This document analyzes COVID-19 case and death data from 18 countries on March 18, 2020. It places the countries on a matrix based on their new cases and new deaths that day. Italy is in a "very critical situation" with the highest rates. Spain, France, and Iran are also in "critical situations." The US and Germany have "high impact" but may recover sooner. China and South Korea, with lower rates, are "more likely to recover." The analysis aims to classify countries by level of impact and recovery potential to inform the global response.
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf(CBTL), Business strategy case study
COVID-19 Cases vs Deaths by Country on 18 March
1. COVID-19 Coronavirus
New Cases Vs New Deaths for Day of 18 March 2020
Multi Decision Matrix Issue No. 2
In this issue, we try to trace most update COVID-19 Coronavirus. According to World meter
web site, the coronavirus COVID-19 is affecting 176 countries and territories around the
world and 1 international conveyance (the Diamond Princess Cruise ship harbored in
Yokohama, Japan). The database is according to data reported on 18 March 2020.
Addressing two reported impacts as New Coronavirus Cases and New Death by country.
As shown in the following table
Data Sampling:
According to the Data published - New Coronavirus
Cases and New Death Cases of top 18 Countries
based New Coronavirus Cases including China and
South Korea. The data of sampling look good (88%
of total data while for new death it reached 96 %.)
the data represent only Day 18 March 2020.(One
Day ). As shown in Pie Charts.
By: Mohammed Salem Awad
Aviation Consultant
Data Source:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
2. 22
Analysis (Multi Decision Matrix).
The idea is to position the effected countries based on their effect by New Cases and New
Death per one Day. Here we have data of 18 March 2020. So based on data sampling of 18
countries we setup a reference value (Average) for both columns, then develop the relative
values for each individual country, which is reflected on the Matrix/Graph. If we look to the
graph, it is obviously the area split into two parts, Very Critical Situation part and Tend to
Recovery part.
Therefore, when we position the countries according to their values we get clear picture
about the effected countries and the size of impact relative to the others. Which can be
classified by the following terms:
Very Critical Situation: ITALY
Critical Situation: Spain, France, Iran
Highly Impact: USA, Germany
More Likely to Recover: China, South Korea, (Lower part of the Matrix – Green Aera)
3. 33
Conclusions:
The study of one day ( 18 March 2020) shows that Italy is in very critical situation, the world
should react fast to save people, where its looks Spain is on the way and France, if there is no
immediate action. Iran, still struggle this Virus. While the advanced countries as USA and
Germany have a very low rate of Death this position, them to more likely to move to recover
stage in spite of high rate of impact. Most of the worlds are in the region of tend to recover
and as long as we move down in the matrix, the most stable recovery country will be ( as
China and South Korea).
About UK – it is very close to origin of the matrix; it is more likely to effect by this virus in
future if there is no rules and restriction, as Heathrow Airport is the main gate to USA.
Moreover, the most factor to spread this virus is the closed area as aircrafts (Cabin).
Appendix:
Case: New Coronavirus Cases and New Death Cases for 18 March 2020
(18 Countries)