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Decision Making in
                               Software Teams
                                        Tim Berglund
                                        @tlberglund




Sunday, September 12, 2010                             1
About Me
Sunday, September 12, 2010   2
Acknowledgements
                                                     -ma king
                                         ly/de cision
                             http: //bit.
                                                 Professor Michael Roberto
                                       http://michael-roberto.blogspot.com/
                                                         @michaelaroberto
Sunday, September 12, 2010                                                    3
Acknowledgements




                                          Professor Michael Roberto
                                http://michael-roberto.blogspot.com/
                                                  @michaelaroberto
Sunday, September 12, 2010                                             4
Decision Making




Sunday, September 12, 2010                     5
Invent.
                                        It’s Finite,
                                        Software
                                       Communicate.
                                     Development and
                                     cooperative, is a
                             Alistair Cockburn
                                          Decide.
                                      goal-directed.
                                           Game.




Sunday, September 12, 2010                               6
Invent



Sunday, September 12, 2010   7
Sunday, September 12, 2010   8
Decide?




Sunday, September 12, 2010             9
“Developers make critical
                               decisions about every 15
                                 Decide!     minutes.”

                                      —Mary Poppendieck




Sunday, September 12, 2010                                10
Individual
                             Team
                             Organizational




Sunday, September 12, 2010                    11
Individual Biases
                                   Cognitive Decision

                                    Making
                                      Framing
                                      Intuition




Sunday, September 12, 2010                              12
Cognitive
                               Biases
                                Overconfidence
                                  Sunk Cost
                               Confirmation Bias




Sunday, September 12, 2010                        13
Overconfidence
Sunday, September 12, 2010                   14
Sunk Cost
Sunday, September 12, 2010               15
Confirmation
                                Bias




Sunday, September 12, 2010                 16
Blaise
                Pascal

“They are the miseries of a great lord...
                           ...of a deposed king.”
                                    —Pensée 398
Sunday, September 12, 2010                          17
Framing
Sunday, September 12, 2010             18
Hacking Risk Tolerance
Sunday, September 12, 2010     19
Intuition




Sunday, September 12, 2010               20
Deeply Data-Driven
Sunday, September 12, 2010                        21
Pitfalls
Sunday, September 12, 2010              22
Process Losses

                   Team Decision Making
                          Groupthink
                             Managing Conflict
                             Inability to Commit



Sunday, September 12, 2010                         23
Process Losses
Sunday, September 12, 2010                    24
http://despair.com/meetings.html
Sunday, September 12, 2010                                      25
Conformity



Sunday, September 12, 2010                26
Fault Lines

Sunday, September 12, 2010          27
Air Time
Sunday, September 12, 2010   28
Team
                             Parasites



Sunday, September 12, 2010               29
Information
                                 Flow

Sunday, September 12, 2010                 30
Groupthink



Sunday, September 12, 2010                31
Encourage
                              Conflict




Sunday, September 12, 2010               32
Psychological
                                Safety




Sunday, September 12, 2010                   33
Conformity



Sunday, September 12, 2010                34
Nonconformists




Sunday, September 12, 2010                    35
The Red Pencil




Sunday, September 12, 2010                    36
Red Team
         vs.
      Blue Team



Sunday, September 12, 2010   37
Devil’s Advocacy




Sunday, September 12, 2010                      38
Conflict Skills




Sunday, September 12, 2010                    39
Cognitive vs. Affective
Sunday, September 12, 2010                   40
Sunday, September 12, 2010   41
Repairing
                         Damage




Sunday, September 12, 2010          42
Inability to
                               Commit




Sunday, September 12, 2010                  43
Sunday, September 12, 2010   44
Sunday, September 12, 2010   45
Sunday, September 12, 2010   46
Organizational
                                Normalized Deviance
                             Decision Making
                                   Practical Drift
                                    Scaling Out




Sunday, September 12, 2010                            47
Normalized
                              Deviance




Sunday, September 12, 2010                48
Broken Windows




Sunday, September 12, 2010   49
Exceptional

                  whoa! a               Stop
              stack trace. we      development! We
                should see         need to fix this
                 what’s up.             now.




Sunday, September 12, 2010                            50
Expected

                  whoa! a              Stop
                 Hey look,
                    ,
              stack trace. we     development! We
                another six          Whatever.
                should see        need to fix this
                exceptions.
                 what’s up.            now.




Sunday, September 12, 2010                           51
Accepted

               We whoa!went
                   only a                Stop
                 Hey look,
                    ,
                down three
              stack trace. we     development! We
                another six         Hey not bad!
                                     Whatever.
                                       ,
                 times this
                should see        need to fix this
                exceptions.
                  morning..
                 what’s up               now.




Sunday, September 12, 2010                           52
Operations
Sunday, September 12, 2010                53
Quality Issues
Sunday, September 12, 2010                    54
Deviant Smells
Sunday, September 12, 2010                    55
Core Platform
                             Practical Drift
                       Services
                                     Tim
                                         e   Sta
                                                mp
                                                   s
                                                       Consumer
                                                        dotcom



Sunday, September 12, 2010                                        56
Avoid Practical Drift

            Refactor Silos

            Manage Rivalry

            Cross-Functional Teams

            Value Stream Mapping



Sunday, September 12, 2010                       57
Value Stream Mapping




Sunday, September 12, 2010               58
Team Pathologies Writ Large




Sunday, September 12, 2010            59
Groupthink




Sunday, September 12, 2010                60
Yes, No, and Maybe




Sunday, September 12, 2010                        61
Tyranny




Sunday, September 12, 2010    62
Fault Lines

Sunday, September 12, 2010        63
Imperatives



Sunday, September 12, 2010                 64
Process Over Content



Sunday, September 12, 2010                  65
“This is the very

              perfection of man: to

                         know his own

                      imperfections.”


                             —Aurelius Augustine




                              Know Your Limits
Sunday, September 12, 2010                         66
No More Heroes
Sunday, September 12, 2010                    67
Look For Problems
Sunday, September 12, 2010                       68
Thank you.
                                                  Tim Berglund
                             tim.berglund@augusttechgroup.com
                                      www.augusttechgroup.com
                                                   @tlberglund




Sunday, September 12, 2010                                       69
Photo Credits
                Fin de Siècle Painting of Woman Dusting
                http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/household-ads-1910s/4#adnhsa0sad4txsrk

                Attractive Photo of Alistaire Cockburn
                http://alistair.cockburn.us/get/1830

                Thomas Edison
                http://www.archives.gov/exhibits/american_originals_iv/images/thomas_edison/thomas_edison.html

                Communication Motivational Poster
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/artrock2006/4177475479/

                Blaise Pascal
                http://www.abolitionist.com/blaise-pascal.html

                Young Neuroscientist
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/deadstar/3206879752/

                BASE Jumper
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/ontilnow/2584842109

                Sunk Ship
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/jocelynaubert/3100384270

                Stopwatch
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/ytwhitelight/504212595

                Beautiful Woman in Frame
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/desireedelgado/3950323069

                Roulette Wheel
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/johnwardell/80127267




Sunday, September 12, 2010                                                                                       70
Photo Credits
                Light Bulb Head
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/cayusa/981372736

                Greenbar
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/mwichary/3368836377

                SUV in Sinkhole
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/andis/122530269

                San Andreas Fault
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/liao/2509907429

                Tapeworms in a Jar
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/jrmyst/2174896490

                Dam
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/mandj98/3075073297

                Borg Cube
                http://media.photobucket.com/image/borg%20cube/TeckDragon/Borg_Cube.jpg?o=4

                Boxers
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/ennuiislife/3581104847

                Teddy Bear Hug of Psychological Safety
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/gemsling/2697403392

                Kirk/Spock
                http://www.filmedge.net/StarTrek/photos2.htm




Sunday, September 12, 2010                                                                    71
Photo Credits
                Paramilitary Crossing Guard
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/wackystuff/3420439597

                Band Aid
                http://www.pachd.com/free-images/household-images-2.html

                Deviant With Lots of Eyes
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/cayusa/1209794692

                Broken Windows
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/nathansnostalgia/2098210283

                Three Mile Island
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/locomotion/2647418165

                The Wrong Week to Quit Sniffing Glue
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/rogefer/168107916

                Death of Beowulf
                http://dragonsinn.net/4_nordic.htm

                Man With Magnifying Glass
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/andercismo/2349098787

                Julius Caesar
                http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:0092_-_Wien_-_Kunsthistorisches_Museum_-_Gaius_Julius_Caesar.jpg




Sunday, September 12, 2010                                                                                                72
Photo Credits
                Sailboat
                http://www.flickr.com/photos/kevinl8888/64076186




Sunday, September 12, 2010                                        73

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