2.8 billion of 2000 Intermodal Revenue



                                            CH
                                               RW
                           LST
                                 R, $             ,      $7                                    HUBG
                                        67 m               6m
                                            il., 2              il.,                       $1,004 million
                                                     %                 3%
                                                                                                37%
   JBHT
$681 million
    24%


                                                                               PACR
                                                                            $959 million
                                                                                34%




      LSTR                                 CHRW                             HUBG                PACR                        JBHT




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                    Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
YE 2006 Key Intermodal Intermediaries' Market Shares
                                      How the Top 5 divided US$4.4 billion of 2006 Intermodal Revenue



                                                     CHRW
                            LST                                                        HUBG
                                  R, $             $167million
                                       123
                                           mil.        4%                          $1,173 million
                                                , 3%
                                                                                        27%

    JBHT
$1,430 million
     33%

                                                                                           PACR
                                                                                       $1,492 million
                                                                                            33%




       LSTR                                CHRW                    HUBG                      PACR                       JBHT




 AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                               Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
YE 2009 Key Intermodal Intermediaries' Market Shares
                                  How the Top 5 divided US$4.3 billion of 2009 Intermodal Revenue



                                                 CHRW                         HUBG
                           LST
                              R, $
                                  76 m
                                               $186 million               $1,055 million
                                         il., 2     4%
                                               %                               25%




          JBHT
      $1,764 million                                                                                     PACR
           41%                                                                                       $1,191 million
                                                                                                          28%




                  While these top 5 generated ~$4.27 billion of gross Intermodal revenue during 2009, or ~$1.49 billion
                      more than during 2000, JBHT Intermodal captured 74% (~$1.1 billion) of that total increase.
                                Have HUBG and PACR been "asleep at the switch" for the past 9 years?




      LSTR                                 CHRW                 HUBG                       PACR                       JBHT




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                              Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
JBHT Total and Intermodal Revenues
 Revenues,
 US$s in millions
$4,000


                            JBHT's 9-year
                                                                                                                                                        $3,732
                            Total Revenue
$3,500                      CAGR = 4.5%
                                                                                                                                      $3,490

                                                                                                                    $3,328
                                                                                                                                                                          $3,203
                                                                                                  $3,128
$3,000

                              JBHT's 9-year
                           Intermodal Revenue                                   $2,786
                              CAGR = 11.2%
$2,500
                                                               $2,433

                                               $2,248
          $2,160
$2,000                       $2,100
                                                                                                                                                                 $1,952

                                                                                                                                                                                   $1,764
                                                                                                                                               $1,653
$1,500
                                                                                                                             $1,430
                                                                                                           $1,284

$1,000                                                                                   $1,115

                                                                        $936
                                                        $809
                                       $741
                    $681
 $500




   $0
              2000               2001               2002            2003            2004              2005              2006              2007              2008              2009


                                      Total revenue (FSC included), 9-yr. CAGR = +4.5%               Intermodal revenue (FSC included), 9-yr. CAGR = +11.2%



  AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                                  Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Opr. Income,                                   JBHT Operating Incomes, Total vs. Intermodal                                                                              Intermodal's % of
  US$s in thousands                                                                                                                                                        Total Opr.Income
$375,000                                                                                                                                                                              80.0%
                   JBHT's 9-year Total                                                                           $373,000
                                                                                                                                  $369,000
                      Opr.Income
$350,000                                                                                                                                           $358,418
                     CAGR = 16.4%
                                                                                                $343,900                                                                 74.0%
$325,000                                                                                                                                                                              70.0%
                                                                                                                                                       70.8%
                JBHT's 9-year Intermodal
                      Opr.Income
$300,000                                                                       $310,223
                    CAGR = 19.1%
                                                                                                                                      64.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                      60.0%
$275,000

                57.9%            58.3%
$250,000
                                                                                                                                                         $253,913
                                                  54.1%                                                                                                              $247,971
                                                                                                                                        $239,000                                      50.0%
$225,000
                                                                   49.1%                                             48.8%

$200,000
                                                                                                    43.6%
                                                                                   42.2%                                                                                              40.0%
$175,000                                                       $185,635                                                                                                    $183,377
                                                                                                                       $182,000


$150,000
                                                                                                      $149,800                                                                        30.0%

$125,000                                                                             $131,000


$100,000
                                             $101,000                                                                                                                                 20.0%
                                                                     $91,200
 $75,000
                             $72,200
            $63,400
 $50,000                                            $54,600                                                                                                                           10.0%
                                   $42,100
                   $36,700
 $25,000


     $0                                                                                                                                                                               0.0%
                 2000             2001            2002              2003            2004             2005             2006             2007             2008              2009
                      Total operating income (FSC included),               Intermodal operating income (FSC included),                 Intermodal's % of Total Operating Income
                      9-yr. CAGR = +16.4%                                  9-yr. CAGR = +19.6%



           AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                           Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
JBHT Intermodal Revenues and Operating Incomes
   US$s in millions
  $2,000.0                                                                                                             $1,952                  $300.0




  $1,800.0                                                                                                                         $1,764


                                                                                                      $1,653
                                                                                                                       $254                    $250.0
  $1,600.0
                                                                                                       $239

                                                                                         $1,430
  $1,400.0

                                                                           $1,284                                                              $200.0


  $1,200.0
                                                                                         $182                                       $183
                                                                  $1,115



  $1,000.0                                                                                                                                     $150.0
                                                   $936
                                                                           $150

                                      $809
                                                                  $131
   $800.0                  $741
                 $681
                                                                                                                                               $100.0
   $600.0
                                                    $91



   $400.0

                                       $55                                                                                                     $50.0

                           $42
   $200.0        $37




     $0.0                                                                                                                                      $0.0
                 2000      2001       2002          2003           2004     2005          2006         2007             2008        2009
                                  JBHT Intermodal Gross Revenue                     JBHT Intermodal Operating Income
                                  9-yr. ('00-'09) CAGR= +11.2%                      9-yr. ('00-'09) CAGR= +19.6%




AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                        Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Comparing Gross Revenues
         Gross Revenues
         US$s in millions                   of JBHT Intermodal to Regular-truckers Werner & Swift

                                                                                                                                                $3,163
                                                               $3,115
$3,000
                                                                                          $3,048                     $3,043




                                   $2,654
$2,500




                                                                                                                                                                            $2,338
                                                                                                                                                                             Swift

$2,000

                                                                                                                                       $1,952
                                                                                                                              $1,882
                                                                        $1,801                     $1,795
                                             $1,742                                                                                                               $1,764
                                                                                                            $1,653                                                 JBI
$1,500
            $1,507
                                                                                 $1,430                                                                  $1,438
                                                                                                                                                         WERN
                                                      $1,284

                       $1,115
$1,000                                                                                             During YE 2009, the TL segments
                                                                                                      of Swift and WERN failed to
                                                                                                       match even their YE 2004
                                                                                                    revenues; yet JBHT Intermodal
 $500                                                                                                (JBI) was ~58% above its '04
                                                                                                             performance.


   $0
                            2004                       2005                       2006                       2007                       2008                         2009




                              Werner - Trucking Revenues,                            JBHT Intermodal Revenues,                            Swift - Trucking Revenues,
                              5-yr. ('04-'09)                                        5-yr. ('04-'09)                                      5-yr. ('04-'09)
                              CAGR= -0.9%                                            CAGR= +9.6%                                          CAGR= -2.5%




     AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                            Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
JBHT Intermodal's Operating Income Grows ('09 vs. '04)
Operating Incomes
 US$s in millions                   Amidst Declines of Regular-truckers Werner & Swift
 $250                                                                                                    $254

                                                                                     $239
                                                                       $235




 $200



                                                  $184          $182                                                              JBHT
                                                                                                                               Intermodal
                           $170                                                                                                 $183 mil.

 $150                               $156
                                           $150

          $136
                    $131                                                                                                                   Swift
                                                                                                                                         Trucking
                                                         $122                 $122
                                                                                                                                         $132 mil.
                                                                                            $113                $115
 $100

                                                                                                   $95




                                                                                                                        WERN
                                                                                                                       Trucking
  $50                                                                                                                  $68 mil.




   $0
                    2004                   2005                 2006                 2007                2008                     2009


                    Werner - Trucking Opr.Income                  JBHT Intermodal Opr.Income               Swift - Trucking Opr.Income
                    5-yr. ('04-'09)                               5-yr. ('04-'09)                          5-yr. ('04-'09)
                    CAGR= -12.9%.                                 CAGR= +7.0%                              CAGR= -4.9%




    AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                           Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
JBHT Intermodal's Per-truck Per-month Operating Incomes
  Operating Incomes
 Per-Truck Per-Month
                                 Far Surpass Those of Regular-truckers Werner & Swift
$12,000
                                                                                                   $11,792




                                                                                                                           $10,475
$10,000                                                                $10,213
                                              $9,915


                   $9,158


 $8,000




                                                                                                                                                     JBHT
                                                                                                                                                     $6,927
 $6,000




 $4,000




 $2,000


                                     $1,488                   $1,489
          $1,339
                                                                                 $1,091   $1,187
                                                                                                                    $986                    WERN
                              $763                     $840
                                                                                                                                            $962              Swift
                                                                                                             $505                    $524
    $0                                                                                                                                                        $659

                       2004                    2005                     2006                        2007                    2008                      2009


                       Werner - Trucking Opr.Income                       JBHT Intermodal Opr.Income                           Swift - Trucking Opr.Income
                       Per Trk. Per Month                                 Per Trk. Per Month                                   Per Trk. Per Month
                       5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -6.4%                        5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -5.4%                          5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -2.9%




    AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                                Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
JBHT Intermodal % of JBHT Overall Results

                                                                                                                                       74.0%
    75.0%

                             Intermodal's % of JBHT's                                                                   70.8%
                             total operating income.




                                                                                                           64.8%
                                                                                                                                    Intermodal's % of
    65.0%                                                                                                                           JBHT's total revenue.




              57.9%          58.3%



                                             54.1%
    55.0%
                                                                                                                                       55.1%

                                                          49.1%                              48.8%                      52.3%
%



    45.0%                                                                       43.6%                      47.4%
                                                                       42.2%


                                                                                             43.0%
                                                                                41.0%
                                                                       40.0%
                                                          38.5%
    35.0%
                                             36.0%
                             35.3%


              31.5%



    25.0%
               2000          2001             2002        2003          2004    2005          2006         2007         2008            2009


                                              Intermodal's % of Total Revenue           Intermodal's % of Total Operating Income



      AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                           Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
Publicly-held North American Intermodal Participants - Market Values on March 8, 2010

Market Capitalizations
@ 3/09/2009, US$s in millions


    Intermodal accounted for 76% of PACR's 2009 gross revenue.                           Pacer International - PACR, $234


    Intermodal accounted for 70% of HUBG's 2009 gross revenue.                                                Hub Group - HUBG, $1,060


    Intermodal accounted for 4% of LSTR's 2009 gross revenue.                                                 Landstar System - LSTR, $2,000


    Intermodal accounted for 55% of JBHT's 2009 gross revenue.                                                     JB Hunt Transport - JBHT, $4,510


    Intermodal accounted for 2% of CHRW's 2009 gross revenue.                                                               CH Robinson - CHRW, $8,840




                                                                                                                            Kansas City Southern
    Intermodal accounted for 12% of KSU's 2009 gross revenue.
                                                                                                                                KSU, $3,490

    Intermodal accounted for 26% of CP's 2009 gross revenue.                                                                 Canadian Pacific - CP, $9,140


    Intermodal accounted for 28% of CSX's 2009 gross revenue.                                                                            CSX Corp. - CSX, $19,420


    Intermodal accounted for 19% of NSC's 2009 gross revenue.                                                                   Norfolk Southern - NSC, $19,830


    Intermodal accounted for 18% of CNR's 2009 gross revenue.                                                                     Canadian National - CNR, $27,170

    Intermodal accounted for 28% of BNI's 2009 gross revenue.
                                                                                                                                   Burlington Northern - BNI, $34,140


    Intermodal accounted for 18% of UNP's 2009 gross revenue.                                                                              Union Pacific - UNP, $35,590


$0.001                                                                                     $10.000                                                                        $100,000.000
   SPECIAL NOTE: This a 3 decimal point logarithmic scale, from Zero to $100.0 billion ($100,000 millions).




         AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC                                                                                                        Source Data: NYSE and NASDAQ records.
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The North American Intermodal Marketplace @ YE2009

  • 1. Select Views Of The North American Intermodal Marketplace, Past & Present Including Its Key Participants,* The Railroads, Intermediaries, and Truckers *Excepting privately-held Schneider National, Inc., for which data details are not publicly available. Thom A. Williams, managing director March 9, 2010
  • 2. The Objects of Our Affection:
  • 3. Class 1 Railroads' Intermodal Revenues RR Intermodal Revenues US$s in millions $5,500 BNI $5,000 $4,500 $4,000 UNP $3,500 The North American $3,000 NSC Intermodal sector's fortune is inextricably $2,500 linked to international CSX trade! About 60 percent of N. A. rail $2,000 CNR intermodal traffic consists of $1,500 merchandise imports CP and exports. In 2008, $1,000 the number of international $500 intermodal containers moved by rail from $0 KSU the seaports totaled 7.8 million. 00 01 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 20 20 KSU, 9-yr. ('00-'09) CP, 9-yr. ('00-'09) CNR, 9-yr. ('00-'09) CSX, 9-yr. ('00-'09) NSC, 9-yr. ('00-'09) UNP, 9-yr. ('00-'09) BNI, 9-yr. ('00-'09) CAGR = +12.4% CAGR = +4.2% CAGR = +4.3 CAGR = +0.3 CAGR = +3.5% CAGR = +3.0% CAGR = +4.5% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 4. U.S. Maritime Port and Railroad Container Volumes TEUs in thousands 45,000 45,000 44,400 42,000 Totals are for all container ports, including all container traffic (both loaded and empty 40,000 TEUs) in U.S. international maritime activity, U.S. imports and exports. 38,700 38,000 35,000 36,300 Totals are for all container ports, reflecting only loaded containers (as TEUs) in U.S. international maritime activity, U.S. imports and exports. 32,700 30,000 Totals reported by the National Retail Federation's & Global 28,969 Insight's Port-Tracker data, TEUs 28,190 27,600 shipped through major U.S. 25,000 26,100 container ports. 23,900 21,300 AAR reported total U.S. 20,000 and Canadian container 19,700 (COFC + TOFC) load volumes. 16,504 16,428 15,000 15,402 15,200 14,639 14,437 14,027 13,939 13,959 13,160 12,700 12,465 12,108 11,996 11,600 10,000 11,383 5,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 RITA-BTS U.S. Total All Loaded & Empty TEU Traffic RITA-BTS U.S. Total International International TEU Traffic NRF-PortTracker Total Loaded TEUs Shipped to Major Retail Ports American Assoc. of Railroads Total Intermodal (COFC + TOFC) Volumes AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: RITA-BTS, NRF-PortTracker, and AAR reports and records.
  • 5. Class 1 Railroads' Intermodal Revenues GrossRevenues Avg. On-road Diesel US$s in millions Price, US$s/gal. $16,000 $3.750 $161 $1,400 Fuel surcharges increases $213 $254 $3.550 $14,000 considerably masked otherwise dull revenue growths. $1,257 $1,318 $3.350 $1,580 $220 $12,000 $1,394 $1,382 $1,161 $3.150 $143 $1,466 $1,130 KSU, 9-yr. ('00- $60 $1,270 $1,412 $1,356 $2.950 '09) $1,035 CAGR = $10,000 +12.4% $1,337 $53 $2,058 CP, 9-yr. ('00- $1,362 $2.750 $940 $1,117 '09) $51 $1,921 CAGR = +4.2% $1,971 $50 $44 $882 $1,204 $782 $1,101 $2.550 CNR, 9-yr. ('00- $8,000 $804 $1,346 '09) $1,052 $1,826 CAGR = +4.3 $919 $969 $1,530 $1,264 $3,023 $2.350 CSX, 9-yr. ('00- $1,180 $1,537 $2,805 $2,925 '09) $1,168 $1,112 CAGR = +0.3 $6,000 $2.150 $1,239 $2,466 NSC, 9-yr. ('00- $1,181 $2,486 $1,119 $1,123 '09) $2,240 $1.950 CAGR = +3.5% $2,066 UNP, 9-yr. ('00- $4,000 $1,995 '09) $1,909 $1,905 $1.750 CAGR = +3.0% $5,551 BNI, 9-yr. ('00- $5,140 $5,168 $1.550 '09) $4,383 CAGR = +4.5% $2,000 $3,979 $3,608 $2,783 $3,072 Avg. On-road $2,669 $2,618 $1.350 Diesel Price, US$s/gal. $0 $1.150 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 6. Container and Intermodal Volumes vs. RR Intermodal Revenues, 2006 - 2009 Total Container Volumes, Total RR Intermodal Revenues, in thousands US$s in millions 20,000 $16,000 $15,238 $14,324 $14,000 $14,192 17,500 $12,000 17,375 $11,809 16,865 16,428 16,504 $10,000 16,051 15,000 15,200 $8,000 $6,000 13,746 12,500 12,700 $4,000 YE2009 vs. YE2006: Container counts of imported goods fell ~23%, to 12.7 million at YE '09, and the railroads carried ~21% fewer intermodal shipments in '09 than during '06. $2,000 What does not arrive at the ports is not transported across the Nation. 10,000 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 RR Intermodal Shipments NRF Port Volumes RR Intermodal Revenue AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and reports and records of the AAR and NRF-PortTracker.
  • 7. 2005 Intermodal Railroads' Market Shares How the 7 Class 1 RRs divided US$12.7 billion of '05 Intermodal revenues: KSU 2% CP CSX 9% 11% CNR NSC 10% 14% BNI UNP 35% 19% BNI CNR CP CSX KSU NSC UNP AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 8. 2009 Intermodal Railroads' Market Shares How the 7 Class 1 RRs divided US$11.8 billion of '09 Intermodal revenues: KSU 1% CP CSX 10% 10% CNR NSC 11% 13% UNP BNI 21% 34% BNI CNR CP CSX KSU NSC UNP AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 9. Western (BNI, UNP & KSU) vs. Eastern (CSX & NSC) Intermodal Revenues, U.S. Railroad Intermodal Revenues US$s in millions $9,000 BNI, The Mississippi River essentially UNP $8,000 separates the spheres of influence of the BNI, BNI, & KSU Western-focused railroads (BNI, UNP and UNP UNP $8,735 & KSU KSU) from CSX and NSC, which likewise & KSU $8,347 $7,000 dominate the Eastern third of the U.S. $8,158 BNI, UNP BNI, & KSU $6,000 UNP $7,069 BNI, & KSU UNP $6,608 $5,000 BNI, & KSU BNI, UNP $5,908 BNI, BNI, UNP & KSU UNP $4,000 UNP & KSU $5,191 & KSU & KSU $4,829 $4,628 $4,567 $3,000 CSX CSX CSX CSX CSX & NSC & NSC & NSC & NSC CSX CSX & NSC $3,383 $3,524 $2,000 CSX CSX $3,188 $3,277 & NSC $2,883 CSX & NSC & NSC & NSC $2,287 & NSC $2,235 $2,361 $2,503 $2,734 $1,000 $0 BNI, 2000 2001 UNP & KSU 2002 2003 2004 CSX & NSC 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total annual Freight Ton Miles (Rail and Truck movements, combined) incurred within States east of the Mississippi consistently account for near 60% of total U.S. freight ton mileage, but now just 29% of total RR Intermodal revenues. Keep an eye on NSC's new alliance with JBHT and CSX's with Schneider National; from the freight ton per mile perspective, Eastern U.S. Intermodal revenues may soon far surpass what they are today. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 10. Population Density Drives Overall Freight Ton Miles: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC
  • 11. Freight Tonnage on Highways, Railroads, and Inland Waterways: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 12. Tonnage on Trailer-on-Flatcar and Container-on-Flatcar RR Intermodal Moves: 2006 This display illuminates: (1) Intermodal’s strengths west of the Mississippi, where longer transport distances (avg. 1,500+ miles) are dominant; and, (2) Intermodal’s still-present challenges to capture revenues from trucking in the much-larger freight markets of the Eastern States, where the shorter transport distances handicap Intermodal’s “rail vs. truck” pricing advantages. Note, e.g., how little Intermodal flows to or from the East via rail from or to St. Louis, Memphis and Dallas. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: reports of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and the International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 13. Major Truck Routes on the National Highway System: The Interstate Highways are congested, the Rails are open, and Shippers always seek to reduce costs. Herein lie the substantial future Intermodal opportunities for CSX, NSC, JBHT, and others! AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 14. Major Freight Corridors: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 15. Components of the Major Freight Corridors: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 16. Current Train Volumes Compared to Current Capacity: Clearly, CSX & NSC (dominant holders of rail lanes east of the Mississippi River) are far from lacking capacity to increase their revenues via growing Intermodal activities! AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 17. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 18. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 19. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 20. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 21. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 22. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 23. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: public records of the USDOT FHWA & FRA, and International Union of Combined Rail-Road Transport Companies (UIRR).
  • 24. How the Truckload vs. Intermodal Freight Mix Appears Today: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: JB Hunt Transport Inc.
  • 25. How the Truckload vs. Intermodal Freight Mix Will Look in 10-15 Years: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: JB Hunt Transport Inc.
  • 26. Now, Let’s Take a Closer Look at JB Hunt Intermodal’s Very Successful Journey via Train: AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC
  • 27. Intermodal Load Volumes: AAR U.S. vs. JBHT Intermodal AAR Total U.S. Intermodal Loads, JBHT Total in thousands Intermodal Loads JBHT's 9-year Intermodal 900,000 12,000 Volume CAGR = +8.9% 12,280,000 12,030,000 915,413 11,690,000 11,510,000 11,000 AAR U.S. RRs' 9-year Intermodal Volume CAGR = +0.7% 11,000,000 800,000 837,575 10,000 9,881,000 9,956,000 738,207 700,000 9.3% 9,000 9,286,000 9,350,000 9,045,000 629,533 8,000 600,000 598,857 581,894 7.3% 7,000 527,404 500,000 473,856 6,000 6.1% 446,569 425,304 400,000 5.3% 5.3% 5,000 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.9% 4.6% 4,000 300,000 3,000 200,000 2,000 100,000 1,000 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 AAR Total US Intermodal JBHT Total Intermodal JBHT Intermodal Loads, 9-yr. ('00-'09) Loads, 9-yr. (''00-'09) as % of AAR total CAGR = 0.7% CAGR = 8.9% U.S. Intermodal AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and AAR reports.
  • 28. Intermodal Gross Revenues: Class 1 Railroads vs. JBHT Intermodal Class 1 RRs' Intermodal JBHT's Intermodal Gross Revenues, Gross Revenues, US$s in millions US$s in millions $18,000 $2,000 JBHT's 9-year Intermodal $1,952 Revenue CAGR = 11.2% $1,800 $16,000 Class 1 RR's 9-year Intermodal $1,764 Revenue CAGR = 3.6% $15,238 $1,653 $1,600 $14,000 $14,324 $14,192 $1,430 $1,400 $12,688 $12,000 $11,809 $1,284 $1,200 $10,943 $10,000 $1,115 $9,735 $1,000 $9,124 $8,616 $8,574 $8,000 $936 $800 $809 $741 $6,000 $681 $600 $4,000 $400 $2,000 $200 $0 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 7 North American JBHT Intermodal, Class 1 RRs, 9-yr. ('00-'09) 9-yr. ('00-'09) CAGR = +3.6% CAGR = +11.2% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 29. Intermodal Marketing Companies (IMCs) vs. JBHT Intermodal Intermodal Load Totals Load Volumes 1,300,000 1,306,237 1,200,000 1,165,015 1,100,000 1,135,582 1,137,938 1,000,000 1,053,771 994,174 900,000 915,413 800,000 837,575 700,000 738,207 600,000 598,857 629,533 581,894 500,000 400,000 Since YE '04 independent Intermodal Marketing Companies (the IMCs tracked by IANA) have watched 300,000 their annual Intermodal volumes decline by ~312,000 shipments/yr. During that same time span JBHT's annual 200,000 Intermodal volumes grew by an near identical amount, ~334,000 shipments/yr. 100,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 JBHT total Intermodal loads, IANA IMC total Intermodal loads, 2009 5-yr. CAGR = +9.5% 5-yr. CAGR = -5.3% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and IANA reports.
  • 30. Recent Railroad & JBHT Intermodal Unit Volumes Railroad Intermodal JBHT Intermodal Unit Volumes Unit Volumes 915,413 900,000 KSU 3-year ('06-'09) 837,575 5,000,000 CAGR = -7.4%% 800,000 CP 3-year 738,207 ('06-'09) CAGR = 700,000 -6.0% 4,000,000 CNR 3-year 629,533 ('06-'09) BNI CAGR = 600,000 -2.1% CSX 3-year ('06-'09) 3,000,000 500,000 CAGR = -4.4% NSC UNP 3-year 400,000 ('06-'09) NSC CAGR = -8.1% 2,000,000 UNP 3-year 300,000 ('06-'09) CSX CAGR = -7.1% BNI 200,000 3-year CNR ('06-'09) 1,000,000 CAGR = CP -10.7 100,000 JBHT 3-year KSU ('06-'09) CAGR = +13.3% 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K and AAR reports.
  • 31. Key Intermediaries' Intermodal Revenues Intermodal Revenues, US$s in millions $2,000 Little has changed for Pacer and Hub Group in the nine full years $1,764 $1,750 between 2000 and 2009! $1,500 $1,250 $1,191 $1,055 $1,004 $1,000 $959 In the meantime, JB Hunt has nearly tripled $750 its Intermodal revenues, and surely to $681 Pacer's and Hub's considerable detriment! Now facing JBHT's formidable traction here, do either PACR or HUBG have much $500 chance for substantive Intermodal growth? $250 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 LSTR CHRW HUBG PACR JBHT AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 32. Key Intermediaries Gross Intermodal Revenues Gross Intermodal Avg. On-road Revenues, Diesel Price, US$s in millions US$s/gal. $2,000 $4.000 $1,750 $3.500 $1,500 $3.000 $1,250 $2.500 $1,000 $2.000 $750 $1.500 $500 $1.000 $250 $0.500 $0 $0.000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 LSTR CHRW PACR HUBG JBHT Avg. On-road 9-year ('00-'08) 9-year ('00-'08) 9-year ('00-'09) 9-year ('00-'09) 9-year ('00-'09) Diesel Price, CAGR = +1.4% CAGR = +10.4% CAGR = +2.4% CAGR = +0.5% CAGR = +11.2% US$s/gal. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 33. Comparing HUBG, PACR and JBHT Intermodal Revenues Gross Intermodal Avg. On-road Revenues, Diesel Price, US$s in millions US$s/gal. $2,000 $4.000 $1,952 $3.750 $1,800 $1,764 $3.500 $1,600 $1,653 $1,633 $1,568 $3.250 $1,492 $1,400 $1,430 $1,403 $3.000 $1,329 $1,284 $1,200 $1,250 $1,206 $2.750 $1,173 $1,191 $1,154 $1,115 $1,076 $1,080 $1,000 $1,053 $1,055 $2.500 $1,004 $1,015 $959 $977 $936 $905 $915 $2.250 $800 $809 $741 $2.000 $681 $600 As fuel prices and fuel surcharges declined, HUBG's and PACR's Intermodal $1.750 revenues fell even faster. $400 Little wonder that neither HUBG nor PACR disclose Intermodal segment shipping $1.500 volumes or margins. $200 $1.250 $0 $1.000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 HUBG PACR JBHT Avg. On-road 9-year ('00-'09) 9-year ('00-'09) 9-year ('00-'09) Diesel Price, CAGR = +0.5% CAGR = +2.4% CAGR = +11.2% US$s/gal. AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 34. YE 2000 Key Intermodal Intermediaries' Market Shares How the Top 5 divided US$2.8 billion of 2000 Intermodal Revenue CH RW LST R, $ , $7 HUBG 67 m 6m il., 2 il., $1,004 million % 3% 37% JBHT $681 million 24% PACR $959 million 34% LSTR CHRW HUBG PACR JBHT AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 35. YE 2006 Key Intermodal Intermediaries' Market Shares How the Top 5 divided US$4.4 billion of 2006 Intermodal Revenue CHRW LST HUBG R, $ $167million 123 mil. 4% $1,173 million , 3% 27% JBHT $1,430 million 33% PACR $1,492 million 33% LSTR CHRW HUBG PACR JBHT AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 36. YE 2009 Key Intermodal Intermediaries' Market Shares How the Top 5 divided US$4.3 billion of 2009 Intermodal Revenue CHRW HUBG LST R, $ 76 m $186 million $1,055 million il., 2 4% % 25% JBHT $1,764 million PACR 41% $1,191 million 28% While these top 5 generated ~$4.27 billion of gross Intermodal revenue during 2009, or ~$1.49 billion more than during 2000, JBHT Intermodal captured 74% (~$1.1 billion) of that total increase. Have HUBG and PACR been "asleep at the switch" for the past 9 years? LSTR CHRW HUBG PACR JBHT AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 37. JBHT Total and Intermodal Revenues Revenues, US$s in millions $4,000 JBHT's 9-year $3,732 Total Revenue $3,500 CAGR = 4.5% $3,490 $3,328 $3,203 $3,128 $3,000 JBHT's 9-year Intermodal Revenue $2,786 CAGR = 11.2% $2,500 $2,433 $2,248 $2,160 $2,000 $2,100 $1,952 $1,764 $1,653 $1,500 $1,430 $1,284 $1,000 $1,115 $936 $809 $741 $681 $500 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total revenue (FSC included), 9-yr. CAGR = +4.5% Intermodal revenue (FSC included), 9-yr. CAGR = +11.2% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 38. Opr. Income, JBHT Operating Incomes, Total vs. Intermodal Intermodal's % of US$s in thousands Total Opr.Income $375,000 80.0% JBHT's 9-year Total $373,000 $369,000 Opr.Income $350,000 $358,418 CAGR = 16.4% $343,900 74.0% $325,000 70.0% 70.8% JBHT's 9-year Intermodal Opr.Income $300,000 $310,223 CAGR = 19.1% 64.8% 60.0% $275,000 57.9% 58.3% $250,000 $253,913 54.1% $247,971 $239,000 50.0% $225,000 49.1% 48.8% $200,000 43.6% 42.2% 40.0% $175,000 $185,635 $183,377 $182,000 $150,000 $149,800 30.0% $125,000 $131,000 $100,000 $101,000 20.0% $91,200 $75,000 $72,200 $63,400 $50,000 $54,600 10.0% $42,100 $36,700 $25,000 $0 0.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total operating income (FSC included), Intermodal operating income (FSC included), Intermodal's % of Total Operating Income 9-yr. CAGR = +16.4% 9-yr. CAGR = +19.6% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 39. JBHT Intermodal Revenues and Operating Incomes US$s in millions $2,000.0 $1,952 $300.0 $1,800.0 $1,764 $1,653 $254 $250.0 $1,600.0 $239 $1,430 $1,400.0 $1,284 $200.0 $1,200.0 $182 $183 $1,115 $1,000.0 $150.0 $936 $150 $809 $131 $800.0 $741 $681 $100.0 $600.0 $91 $400.0 $55 $50.0 $42 $200.0 $37 $0.0 $0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 JBHT Intermodal Gross Revenue JBHT Intermodal Operating Income 9-yr. ('00-'09) CAGR= +11.2% 9-yr. ('00-'09) CAGR= +19.6% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 40. Comparing Gross Revenues Gross Revenues US$s in millions of JBHT Intermodal to Regular-truckers Werner & Swift $3,163 $3,115 $3,000 $3,048 $3,043 $2,654 $2,500 $2,338 Swift $2,000 $1,952 $1,882 $1,801 $1,795 $1,742 $1,764 $1,653 JBI $1,500 $1,507 $1,430 $1,438 WERN $1,284 $1,115 $1,000 During YE 2009, the TL segments of Swift and WERN failed to match even their YE 2004 revenues; yet JBHT Intermodal $500 (JBI) was ~58% above its '04 performance. $0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Werner - Trucking Revenues, JBHT Intermodal Revenues, Swift - Trucking Revenues, 5-yr. ('04-'09) 5-yr. ('04-'09) 5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -0.9% CAGR= +9.6% CAGR= -2.5% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 41. JBHT Intermodal's Operating Income Grows ('09 vs. '04) Operating Incomes US$s in millions Amidst Declines of Regular-truckers Werner & Swift $250 $254 $239 $235 $200 $184 $182 JBHT Intermodal $170 $183 mil. $150 $156 $150 $136 $131 Swift Trucking $122 $122 $132 mil. $113 $115 $100 $95 WERN Trucking $50 $68 mil. $0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Werner - Trucking Opr.Income JBHT Intermodal Opr.Income Swift - Trucking Opr.Income 5-yr. ('04-'09) 5-yr. ('04-'09) 5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -12.9%. CAGR= +7.0% CAGR= -4.9% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 42. JBHT Intermodal's Per-truck Per-month Operating Incomes Operating Incomes Per-Truck Per-Month Far Surpass Those of Regular-truckers Werner & Swift $12,000 $11,792 $10,475 $10,000 $10,213 $9,915 $9,158 $8,000 JBHT $6,927 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $1,488 $1,489 $1,339 $1,091 $1,187 $986 WERN $763 $840 $962 Swift $505 $524 $0 $659 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Werner - Trucking Opr.Income JBHT Intermodal Opr.Income Swift - Trucking Opr.Income Per Trk. Per Month Per Trk. Per Month Per Trk. Per Month 5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -6.4% 5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -5.4% 5-yr. ('04-'09) CAGR= -2.9% AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 43. JBHT Intermodal % of JBHT Overall Results 74.0% 75.0% Intermodal's % of JBHT's 70.8% total operating income. 64.8% Intermodal's % of 65.0% JBHT's total revenue. 57.9% 58.3% 54.1% 55.0% 55.1% 49.1% 48.8% 52.3% % 45.0% 43.6% 47.4% 42.2% 43.0% 41.0% 40.0% 38.5% 35.0% 36.0% 35.3% 31.5% 25.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Intermodal's % of Total Revenue Intermodal's % of Total Operating Income AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: SEC Forms 10-K.
  • 44. Publicly-held North American Intermodal Participants - Market Values on March 8, 2010 Market Capitalizations @ 3/09/2009, US$s in millions Intermodal accounted for 76% of PACR's 2009 gross revenue. Pacer International - PACR, $234 Intermodal accounted for 70% of HUBG's 2009 gross revenue. Hub Group - HUBG, $1,060 Intermodal accounted for 4% of LSTR's 2009 gross revenue. Landstar System - LSTR, $2,000 Intermodal accounted for 55% of JBHT's 2009 gross revenue. JB Hunt Transport - JBHT, $4,510 Intermodal accounted for 2% of CHRW's 2009 gross revenue. CH Robinson - CHRW, $8,840 Kansas City Southern Intermodal accounted for 12% of KSU's 2009 gross revenue. KSU, $3,490 Intermodal accounted for 26% of CP's 2009 gross revenue. Canadian Pacific - CP, $9,140 Intermodal accounted for 28% of CSX's 2009 gross revenue. CSX Corp. - CSX, $19,420 Intermodal accounted for 19% of NSC's 2009 gross revenue. Norfolk Southern - NSC, $19,830 Intermodal accounted for 18% of CNR's 2009 gross revenue. Canadian National - CNR, $27,170 Intermodal accounted for 28% of BNI's 2009 gross revenue. Burlington Northern - BNI, $34,140 Intermodal accounted for 18% of UNP's 2009 gross revenue. Union Pacific - UNP, $35,590 $0.001 $10.000 $100,000.000 SPECIAL NOTE: This a 3 decimal point logarithmic scale, from Zero to $100.0 billion ($100,000 millions). AmherstAlphaAdvisors LLC Source Data: NYSE and NASDAQ records.
  • 45. Q&A For further details and/or inquiries, please contact: