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Using latent features diversification
to reduce choice difficulty in
recommendation lists

Martijn Willemsen
Together with:
Mark Graus, Bart Knijnenburg
Linda Velter-Bremmers and Kai Fu
Remember this?
Choice Overload in Recommenders

Recommenders reduce information overload…
  But large personalized sets cause choice overload!



     Less attractive
       30% sales                    More attractive
       Higher purchase
          satisfaction                3% sales
   From Iyengar and Lepper (2000)

  Satisfaction decreases with larger sets as increased
  attractiveness is counteracted by choice difficulty
Satisfaction and item set length

More options provide more benefits in terms of
finding the right option
But result in higher opportunity costs
  More comparisons required
  Increased potential regret
  Larger expectations for larger
  sets


Paradox of choice
(Barry Schwartz)
Choice Overload in Recommenders
     (Bollen, Knijnenburg, Willemsen & Graus, RecSys 2010)

                               Top-20                                               Lin-20
                    vs Top-5 recommendations                                 vs Top-5 recommendations




         .401 (.189)           -.540 (.196)                   -.633 (.177)                  .938 (.249)
         p < .05               p < .01                        p < .001                      p < .001
            +              +                                       -                               +
perceived recommendation                      +   perceived recommendation                    +               choice
       variety                  .449 (.072)              quality                 .445 (.102)              difficulty                      .496 (.152)
                                  p < .001                                         p < .001                                              p < .005
             +                                            +
         .170 (.069)                                 .172 (.068)              .346 (.125)                 -.217 (.070)
           p < .05                                     p < .05                    p < .01                 p < .005
                        Choice satisfaction                                  +                       -
                 0.5
                 0.4            movie                                                 choice
                                                                                                                         Objective System Aspects (OSA)
                 0.3       expertise                                             satisfaction                            Subjective System Aspects (SSA)
                 0.2                                                                                                     Experience (EXP)
                                                                                                                         Personal Characteristics (PC)
                 0.1
                                                                                                                         Interaction (INT)
                   0
                 -0.1
                         Top-5 Top-20 Lin-20
Research on Choice overload

Choice overload is not omnipresent
  Meta-analysis (Scheibehenne et al., JCR 2010)
  suggests an overall effect size of zero
Choice overload stronger when:
  No strong prior preferences
  Little difference in attractiveness items
In consumer literature, most item
sets are not personalized…
Prior studies did not control for
the diversity of the item set
Choice Difficulty and Diversity

Larger sets are often more difficult because of the
increased uniformity of these sets (Fasolo et al., 2009;
Reutskaja et al., 2009)
                                                               High Density
    Larger item sets have many                                small tradeoffs
    similar options                                     200




                                      # text messages
    small inter-product distances                       150

    and small tradeoffs                                 100

    High density!                                        50

Choice Difficulty related to                              0
                                                              50   150    250   350
lack of justification                                                minutes
Choice difficulty and trade-offs

As item sets become more diverse (less dense)
tradeoff size increases
                         High Density                                   Low Density,
                        small tradeoffs                                large tradeoffs
                      200                                            200
    # text messages




                                                   # text messages
                      150                                            150
                      100                                            100
                       50                                             50
                        0                                              0
                            50   150   250   350                           50   150   250   350
                                 minutes                                        minutes


Tradeoffs are effortful…
   give up one aspect for another
But can be justified very easily!
Double Mediation Model for difficulty
(Scholten and Sherman, JEP:G 2006)

U-shaped relation between diversity and difficulty:
  Choosing from uniform set is
  hard to justify but has no                     uniform         diverse




                                    Difficulty
  difficult tradeoffs
  Choosing from a diverse set
  encompasses difficult tradeoffs
  but is easy to justify
                                                 Diversity / tradeoff size


Does this also apply to personalized item sets?
Can we use diversity to reduce choice overload?
And to what level of diversity?
User Study

Manipulate Diversity in a personalized item set
while keeping attractiveness constant!
  Recommenders provide the perfect tools for this…
Latent Features as means of diversification
  Factorization algorithms describe movies and users as
  vectors on a set of latent features
  Preference dimensions related to real word concepts
  (e.g. Escapist/serious) (Koren, Bell and Volinsky,2009)
  Parallel to how choice sets are described in
  MAUT(multi-attribute utility theory)
Matrix Factorization


         Usual Suspects




                                                           The Godfather
                                            Die Hard
Jack                      ?   Titanic                                      ?
Dylan                     ?             ?
Olivia
Mark                                    ?              ?                   ?
Diversifying attractive items




 Olivia          Dylan
                         Jack

          Mark
Diversity manipulation in detail

10-dimensional MF model
  Personalized top 200
  (close in attractiveness)
Low: closest to centroid
Greedy algorithm
  Select N movies with
  highest inter-item distance
Medium:
100 items closest to centroid
High: from top 200
System characteristics

MF recommender based on MyMedia project
10M MovieLens dataset: movies from 1994
  5.6M ratings for 70k users and 5.4k movies
  RMSE of 0.854, MAE of 0.656
Movies shown with title and predicted rating:
  hovering the mouse over the title reveals additional
  information: short synopsis, cast, director and image
Experimental design/procedure

Pre-questionnaire
  Personal characteristics
Rating task to train the system (10 ratings)
Assess three lists of recommendations
  Within subjects: low / mid / high diversification
  Between subjects: number of items (5,10,15,20,25)
After each list we measured:
  Perceived Diversity & Attractiveness
  Expected Trade-Off Difficulty & Choice Difficulty
Pre-questionnaire

Strength of preference
  3 items, e.g. “I know what kind of movies I like”
Movie expertise
  4 items, e.g. “Compared to others I watch a lot of
  movies”
Maximizing tendency
  2 items, e.g. “I try to reach the highest standards in
  everything I do”
After each list

Perceived recommendation diversity
  5 items, e.g. “The list of movies was varied”
Perceived recommendation attractiveness
  5 items, e.g. “The list of recommendations was
  attractive”
Choice difficulty (indicator)
  “I would find it difficult to choose a movie from this list”
Tradeoff difficulty (indicator)
  “I had to put a lot of effort into comparing the different
  aspects of the movies”
Participants and Manipulation checks

97 Participants from an online database
  Paid for participation
  Mean age: 29 years, 52 females and 45 males
Low, medium and high diversification
differed in the feature score range
  Average predicted ratings of the sets were not different!
              Average feature
               score range       Predicted      SD predicted
                  (AFSR)          rating          rating
  diversity      mean (SE)       mean (SE)       mean (SE)
    Low         0.959 (0.015)   4.486 (0.042)   0.163 (0.010)
  Medium        1.273 (0.016)   4.486 (0.041)   0.184 (0.011)
    High        1.744 (0.024)   4.527 (0.039)   0.206 (0.013)
Results Structural Equation Model


                                          attractiveness         diversity
              standardized score




                                    0.7
                                    0.6
                                    0.5
                                    0.4
                                    0.3
                                    0.2
                                    0.1
                                      0
                                              low        mid        high
                                                    diversification


                                          choice diff.      tradeoff diff.
                                   0.2
scale difference




                                    0
                           -0.2
                           -0.4
                           -0.6
                           -0.8
                                    -1
                                             low         mid          high
                                                    diversification
Conclusions & Discussion
                                                                    choice diff.     tradeoff diff.

Diversifying on latent features                               0.2




                                          scale difference
                                                                0
                                                             -0.2
   Increases attractiveness/diversity                        -0.4
                                                             -0.6

   Reduces trade-off difficulty (high)                       -0.8
                                                               -1
                                                                      low         mid        high
   Reduces choice difficulty (linearly)                                      diversification


No evidence for U-shaped difficulty model
  High diversity does not result in trade-off conflicts
  (perhaps due to the nature of the domain/MF?)
No effect of number on items
   Small sets benefit as much from diversification
Diversification on MF features seems
promising to increase attractiveness!
Future Work

In this study, no actual choice was made
   Explains limited effect of number of items
   We could not measure choice satisfaction or
   justification-based processes
We will use diversification with list length as two
factors in a new choice overload experiment
   Item size: 5, 10 and 20
   Low and high diversity
We expect choice overload to be more prominent
for low diversity sets

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Using latent features diversification to reduce choice difficulty in recommendation lists

  • 1. Using latent features diversification to reduce choice difficulty in recommendation lists Martijn Willemsen Together with: Mark Graus, Bart Knijnenburg Linda Velter-Bremmers and Kai Fu
  • 3. Choice Overload in Recommenders Recommenders reduce information overload… But large personalized sets cause choice overload! Less attractive 30% sales More attractive Higher purchase satisfaction 3% sales From Iyengar and Lepper (2000) Satisfaction decreases with larger sets as increased attractiveness is counteracted by choice difficulty
  • 4. Satisfaction and item set length More options provide more benefits in terms of finding the right option But result in higher opportunity costs More comparisons required Increased potential regret Larger expectations for larger sets Paradox of choice (Barry Schwartz)
  • 5. Choice Overload in Recommenders (Bollen, Knijnenburg, Willemsen & Graus, RecSys 2010) Top-20 Lin-20 vs Top-5 recommendations vs Top-5 recommendations .401 (.189) -.540 (.196) -.633 (.177) .938 (.249) p < .05 p < .01 p < .001 p < .001 + + - + perceived recommendation + perceived recommendation + choice variety .449 (.072) quality .445 (.102) difficulty .496 (.152) p < .001 p < .001 p < .005 + + .170 (.069) .172 (.068) .346 (.125) -.217 (.070) p < .05 p < .05 p < .01 p < .005 Choice satisfaction + - 0.5 0.4 movie choice Objective System Aspects (OSA) 0.3 expertise satisfaction Subjective System Aspects (SSA) 0.2 Experience (EXP) Personal Characteristics (PC) 0.1 Interaction (INT) 0 -0.1 Top-5 Top-20 Lin-20
  • 6. Research on Choice overload Choice overload is not omnipresent Meta-analysis (Scheibehenne et al., JCR 2010) suggests an overall effect size of zero Choice overload stronger when: No strong prior preferences Little difference in attractiveness items In consumer literature, most item sets are not personalized… Prior studies did not control for the diversity of the item set
  • 7. Choice Difficulty and Diversity Larger sets are often more difficult because of the increased uniformity of these sets (Fasolo et al., 2009; Reutskaja et al., 2009) High Density Larger item sets have many small tradeoffs similar options 200 # text messages small inter-product distances 150 and small tradeoffs 100 High density! 50 Choice Difficulty related to 0 50 150 250 350 lack of justification minutes
  • 8. Choice difficulty and trade-offs As item sets become more diverse (less dense) tradeoff size increases High Density Low Density, small tradeoffs large tradeoffs 200 200 # text messages # text messages 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 50 150 250 350 50 150 250 350 minutes minutes Tradeoffs are effortful… give up one aspect for another But can be justified very easily!
  • 9. Double Mediation Model for difficulty (Scholten and Sherman, JEP:G 2006) U-shaped relation between diversity and difficulty: Choosing from uniform set is hard to justify but has no uniform diverse Difficulty difficult tradeoffs Choosing from a diverse set encompasses difficult tradeoffs but is easy to justify Diversity / tradeoff size Does this also apply to personalized item sets? Can we use diversity to reduce choice overload? And to what level of diversity?
  • 10. User Study Manipulate Diversity in a personalized item set while keeping attractiveness constant! Recommenders provide the perfect tools for this… Latent Features as means of diversification Factorization algorithms describe movies and users as vectors on a set of latent features Preference dimensions related to real word concepts (e.g. Escapist/serious) (Koren, Bell and Volinsky,2009) Parallel to how choice sets are described in MAUT(multi-attribute utility theory)
  • 11. Matrix Factorization Usual Suspects The Godfather Die Hard Jack ? Titanic ? Dylan ? ? Olivia Mark ? ? ?
  • 12. Diversifying attractive items Olivia Dylan Jack Mark
  • 13. Diversity manipulation in detail 10-dimensional MF model Personalized top 200 (close in attractiveness) Low: closest to centroid Greedy algorithm Select N movies with highest inter-item distance Medium: 100 items closest to centroid High: from top 200
  • 14. System characteristics MF recommender based on MyMedia project 10M MovieLens dataset: movies from 1994 5.6M ratings for 70k users and 5.4k movies RMSE of 0.854, MAE of 0.656 Movies shown with title and predicted rating: hovering the mouse over the title reveals additional information: short synopsis, cast, director and image
  • 15. Experimental design/procedure Pre-questionnaire Personal characteristics Rating task to train the system (10 ratings) Assess three lists of recommendations Within subjects: low / mid / high diversification Between subjects: number of items (5,10,15,20,25) After each list we measured: Perceived Diversity & Attractiveness Expected Trade-Off Difficulty & Choice Difficulty
  • 16. Pre-questionnaire Strength of preference 3 items, e.g. “I know what kind of movies I like” Movie expertise 4 items, e.g. “Compared to others I watch a lot of movies” Maximizing tendency 2 items, e.g. “I try to reach the highest standards in everything I do”
  • 17. After each list Perceived recommendation diversity 5 items, e.g. “The list of movies was varied” Perceived recommendation attractiveness 5 items, e.g. “The list of recommendations was attractive” Choice difficulty (indicator) “I would find it difficult to choose a movie from this list” Tradeoff difficulty (indicator) “I had to put a lot of effort into comparing the different aspects of the movies”
  • 18. Participants and Manipulation checks 97 Participants from an online database Paid for participation Mean age: 29 years, 52 females and 45 males Low, medium and high diversification differed in the feature score range Average predicted ratings of the sets were not different! Average feature score range Predicted SD predicted (AFSR) rating rating diversity mean (SE) mean (SE) mean (SE) Low 0.959 (0.015) 4.486 (0.042) 0.163 (0.010) Medium 1.273 (0.016) 4.486 (0.041) 0.184 (0.011) High 1.744 (0.024) 4.527 (0.039) 0.206 (0.013)
  • 19. Results Structural Equation Model attractiveness diversity standardized score 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 low mid high diversification choice diff. tradeoff diff. 0.2 scale difference 0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1 low mid high diversification
  • 20. Conclusions & Discussion choice diff. tradeoff diff. Diversifying on latent features 0.2 scale difference 0 -0.2 Increases attractiveness/diversity -0.4 -0.6 Reduces trade-off difficulty (high) -0.8 -1 low mid high Reduces choice difficulty (linearly) diversification No evidence for U-shaped difficulty model High diversity does not result in trade-off conflicts (perhaps due to the nature of the domain/MF?) No effect of number on items Small sets benefit as much from diversification Diversification on MF features seems promising to increase attractiveness!
  • 21. Future Work In this study, no actual choice was made Explains limited effect of number of items We could not measure choice satisfaction or justification-based processes We will use diversification with list length as two factors in a new choice overload experiment Item size: 5, 10 and 20 Low and high diversity We expect choice overload to be more prominent for low diversity sets

Notas del editor

  1. Remember the dead monkey? If so, you might have forgotten the main result of this talkSo let me refresh your memory
  2. For the saske of time only the standaard choice situation, comparing 5 with 20 items
  3. D
  4. Diversity is a moderatorLatent features can be used, see for example Thesis
  5. Try to fill in the blanks
  6. Use PCA like techniques to findmappingExtendthisslidewith the ideathatthere are manymovieswithin these plainsbetweenwhich we candiversify…