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Basic Financial Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Intelligence ,[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Intelligence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Intelligence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Intelligence Income  Statement Balance Sheet Income Expenses (Payments) Assets (Own) Liabilities (Debt) Taxes, mortgage/rent, cards, car, food, fun, rent, clothes, child care, insurance, medical Paycheck, dividends, interest, rents, royalties, profits, advances Mortgage, car loan, credit cards,  school loans Stocks, bonds, notes, real estate, business,  intellectual property
How The Wealthy Live   They take the income of the poor and middle class, and buy assets that produce more income Income  Statement Balance Sheet Income Expenses Assets Liabilities
Rich Dad’s  Cash Flow Quadrant Employee You have a job. Someone else is the boss. Security  before money . Self-Employed You own a job. Loner/”boss.”  Perfectionists. Small bus.  Owners: Drs., restaurateurs. Independence before money. Developer You own a system that others operate. Coordinator. Delegator. Franchiser. Use other people's time and money. Investor Your money works for you. Make money with money. Other’s liabilities are your assets.
Basic Spreadsheet Financial Functions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Present Value Solution
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Future Value Solution
[object Object],[object Object],Payment Function
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Interest Rate Function
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NPER Solution
Investment Risk and Return
What is investment risk? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Probability distribution Rate of return (%) 50 15 0 -20 Stock X Stock Y ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expected Return versus Risk 13.4 1.7 Repo Men  0.0 8.0 T-bills 18.8 13.8 Am. Foam 15.3 15.0 Market 20.0% 17.4% Alta Inds. Risk,   return Security Expected
Return vs. Risk (Std. Dev.):  Which investment is best?
Portfolio Return, r p r p  is a weighted average: r p  = 0.5(17.4%) + 0.5(1.7%) =  9.6% . r p  is between r Alta  and r Repo . ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ r p  =    w i r i  n i = 1
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two-Stock Portfolios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Portfolio 0 15 Prob. 2 1  1    35% ;   portfolio    20%. Return
Risk Relative to the Market ,[object Object],[object Object]
Calculating Beta for PQU r PQU = 0.83r M + 0.03 R 2 = 0.36 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% r M r KWE
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How is beta interpreted?
Finding Beta Estimates on the Web ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Use the SML to calculate each alternative’s required return. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],^
Required Rates of Return r Alta   =  8.0% + (7%)(1.29) =  8.0% + 9.0% =  17.0%. r M =  8.0% + (7%)(1.00) =  15.0%. r Am. F. =  8.0% + (7%)(0.68) =  12.8%. r T-bill =  8.0% + (7%)(0.00) =  8.0%. r Repo =  8.0% + (7%)(-0.86) =  2.0%.
Expected versus Required Returns ^ Overvalued 2.0 1.7 Repo Fairly valued 8.0 8.0 T-bills Undervalued 12.8 13.8 Am. F. Fairly valued 15.0 15.0 Market Undervalued  17.0% 17.4% Alta r r
Stocks and Their Valuation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Different Approaches for Valuing Common Stock
One whose dividends are expected to grow forever at a constant rate, g. Stock Value = PV of Dividends What is a constant growth stock?
For a constant growth stock, If g is constant, then:
What happens if g > r s ? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Assume beta =  1.2 , r RF  =  7% , and RP M  =  5% .  What is the required rate of return on the firm’s stock? r s = r RF  + (RP M )b Firm = 7% + (5%) (1.2) =  13% . Use the SML to calculate r s :
What’s the stock’s market value?  D 0  = 2.00, r s  = 13%, g = 6%. Constant growth model: =  =  $30.29. 0.13 - 0.06 $2.12 $2.12 0.07
What is the stock’s market value one year from now, P 1 ? ,[object Object],^
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Is the stock price based on short-term growth? ^ =  85.2%. $46.11 $54.11
Why are stock prices volatile? D 1  = $2, r s  = 10%, and g = 5%: P 0  = D 1  / (r s -g) = $2 / (0.10 - 0.05) =  $40 . What if r s  or g change? g g g r s 4% 5% 6% 9% 40.00 50.00 66.67 10% 33.33 40.00 50.00 11% 28.57 33.33 40.00
In equilibrium, expected returns must equal required returns: r s  = D 1 /P 0  + g = r s  = r RF  + (r M  - r RF )b. ^
What’s the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)? Securities are normally in equilibrium and are “fairly priced.”  One cannot “beat the market” except through good luck or inside information.

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Finance 101

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  • 5. Financial Intelligence Income Statement Balance Sheet Income Expenses (Payments) Assets (Own) Liabilities (Debt) Taxes, mortgage/rent, cards, car, food, fun, rent, clothes, child care, insurance, medical Paycheck, dividends, interest, rents, royalties, profits, advances Mortgage, car loan, credit cards, school loans Stocks, bonds, notes, real estate, business, intellectual property
  • 6. How The Wealthy Live They take the income of the poor and middle class, and buy assets that produce more income Income Statement Balance Sheet Income Expenses Assets Liabilities
  • 7. Rich Dad’s Cash Flow Quadrant Employee You have a job. Someone else is the boss. Security before money . Self-Employed You own a job. Loner/”boss.” Perfectionists. Small bus. Owners: Drs., restaurateurs. Independence before money. Developer You own a system that others operate. Coordinator. Delegator. Franchiser. Use other people's time and money. Investor Your money works for you. Make money with money. Other’s liabilities are your assets.
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  • 18. Expected Return versus Risk 13.4 1.7 Repo Men 0.0 8.0 T-bills 18.8 13.8 Am. Foam 15.3 15.0 Market 20.0% 17.4% Alta Inds. Risk,  return Security Expected
  • 19. Return vs. Risk (Std. Dev.): Which investment is best?
  • 20. Portfolio Return, r p r p is a weighted average: r p = 0.5(17.4%) + 0.5(1.7%) = 9.6% . r p is between r Alta and r Repo . ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ r p =   w i r i  n i = 1
  • 21.
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  • 23. Portfolio 0 15 Prob. 2 1  1  35% ;  portfolio  20%. Return
  • 24.
  • 25. Calculating Beta for PQU r PQU = 0.83r M + 0.03 R 2 = 0.36 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% r M r KWE
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  • 29. Required Rates of Return r Alta = 8.0% + (7%)(1.29) = 8.0% + 9.0% = 17.0%. r M = 8.0% + (7%)(1.00) = 15.0%. r Am. F. = 8.0% + (7%)(0.68) = 12.8%. r T-bill = 8.0% + (7%)(0.00) = 8.0%. r Repo = 8.0% + (7%)(-0.86) = 2.0%.
  • 30. Expected versus Required Returns ^ Overvalued 2.0 1.7 Repo Fairly valued 8.0 8.0 T-bills Undervalued 12.8 13.8 Am. F. Fairly valued 15.0 15.0 Market Undervalued 17.0% 17.4% Alta r r
  • 31. Stocks and Their Valuation
  • 32.
  • 33. One whose dividends are expected to grow forever at a constant rate, g. Stock Value = PV of Dividends What is a constant growth stock?
  • 34. For a constant growth stock, If g is constant, then:
  • 35.
  • 36. Assume beta = 1.2 , r RF = 7% , and RP M = 5% . What is the required rate of return on the firm’s stock? r s = r RF + (RP M )b Firm = 7% + (5%) (1.2) = 13% . Use the SML to calculate r s :
  • 37. What’s the stock’s market value? D 0 = 2.00, r s = 13%, g = 6%. Constant growth model: = = $30.29. 0.13 - 0.06 $2.12 $2.12 0.07
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Why are stock prices volatile? D 1 = $2, r s = 10%, and g = 5%: P 0 = D 1 / (r s -g) = $2 / (0.10 - 0.05) = $40 . What if r s or g change? g g g r s 4% 5% 6% 9% 40.00 50.00 66.67 10% 33.33 40.00 50.00 11% 28.57 33.33 40.00
  • 41. In equilibrium, expected returns must equal required returns: r s = D 1 /P 0 + g = r s = r RF + (r M - r RF )b. ^
  • 42. What’s the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)? Securities are normally in equilibrium and are “fairly priced.” One cannot “beat the market” except through good luck or inside information.

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