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El futuro del futuro v2
- 2. Parte 1: El pasado del futuro
- 3. Durante muchos años la tecnología avanzaba linealmente (o ni eso!) -9.7% 200 0.7 Precio (M U$S) 0.0% 13100 12800 Altura max. 1.8% 15000 5190 Rango (Km) 0.2% 954 846 Max. speed Mejora anual B 787 (2011) Comet 4 (1950)
- 4. Durante muchos años la tecnología avanzaba linealmente (o ni eso!) -6.8% 28 0.5 Precio (K U$S) 3.1% 263 40 Max. HP -0.5% 11.3 8.5 Consumo (l/Km) 1.9% 210 65 Max. speed Mejora anual Taurus (2011) Ford A (1930)
- 6. El pasado del futuro
- 7. Parte 2: El presente del futuro Foto: Tanalyn Dollar
- 8. Hasta que llegó la ley de Moore Fuente: Ray Kurzweil
- 9. Y nos equivocamos al revés: el futuro fue mejor de lo que esperábamos…
- 10. Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Fuente: Ray Kurzweil
- 11. Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Fuente: Ray Kurzweil
- 16. 30 pasos Fuente: Ray Kurzweil
- 17. ¿Qué es crecer exponencialmente? 24,4% 1440x900 40x24 Display -3.7% 2.2 0.7 Precio (K U$S) 58,2% 500Gb 140Kb Almacenam. 52,2% 4Gb 4Kb Memoria 27.1% 2.66 Ghz 1 Mhz Procesador Mejora anual MBP (2010) Apple I/II (1977)
- 18. Es como si… -3.7% 6 0.7 Precio (M U$S) 40.5% 12.9B (1.4 LY) 12800 Altura max. 40.5% 5.24B (0.55 LY) 5190 Rango (Km) 40.5% 792 x c 846 Max. speed Mejora anual B 787 (2011) Comet 4 (1950)
- 19. Es como si… -3.7% 9.5 0.5 Precio (K U$S) 40.8% 1810x15TW 40 Max. HP ? 8.5 Consumo (l/Km) 40.8% 54.5K x c 65 Max. speed Mejora anual Taurus (2011) Ford A (1930)
- 20. El presente del futuro: Computadoras creciendo exponencialmente en un mundo lineal Foto: Tanalyn Dollar
- 21. Parte 3: El futuro del futuro
- 24. La ley de Moore es contagiosa
- 25. Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Fuente: Ray Kurzweil
- 26. Logarithmic Plot Logarithmic Plot Fuente: Ray Kurzweil
- 27. Y nos estamos equivocando de nuevo…
- 28. Parte 4: El impacto de las tecnologías exponenciales
- 29. 2 Foto: US Navy
- 30. CC: Mike Baird
- 34. 6
- 39. 9
- 40. 10
- 41. cc: Army.mil cc TheJourney1972
- 42. TP SPACE!!!! Foto: Claret14
- 43. Foto: Kaptajn Haddok cc
- 46. CC: eyeweed
Notas del editor
- HONOR TO DO IT WITH YOU! TO DO THIS NO BETTER PLACE THAN... RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW! THANKS!!!
- http://paleo-future.blogspot.com/2007/04/predicts-conventions-in-space-by-year.html
- - LAS COSAS AVANZABAN MUUUUY LENTO FORD A (1930) Max speed 65 Consumo 8.5 l/Km (25-30 EPA) 40 HP Precio: $500 2011 Taurus Max speed: 210 Consumo: 11.3 l/100 Km (18-28 EPA) 263 HP Precio: $28.000 De Havilland Comet 4 (1950) Max speed: 846 Range: 5190 Km Max Altura: 12800 Precio: 705K 787-9: Max Speed: 954 Range: 15000 Km Max Altura: 13.100 Precio: 200M
- FORD A (1930) Max speed 65 Consumo 8.5 l/Km (25-30 EPA) 40 HP Precio: $500 2011 Taurus Max speed: 210 Consumo: 11.3 l/100 Km (18-28 EPA) 263 HP Precio: $28.000 De Havilland Comet 4 (1950) Max speed: 846 Range: 5190 Km Max Altura: 12800 Precio: 705K 787-9: Max Speed: 954 Range: 15000 Km Max Altura: 13.100 Precio: 200M
- http://paleo-future.blogspot.com/2007/04/predicts-conventions-in-space-by-year.html
- http://paleo-future.blogspot.com/2007/04/postcards-showing-year-2000-circa-1900.html
- http://paleo-future.blogspot.com/2007/04/predicts-conventions-in-space-by-year.html
- Ejemplo: genoma
- Apple I/II Processor: 1 Mhz Memory: 4KB Display: 40x24 Price: $667 MBP 15 Processor: 2.8 Ghz Memory: 4GB Display: 1440x900 HD. 500GB Price:
- FORD A (1930) Max speed 65 Consumo 8.5 l/Km (25-30 EPA) 40 HP Precio: $500 2011 Taurus Max speed: 210 Consumo: 11.3 l/100 Km (18-28 EPA) 263 HP Precio: $28.000 De Havilland Comet 4 (1950) Max speed: 846 Range: 5190 Km Max Altura: 12800 Precio: 705K 787-9: Max Speed: 954 Range: 15000 Km Max Altura: 13.100 Precio: 200M
- FORD A (1930) Max speed 65 Consumo 8.5 l/Km (25-30 EPA) 40 HP Precio: $500 2011 Taurus Max speed: 210 Consumo: 11.3 l/100 Km (18-28 EPA) 263 HP Precio: $28.000 De Havilland Comet 4 (1950) Max speed: 846 Range: 5190 Km Max Altura: 12800 Precio: 705K 787-9: Max Speed: 954 Range: 15000 Km Max Altura: 13.100 Precio: 200M
- http://www.flickr.com/photos/39097228@N00/3838748622/
- http://paleo-future.blogspot.com/2007/04/predicts-conventions-in-space-by-year.html
- http:// www.flickr.com / photos / alexandervandijk /3058618214/ sizes /o/in/ photostream /
- http://www.flickr.com/photos/rainforest_harley/232636845/sizes/o/in/photostream/ http://www.flickr.com/photos/bahkubean/159135680/sizes/o/in/photostream/ http://www.flickr.com/photos/several_bees/872616087/sizes/z/in/photostream/
- http://paleo-future.blogspot.com/2007/04/predicts-conventions-in-space-by-year.html
- BIG PICTURE HUMANITY --> HUGE CHALLENGE MY GOAL: HELP NAVIGATE PPT: HOW EXP TECH CHANGE WHAT IS HUMAN - OPPORT / CHALLENGE / DO IT RIGHT
- VIENE UNA OLA! BUENO O MALO? DEPENDE! http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikebaird/4170269645/in/photostream/ Otra posib: http://www.flickr.com/photos/soulsurfer3/3013476195/sizes/o/in/photostream/
- ONSET OF CIVILIZ : TRUE FOR 5000, NOT FOR 50 EXP WILL TRANSFORM TRASCEND LIMITATIONS OF EXISTENCE BIG DIFF IN MEANS TO BE HUMAN COMPARISON
- EGYPT, ROME , S. XX YOU MAY THINK A LOT HAS CHGD : NO! THE ESSENCE OF “HUMAN” EXISTENCE UNCHGD THAT WILL CHANGE SOON
- ALL SINGLE CELL EGG 50/50 GENETIC MATERIAL FROM PARENTS LOOKS LIKE MOM!
- BIOTECH Y GENETIC MANIP BUILD GENOMES WITH CHUNKS EJ: CRAIG VENTER, iGEM TAKE OUT BAD PARTS CLONING?
- AFTER EGG, ALL GREW BIOL BODIES THEIR STRUCTURE WAS THE SAME PHYSIOLOGY WAS THE SAME COULD DO GREAT THINGS, BUT NOT OTHERS
- ROBOTICS: “UPGRADE” PARTS EJ: Prosthetics, de reemplazar lo perdido a upgradear Vs Cirugia Estética ADD SENSES INTEGR WITH BIOLOGY LEAVE BODIES BEHIND? BODY = BOTTLENECK
- SMARTEST CREATURES ORDERS OF MAGN MORE DOMESTIC OTHERS
- ROBOTICS, NANO: IMPROVE HARDWARE OF BRAIN ADD MEMORY/ACCESS INFO AI: IMPROVE SOFTWARE -- >BE SMARTER LOSE CROWN TO NON BIOL SYSTEM PELIGROS DEL AI AMZN REMEMBERS
- THEY LIVED ON SURFACE OF PLANET EARTH ONLY HABITAT AVAILABLE GREAT BUT SCARCE AND RISKY
- TP SPACE!!!! CREATE CONDITIONS TO: - TRAVEL / POPULATE / BOLDLY STAY EXPAND LEGACY INSURANCE AGAINST CATASTR
- THEY WERE BORN 30 TO 80 YEAR S: LIFE EXPECT GREW LITTLE AGED, DAMAGE, DEAD! DEATH CERTAIN
- REGENERAT MED/NANO/ROBOTICS --> REPAIR DAMAGE EJ: IMPRESION 3D DE ORGANOS EXTEND LIFE SPAN /FEEL BETTER, HEALTHIER EJ: RESPIROCITES LIVE FOREVER?
- ALL AGES: POVERTY , SUFFERING, INEQUALITY EXP TECH --> OPPORTUNITY TO BE FIRST INCLUDE ALL
- VERY PROFOUND CHANGE SOME GOOD, SOME CREEPY BETTER AT MAKING THAN USING WISELY VIRUS ARTIFICIALES x $100 SMARTEST LUNATIC! ROLE OF LEADERS: ADD PEOPLE / CALM ANXIETY / PREVENT BAD OUTCOMES
- OPPORT = RESPONSAB HELP HUMANS NAVIGATE AND TAKE THE RIGHT TURNS ETHICAL DILEMMAS NOT LEAVE OTHERS BEHIND SAFE HARBOR
- MANY TIMES WERE EXCITING 1900: FLY 1950: TV 1970: MICROCH --> MASSIF OF COMPUTERS
- SOOO LUCKY!: NO ERA LIKE THIS! DOMINOS TO FALL REINVENT US AS SPECIES LIVE BETTER, LONGER END POVERTY
- HONOR TO DO IT WITH YOU! TO DO THIS NO BETTER PLACE THAN... RIGHT HERE, RIGHT NOW! THANKS!!!