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AÏDA - Providing a framework for
            objective assessment of ICT for
          Disaster Risk Management in Africa


                                     Dr. Norman Kerle
          International Institute for Geoinformation Science and Earth
                         Observation (ITC) (kerle@itc.nl)

AÏDA – Advancing ICT for DRM in Africa
Purpose and scope


   Overview of the AÏDA project
   Purpose of the Conceptual Framework (CF)
   Structure & scope
   Principal findings
   Significance within AIDA & wider utility




                                              2
Overview of the AÏDA project

 Motivation
   Disaster occurrence and costs are increasing




                                                  3
Effect especially severe in developing
countries (90% of fatalities)
Hyogo framework for Action is guiding policy
ICT solutions
What is available?
 Share information on ICT knowledge and solutions




                                                    4
Why Africa?

 2007/2008 UNDP Human Development Report – 35 out
 of last 50 countries in Africa
 Renewed interest by China and US
 EU wants to keep up influence (GMES for Africa), and
 stem immigration
 Renewed interest in disaster risk management (DRM),
 e.g. Hyogo Framework of Action, also touches Africa




                                                        5
Overview of the AÏDA project


 Project structure (http://www.aidaonline.info/)
   10 partners
   2 years
   VITO (Belgium, lead), ITC (Netherlands), EUMETSAT
   (Germany), NET QI (Switzerland), GEOSAT (France),
   Technologies Sans Frontières (Luxemburg), Ardhi
   University (Tanzania), Council for Scientific and
   Industrial Research (South Africa), Federal University
   of Technology, Minna (Nigeria), Institut d’Economie
   Rurale du Mali (Mali)




                                                            6
Objectives

  Reduce the risk of natural disasters
  Improve the capacity to respond to disasters
  Bridge the ICT information access gap within
  Africa
  Promote existing, successful and adequate ICT
  solution & share this information
  Open up the GEONETCast system for alerting
  purposes
  Establish a long-term ICT-cooperation with and
  within Africa



                                                   7
Project Structure
                      Regional
First task in
    WP1:
Conceptual
Framework
    (CF)
       National
   African Partners




                                 8
Purpose of the CF

 Review relevant disaster risk management (DRM)
 concepts and terminology
 Establish common language
 Review the disaster situation in Africa
 Review international policy initiatives in DRM that
 affect Africa
 Review international ICT efforts
 Review African ICT initiatives for DRM
 Focus is on continental or regional scale



                                                       9
Structure of CF

1. Objectives and scope of the Conceptual Framework
2. Natural disasters in Africa
3. Disaster management conceptualized
4. The scalability of risk
5. The hazard situation in Africa
6. From hazard to risk
7. Disaster Risk Reduction policies and strategies
8. The role of ICT for DRM in Africa
9. International ICT-based DRM efforts directed towards or including
    Africa
10. Tools for information transfer and use – beyond the internet
11. African ICT initiatives
12. Summary

13. Acronym list
14. References
                                                                       10
Results & observations –
                   Hazard and disasters
 Most rapid disaster increase in Africa




                                          11
Most rapidly rising population
More elements at risk and pressure on resources




                                                  12
Hazards and disasters show strong regional patterns
Understanding those is the key to risk reduction
The macroscopic hazard picture is well known – but not
well adapted to different hazard aspects
Major hazards at regional and nationals levels are being
well monitored
At sub-national levels far less capacity exists
(infrastructure, skilled personnel, or methods [e.g.
local seismic effects])




                                                           13
Results & observations – Risk


 Risk, as defined, is scalable
 Fundamentally a social phenomenon
 As those are locally defined, risk is inherently local
 (as is reducing vulnerability)
 In Africa little is known about the actual risk
 distribution (as it is also hazard dependent)
 Those hazards can also compound each other
 Risk should include all vulnerabilities – challenging
 existing methods and quantification



                                                          14
Results & observations –
    Disaster Risk Management Strategies

 Africa is well linked in at broad conceptual levels
 African Union has adopted Hyogo Framework
 Many countries have developed effective
 monitoring, early warning and DRM strategies
 Often the most effective solution is not
 technological, but community empowerment and a
 local champion
 Myth that there are no resources for DRM as all is
 needed for development and poverty reduction



                                                       15
Results & observations –
                               ICT solutions

 Africa is underconnected in terms of fixed lines and
 internet




                                                        16
Results & observations –
                              ICT solutions

 Partly made up by leap-frogging to mobile phones




                                                    17
Results & observations –
                                    ICT solutions

 For ICT solutions and data transfer this is impractical
 One solution is GEONETCast
 Large number of extra-African monitoring exists
 (FEWS, windstorms, volcanic hazard, seismic grid)
 Africa itself has shown strong technical capacity and
 readiness to participate in advanced ICT-based DRM
 solutions
   4 countries have already operated space technology (Egypt,
   Algeria, Nigeria, South Africa)
   Missing is ready cross-boundary cooperation and African
   concept


                                                                18
seismic                       Tropical storms




          Thermal anomalies




                                     Severe weather




                                                      19
Rainfall and NDVI anomalies




                                 At times modelled
                              observations - malaria




                                                       20
African solutions

  Individual countries have space technology
  But also joined projects (e.g. Ocean Data and
  Information Network for Africa (ODINAFRICA),
  AfricaArray for seismic monitoring, Regional
  Subsahara Wildland Fire Network (Afrifirenet)
  Also good efforts in ICT capacity building (e.g. African
  Centre for Space Science and Technology (CRASTE-LF)
  in Morocco, and the anglophone Regional Centre for
  Space Science and Technology Education (RECTAS) in
  Nigeria, Regional Centre for Mapping of Resources for
  Development (RCMRD, Kenya), Regional Remote
  Sensing Project (RRSU, Botswana).


                                                             21
What is needed is prioritization – do we focus on
statistics of fatalities or affected people?




                                                    22
Further details

 All reviewed in detail in the CF
 Extensively illustrated
 First draft ready, final version by June 2010
 Can be requested from the AIDA consortium or
 kerle@itc.nl

 Meant to
   provide a basis for the EU to decide on future funding
   Guidance for NGOs and governmental agencies focusing on
   DRM in Africa
   Science community
   African stakeholders to accelerate cooperation and adoption
   or what works elsewhere

                                                                 23
24
Thank you


            25

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Aida Cf Overview Kerle Iscram2009

  • 1. AÏDA - Providing a framework for objective assessment of ICT for Disaster Risk Management in Africa Dr. Norman Kerle International Institute for Geoinformation Science and Earth Observation (ITC) (kerle@itc.nl) AÏDA – Advancing ICT for DRM in Africa
  • 2. Purpose and scope Overview of the AÏDA project Purpose of the Conceptual Framework (CF) Structure & scope Principal findings Significance within AIDA & wider utility 2
  • 3. Overview of the AÏDA project Motivation Disaster occurrence and costs are increasing 3
  • 4. Effect especially severe in developing countries (90% of fatalities) Hyogo framework for Action is guiding policy ICT solutions What is available? Share information on ICT knowledge and solutions 4
  • 5. Why Africa? 2007/2008 UNDP Human Development Report – 35 out of last 50 countries in Africa Renewed interest by China and US EU wants to keep up influence (GMES for Africa), and stem immigration Renewed interest in disaster risk management (DRM), e.g. Hyogo Framework of Action, also touches Africa 5
  • 6. Overview of the AÏDA project Project structure (http://www.aidaonline.info/) 10 partners 2 years VITO (Belgium, lead), ITC (Netherlands), EUMETSAT (Germany), NET QI (Switzerland), GEOSAT (France), Technologies Sans Frontières (Luxemburg), Ardhi University (Tanzania), Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (South Africa), Federal University of Technology, Minna (Nigeria), Institut d’Economie Rurale du Mali (Mali) 6
  • 7. Objectives Reduce the risk of natural disasters Improve the capacity to respond to disasters Bridge the ICT information access gap within Africa Promote existing, successful and adequate ICT solution & share this information Open up the GEONETCast system for alerting purposes Establish a long-term ICT-cooperation with and within Africa 7
  • 8. Project Structure Regional First task in WP1: Conceptual Framework (CF) National African Partners 8
  • 9. Purpose of the CF Review relevant disaster risk management (DRM) concepts and terminology Establish common language Review the disaster situation in Africa Review international policy initiatives in DRM that affect Africa Review international ICT efforts Review African ICT initiatives for DRM Focus is on continental or regional scale 9
  • 10. Structure of CF 1. Objectives and scope of the Conceptual Framework 2. Natural disasters in Africa 3. Disaster management conceptualized 4. The scalability of risk 5. The hazard situation in Africa 6. From hazard to risk 7. Disaster Risk Reduction policies and strategies 8. The role of ICT for DRM in Africa 9. International ICT-based DRM efforts directed towards or including Africa 10. Tools for information transfer and use – beyond the internet 11. African ICT initiatives 12. Summary 13. Acronym list 14. References 10
  • 11. Results & observations – Hazard and disasters Most rapid disaster increase in Africa 11
  • 12. Most rapidly rising population More elements at risk and pressure on resources 12
  • 13. Hazards and disasters show strong regional patterns Understanding those is the key to risk reduction The macroscopic hazard picture is well known – but not well adapted to different hazard aspects Major hazards at regional and nationals levels are being well monitored At sub-national levels far less capacity exists (infrastructure, skilled personnel, or methods [e.g. local seismic effects]) 13
  • 14. Results & observations – Risk Risk, as defined, is scalable Fundamentally a social phenomenon As those are locally defined, risk is inherently local (as is reducing vulnerability) In Africa little is known about the actual risk distribution (as it is also hazard dependent) Those hazards can also compound each other Risk should include all vulnerabilities – challenging existing methods and quantification 14
  • 15. Results & observations – Disaster Risk Management Strategies Africa is well linked in at broad conceptual levels African Union has adopted Hyogo Framework Many countries have developed effective monitoring, early warning and DRM strategies Often the most effective solution is not technological, but community empowerment and a local champion Myth that there are no resources for DRM as all is needed for development and poverty reduction 15
  • 16. Results & observations – ICT solutions Africa is underconnected in terms of fixed lines and internet 16
  • 17. Results & observations – ICT solutions Partly made up by leap-frogging to mobile phones 17
  • 18. Results & observations – ICT solutions For ICT solutions and data transfer this is impractical One solution is GEONETCast Large number of extra-African monitoring exists (FEWS, windstorms, volcanic hazard, seismic grid) Africa itself has shown strong technical capacity and readiness to participate in advanced ICT-based DRM solutions 4 countries have already operated space technology (Egypt, Algeria, Nigeria, South Africa) Missing is ready cross-boundary cooperation and African concept 18
  • 19. seismic Tropical storms Thermal anomalies Severe weather 19
  • 20. Rainfall and NDVI anomalies At times modelled observations - malaria 20
  • 21. African solutions Individual countries have space technology But also joined projects (e.g. Ocean Data and Information Network for Africa (ODINAFRICA), AfricaArray for seismic monitoring, Regional Subsahara Wildland Fire Network (Afrifirenet) Also good efforts in ICT capacity building (e.g. African Centre for Space Science and Technology (CRASTE-LF) in Morocco, and the anglophone Regional Centre for Space Science and Technology Education (RECTAS) in Nigeria, Regional Centre for Mapping of Resources for Development (RCMRD, Kenya), Regional Remote Sensing Project (RRSU, Botswana). 21
  • 22. What is needed is prioritization – do we focus on statistics of fatalities or affected people? 22
  • 23. Further details All reviewed in detail in the CF Extensively illustrated First draft ready, final version by June 2010 Can be requested from the AIDA consortium or kerle@itc.nl Meant to provide a basis for the EU to decide on future funding Guidance for NGOs and governmental agencies focusing on DRM in Africa Science community African stakeholders to accelerate cooperation and adoption or what works elsewhere 23
  • 24. 24
  • 25. Thank you 25