This document provides updates on several studies related to Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (PEDv). The studies include a lateral spread study investigating the transmission of PEDv between infected and neighboring farms, a production impact study analyzing the effect of PEDv on piglet production, and a time-to-stability study measuring the time required for farms to be considered stable after a PEDv infection. Preliminary results from the lateral spread study identified 22 infected farms and progress in enrolling neighbors. The production impact study found an average loss of 1688 piglets per 1000 sows over 3.9 weeks. For the time-to-stability study, one farm reached stability at 18 weeks post-infection.

1. Update on Porcine Epidemic
Diarrhea Virus Studies
Dane Goede, Bob Morrison

2. Outline
• Lateral Spread
– Index cases & nearest neighbors
– Cluster analyses
• Production Impact
• Time-to-Stability
• Swine Health Monitoring Project

3. National Pork Board Project
LATERAL SPREAD STUDY

4. Two Approaches
Incidence in Neighboring
Herds
• Index cases in negative
areas identified
• Questionnaire
administered to record
potential sources of risk
to infect neighbors
• Neighbors identified,
given similar
questionnaires, and
monitored for infection
Cluster Analysis
• 268 premises
participating
• PEDv spread fast in
Oklahoma panhandle
• Aerosol? Transportation?
Pests?
• Spatial analysis for
pattern of movement

5. Progress
• Both retrospective & prospective cohorts
• 22 case farms identified
• 19 of which verbally agreed to participate
• 14 of which have enrolled officially

6. Progress
% Negative
• 5 fully-completed index case & neighbor
questionnaire sets
Weeks after index case became infected

7. PRODUCTION IMPACT STUDY

8. Methods
• Breeding herds undergoing exposure
programs
• Baseline production parameters identified
– Piglets weaned per week
– 26 weeks of data prior to infection
– Shewhart control chart
• Time-to-Baseline Production
• Loss (piglets/1000 sows)

9. Production Impact
N = 18 herds
% Baseline Production
Avg TTBP = 5.9 wks
95% CI = 4.2-7.6
Loss:
1688 pigs/1000 sows
95% CI = 1077-2299
3.9 wks production
95% CI = 2.0-5.8
Weeks Post-Infection

10. TIME-TO-STABILITY STUDY

11. Methods
• Breeding herds undergoing exposure
programs
• Criteria for Stability
– Free of clinical signs
– 4 samples PCR negative at weekly intervals
•
•
•
•
At least 30 litters from farrowing
1 swab/swiffer per litter
Pools of 5 litters
Bias sample collection towards any diarrhea and/or
younger sow parity

12. Time-to-Stability Progress
• 4 sites enrolled and actively testing
• 1 site has reached stability at 18 wks post-infection

13. SWINE HEALTH MONITORING
PROJECT & REPORT

14. Swine Health Monitoring Project
• What will be the next pathogen to cross the
border into the US?
• Infrastructure
• VDL release agreement
– Premises ID
– Linked to VDL results
– Linked to GPS coordinates in National
Repository

15. Swine Health Monitoring Report

16. Visual History of PED Prevalence

17. Most Recent: 9/13/2013

18. Thank You!
• Study participants & SHMP supporters
• Dane Goede (goed0051@umn.edu) to
receive report

19. Acknowledgments
• Funding from
– National Pork Board
– Swine Disease Eradication
Center
– Leman China scholarship
fund
• Drs. Rossow, Rovira &
Tousignant & U of M VDL
• ISU, KSU, SDSU VDLs &
NAHLN
• USDA APHIS Centers of
Epidemiology & Animal
Health
•
•
•
•
•
AASV
Bob Morrison
Peter Davies
Montse Torremorell
U of MN Graduate
Students

20. QUESTIONS?