TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadership
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1. Jordanian Attitudes toward Israel
Findings from a national survey of Jordanian opinion
conducted by Pechter Polls for the Israel Project
November 19 –December 15, 2011
2. Jordan Survey Methodology
The survey was quantitative. Comprised of face to face interviews with
respondents in the privacy of their own homes.
The survey was undertaken by a local commercial survey firm in Lebanon
under the direction of Pechter Polls of Princeton, New Jersey.
Native speakers administered the survey in Arabic using a structured
questionnaire.
The survey employed a multi-stage probability household sampling
approach.
The survey was conducted November 19 through December 15, 2011.
The sample frame for Jordan was based on data from the Jordan
Department of Statistics 2004 census and its updates where relevant.
The sample size was 1,000.
The margin of error was +/- 3.1%.
Page 2December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
4. Page 4December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
The last time you used television to get news,
which of the following did you turn to?
34%
29%
25%
4% 4%
2%
1% 1% 1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Al Jazeera
Al Arabiya
Jordan TV
BBC Arabic
Al Manar
CNN
Al Hurra
Other
Refused
Jordan
N=1,000
5. Page 5December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Do you have a Facebook account or not?
Jordan
N=1,000
44%
36%
29% 28% 28%
56%
64%
71% 72% 72%
100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 54-64 65+
Yes
No
6. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 6December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Please tell us if you have a favorable
or unfavorable opinion of
Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Jordan
N=1,000
3%
34%
3%
42% 43%
15%
34%
12%
29%
90% 92%
27%
35%
22%
31%
17%
38%
20%
29%
30%
27%
6% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3% 2%
1%
96% 96%
42%
63%
35%
81%
18%
73%
25%
69%
30%
56%
8. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 8December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
8%
80%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Favorable (1-3) Unfavorable (5-7)
80%
8%
8%
25%
32%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Should Should not
40%
60%
Please score each on a scale from 1 to
7 where 1 means you feel negatively or
unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel
positive or favorably to…
The United States
Jordan, December 2011
9. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 9December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Feel strongly should have Feel somewhat should have Feel strongly shouldn’t have Feel somewhat shouldn’t have
JordanJordan Jordan
11%
15%
42%
28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Should Should not
5%
23%
35%
36%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Should Should not
8%
25%
32%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Should Should not
53%
43%
40%
59%
40%
60%
June 2009 December 2011May 2011
10. Now, I'm going to read you a list of countries and political organizations.
Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively
or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to it.
Page 10December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
1.11
1.28
2.16
2.64
2.80
2.96
3.29
3.66
4.14
4.26
4.66
5.22
6.04
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Jews
Israel
The United States
Al Qaeda
Britain
Iran
Hezbollah
Muslim…
Hamas
Christians
Palestinian…
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
Jordan
N=1,000
11. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Now, I'm going to read you a list of countries and political organizations.
Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively
or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to it.
Israel
Page 11December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Jordan
N=1,000
92%
1% 1% 2% 1% 2%
0% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Feel
negatively or
unfavourably
towards it
2 3 4 5 6 Don't know Refused
12. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 12December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
When you think of a Palestinian state, what thoughts come to mind?
(open-ended question)
Jordanian Palestinian
Unlikely to happen/only Allah knows 15% 9%
UN vote will help 9% 11%
Refugees will go home 15% 36%
Jordan/Arabs will benefit 6% 1%
Beginning of the end for Israel 12% 7%
Israel/US will never allow it 7% 5%
Palestinians in Jordan will pay the price 0% 1%
Life will improve in West Bank/Gaza 4% 8%
Not important/relevant to my life 1% 1%
Victory for Islam 7% 5%
Finally peace will improve our situation 3% 3%
My family and friends will be reunited 10% 6%
Problems/uncertainty/instability for Jordan 2% 1%
Other (Specify) 4% 3%
Don't know 3% 2%
Refused 0% 1%
Total 100% 100%
Jordan
N=1,000
13. Page 13December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel?
52%
41%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Yes
No
Refused/ Don't know
Jordan
N=1,000
14. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 14December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel?
Jordan
N=1,000
Reasons to cancel Reasons not to cancel
Palestinians are not treated fairly
by Israel
18% We do not want war 18%
The peace treaty did not give
enough benefit to Jordan
12%
Jordan and Israel will benefit
from each other economically
10%
Must not allow to the Jews to have
their own state
8%
King Abdullah wants peace
with Israel
6%
Jordan should not have a peace
treaty with Israel until Israel holds
peace with the Palestinians
7%
Important, to be close to the
United States
1%
The peace treaty harms Jordan in
the Arab World
2%
15. December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | Page 15December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel?
Jordan
N=1,000
Yes No
Don't
know
Refused
Facebook
account
48% 42% 6% 3%
Jordanian 53% 41% 3% 3%
Palestinian 51% 41% 5% 3%
Male 48% 44% 3% 4%
Female 56% 37% 5% 2%
Age 18-24 40% 52% 5% 2%
Age 25-34 55% 38% 5% 2%
Age 35-44 58% 36% 3% 3%
Age 45-54 60% 33% 4% 3%
Age 54-64 57% 35% 2% 6%
Station most
recently watched
Yes No
Don't
know
Refuse
d
Jordan TV 53% 41% 4% 2%
Al Jazeera 55% 37% 4% 4%
CNN 30% 57% 9% 4%
BBC Arabic 22% 65% 8% 5%
Al Arabiya 49% 45% 5% 2%
Al Hurra 73% 18% 9% 0%
Al Manar 78% 22% 0% 0%
16. Page 16December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Do you think that a new Palestinian state
and Jordan should combine?
Jordan
N=1,000
8% 6%
84% 86%
8% 7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Jordanian Palestinian
Yes
No
Don't know/ Refused
17. Page 17December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the
SECOND statement comes closer to your own view,
even if neither is exactly right.
Jordan
N=1,000
25%
43%
52% 53%
23%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
July 2011
Gaza & WB
December 2011
Jordan
The best goal is for a two state
solution - Israel and Palestine -
that keeps two states living side
by side
The real goal should be to start
with two states, but then move to it
being all one Palestinian state.
DK/Refused
18. Page 18December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements regarding the Israeli-
Palestinian conflict. After I read each pair, please tell me whether the
FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own
view, even if neither is exactly right.
The best goal is for a two-state
solution - Israel and Palestine -
- that keeps two states living
side by side
The real goal should be to
start with two states but
then move to it all being
one Palestinian state.
Facebook account 40% 55%
Jordanian 41% 55%
Palestinian 45% 52%
Male 47% 50%
Female 39% 56%
Age 18-24 43% 55%
Age 25-34 44% 53%
Age 35-44 43% 53%
Age 45-54 41% 50%
Age 54-64 41% 56%
19. Page 19December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
Please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the
SECOND statement comes closer to your own view,
even if neither is exactly right.
Jordan
N=1,000
7% 8%
84%
86%
9%
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
July 2011
Gaza & WB
December 2011
Jordan
Israel has a permanent right to
exist as a homeland for the Jewish
people.
Over time, Palestinians must work
to get back all the land for a
Palestinian state.
DK/Refused
20. Page 20December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
I'm going to read you a list of things that the government could try to do.
Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means the government
should definitely not do this and 7 means the government should definitely
do this as a high priority.
Page 20December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |
1.44
3.69
4.22
4.35
4.58
5.82
6.05
6.06
6.49
6.66
6.71
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Protecting freedom of speech so that people who say
unpopular or bad things about Islam are allowed to
Protecting the rights of Christians
Protecting freedom of speech so that people who say
unpopular things about the government are allowed to
Making sure that every Jordanian is a believing Muslim with
no exceptions
Having Muslim scholars and clerics have a lot of influence in
the legal system and the courts
Making sure that the schools teach girls and boys the value
of Sharia
Providing a lot more free health services, pensions, and
money to ordinary Jordanians
Increasing the rights of girls and women to get an education
and have equal rights to those of men
Protecting the rights of ordinary Jordanians against police or
other government authorities who take their property
Managing the Jordanian economy well
Reducing bribery and corruption in government
Jordan
N=1,000
mean
21. Pechter Polls
66 Witherspoon Street , #405
Princeton, NJ 08542 USA
609-759-0550
www.pechterpolls.com
The Israel Project
2020 K Street NW, Suite 7600
Washington, DC 20006 USA
202-857-6644
www.theisraelproject.org