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FTAs, Regional Blocks and Equity – who will
represent the voiceless in trade
Arguments around Free Trade
Against
1. Only a specific class of people can take advantage of free
trade – those already globally integrated (includes rich
and poor).
2. Those industries which are producing domestically
demanded goods face a shutdown.
Favour
1. Why go through the traditional structural
transformation?
2. Service-led growth is also labour intensive

2
Evidence from Developing Countries

• Trade only reduces poverty if there is job
creation
• Trade liberalization in the initial phases leads
to increased income inequalities

3
Situation Analysis
• Curtailing trade is not a choice
• Consumer demand forces informal trade if
formal channels are closed

4
Regionalism and FTAs
• FTAs being signed in the absence of progress on WTO
• Criticism by business community
– Governments started negotiating without taking
businesses on board
– Industry concerns beyond market access including
investment and services should be incorporated
– Involve businesses in the annual review of FTAs

• What about other voices?
– Consumer groups in developing countries lack capacity
5
How FTAs impact voiceless
•
•
•
•

Negotiating non-tariff barriers is difficult
Hidden subsidies are not easy to recognize
Countering undervalued imports is difficult
Developing countries will require assistance in
complying with trade regulations
• Dispute settlement arrangements and
compensatory mechanism

6
Where is the trade-related infrastructure?

Afghanistan
Bhutan
Bangladesh
India
Pakistan
Maldives
Sri Lanka
Nepal

Efficiency of
customs clearance
process
2.33
2.29
2.33
2.77
2.85
2.24
2.58
2.20

Note: (1=low to 5=high)
Source: World Development Indicators 2013

Quality of trade and
transport-related
infrastructure
2.0
2.3
2.49
2.87
2.69
2.47
2.5
1.87

Competence and
quality of logistics
services
2.16
2.42
2.44
3.14
2.77
2.68
2.8
2.12
Way Forward
• Who will represent the voiceless in trade?
– Government
– Private Sector
– Civil Society Organizations
– Community Boards

• We still don’t have an answer

8

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FTAs, Regional Blocks and Equity – who will represent the voiceless in trade

  • 1. FTAs, Regional Blocks and Equity – who will represent the voiceless in trade
  • 2. Arguments around Free Trade Against 1. Only a specific class of people can take advantage of free trade – those already globally integrated (includes rich and poor). 2. Those industries which are producing domestically demanded goods face a shutdown. Favour 1. Why go through the traditional structural transformation? 2. Service-led growth is also labour intensive 2
  • 3. Evidence from Developing Countries • Trade only reduces poverty if there is job creation • Trade liberalization in the initial phases leads to increased income inequalities 3
  • 4. Situation Analysis • Curtailing trade is not a choice • Consumer demand forces informal trade if formal channels are closed 4
  • 5. Regionalism and FTAs • FTAs being signed in the absence of progress on WTO • Criticism by business community – Governments started negotiating without taking businesses on board – Industry concerns beyond market access including investment and services should be incorporated – Involve businesses in the annual review of FTAs • What about other voices? – Consumer groups in developing countries lack capacity 5
  • 6. How FTAs impact voiceless • • • • Negotiating non-tariff barriers is difficult Hidden subsidies are not easy to recognize Countering undervalued imports is difficult Developing countries will require assistance in complying with trade regulations • Dispute settlement arrangements and compensatory mechanism 6
  • 7. Where is the trade-related infrastructure? Afghanistan Bhutan Bangladesh India Pakistan Maldives Sri Lanka Nepal Efficiency of customs clearance process 2.33 2.29 2.33 2.77 2.85 2.24 2.58 2.20 Note: (1=low to 5=high) Source: World Development Indicators 2013 Quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure 2.0 2.3 2.49 2.87 2.69 2.47 2.5 1.87 Competence and quality of logistics services 2.16 2.42 2.44 3.14 2.77 2.68 2.8 2.12
  • 8. Way Forward • Who will represent the voiceless in trade? – Government – Private Sector – Civil Society Organizations – Community Boards • We still don’t have an answer 8

Notas del editor

  1. You have the paper
  2. Growth in South Asia remains a quantity and not quality game. Still we refuse to invest in human capital.