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Video of this talk: http://river-valley.tv/measuring-is-knowing-or-is-it/



              Measuring is Knowing
                   Or is it?
                   Jan Velterop – APE – 20 January MMX
NSF Workshop on
Scholarly Evaluation Metrics
     Washington DC, December 2009
About Citations and Usage
    (More about Citiations than Usage)
Mixed feelings
Mixed feelings
     useless
Mixed feelings
     useless
     meaningless
Mixed feelings
     useless
     meaningless
     interesting
Mixed feelings
     useless
     meaningless
     interesting
     just play the game
Every ‘usage’ has its metric
Every metric has its ‘usage’
How science is linked
And metrics less so
Herbert van de Sompel    Johan Bollen
Michael Kurtz      Peter Binfield       Jevin West
   Jorge Hirsch   Jan Velterop      Julia Lane
            Alexis-Michel Mugabushaka
growth of informal science communication
                                  re-use of data as impact
     metrics for data sets
                                  measure
metrics suitable to take decisions?   local metrics vs global ones

  Eigenfactor vs Impact Factor web metrics poorly understood
                               h-bar index refinement of h-
     focus on networks
                               index
               multiple author, junior author, senior author

  article level metrics      relative funding decisions
         increasing inputs not always leading to increased
         output
                         how to quantify exposure in lay news
science is non-linear
                         media?
            attributed nano-publications
Current knowledge transfer
Current knowledge transfer




                             Signal to noise ratio?
Current knowledge transfer – an analogy – needle transport
Current knowledge transfer – an analogy – needle transport


                                                 Nano-
                                               publications
                                                 are the
                                                “needles”
Ascoviruses (AVs) induce a unique pathology in their insect host cells causing cleavage of the cells
into virion-containing vesicles. The mechanism by which AVs induce vesicle formation is poorly
understood. It is postulated that the virus initially induces apoptosis leading to cell fragmentation.
The apoptotic bodies are however, rescued by the virus to form the vesicles. Here we show that
Heliothis virescens AV (HvAV-3e) is able to inhibit chemically induced apoptosis from around 16 h
after infection. Analysis of the genome of the virus indicated the presence of a putative inhibitor of
apoptosis (orf28) gene that encodes a protein with an imperfect baculovirus inhibitor of apoptosis
repeat (BIR) and a RING domain. Transiently expressed orf28 did not inhibit chemically induced
apoptosis suggesting that the protein may not serve as an inhibitor of apoptosis. Nevertheless, RNA
interference studies revealed that the gene is probably essential for virus pathology and replication.
       Ascoviruses
      [16747851]                               Ascoviruses [16747851]
      Induction
      [26277419]                               Induction of Pathology [26277419
      Pathology                                13817745]
      [13817745]
      Insect [839958]                          Cell of Insect [283053 839958]
      Cell [283053]
               Ascoviruses        > induction of pathology >               insect cells

                  [16747851]      > [26277419 13817745]                    > [283053        839958]
Ascoviruses (AVs) induce a unique pathology in their insect host cells causing cleavage of the cells
into virion-containing vesicles. The mechanism by which AVs induce vesicle formation is poorly
understood. It is postulated that the virus initially induces apoptosis leading to cell fragmentation.
The apoptotic bodies are however, rescued by the virus to form the vesicles. Here we show that
Heliothis virescens AV (HvAV-3e) is able to inhibit chemically induced apoptosis from around 16 h
after infection. Analysis of the genome of the virus indicated the presence of a putative inhibitor of
apoptosis (orf28) gene that encodes a protein with an imperfect baculovirus inhibitor of apoptosis
repeat (BIR) and a RING domain. Transiently expressed orf28 did not inhibit chemically induced
apoptosis suggesting that the protein may not serve as an inhibitor of apoptosis. Nevertheless, RNA
interference studies revealed that the gene is probably essential for virus pathology and replication.
       Ascoviruses
      [16747851]                               Ascoviruses [16747851]
      Induction
      [26277419]                               Induction of Pathology [26277419
      Pathology                                13817745]
      [13817745]
      Insect [839958]                          Cell of Insect [283053 839958]
      Cell [283053]
               Ascoviruses        > induction of pathology >               insect cells

                  [16747851]      > [26277419 13817745]                    > [283053        839958]




                      Semantic codification of assertions
Author
<rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745">
<cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/>
<cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction>
<cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength>
<cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/>
<cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/>
<cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp>
<cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/>
<cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”>
</rdf:Description>


                                           Provenance
<rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745">
<cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/>
<cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction>
<cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength>
<cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/>
<cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/>
<cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp>
<cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/>
<cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”>
</rdf:Description>
Author
<rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745">
<cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/>
<cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction>
<cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength>
<cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/>
<cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/>
<cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp>
<cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/>
<cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”>
</rdf:Description>


                                           Provenance
<rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745">
<cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/>
<cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction>
<cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength>
<cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/>
<cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/>
<cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp>
<cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/>
<cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”>
</rdf:Description>



       They are “nano-publications” because they can be cited
In essence the NSF workshop
     was all about Impact
  (Though “Impact” was not defined)
Let me help define “Impact”
But first…
Why do scientists publish?
The record
“keeping the minutes of science”




                     The
            of S


                      Rec
                 c


                       ord
              ienc
                e
The record
“keeping the minutes of science”


                       e
             of Scienc

            ord
               The Rec
Transfer of
information and knowledge
Credit in the ego-system; the acknowledge economy
Credit in the ego-system; the acknowledge economy




                      Often seen as
                        impact
“Scientific impact is the sound
you hear if you drop a feather
down the Grand Canyon and
wait for the echo.”

Paraphrasing Don Marquis, 1878-1937
“The notion of impact is incoherent, likely
to reward the sensationalist and second-
rate ... and risks turning academics into
door-to-door salesmen for vulgarised
versions of their increasingly market-
oriented products.”


Stefan Collini, professor of intellectual history and English
literature at the University of Cambridge
Impact Factor
g-index
h-index
h-b-index
Eigenfactor
Journal      Impact Factor
Individual   g-index
Individual   h-index
Topic        h-b-index
Journal      Eigenfactor
Lazy Man’s Credit League Tables?
Journal        Impact Factor
Individual     g-index
Individual     h-index
Topic          h-b-index
Journal        Eigenfactor
Lazy Man’s Credit League Tables?
Journal        Impact Factor
Individual     g-index
Individual     h-index
Topic          h-b-index
Journal        Eigenfactor

              In Defiance of Science?
Defiance of Science?
Defiance of Science?




Higher precision than needed for
      a space rendez-vous
Apart from journal level , also article level metrics:
Apart from journal level , also article level metrics:
                usage
                citations
                blog posts
                bookmarks
                comments/ratings
                trackbacks
The less I understand it, the more
quality it is bound to have
The less I understand it, the more
quality it is bound to have

How about that as a metric?
Anyway, what does it mean, all these
 metrics and the resulting ranking of
   McJournals * and McArticles*?
Anyway, what does it mean, all these
 metrics and the resulting ranking of
   McJournals * and McArticles*?

   *   obviously, in this context ”Mc” just means:
       falling within a narrow band of variability
not just self-referencing ivory tower influence?
not just self-referencing ivory tower influence?
Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another
Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another
Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another


                  Just in case this graph
                 makes it to the web – it’s
                     totally fictional!
Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another


                  Just in case this graph
                 makes it to the web – it’s
                     totally fictional!
                                   But believable, too!
Akin to
phrenology?
Akin to
phrenology?
Eigenfactor
Akin to       down-
               loads g-index
phrenology?
              h-index       h-b-index
Eigenfactor
Akin to       down-
               loads g-index        Impact
phrenology?
                                    Factor
              h-index       h-b-index
Societal Impact
79-page document

‘Citation’ mentioned
exactly twice.

‘Impact Factor’ not
mentioned at all.

‘Quality’ mentioned
50 times.
The Scientific Egosystem is an Acknowledge Economy
      where ROI means Return on Influence
The Scientific Egosystem is an Acknowledge Economy
      where ROI means Return on Influence
        Shouldn’t that be Societal Influence?
“Not everything that can be counted
 counts; not everything that counts
 can be counted.”
                         Albert Einstein   .
Are the most cited articles also the ones worth
citing most?
Are the most used articles also the ones worth
using most?
Are the most cited and used articles also the
ones worth most to current and future society?
the old story of goals and means
Julia Lane (NSF)
    One thing that bugs me is that people answer the question ‘what

“   impact has your funding had’ with things like ‘I hired 3 postdocs and 2
    support staff.’
                                                                       ”
    Societal impact?

    How has your research – done with our money – made the world a
    better place?
Can we truly know?
Ivory tower




Foundation
Thank you!

velterop@conceptweballiance.org

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Measuring is knowing - or is it?

  • 1. Video of this talk: http://river-valley.tv/measuring-is-knowing-or-is-it/ Measuring is Knowing Or is it? Jan Velterop – APE – 20 January MMX
  • 2. NSF Workshop on Scholarly Evaluation Metrics Washington DC, December 2009
  • 3. About Citations and Usage (More about Citiations than Usage)
  • 4.
  • 6. Mixed feelings useless
  • 7. Mixed feelings useless meaningless
  • 8. Mixed feelings useless meaningless interesting
  • 9. Mixed feelings useless meaningless interesting just play the game
  • 10. Every ‘usage’ has its metric
  • 11. Every metric has its ‘usage’
  • 12.
  • 13. How science is linked
  • 14.
  • 16. Herbert van de Sompel Johan Bollen Michael Kurtz Peter Binfield Jevin West Jorge Hirsch Jan Velterop Julia Lane Alexis-Michel Mugabushaka
  • 17.
  • 18. growth of informal science communication re-use of data as impact metrics for data sets measure metrics suitable to take decisions? local metrics vs global ones Eigenfactor vs Impact Factor web metrics poorly understood h-bar index refinement of h- focus on networks index multiple author, junior author, senior author article level metrics relative funding decisions increasing inputs not always leading to increased output how to quantify exposure in lay news science is non-linear media? attributed nano-publications
  • 20. Current knowledge transfer Signal to noise ratio?
  • 21.
  • 22. Current knowledge transfer – an analogy – needle transport
  • 23. Current knowledge transfer – an analogy – needle transport Nano- publications are the “needles”
  • 24. Ascoviruses (AVs) induce a unique pathology in their insect host cells causing cleavage of the cells into virion-containing vesicles. The mechanism by which AVs induce vesicle formation is poorly understood. It is postulated that the virus initially induces apoptosis leading to cell fragmentation. The apoptotic bodies are however, rescued by the virus to form the vesicles. Here we show that Heliothis virescens AV (HvAV-3e) is able to inhibit chemically induced apoptosis from around 16 h after infection. Analysis of the genome of the virus indicated the presence of a putative inhibitor of apoptosis (orf28) gene that encodes a protein with an imperfect baculovirus inhibitor of apoptosis repeat (BIR) and a RING domain. Transiently expressed orf28 did not inhibit chemically induced apoptosis suggesting that the protein may not serve as an inhibitor of apoptosis. Nevertheless, RNA interference studies revealed that the gene is probably essential for virus pathology and replication. Ascoviruses [16747851] Ascoviruses [16747851] Induction [26277419] Induction of Pathology [26277419 Pathology 13817745] [13817745] Insect [839958] Cell of Insect [283053 839958] Cell [283053] Ascoviruses > induction of pathology > insect cells [16747851] > [26277419 13817745] > [283053 839958]
  • 25. Ascoviruses (AVs) induce a unique pathology in their insect host cells causing cleavage of the cells into virion-containing vesicles. The mechanism by which AVs induce vesicle formation is poorly understood. It is postulated that the virus initially induces apoptosis leading to cell fragmentation. The apoptotic bodies are however, rescued by the virus to form the vesicles. Here we show that Heliothis virescens AV (HvAV-3e) is able to inhibit chemically induced apoptosis from around 16 h after infection. Analysis of the genome of the virus indicated the presence of a putative inhibitor of apoptosis (orf28) gene that encodes a protein with an imperfect baculovirus inhibitor of apoptosis repeat (BIR) and a RING domain. Transiently expressed orf28 did not inhibit chemically induced apoptosis suggesting that the protein may not serve as an inhibitor of apoptosis. Nevertheless, RNA interference studies revealed that the gene is probably essential for virus pathology and replication. Ascoviruses [16747851] Ascoviruses [16747851] Induction [26277419] Induction of Pathology [26277419 Pathology 13817745] [13817745] Insect [839958] Cell of Insect [283053 839958] Cell [283053] Ascoviruses > induction of pathology > insect cells [16747851] > [26277419 13817745] > [283053 839958] Semantic codification of assertions
  • 26. Author <rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745"> <cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/> <cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction> <cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength> <cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/> <cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/> <cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp> <cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/> <cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”> </rdf:Description> Provenance <rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745"> <cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/> <cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction> <cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength> <cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/> <cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/> <cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp> <cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/> <cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”> </rdf:Description>
  • 27. Author <rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745"> <cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/> <cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction> <cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength> <cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/> <cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/> <cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp> <cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/> <cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”> </rdf:Description> Provenance <rdf:Description rdf:about=”http://www.nbic.nl/cwa/relation/#26277419#13817745"> <cwa:typeRelation rdf:resource=” http://predicate.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#2121378”/> <cwa:direction>1,2</cwa:direction> <cwa:strength>1.0</cwa:strength> <cwa:author rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#85094810”/> <cwa:provenance rdf:resource=”http://article.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#121646370”/> <cwa:timestamp>1240641052059</cwa:timestamp> <cwa:annotated_by rdf:resource=”http://people.conceptwiki.org/index.php/#43065817”/> <cwa:annotation rdf resource=”http://www.virusdb.org/viruses/av/Heliothis_virescens_insect”> </rdf:Description> They are “nano-publications” because they can be cited
  • 28. In essence the NSF workshop was all about Impact (Though “Impact” was not defined)
  • 29. Let me help define “Impact”
  • 30. But first… Why do scientists publish?
  • 31. The record “keeping the minutes of science” The of S Rec c ord ienc e
  • 32. The record “keeping the minutes of science” e of Scienc ord The Rec
  • 34. Credit in the ego-system; the acknowledge economy
  • 35. Credit in the ego-system; the acknowledge economy Often seen as impact
  • 36.
  • 37. “Scientific impact is the sound you hear if you drop a feather down the Grand Canyon and wait for the echo.” Paraphrasing Don Marquis, 1878-1937
  • 38. “The notion of impact is incoherent, likely to reward the sensationalist and second- rate ... and risks turning academics into door-to-door salesmen for vulgarised versions of their increasingly market- oriented products.” Stefan Collini, professor of intellectual history and English literature at the University of Cambridge
  • 39.
  • 41. Journal Impact Factor Individual g-index Individual h-index Topic h-b-index Journal Eigenfactor
  • 42. Lazy Man’s Credit League Tables? Journal Impact Factor Individual g-index Individual h-index Topic h-b-index Journal Eigenfactor
  • 43. Lazy Man’s Credit League Tables? Journal Impact Factor Individual g-index Individual h-index Topic h-b-index Journal Eigenfactor In Defiance of Science?
  • 44.
  • 46. Defiance of Science? Higher precision than needed for a space rendez-vous
  • 47. Apart from journal level , also article level metrics:
  • 48. Apart from journal level , also article level metrics: usage citations blog posts bookmarks comments/ratings trackbacks
  • 49. The less I understand it, the more quality it is bound to have
  • 50. The less I understand it, the more quality it is bound to have How about that as a metric?
  • 51. Anyway, what does it mean, all these metrics and the resulting ranking of McJournals * and McArticles*?
  • 52. Anyway, what does it mean, all these metrics and the resulting ranking of McJournals * and McArticles*? * obviously, in this context ”Mc” just means: falling within a narrow band of variability
  • 53. not just self-referencing ivory tower influence?
  • 54. not just self-referencing ivory tower influence?
  • 55. Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another
  • 56. Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another
  • 57. Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another Just in case this graph makes it to the web – it’s totally fictional!
  • 58. Number of career decisions based purely on citation counts of one sort or another Just in case this graph makes it to the web – it’s totally fictional! But believable, too!
  • 61. Eigenfactor Akin to down- loads g-index phrenology? h-index h-b-index
  • 62. Eigenfactor Akin to down- loads g-index Impact phrenology? Factor h-index h-b-index
  • 64. 79-page document ‘Citation’ mentioned exactly twice. ‘Impact Factor’ not mentioned at all. ‘Quality’ mentioned 50 times.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67. The Scientific Egosystem is an Acknowledge Economy where ROI means Return on Influence
  • 68. The Scientific Egosystem is an Acknowledge Economy where ROI means Return on Influence Shouldn’t that be Societal Influence?
  • 69. “Not everything that can be counted counts; not everything that counts can be counted.” Albert Einstein .
  • 70. Are the most cited articles also the ones worth citing most?
  • 71. Are the most used articles also the ones worth using most?
  • 72. Are the most cited and used articles also the ones worth most to current and future society?
  • 73. the old story of goals and means
  • 74. Julia Lane (NSF) One thing that bugs me is that people answer the question ‘what “ impact has your funding had’ with things like ‘I hired 3 postdocs and 2 support staff.’ ” Societal impact? How has your research – done with our money – made the world a better place?
  • 75. Can we truly know?

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