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  1. 2019 Insight Handbook
  2. Follow the shopper where the growth is
  3. A Message from Managing Director Technology continues to evolve at a fast rate and digital disruption is more and more common and impacting our lives in ways we didn’t expect. Insight Handbook 2019 4
  4. 5 INTRODUCTION The way we make decisions, like what to buy, has changed and the way we interact with brands is being constantly redefined by the changes in technology and the rise of social media which has impacted greatly on the consumer journey. We have to continue to understand how people live, get exposed and influenced, interact with each other, and how they shop between offline and online. As a brand, it is vital to think about your entire customer experience, everything from your logo, your website, your social media experiences as well as the product quality. Brands need to build emotional connection with their audience and media owners need to provide content that people choose to watch. Knowing this, finding out the real factors which influence consumer’s attitude and purchase behavior are our priorities more than ever and successful brands and retailers will be the ones who dig deeper and truly understand how their consumers and shoppers are changing. But it certainly won’t be easy. In recent years the data that consumers have allowed to be collected so easily have given brands an edge in terms of marketing but with more and more issues over misused data and even data breaches, will 2019 be the year that we will see a backlash? It is noticeable that many have joined in exodus of some websites and platforms that have lost the trust. Welcome to our 2019 edition of the Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam Insight Handbook, we wish to continue giving you the must-know foundation to contribute to your success. Fabrice Carrasco Managing Director of Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam | Philippines Asia Strategic Projects Director
  5. 6 Insight Handbook 2019 The Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam Insight Handbook is our initiative providing you with a deeper understanding of Vietnamese families and a comprehensive, up-to-date picture of the most important consumer and shopper trends in Vietnam. Insight Handbook 2019 6
  6. 7 INTRODUCTION Dear Friends and Partners, Now in its fourth edition, we are proud to keep you updated on changes in consumers’ thoughts, perceptions and shopping behaviours and bring you our insights and forethoughts moving for- ward to 2019 and beyond, in order to help you stay one step ahead of the market. Above all, you will need to pull out all the stops to win as many shoppers as pos- sible to drive growth. Since all markets are composed of different segments of consumers, based on their needs, desires and behaviours; segmentation is essen- tial for any business to find new shoppers, to grow broadly and sustainably. Notice- ably, in the next 5 years, Millennials still matter to many brands and retailers, but furthermore, the growing senior popula- tion and the rising wave of centennials hold a huge potential to capture incre- mental growth. On one hand, Vietnamese consumers have a tendency to go out more and enjoy different leisure activities such as eating and drinking and travel. This provides many more touchpoints that marketers could utilize to reach their target consumers, especially the younger generations. In addition, this rising trend will also drive further the explosion of out-of-home market. On the other hand, consumers seek greater convenience, which leads to the exponential development of E-commerce today. However, online shopping will not completely replace physical retail presence. Instead, with technological advancements, the boundaries between online and offline will be more blurred, offering enhanced shopping experienc- es. The big question that brands and retailers should think about is how to take advantage of technological innovations to build a deeper level of engagement with personalized experiences and em- bed them into their current omnichannel strategy to ensure a seamless path to purchase for consumers. Enjoy your reading, get inspired, and we wish you a successful year 2019! David Anjoubault General Manager of Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam
  7. Insight Handbook 2019 8 Table of Contents 9 17 68 01 K-FACTS The new pace of FMCG growth 02 K-FORETHOUGHTS The macro forces to unlock the future growth 03 K-TEAM Meet, Greet & Get Inspired Macroeconomic stability Shifts in consumer spending FMCG slowdown & growth opportunities The many faces of future consumers MORE GROUPS WITH MORE OPPORTUNITIES Polarization ONE SIZE DOESN’T FIT ALL Innovation UNLOCKING NEW VALUE Living well. Playing well ELEVATING CONSUMERS’ LIVES Beyond Digital THE FUSION OF ONLINE AND OFFLINE Enhanced Shopping Experience THE BLEND OF DIFFERENT SHOPPING CHANNELS 10 13 14 18 26 32 38 50 58 01 02 03 04 05 06
  8. K-FACTS 01 The new pace of FMCG growth
  9. 10 Insight Handbook 2019 Macroeconomic stability Source: GSO Vietnam 2010 2011 2013 2015 2017 2012 2014 2016 2018 6.8 5.9 5.3 5.4 6.0 24.5 24.2 16.0 12.6 10.6 9.5 10.2 12.0 12.4 9.1 6.6 4.1 2.7 3.5 3.5 9.2 18.7 0.6 6.7 7.1 6.2 6.8 Expectation for 2019 - 2022 GDP 6-7% 3-4% CPI GDP Growth (%) Inflation (%) Sales of Goods & Service (%)
  10. 11 K-FACTS Beside major driving forces for Vietnam’s economic growth, both challenges and opportunities are lying ahead… Source: GSO Vietnam | 2018 versus 2017 14% GROWTH 20% GROWTH Total export turnover Tourism: International Visitors 12% GROWTH Total retail sales of services & consumer goods 9% GROWTH FDI (implemented) OPPORTUNITIES CHALLENGES Trade agreement: EVFTA, CPTPP,… • Opportunities for export • More foreign investment • Technology transfer & development • Wider range of imported products with good quality and competitive price Business environment • Legal reforms • Competitiveness and attractiveness of local companies ASEAN Smart Cities Network: smart solutions in transport systems, urban management, flood monitoring systems and e-government services. Rising global price of oil threatens inflation Privatization of State-Owned-Enterprises (SOE): attract foreign investment, increase Government budget Public debt burden Growing urban middle class: strong domestic demand & consumption Exchange rate pressure amidst US- China trade war Environmental issues (climate changes, air pollution, plastic pollution,…)
  11. 12 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel | LinkQ project | Vietnam Urban 4 key cities Along with a brighter outlook, Vietnamese consumers are more optimistic Top 3 Household’s Concerns 1st 2nd 3rd Environmental issues/Diseases Health & Wealthness Food safety Most key decisions makers for FMCG BELIEVE IN A POSITIVE SITUATION in the coming months % Housewives agree Vietnam economic growth Better or same as today Household’s purchasing power Better or same as today 86% 96%
  12. 13 K-FACTS Fresh Food & FMCG dominate households’ share of wallet, however, consumers have a tendency towards new aspirations URBAN (4 cities) RURAL Investment Housing Others Savings Basic Needs* Education & Healthcare New Aspirations* Fresh food & FMCG New Aspirations* Housing Others Education & Healthcare Basic Needs* Savings Investment (incl. farming cost) Fresh food & FMCG 4.4 2.9 5.4 11.8 15.6 16.0 17.2 26.8 25.9 16.8 6.4 7.3 9.7 9.8 11.2 12.6 % Spending per month Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Expenditure Survey 2017 | Urban 4 cities & Rural Vietnam *Basic needs: Transportation, Communication, Household utilities *New aspirations: Eating/Drinking out, Travel/holiday, Entertainment
  13. 14 Insight Handbook 2019 FMCG slowdown & growth opportunities Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 Key Cities & Rural Vietnam | FMCG excluding Gift | Value growth % | 12 months ending September 2018 % Value growth Forecasted for 2019 - 2022: 5-6% FMCG market value growth CAGR (2012-2018) Urban (4 cities) Rural Value 6% 7% Volume 4% 8% Avg. paid price 2% -1% Rural Urban (4 cities) 2012 14.8 12.3 2015 2.7 8.5 2013 9.8 12.0 2016 4.8 2.7 2014 3.8 10.4 2017 5.3 4.4 2018 2.3 6.4
  14. 15 K-FACTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 Key Cities & Rural Vietnam | FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September 2018 There is room for many categories to develop further across all sectors Rural Urban (4 cities) % Value Share in total FMCG Da Be Pa Pe Ho URBAN (4 cities) RURAL Dairy Beverages Packaged foods Personal care Home care 29.8% 22.6% 9.4% 29.5% 27.0% 9.6% 22.1% 22.5% % No. categories reach <50% households Dairy Beverages Packaged Foods Personal Care Home Care 71 79 71 76 74 76 78 86 58 58 16.0% 11.5% Beverages and Personal Care are gaining more share, partly thanks to the push of innovation
  15. • Vietnam macro-economy stabilized • Vietnamese consumers’ confidence stays high • Both opportunities and challenges are lying ahead • New aspirations are arising • FMCG is growing, but slowing • Room for growth across many categories Key take-aways Macro Economy Consumer Spending 16 Insight Handbook 2019
  16. K-FORETHOUGHTS 02 The macro forces to unlock the future growth
  17. Insight Handbook 2019 01 The many faces of future consumers MORE GROUPS WITH MORE OPPORTUNITIES All markets are composed of different consumer segments, based on their needs, desires and behaviors. Hence your market strategy must take segmentation into account in order to find new growth opportunities. 18
  18. 19 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Brand Footprint 2018 The growing Senior population Vietnam is now considered as one of the world’s fastest aging population by the World Health Organization. Getting older ultimately impacts consumer choices, attitude and behaviors. This will force businesses to adjust their growth strategies in the years to come to meet the needs of this growing consumer group. With well-being as their top priority, this consumer group will be focusing on products that help preserve their health, thus providing numerous opportunities for businesses to uncover. Millennials still matter Brands and retailers still need to keep their eyes on millennials as they are the most valuable consumer group in Vietnam today (contributing 36% of value to in-home FMCG market) and will remain the core workforce for the country in the next 5 years. Millennials value innovations (those that bring truly new benefits, new formats) and seek for greater convenience to help them ease their lives. They also have influence on other generations’ decisions, so it’s crucial to convince them. Centennials: The next wave of influencers and consumers Talks around Centennials, known as GenZ or post-Millennials, are happening more and more these days. Born after 1997, they have grown up surrounded by smartphones and tablets, forming digital natives who are mostly connected. They love going out and gathering with friends - making the greatest contribution to the development of milk tea market today! As their spending will increase , this group offers great opportunities for the out-of-home F&B market. What’s changing?
  19. 20 Insight Handbook 2019 The aging population offers more opportunities for manufacturers and retailers 2018 2038 105 Million 95 Million 20 Million 36 Million ~22% pop. ~34% pop. Seniors are in high need for nutrition and health, save or invest more for the future, and are price conscious. 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1,922 1 2,077 3,558 4,790 5,555 6,103 6,730 7,269 8,084 8,766 8,525 6,740 6,683 7,360 7,752 1,390 1,141 2,206 3,464 4,505 5,319 5,856 6,887 7,676 8,477 7,130 6,451 6,703 7,255 7,676 7,320 6,460 5,136 6,359 The growing Senior population Source: United States Census Bureau | GSO Vietnam 1
  20. 21 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Household panel | Urban 4 cities | % Value among FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September Mature families – those without kids and teens – are dedicating more spending to dairy consumption Dairy value share (%) in their FMCG wallet 2018 2018 2017 2017 All Families All Families Mature Families Mature Families Dairy value growth (%) 31.5 20.7 -2.7% 11.1% 29.8 21.0
  21. 22 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: United States Census Bureau | GSO Vietnam | 2018 Millennials are still the most sizeable consumer base * Millennials who were born between 1980 and 1996 Vietnamese Millennials of Vietnam population of Global population Millennials are well educated, tech-savvy, open minded and early adopters of healthy lifestyle. ~33millions ~35% 32% 2 Millennials still matter
  22. 23 K-FORETHOUGHTS Millennials are more responsive to innovative products and concepts, which opens opportunities for brands to experiment and create new things that fulfill their aspirations Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Vietnam Urban 4 Cities | FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending June 2017 | Millennial under 40 y/o Number of Variants New flavors - % buyers Biscuits Biscuits – Seaweed flavor Snack – Cheese flavor Snacks & Nuts Older Gen Older Gen 4.7 3.6 Millennials Millennials 5.0 5.9 18.6 11.3 22.7 4.4 Millennials Older Gen
  23. 24 Insight Handbook 2019 Vietnamese Centennials 2018 Born in a digital world with full access to information Inseparable from mobile phones and most active on social media platforms Seek out new news, new experiences Influenced by Korean culture and concerned about social issues Early self-conscious about appearance *Known as GenZ who born from 1997 to present Who are Centennials? >29millions of Vietnam population 30% Source: United States Census Bureau | GSO Vietnam 3 Centennials, consumers born after 1997, account for one third of Vietnam population and are increasing their influence in society 3 Centennials: The next wave of influencers and consumers
  24. 25 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Out-of-home Panel | Individuals 15-49YO | HCMC | Food & Drinks | 3 months ending November 2018 *Bubble tea includes milk tea, tea with milk foam, milk with brown sugar bubble They love being out of home with the hottest food and drink trends, especially bubble tea craze Ready-to-drink and ready-to-serve Bubble Tea* for Out of home consumption % Reach Centennials (15-22yo) 47% Average shoppers 38%
  25. Insight Handbook 2019 02 Polarization ONE SIZE DOESN’T FIT ALL All price tiers are making efforts to justify their position, hence getting closer to each other in terms of offers and sharing consumer base 26
  26. 27 K-FORETHOUGHTS What’s changing? Premium Brands go reasonable Lower tier won’t die easily Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Brand Footprint 2018 Consumers are paying higher price on 40% of their FMCG products, especially for personal care items. High-priced products in mass categories have paved their way into more families thanks to affordable cash outlay of small size or saving packs. Meanwhile, some others justify their price by special ingredients or serving niche needs of consumers. The rest rely on their international image or imported origin to capture the growing desire of Vietnamese consumers for foreign products. Given approx. 60% of Vietnamese households still live in Rural with lower income than Urban, a majority of them use low tier brands. Premiumisation does happen there, yet largely up to mainstream tier, while premium tier remains at trial stage. Even in Urban cities, those who use mostly premium items also spare a part of their wallet to buy lower tier products, possibly for different usage purpose or simply being satisfied with their adequate quality. In high usage frequency categories, manufacturers are pushing jumbo packs to leverage saving price and secure usage loyalty. Others thrive by premiumizing their image with added nutrients or special format.
  27. 28 Insight Handbook 2019 The hot keyword is ‘uptrading’, as >40% of FMCG categories can grow their average price higher than the CPI rate Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 cities & Rural Vietnam | FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September 2018 CPI YTD Sep 2018: 3.57% Urban 4 key cities: counting 108 significant categories, Rural: counting 81 significant categories. Multi & Omni Channel 1 % Categories URBAN (4 cities) RURAL Uptrading (price increase > CPI) Stable Downgrading (price decrease < -3%) 53% 7% 40% 46% 44% 10%
  28. 29 K-FORETHOUGHTS That happens across sectors, majorly seen in Personal Care Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 cities & Rural Vietnam | FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September 2018 % Categories % Categories URBAN (4 cities) RURAL Uptrading (price increase > CPI) Stable Downgrading (price decrease < -3%) Dairy Beverages Personal Care Home Care Packaged Foods 13% 73% 13% 21% 71% 7% 37% 56% 7% 33% 50% 17% 60% 20% 20% Packaged Foods Beverages Personal Care Dairy Home Care 29% 52% 19% 33% 58% 50% 50% 40% 47% 13% 8% 67% 29% 5%
  29. 30 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 cities | FMCG excluding Gift | 12 weeks ending June/September 2018 * Super Premium Noodle: >=10k VND/bag; Super Premium Shampoo: price index >120. ** Economy-Mainstream Fish sauce: <60k VND/liter; Economy Shower Gel: price index <90. Nevertheless, Economy-Mainstream tier still has room to survive. Even households who buy a lot of Premium items still buy lower-priced items of that category or other categories Within that category Cross categories Heavy buyers of Super Premium Noodle* still spend 20% wallet for Economy-Mainstream Noodle Heavy buyers of Super Premium Noodle* still spend 49% wallet for Economy-Mainstream Fish sauce** Heavy buyers of Super Premium Shampoo (*) still spend 26% wallet for Lower tier Shampoo Heavy buyers of Super Premium Noodle (*) still spend 44% wallet for Economy Shower Gel** 20% 26% 49% 44%
  30. 31 K-FORETHOUGHTS What are the survival tips for Low tier brands? What are the growth accelerators for Premium brands? 1. Big Pack Size 1. Affordable Pack Size 2. Added Value 2. Advanced Benefits 3. Pure Ingredient 3. Premium Concept 4. International Image
  31. Insight Handbook 2019 32 03 Innovation UNLOCKING NEW VALUE
  32. 33 K-FORETHOUGHTS K-FORETHOUGHTS What’s changing? Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Brand Footprint 2018 Innovation in a nutshell • Brands and manufacturers invest enormous amount of resources on introducing new products to consumers. • Innovators now are moving to launch a whole new product (pioneering product) rather than simply offering a new choice of size, packaging design under the same products or existing brands. It’s never easy to make new launch succeed • It becomes more challenging to grab consumers’ attention among numerous new products as they are more skeptical of the influencing factors around them. • High quality innovation is needed as trial rate after 1 year of launching is getting lower over time. A successful innovation translates consumer needs into an attractive story • New products hitting the market must meet the consumers’ needs and expectations. • A successful innovation always comes with a long-term and sustainable launching plan: Who should my brand talk to? Which channel to focus? Does Promotion work?
  33. 34 Insight Handbook 2019 The FMCG market is much more innovative over time Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Household Panel | Urban 4 key cities | FMCG New SKUs is counted based on new brand, variant, pack size, pack type New launches/day 2014 2017 YTD Nov 2018 URBAN (4 cities) 16.2 21.8 22.0 In 2018, new launches appear almost every hour!
  34. 35 K-FORETHOUGHTS More focus on stretching brand’s variant portfolio Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Household Panel | Urban 4 key cities | FMCG 2018 New SKUs is counted based on new brand, variant, pack size, pack type Types of innovation (% of new SKUs) New Brands New Variants Changes to existing products URBAN (4 cities) 37% 31% 32% 37% 39% 35% 26% 31% 33% 2014 2017 YTD Nov 2018
  35. 36 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Household Panel | FMCG | 12 months ending November 2018 Which sectors are the most innovative? Personal Care & Packaged Foods! Beverages Dairy Home Care Packaged Foods Personal Care New SKUs is counted based on new brand, variant, pack size, pack type Share of innovation (% of new SKUs) 15% 30% 38% 7% 10% 2014 YTD 2018 2017 40% 11% 11% 7% 10% 37% 36% 8% 5% 35%
  36. 37 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam | Household panel | Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam New SKUs is counted based on new brand, variant, pack size, pack type 26.4% 26.9% New launches are facing more challenges to grap consumers’ attention and retain their loyalty % Households a new launch reached after 1 year (Trial Rate %) % Households repeat purchase in the 1st year (Repurchase Rate %) 2014 2017 2014 2017 Rural Urban (4 cities) 2014 2017 2014 2017 Rural Urban (4 cities) 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.6% 25.7% 27.8%
  37. Insight Handbook 2019 38 04 Living well Playing well ELEVATING CONSUMERS’ LIVES Simplifying household chores, relying more on convenience products/ services and investing more on advanced values and new experience
  38. 39 K-FORETHOUGHTS What’s changing? My Home: Modernizing & Smart Living leads to Advanced Home Care needs My Kitchen: Less Cooking, Simpler Preparation, relying more on Convenient Foods My Health: Active Lifestyle, Less Sugar, More Natural Ingredients & Vitamin Supplements My Beauty: Self-Appearance is of Higher Importance, Endorsing Expert Solutions & Regime Beauty Care My Budget: Spending more on Out-of-Home Experience 1 2 3 4 5
  39. Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Brand Footprint 2018 Vietnamese consumers are moving up the Maslow’s hierarchy of needs thus expecting more from products & services to ease their lives and indulge themselves Less cooking & more convenient foods Increasingly, consumers are expecting to have more products/solutions which make cooking simple and quick. Products offering ease of use in the cooking process such as Meal Maker and ready-to-cook, ready-to-eat are picking up strongly while necessity items struggle to find growth. Light meals and snacking items are increasingly adopted for in-home consumption. Modern retailers and E-commerce players are also offering more solutions to home meals. Beyond the basics Together with the upgrading lifestyles, consumers are expecting more from the products/services they use. Basic and functional benefits are now taken for granted, thus at risk of becoming commoditized. Consumers spend less on routine items and are willing to spend a lot more on things that offer added values/advanced features that differentiate from others and those that help reduce the tiring in-home daily tasks so that they have more “me” time. Insight Handbook 2019 40 Insight Handbook 2019
  40. Healthy, natural ingredients & self-apperance focus Consumers become more selective on the products that they consume. Natural ingredients, fortified values, plant based Foods & Beverages are on the rise inside consumer baskets. They also exercise more and take more vitamin supplements. Self-appearance is also getting higher attention. Skin Care and Make-up items in new formats which promise higher efficacy and better results are being adopted more. Regime usage also starts to build up. Out-of-home pleasures Consumers are increasingly seeking new experience and enhancing their life quality. As majority of the population today are millennials, socializing needs including travelling and drinking/eating out are also more important. People tend to behave differently when being out-of-home. Also, the product choice, price range and channel selection vary by gender, age and consumption occasions with lower brand loyalty, and stronger impulsiveness. 41 K-FORETHOUGHTS K-FORETHOUGHTS
  41. 42 Insight Handbook 2019 Modernizing & smart living lead to upgrading needs for products/services to be quicker, more effective and more customized to meet their lifestyle % Households agree “I would like to have more products/services which can make cleaning tasks simple and quick” 2pts 1pts Rural 72% Urban (4 cities) 76% Washing Machine % households with ownership (2017 vs 2012) Cleaning Robot Google search trend 87% 42% 13pts 30pts URBAN (4 cities) RURAL 2016 2018 614 million results Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Family Form | Urban 4 Key Cities & Rural Vietnam | 12 months ending September 2018 Opportunity for 1 Home cleaning services 2 Multi-purpose cleaners 3 Quick effect products My Home 1
  42. 43 K-FORETHOUGHTS My Kitchen 2 69 Modernizing living, less cooking and more reliance on convenient products % Working Housewives Opportunity for I rely heavily on convenience foods to make cooking simple and quick 2013 2017 Rural 45% Urban (4 cities) 49% 64 % Households agree Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 Key Cities and Rural Vietnam | Packaged foods including Gifting | 12 months ending September 2018 vs. YA Instant packaged foods Ready-to-cook, ready-to- serve foods Frozen/chilled/ready-to-eat & ready-to-drink F&B Home delivery
  43. 44 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Lifestyle 2017 & Heath Survey 2018 | Urban 4 cities & Rural Vietnam Prevention is better than cure With increasing health concerns and issues, people need to have a better prevention for health conditions. % Households agree % Households with members having Back pain Joint/muscle pain High blood pressure High cholesterol Osteoporosis Diabetes 89% 91% 79% 82% 59% 59% Rural Urban (4 cities) I worry about my health more than before I exercise regularly for better health I often take vitamin or supplements 72% 42% 33% 21% 16% 64% My Health 3
  44. 45 K-FORETHOUGHTS Higher demand for sugar reduction Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Household panel | Lifestyle Survey 2017 | Urban 4 cities & Rural Vietnam | Total RNGS % Households agree Liquid Milk – % Volume H1’17 H2’17 H1’18 Less sugar No sugar 7.0 8.1 15.3 16.9 17.1 9.3 Housewife 40+ YO Total urban (4 cities) “Nowadays, I am more concerned about my and my family’s weight” “I prefer to buy low/free sugar drinks” “I read the product label to avoid buying unhealthy foods” 75 86 70 76 87 74 *RNGS: Rice, Nut, Grain, Seed Natural ingredient need: plant based products are on the rise Volume growth YTD P9’18 vs YA Penetration 14.4% 44.5% RNGS* Soy Drink 61% 4%
  45. 46 Insight Handbook 2019 As self-appearance becomes more important, consumers spend much more on beauty products and also expert services (spa, skin clinics…) to make them look good Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Lifestyle Survey 2017 | Household panel | Urban Viet- nam 4 key cities | 12 months ending September 2018 % Households agree Average spend per buyer (000 vnd) Facial moisturizer Facial cleanser Sun protection 2013 2013 2017 2017 Nowadays you have to take care of your skin more I often go for skin care services 2015 2016 2017 2018 355 397 476 523 169 181 198 207 187 249 318 338 My Beauty 4 73 21 75 25
  46. 47 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Lifestyle Survey 2017 | Household panel | Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam | 12 months ending March 2018 Advanced Skin Care & Make Up items are growing the fastest on consumers’ shopping list as people adopt more new formats which promise faster/more effective results Make up remover + oil cleanser Become more relevant in the Vietnamese beauty care regimen MAT P3’18 vs 2YA Make up remover Oil Cleanser 82,500 20,000 ADDITIONAL BUYERS Treatment Along with the rise of sophistication trend, new formats of Moisturizer are adopted ADDITIONAL BUYERS VS 2YA Serum 20,000 Lotion 12,500 Gel 10,000 Mask Mask category is gaining fast, esp sheet mask due to convenience. 90,000 ADDITIONAL BUYERS VS YA Make up MAT P3’18 vs 2YA Lipstick 122,000 Concealer 11,000 ADDITIONAL BUYERS VS 2YA
  47. 48 Insight Handbook 2019 What’s more important to me? With deeper pocket, what do consumers spend more on? Expenditure 2017 vs. 2012 My budget (% monthly spending) Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Expenditure & Lifestyle Survey 2017 | Urban Vietnam 4 key cities Vietnamese invest much more on the future (education, investment, savings); yet don’t neglect the presence: travelling & eating/drinking out more often Fresh food & FMCG Housing Household Utilities Transportation Communications Healthcare Education Eating/drinking out Entertainment + travel/holiday Savings + investment My family eats out regularly % Households agree 2015 2017 12 17 Education 2.1 PTS Savings & Investment 1.8 PTS Travel/ Holiday 0.6 PTS Drinking/ Eating Out 0.4 PTS My Budget 5 26.8% 4.4% 6.6% 5.2% 3.8% 3.9% 12.9% 9.9% 7.3% 20.1%
  48. 49 K-FORETHOUGHTS Consumers spend a lot more for convenient foods & drinks out-of-home (OOH) Source: Kantar Worldpanel Take-Home & Out-of-home purchase panels *HCMC: 12 weeks ending November 2018 Global HCMC Out-of-home versus take-home spend 52-weeks ending June 2017 In home E-commerce in-home Out-of-home 41% 56% 3% China Indonesia Thailand 66% 33% 1% 48% 2% 50% 56% 44% 63% 37%
  49. Insight Handbook 2019 50 05 Beyond Digital THE FUSION OF ONLINE AND OFFLINE Everything goes online
  50. 51 K-FORETHOUGHTS The way we communicate The way we shop People no longer wait until they get home to get online via computers. Instead, they use their mobile devices to stay online everywhere, all the time. Internet, especially Social Media and Chat applications are rapidly changing the way we interact with businesses and the way brands interact with consumers. This allows businesses to expand visibility to a larger population and connect with potential audience. Gone are the days when a customer would simply walk into a store and purchase the items they were looking for. With just a few clicks, they now can check the price of the item in stores around the world and read reviews from other people that have purchased the item before they make their decision. They even use multi channels before making a purchase. What’s changing?
  51. 52 Insight Handbook 2019 Urban (4 cities) Asian consumers are now more and more connected. Mobile technology, including smartphones and mobile data plans contribute to a greater reach of the Internet Source: Internet World Stats and United Nations Kantar Worldpanel I Household Panel I Urban 4 Key cities & Rural Vietnam I Lifestyle Survey Internet Penetration by Countries (%) (2017) % Household with Smartphone in VN 10pts Rural 90 88 87 95 93 84 79 67 56 53 50 United Kingdom South Korea United States Malaysia China Germany Thailand Philippines France Vietnam Indonesia 8 8 9 58 28 36 13 13 11 19 6 23pts 95% 69% Internet Penetration (2017) Penetration change (2017 vs 2012)
  52. 53 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Lifestyle Survey 2017 vs 2015 36% More and more people move deeply into connected life Rural Urban (4 cities) I am spending more and more time on internet during my free time % Agree I surf Internet to get updates about the world rather than traditional media 2015 2017 2015 2017 48% 31% 46% 34% 20% 29% 56%
  53. 54 Insight Handbook 2019 Online is speeding up, reaching up to 8 out of 10 shoppers in Urban 2 cities and even having a higher usage time than TV. The growth rate in Rural is also very impressive Reach (%) Frequency (hours/day) (*) Internet usage time of Housewives < 30YO 2014 2015 2018 2018 Television Internet Television Internet Television Internet Television Internet 3.4 1.5 2.9 3.0 2.8 1.3 2.4 2.1 The millennials spend up to 30% of their waking lives online with 4.8hrs online/ day* DO YOU KNOW 100% 99% 62% 15% 98% 95% 81% 45% URBAN (2 cities) RURAL Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Media 2018 | Urban 2 cities & Rural | Among key decision makers for FMCG
  54. 55 K-FORETHOUGHTS Reach (% households/day) Frequency (mins/day) Social network and instant messaging apps heavily dominate online activity A lot of purchases take place here, and thus make them important e-commerce touch-points Source: Kantar Worldpanel I Media 2018 I Urban 4 cities & Rural | Among key decision makers for FMCG 79% 179 70% 36 61% 32 45% 126 38% 34 25% 28 Internet Social Network Chat Online Rural Urban (4 cities)
  55. 56 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpane | Europanel [i] Modern trade includes: hypermarket and supermarket, convenience stores and discounters. [ii] Other include: door to door, drugstore, and pharmacy. As a result, e-commerce is growing, especially in Asia Global Latin America 5.8% 61.8% 76.0% 24.0% 7.3% 40.9% 51.8% 31.8% 44.9% 55.0% 9.9% 1.9% 5.6% 8.8% 88.2% 85.6% 0.1% Africa & Middle East USA Asia Western Europe Globally e-commerce as a channel now accounts for 5.8% of FMCG sales & this number rises to 7.3% for Asia FMCG value share by channel (2017) Modern Trade (i) Traditional and others (ii) E-commerce
  56. 57 K-FORETHOUGHTS Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam | FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September 2018 versus year ago Keeping up with the global trend, online shopping in Vietnam continues to rise and recruit more and more shoppers E-commerce % Penetration Frequency/year Spend per Trip (VND) URBAN (4 cities) 4.6% 2.4 259K 19.4% 3.7 346K RURAL +7.7 pts (2018 vs YA) Last year: 2.6 Last year: 327K +3 pts (2018 vs YA)
  57. 58 Insight Handbook 2019 06 Enhanced shopping experience THE BLEND OF DIFFERENT SHOPPING CHANNELS 58 Shifting dynamics in retail landscape and shopper trends that businesses and brands must understand
  58. 59 K-FORETHOUGHTS What’s changing? Multi and Omni-Channel Modern Proximity Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Brand Footprint 2018 Shoppers now go to more channels to serve different shopping missions, with online playing a growing important role. Yet, there is strong evidence that online formats–in isolation–are no longer the best option for winning share. It´s about how online and offline work together to create a better shopper experience. It’s now the critical time for current retail giants and manufacturers to develop an effective omni-channels strategy. Proximity secures itself among top reasons to choose a store because Vietnamese consumers have high preference towards convenience and ease of shopping. Therefore, it is not surprising to see a dramatic development of the modern and convenient formats in Vietnam (convenience stores and mini markets), with the expansion in number of stores as well as strong shopper acceptance. From Mass to Specialized We will see more and more new formats of modern retailers in everyday life, across all industries. Some examples of growing specialized formats are Mom & Baby stores, Health & Beauty stores, Lifestyle stores… It is expected that Modern trade will develop towards more specialty and smaller scale format, and increase the presence with the expansion in number of stores. Tech Embedded Life Technology empowers the creation of new occasion enhancement of experience, digital/mobile order method, auto replenishment and cashless society. Technology enables us to witness future retail experience where there is more seamless shopping experience and online and offline boundaries are blurred. With Technology development, new retail is crossroads of community, leisure and shopping.
  59. 60 Insight Handbook 2019 Shoppers go to more channels to serve different shopping missions, driven by millennials housewives Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Vietnam Urban 4 Key Cities | Total FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September <3 channels 3-4 channels 5-6 channels 7-8 channels 9-10 channels 11-12 channels 13-14 channels 15+ channels % Visited Channels in 2018 < 3 channels 3-4 channels 5-6 channels 7-8 channels 9-10 channels 11-12 channels 13-14 channels 15+ channels 6% 21% 24% 24% 15% 6% 3% 1% Average Number of Visited Channels (By Housewife Age) 2018 2016 <30 30-39 40-49 50+ TOTAL 7.1 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.8 Multi & Omni Channel 1
  60. 61 K-FORETHOUGHTS In Vietnam, retailers are proactively stretching their retail portfolio to meet the needs of Omni-shoppers Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households panel | Urban 4 key cities | FMCG | 12 months ending September 2018 *Number of store: Updated to November 2018 Click & Delivery website Supermarket Minimart Hybrid franchise format between medium-sized street shops and convenience stores PENETRATION: 1% PENETRATION: 42% PENETRATION: 13% Convenience store 16 STORES Hypermarket PENETRATION: 5% 3 STORES 102 STORES 238 STORES 71 STORES Hypermarket 13 STORES Click & Delivery mobile app Click & Delivery website PENETRATION: 15% Supermarket PENETRATION: 18% 75 STORES Click & Delivery Convenience Stores PENETRATION: 18% 812 STORES PENETRATION: 1%
  61. 62 Insight Handbook 2019 % Agree in 2017 Minimarts & Convenience stores % Penetration of Minimarts & CVS “I choose a store because it’s NEAR my home” 39% Value growth 2018 vs YA Urban (4 cities) Rural 74% 78% Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households panel | Urban 4 key cities | FMCG | 12 months ending September & Lifestyle Report 2017 36 42 53 Proximity & convenience are among top reasons to choose store, explaining the rise of mini stores Modern Proximity 2 2016 2017 2018
  62. 63 K-FORETHOUGHTS Ministores Performance in South East Asia *Size of bubble is size of penetration % Source : Kantar Worldpanel | GCD | 12 months ending September 2018 vs year ago (Except PH: 12 months ending December 2017 vs year ago) 0 2 4 6 8 10 -10 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -8 -6 -4 -2 Spend per Shopper Growth % +/- Penetration Change VN Penetration: 53% Penetration: 87% GAIN SHOPPERS & SPEND PER SHOPPER GAIN ONLY SPEND PER SHOPPER Penetration: 77% Penetration: 18% TH ID PH GAIN ONLY SHOPPERS
  63. 64 Insight Handbook 2019 Source: Kantar Worldpanel | Households Panel | Vietnam Urban 4 Key Cities | Total FMCG excluding Gift | 12 months ending September 2018 vs year ago Online Mom & Baby Store Health & Beauty Store Shops sell mainly baby and pregnant mother products and over 80% of space dedicated for baby and pregnant mother products display Consumers make orders through Internet merchandising sites, including E-retailers like Lazada, Shopee and Social Commerce 79% 5% GROWTH PENETRATION 56% 8% GROWTH PENETRATION 149% 19% GROWTH PENETRATION 70 STORES 140 STORES 64 STORES 384 STORES 141 STORES Specialized stores are having better growth than mass stores From Mass to Specialized 3
  64. 65 K-FORETHOUGHTS Direct Sales Lifestyle Stores Delegation Service Merchandise is delivered to house (door to door, Multi Level Selling) 15% 25% GROWTH PENETRATION 34 STORES 41 STORES 6 STORES HAIR SALON LAUNDRY SERVICE
  65. Insight Handbook 2019 66 Unmanned store with AI Personalized & all-in-one e-commerce platform Retail as entertainment = Retailtainment In China and Indonesia, Tencent introduced unmanned stores using facial recognition, artificial intelligence and RFID tech, with an aim to provide future shopping experience. Alibaba also launched the staff-less and cashless stores such as Tao Café. COUPANG, the largest online retailer in South Korea won over fans with personalized service for e-commerce. GoJek is Indonesia super App with food delivery, fintech, logistics, payments, e-com and on demand service all baked into one Super App. Alibaba’s Tmall “See Now, Buy Now” fashion show provided a seamless shopping and entertainment experience. The event was live and broadcasted across 7 media platforms incl. TV, online video site, socmed and shopping apps. Viewers were able to buy what they see, when they see it, on all those platforms. Insight Handbook 2019 Tech Embedded Life 4
  66. K-FORETHOUGHTS 67 Mom&pop store going digital No cash society via digital wallet Auto- replenishment Alibaba installed its cloud system in 600K++ independent retailers in China. Go-Pay has now ventured towards cashless payment system in 3000++ offline merchants such as “food street hawker.” Asia Consumers’ are on the shifting point from cash to e-money fueled by integrated mobile online payment driven by online players who develop their own financial ecosystem. In Vietnam, MoMo, ZaloPay, Airpay are some among many e-wallet companies that offer consumers with flexible financial platforms. Voice activated products encourage shoppers to give up non-experience products in favour of auto- replenishment for necessities and routine shopping. It’s expected to see the emergence of new hybrid models in Vietnam that offer consumer with maximum ease and convenience, such as subscription model, click and collect, click and delivery, virtual stores, etc. K-FORETHOUGHTS
  67. 68 Insight Handbook 2019 K-TEAM 03 Meet, Greet & Get Inspired
  68. 69 K-TEAM Worldpanel Geographic Coverage Our Commitment Local, Regional, Global Mexico Venezuela Guatemala Honduras El Salvador Nicaragua Costa Rica Panama Colombia Ecuador Peru Bolivia Chile Brazil Argentina UK Ireland Belgium France The Netherlands Germany Austria Spain Portugal Italy India Vietnam Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Philippines South Korea Ghana Nigeria Kenya South Africa Household samples: Largest panel sizes and largest number of panels worldwide GDP coverage Asia GDP coverage Europe GDP coverage Latin America Commitment to consumer panels Croatia Bulgaria Greece Bosnia & Herzegovina Turkey Saudi Arabia Egypt Poland, Czech Republic Russia Slovakia Hungary Romania Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Denmark Sweden Norway China Japan Taiwan Australia USA 270,000 92% 96% 100% 73%
  69. 70 Insight Handbook 2019 Our Methodology Panel Methodology Continuous Tracking Urban Household Panel Weekly data collection via diary • Consumer purchase behavior of 5 sectors (~130 FMCG categories): - Dairy - Beverages - Packaged Food - Home Care - Personal Care • Brand performance • Retailer performance • Shopper insights • Demographics and lifestyle • Household durables ownership Rural Household Panel Bi-weekly data collection via diary Baby Panel Bi-weekly data collection via diary • Purchase behavior of ~ 10 baby categories Out of Home Individual Purchase Panel Smartphone data collection • Major convenient F&B purchased for consumption away from home, including 6 sectors (~ 24 F&B categories): - Milks & Nutritional Drinks - Tea & Coffee - Other Non-Alcoholic Drinks - Sweet and Savoury Snacks - Light Meal - Beer • Shopper KPIs • Shopping Channels • Shopper Profiling • Occasion Moments • Attitudes and Missions
  70. 71 K-TEAM Bottled Water Energy Drinks Tonic Food Drinks Alcohol Beverages Soft Drinks Soya Milk Juices Tea Coffee Non-dairy Milk Others Sugar Sauces Ice-cream Instant Cereal Cooking Oil Taste Enhancers Noodles & Soup Snack & Nuts Confectionery Canned Food Packaged Bread Pasta Others Milk Powder Liquid Milk Yoghurt Butter Margarine Cheese Condensed Milk Fermented Yoghurt Specialty Milk Others Beverages Packaged Foods Dairy Hair Care Oral Care Facial Care Baby Care Make-ups Sun Protection Personal Wash Shaving Products Hand & Body Care Sanitary Protection Deodorant & Fragrances Others Toilet & Bathroom Cleaner Multi-purpose Cleaner Dish Washing Liquid Paper Products Insect Products Air Freshener Detergent Fabric Softener Bleach Floor Cleaner Glass Cleaner Personal Care Home Care
  71. 72 Insight Handbook 2019 Key Contacts Fabrice Carrasco Managing Director of Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam & Philippines Asia Strategic Projects Director fabrice.carrasco@kantarworldpanel.com Peter Christou Expert Solutions Director peter.christou@kantarworldpanel.com Nguyen Thi Nhu Ngoc Marketing Manager nhungoc.nguyenthi@kantarworldpanel.com David Anjoubault General Manager Vietnam david.anjoubault@kantarworldpanel.com Nguyen Phuong Nga New Business Development Director phuongnga.nguyen@kantarworldpanel.com
  72. 73 Antoine Louat de Bort Account Director antoine.louat@kantarworldpanel.com Nguyen Huy Hoang Commercial Director huyhoang.nguyen@kantarworldpanel.com Pham Quynh Trang Insight Director trang.phamquynh@kantarworldpanel.com Le Thi Bach Duong Account Director bachduong.lethi@kantarworldpanel.com K-TEAM
  73. 74 Insight Handbook 2019 Contributors Fabrice Carrasco Managing Director of Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam & Philippines Asia Strategic Projects Director Nguyen Huy Hoang Commercial Director Antoine Louat de Bort Account Director Nguyen Phuong Nga New Business Development Director Le Thi Bach Duong Account Director Peter Christou Expert Solutions Director Pham Quynh Trang Insight Director
  74. 75 K-TEAM Vu Thi Thu Dung Senior Account Manager Ho Diem Phuong Expert Solutions Manager Le Thi Ha Nhi Account Executive Nguyen Ngoc Thuy Marketing Trainee Tay Cam Khanh Linh Senior Account Executive Tran Le Dung Account Trainee David Anjoubault General Manager of Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam Nguyen Thi Nhu Ngoc Marketing Manager Vo Thi Kim Nhu Associate Account Manager
  75. www.kantarworldpanel.com.vn
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