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“ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.”  Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista Professor of Economics at Colef  and Researcher from the National Science and Technology Council [email_address] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/alejandro-diaz-bautista/6/619/691 Conference Presentation at the 14 Annual Mexico Economic Review and Political Outlook 2011, on Friday, December 9, 2011 from 12:30 to 3:00 pm. At the Luxe Hotel on Sunset Blvd, 11461 Sunset Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object]
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Debt to GDP ratios for EU countries
Runaway Debt in Europe
Public Debt as Percent of GDP
Global Market Volatility in 2011 ,[object Object]
Opportunities in Emerging Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Opportunities in Emerging Markets
Shifting GDP Growth in Emerging Markets vs. Developed Economies
Opportunities in Emerging Markets
Mexico’s Economic Growth in 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico’s Economic Growth in 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Average Real GDP Growth during 2010 - 2011
Probability of U.S. Recession in 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Probability of U.S. Recession in 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Probability of Recession in 2012
Probability of U.S. Recession in 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.”  ,[object Object],[object Object]
“ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.” ,[object Object]
“ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.” ,[object Object],[object Object]
Peso Depreciated during August 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Exchange Rate Mexican Peso to U.S. Dollar
Currency Volatility and Rescue Measurements.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico’s Economy 2012 ,[object Object]
Mexico’s FDI in 2010 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico FDI Fell 16% in First 9 Months of 2011. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Baja California attracted $227.5 million dollars of FDI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FDI in the US Mexico Border ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Per Capita Income Divergence between Border States and rest of Mexico (% relation to Mexico City)
 
Border residents contribute to the California Economy 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Strategic and Integral Economic Zone 2012 ,[object Object]
 
 
 
(Var. % anual) Fuente:  INEGI y Us Federal Reserve. Integration of Industrial Production between Mexico and the United States
Presidential Elections in 2012
The 12-year Cycle of Coinciding U.S.-Mexico Presidential Elections.  ,[object Object]
New leader of the PRI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New leader of the PRI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
President Calderon’s Comments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Enrique Peña Nieto   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Andrés Manuel López Obrador ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lopez Obrador, PRD Candidate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Josefina Vázquez Mota ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Santiago Creel Miranda  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ernesto Cordero Arroyo ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PAN Presidential Candidates, November 2011. Source: Encuestas realizadas por Buendía & Laredo, S.C. a 1,000 mexicanos mayores de 18 años con credencial para votar entre el 10 y el 15 de Noviembre del 2011.
If the Presidential Elections in Mexico were today.
If the Presidential Elections in Mexico were today. Encuesta El Universal, noviembre 2011.
LATEST MATCH-UP RESULTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The 12-year Cycle of Coinciding U.S.-Mexico Presidential Elections. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Time/CNN Polls: Newt Gingrich Leads In Three Of Four Early Primary States ,[object Object],[object Object]
2012 US Presidential Matchups Election 2012:  Obama 45%, Gingrich 40% ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LATEST MATCH-UP RESULTS  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Combinations of Mexico and US Presidents and Bilateral Relations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico’s Political Climate ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.”  Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista Professor of Economics at Colef  and Researcher from the National Science and Technology Council [email_address] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/alejandro-diaz-bautista/6/619/691 Conference Presentation at the 14 Annual Mexico Economic Review and Political Outlook 2011, on Friday, December 9, 2011 from 12:30 to 3:00 pm. At the Luxe Hotel on Sunset Blvd, 11461 Sunset Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

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Professor Alejandro Diaz Bautista Mexico's Economic and Political Outlook 2012

  • 1. “ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.” Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista Professor of Economics at Colef and Researcher from the National Science and Technology Council [email_address] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/alejandro-diaz-bautista/6/619/691 Conference Presentation at the 14 Annual Mexico Economic Review and Political Outlook 2011, on Friday, December 9, 2011 from 12:30 to 3:00 pm. At the Luxe Hotel on Sunset Blvd, 11461 Sunset Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Debt to GDP ratios for EU countries
  • 6. Public Debt as Percent of GDP
  • 7.
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  • 10. Shifting GDP Growth in Emerging Markets vs. Developed Economies
  • 12.
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  • 14. Average Real GDP Growth during 2010 - 2011
  • 15.
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  • 23. Exchange Rate Mexican Peso to U.S. Dollar
  • 24.
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  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. Per Capita Income Divergence between Border States and rest of Mexico (% relation to Mexico City)
  • 31.  
  • 32.
  • 33.  
  • 34.
  • 35.  
  • 36.  
  • 37.  
  • 38. (Var. % anual) Fuente: INEGI y Us Federal Reserve. Integration of Industrial Production between Mexico and the United States
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
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  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. PAN Presidential Candidates, November 2011. Source: Encuestas realizadas por Buendía & Laredo, S.C. a 1,000 mexicanos mayores de 18 años con credencial para votar entre el 10 y el 15 de Noviembre del 2011.
  • 51. If the Presidential Elections in Mexico were today.
  • 52. If the Presidential Elections in Mexico were today. Encuesta El Universal, noviembre 2011.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62. “ The U.S. Mexico Border Economic Outlook 2012. Impacts of the Debt Crisis in Europe and the U.S.” Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista Professor of Economics at Colef and Researcher from the National Science and Technology Council [email_address] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/alejandro-diaz-bautista/6/619/691 Conference Presentation at the 14 Annual Mexico Economic Review and Political Outlook 2011, on Friday, December 9, 2011 from 12:30 to 3:00 pm. At the Luxe Hotel on Sunset Blvd, 11461 Sunset Boulevard, Los Angeles, CA, USA.