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Caucasus Barometer 2011
1. Caucasus Barometer
Public Perceptions on Political, Social and Economic issues in
South Caucasus Countries
Some findings from the CRRC 2011 data
12 September, 2012թ.
Yerevan
CRRC Armenia
crrc@crrc.am
www.crrc.am
www.crrccenters.org
2. Methodology
Almost 2,000 people in each South Caucasus country
Representative of total adult (18+) population
Proportionate representation of demographic and
geographic groups
Multi-stage cluster sampling
Household selection: Random walk method
Respondent selection: Kish table
Face-to-face interviews in local languages
3. Content
• Life satisfaction and factors acting upon it
• Living standards and migration trends
• Attitude towards policy and public institutions
• Nagorno Karabagh issue and possible solutions
• External world perceptions
• Level of happiness
5. N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole
(1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely
satisfied”, average score)
2010 2011
5.6
5.3 5.3
5.1 5.1
4.9
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
6. Armenia
N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole
(1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely
satisfied” (% , by settlement type)
Capital Other Urban Rural
35
30
23
13 14 14
11 11
10 10
9 9 8 8 9 8 8
8 8 7
7 7 6 6 6
5
4 3 3
2
Not satisfied 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Completely
at all satisfied
7. N1_1. Whether the following statement describes your feelings. There are
many people I can trust completely, 2011 (%)
Describes More or less describes Does not describe
Armenia 30 41 29
Azerbaijan 36 50 15
Georgia 28 54 18
8. P5. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment 2011, (% )
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
44
Unemployment 28
55
16
Poverty 11
10
7
Rising prices / Inflation 4
5
6
Corruption 8
5
Low wages 4
1
4
Low pensions 4
4
4
Unsolved territorial conflicts 31
12
2
Lack of peace in the country 1
2
1
Political instability in the country 2
1
1
Violation of human rights 3
1
1
Unaffordability of healthcare
4
9. P6. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment, 2010 (%)
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
45
Unemployment 17
52
10
Poverty 9
9
9
Lack of peace in the country 2
4
6
Corruption 9
6
Rising prices / Inflation 3
2
5
Territorial integrity 53
12
4
Low wages 2
2
Low pensions 2
3
2
Violation of human rights
1
2
Unaffordability of healthcare
7
2
Low quality of education 1
1
1
Political instability in the country
2
10. P5. What do you think is the most important issue facing Armenia at the
moment? 2009-2011(%, first five issues)
Unemployment 32
Corruption 19
2009
Poverty 12
Peace 5
Territorial integrity 4
Unemployment 45
Poverty 10
2010
Peace 9
Corruption 6
Rising prices / Inflation 6
Unemployment 44
Poverty 16
2011
Rising prices / Inflation 7
Corruption 6
Low wages 5
13. C14. On which rung of this ladder do you think your household currently stands? (1-
10, 1 -lowest possible economic position in society, 10-highest possible
position, average score, weighted by HH weights)
2009 2010 2011
4.3
4.2 4.2 4.1
4.1
4.0 3.9
3.5 3.5
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
14. C9. Household income last month 2011, (%, weighted by HH weights)
More than USD 1200 USD 801–1200 USD 401–800 USD 251–400 USD 101–250 USD 51–100 Up to USD 50 0
49
33 32 32
28
26
23
16 15
11
7
5 4
2 2 2 3 3
1 1 1 1 1 1
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
15. J12-J13. Do you currently have any personal …
(% of "yes" answers)
Savings Debts
51
34 34
17
7 7
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
16. D20. If you had a chance, would you leave country for a certain period of time to
live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers)
2009 2010 2011
57
Armenia 64
60
47
Azerbaijan 52
52
45
Georgia 47
47
17. D21. If you had a chance, would you leave country forever to live somewhere
else? (% of "yes" answers)
2009 2010 2011
25
Armenia 29
25
16
Azerbaijan 17
20
11
Georgia 7
6
19. P1. Which direction your country’s domestic politics are going. (%)
Politics is going in the right direction Politics does not change at all
Politics is going in the wrong direction Don't know
2011 14 25 36 25
Armenia
2010 18 32 36 14
2011 32 34 14 21
Azerbaijan
2010 38 31 9 21
2011 47 11 17 24
Georgia
2010 44 17 20 18
20. Armenia
P4. Trust Toward Institutions, 2011 (%)
Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know
Religious institutions to which you … 44 31 11 5 6 3
Army 33 31 12 9 13 2
Healthcare system 15 33 20 13 16 1
Educational system 13 33 23 13 13 4
Banks 12 35 22 10 12 9
Ombudsman 11 23 24 8 13 22
European Union 10 26 26 7 11 20
President 10 24 21 15 24 5
United Nations 10 26 26 7 10 21
Police 8 21 25 18 22 6
Executive government 6 20 23 18 26 7
Court system 6 16 23 19 23 13
Media 5 28 34 14 15 3
Local government 5 28 34 14 15 3
Parliament 5 17 25 18 28 6
NGOs 5 18 30 11 14 22
21. P4. Level of trust toward Army (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully
distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
4.4 4.5 4.4
4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3
4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1
4.0
3.6
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
22. P4. Level of trust toward President (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully
distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
4.3
3.7 3.7
3.5 3.5 3.5
3.2 3.3
3.1
2.9 2.9
2.8
2.8
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
23. P4. Level of trust toward Parliament (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully
distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
3.4 3.4
3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
3.2 3.2
3.0 3.0
2.8
2.7
2.5 2.5
2.4 2.4 2.4
2.0
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
24. P15, P16. Paradox of Trust
Would you say that the most recent election was conducted …, 2011 (%)
Completely fairly To some extent fairly Not at all fairly Don't know
Armenia 12 36 33 19
Azerbaijan 13 30 16 41
Georgia 24 30 10 36
Did you vote in the last national election?, 2011 (%)
Yes No Don't know
Armenia 81 19
Azerbaijan 62 36 2
Georgia 74 23 2
25. P8. Do you think or not that people like yourself have the right to openly say
what they think?, 2011 (%)
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
63
56
45
42
31 32
13 13
5
Yes No Don't know
26. D22. Have you or any member of your household been in a situation during the
last 12 months when you/they had to pay a bribe in order to get a service or to
obtain preferential treatment or consideration?, 2011 (%)
Yes No
99
89
64
27
6
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
28. NK2. When do you think the Nagorno Karabakh conflict will be
resolved?, 2011(%)
Armenia Azerbaijan
38
34
24 24
12 12 12
11 10
7
4 5
3 3
It has already Within the next In 2-5 years In 6-10 years In more than 10 Never Don’t know
been resolved year years
29. NK4.1. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict
within the next 5 years by peaceful negotiation?, 2011 (%)
Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know
Armenia 38 24 9 12 17
Azerbaijan 26 26 22 20 7
30. NK4.2. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict
within the next 5 years by force?, 2011 (%)
Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know
Armenia 11 10 19 36 23
Azerbaijan 19 23 28 19 10
31. Armenia
NK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)
Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia. 61 16 15 8
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country. 58 19 14 9
Create a special administrative region that will be jointly
governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.
24 77 17
Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy
within Azerbaijan.
23 78 17
Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy. 42 75 18
32. Azerbaijan
NK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)
Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia. 0.5 96 3
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country. 1 8 83 8
Create a special administrative region that will be jointly
governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.
16 85 8
Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within
Azerbaijan.
23 29 40 8
Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy. 91 41 4
33. NK1. In your opinion, should the following countries or organizations be involved
in finding a solution for the Nagorno Karabakh conflict?, 2011 (%)
More involved Less involved Not involved at all Don't know
Armenia 73 10 6 11
Russia
Azerbaijan 51 21 18 10
Armenia 36 22 26 16
USA
Azerbaijan 36 32 21 11
Armenia 50 18 17 16
France
Azerbaijan 15 29 41 15
Armenia 8 8 70 14
Turkey
Azerbaijan 87 5 2 6
Armenia 43 22 16 18
EU
Azerbaijan 40 28 17 15
37. P21. To what extent would you support your country’s membership in
NATO? (%)
2010-2011
Fully support Rather support Equally support and don’t support
Rather not support Don’t support at all Don’t know
2011 16 21 24 9 12 18
Armenia
2010 14 23 26 9 12 16
2011 22 21 25 9 6 16
Azerbaijan
2010 20 25 22 8 6 19
2011 38 29 15 3 5 11
Georgia
2010 35 35 13 4 4 9
38. Armenia
N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business
with…,2011, (%)
Yes No
32
Azerbaijanis
64
60
Jews
34
73
Americans
22
69
Greeks
27
86
Russians
11
40
Turks
57
66
Georgians
30
Kurds, Yezidi 56
s 40
72
English
24
39. Azerbaijan
N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business
with…,2011, (%)
Yes No
Armenians
99
39
Jews
55
39
Americans
56
44
Greeks
48
71
Russians
27
87
Turks
12
57
Georgians
41
24
Kurds, Yezidis
70
53
English
42
40. Georgia
N8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business
with…,2011, (%)
Yes No
70
Armenians
24
72
Jews
19
75
Americans
17
73
Azerbaijanis
20
75
Greeks
18
76
Russians
18
66
Turks
28
Kurds, Yezidi 95
s 30
59
English
32
41. P23. Which country is currently the biggest friend of your country, 2011 (%)
Russia 81
Armenia
France 7
Turkey 90
Azerbaijan
Don't know 5
USA 44
Georgia
Don't know 25
42. P24. Which country is currently the biggest enemy of your country, 2011 (%)
Azerbaijan 60
Armenia
Turkey 34
Armenia 94
Azerbaijan
Russia 3
Russia 51
Georgia
Don't know 34
44. N2. How happy would you say you are?
(1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
happy”, average score)
2010 2011
6.9
6.6 6.6
6.4
6.1
5.8
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
45. Armenia
N2. How happy would you say you are? by household income last month (1 -
10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
happy”, average score)
8.1
7.6
7.0
6.7 6.8
6.3
6.1
5.8
More than USD USD 801-1200 USD 401-800 USD 251-400 USD 101-250 USD 51-100 Up to USD 50 0
1200
46. N2, A8. How happy would you say you are?, by marital status, 2011
(1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average
score)
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
7.6 7.4
7.3 7.2 7.3
7.0 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9
6.6
6.5
6.3
6.1 6.0 6.1
5.8
5.4
5.0 5.0 5.1
4.8 4.7
4.2
Never married Married: official Married: Married: both Cohabiting Divorced Separated Widow/Widower
state marriage religious state marriage without civil or
only, no religious ceremony and religious religious
ceremony only, not ceremony marriage
registered with
state
47. Armenia
N2. How happy would you say you are?, by gender and age, 2011
(1 -10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
happy”, average score)
7.5
7.0
6.6
6.4
5.6 5.5
18-35 36-55 56+ 18-35 36-55 56+
Male Female
48. Data open access and on-line analysis
www.crrccenters.org/caucasusbarometer/online or
http://crrc.ge/oda