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Varma’s Interim Report
1 January–31 March 2016
26 April 2016
Strong solvency protected against market fluctuations
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2016
-1.4%
Return on
investments
41.1 bn
Market value
of investments, €
9.1 bn
Solvency
capital, €
860,000
Finnish pensions
insured
2
Return on investments
2007–3/2016
• Strong market movements, which
began at the beginning of the year,
affected the return on investments
• Varma actively managed its portfolio to
dampen the effects of the
unprecedented gloomy start of the year
• The investment markets were weighed
down by concerns over the weakening
of China’s economic growth and the
substantial decline in the prices of
energy and other raw materials
• The weaker market sentiment was
further depressed by falling oil prices,
caused by oil producing countries’
overproduction
The average nominal return on investments over ten years is approx.
4.3%, calculated in accordance with the recommendations issued by TELA.
The share of fixed-income investments in the portfolio increased
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20164
Investments classified according to risk
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20165
1-3/2016 1-12/2015 24 m
Return Return
MWR MWR Vola-
€ mill. % € mill. % % % tility
14,553 35 12,268 30 0.2 -0.4
Loan receivables 1,353 3 1,361 3 0.8 2.4
Bonds 10,327 25 8,757 21 0.3 -0.9 2.3
Public bonds 3,805 9 2,653 6 1.1 -2.5
Other bonds 6,522 16 6,105 15 -0.3 0.4
Other money-market instruments and deposits 2,873 7 2,151 5 -0.1 0.5
15,757 38 18,465 45 -3.1 8.8
Listed equities 12,420 30 14,938 36 -5.0 8.0 12.6
Private equity 2,569 6 2,617 6 2.5 7.8
Unlisted equities 767 2 909 2 8.2 21.2
3,775 9 3,906 9 1.2 3.3
Direct real estates 3,143 8 3,313 8 1.2 2.3
Real estate funds 631 2 593 1 1.4 9.9
6,460 16 6,991 17 -2.1 3.5
Hedge funds 6,243 15 6,663 16 -2.0 3.9 2.7
Commodities 230 1 352 1
Other investments -13 0 -24 0
40,544 99 41,630 101 -1.4 4.2 5.1
Impact of derivatives 540 1 -336 -1
41,084 100 41,293 100
The modified duration for all the bonds is 3.8
1)
Includes accrued interest
Real estate investments
Other investments
Total investments
Investment allocation at fair value
31-March-2016 31-December-2015
Risk position Risk position
Market valueMarket value
Fixed-income investments 1)
Equity investments
Cumulative return since 2009 roughly 60.2% (€15.6 billion)
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20166
Investment returns for Varma and the markets
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20167
% Varma
Finnish
equities
European
equities US equities
Euro
government
bonds
Euro
corporate
bonds
3/2016 -1.4 -3.3 -7.2 1.3 3.4 2.4
2015 4.2 15.9 9.6 1.4 1.6 -0.7
Average nominal return
5 years 4.4 6.9 7.2 11.6 7.1 5.4
10 years 4.3 5.0 3.0 7.0 5.2 4.4
Since 1999 *
5.4 7.9 3.7 5.0 5.0 4.6
Average real return
5 years 3.3 5.7 6.0 10.3 5.9 4.2
10 years 2.5 3.3 1.3 5.2 3.5 2.7
Since 1999 *
3.7 6.2 2.0 3.3 3.3 2.9
*
Varma, as it is today, was founded in mid-1998, so comparison data earlier than 1999 is not available.
Finnish equities = OMX Helsinki Cap Index Euro government bonds = IBOXX Eurozone EUR (Total Return)
European equities = Stoxx 600 Total Return Index EUR Euro corporate bonds = IBOXX Corporate Overall Performance Index EUR (Total Return)
US equities= S&P500 Total Return Index
Investment return and interest credited on technical provisions influence the total
result
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20168
Total result
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20169
Strong solvency served as risk buffer
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201610
Solvency remains strong
• Owing to the major equity market
movements, Varma’s solvency
weakened during the first quarter
but remained at a high level, at 28.6
(31.4 on 1 Jan 2016) per cent.
• The solvency capital, which serves as
a risk buffer for investment
operations, was EUR 9,110 (9,956 on
1 Jan 2016) million at the end of
March.
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201611
Loading profit
• Varma handles pension cover cost-
effectively
• We used 74 per cent of the expense
loading included in the insurance
contributions for operating expenses
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201612
Current issues
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201613
Current issues
A historical turn: the number of rehabilitees exceeded the number
of new disability pension recipients
• Years of investments in proactive rehabilitation is reflected in
the lower disability costs and number of rehabilitees returning
to working life
• Rehabilitation promotes the pension reform’s target of longer
careers
As regards the social welfare and healthcare reform, it is
important that the focus of occupational healthcare is on
extending careers and promoting workability.
• Rehabilitation to be linked to chains of care, which enables a
faster return to working life
The Finnish Financial Supervisory Authority issued new guidelines
concerning the financing of well-being at work projects
26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201614
2010 2015
The number of new disability
pensions is down 22 per cent.
The number of rehabilitees is up 50
per cent.
Varma's Interim Report: Strong solvency protected against plummeting market

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Varma's Interim Report: Strong solvency protected against plummeting market

  • 1. Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2016 26 April 2016
  • 2. Strong solvency protected against market fluctuations 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2016 -1.4% Return on investments 41.1 bn Market value of investments, € 9.1 bn Solvency capital, € 860,000 Finnish pensions insured 2
  • 3. Return on investments 2007–3/2016 • Strong market movements, which began at the beginning of the year, affected the return on investments • Varma actively managed its portfolio to dampen the effects of the unprecedented gloomy start of the year • The investment markets were weighed down by concerns over the weakening of China’s economic growth and the substantial decline in the prices of energy and other raw materials • The weaker market sentiment was further depressed by falling oil prices, caused by oil producing countries’ overproduction The average nominal return on investments over ten years is approx. 4.3%, calculated in accordance with the recommendations issued by TELA.
  • 4. The share of fixed-income investments in the portfolio increased 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20164
  • 5. Investments classified according to risk 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20165 1-3/2016 1-12/2015 24 m Return Return MWR MWR Vola- € mill. % € mill. % % % tility 14,553 35 12,268 30 0.2 -0.4 Loan receivables 1,353 3 1,361 3 0.8 2.4 Bonds 10,327 25 8,757 21 0.3 -0.9 2.3 Public bonds 3,805 9 2,653 6 1.1 -2.5 Other bonds 6,522 16 6,105 15 -0.3 0.4 Other money-market instruments and deposits 2,873 7 2,151 5 -0.1 0.5 15,757 38 18,465 45 -3.1 8.8 Listed equities 12,420 30 14,938 36 -5.0 8.0 12.6 Private equity 2,569 6 2,617 6 2.5 7.8 Unlisted equities 767 2 909 2 8.2 21.2 3,775 9 3,906 9 1.2 3.3 Direct real estates 3,143 8 3,313 8 1.2 2.3 Real estate funds 631 2 593 1 1.4 9.9 6,460 16 6,991 17 -2.1 3.5 Hedge funds 6,243 15 6,663 16 -2.0 3.9 2.7 Commodities 230 1 352 1 Other investments -13 0 -24 0 40,544 99 41,630 101 -1.4 4.2 5.1 Impact of derivatives 540 1 -336 -1 41,084 100 41,293 100 The modified duration for all the bonds is 3.8 1) Includes accrued interest Real estate investments Other investments Total investments Investment allocation at fair value 31-March-2016 31-December-2015 Risk position Risk position Market valueMarket value Fixed-income investments 1) Equity investments
  • 6. Cumulative return since 2009 roughly 60.2% (€15.6 billion) 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20166
  • 7. Investment returns for Varma and the markets 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20167 % Varma Finnish equities European equities US equities Euro government bonds Euro corporate bonds 3/2016 -1.4 -3.3 -7.2 1.3 3.4 2.4 2015 4.2 15.9 9.6 1.4 1.6 -0.7 Average nominal return 5 years 4.4 6.9 7.2 11.6 7.1 5.4 10 years 4.3 5.0 3.0 7.0 5.2 4.4 Since 1999 * 5.4 7.9 3.7 5.0 5.0 4.6 Average real return 5 years 3.3 5.7 6.0 10.3 5.9 4.2 10 years 2.5 3.3 1.3 5.2 3.5 2.7 Since 1999 * 3.7 6.2 2.0 3.3 3.3 2.9 * Varma, as it is today, was founded in mid-1998, so comparison data earlier than 1999 is not available. Finnish equities = OMX Helsinki Cap Index Euro government bonds = IBOXX Eurozone EUR (Total Return) European equities = Stoxx 600 Total Return Index EUR Euro corporate bonds = IBOXX Corporate Overall Performance Index EUR (Total Return) US equities= S&P500 Total Return Index
  • 8. Investment return and interest credited on technical provisions influence the total result 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20168
  • 9. Total result 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 20169
  • 10. Strong solvency served as risk buffer 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201610
  • 11. Solvency remains strong • Owing to the major equity market movements, Varma’s solvency weakened during the first quarter but remained at a high level, at 28.6 (31.4 on 1 Jan 2016) per cent. • The solvency capital, which serves as a risk buffer for investment operations, was EUR 9,110 (9,956 on 1 Jan 2016) million at the end of March. 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201611
  • 12. Loading profit • Varma handles pension cover cost- effectively • We used 74 per cent of the expense loading included in the insurance contributions for operating expenses 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201612
  • 13. Current issues 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201613
  • 14. Current issues A historical turn: the number of rehabilitees exceeded the number of new disability pension recipients • Years of investments in proactive rehabilitation is reflected in the lower disability costs and number of rehabilitees returning to working life • Rehabilitation promotes the pension reform’s target of longer careers As regards the social welfare and healthcare reform, it is important that the focus of occupational healthcare is on extending careers and promoting workability. • Rehabilitation to be linked to chains of care, which enables a faster return to working life The Finnish Financial Supervisory Authority issued new guidelines concerning the financing of well-being at work projects 26 April 2016 | Varma’s Interim Report 1 January–31 March 201614 2010 2015 The number of new disability pensions is down 22 per cent. The number of rehabilitees is up 50 per cent.